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May 12, 2004

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WillieStyle

First of all, the use of "us" is somewhat amusing.
Let's face it minuteman, neither of us is the covetted marginal voter.
The fact that Kerry and Bush are statistically tied is very good news for Kerry. Until most voters start paying attention (later this year), the incumbent is the default choice for most polled. Furthermore, ndecideds tend to break heavily for the challenger. Bush shot his load in an attempt to "define" Kerry early and accomplished nada.
The "If Kerry can't pull away now, he'll be in real trouble in November" argument assumes that the publics' view of Iraq will improve as the election approaches. Polling evidence suggests the oppossite.

From the recent Gallup Poll
Next, regardless of which presidential candidate you support, please tell me if you think John Kerry or George W. Bush would better handle each of the following issues.

The situation in Iraq
---------------Kerry Bush Same No opinion
2004 May 7-9 -- 45 -- 48 -- 1 -- 6
2004 Mar 5-7 -- 39 -- 54 -- 2 -- 5

McGovern indeed.

TM

First of all, the use of "us" is somewhat amusing.

I can't spell 'presumptuous' with 'us'. But I will have to plead ironic intent - the shock of watching Mariano blow a save shattered my concentration.

Anyway, Ispoke with a bunch of dispirited Republicans over the weekend (wasn't 'shock and awe' supposed to be administered to the *other* guys?). They will never vote for Kerry, but they aren't writing checks to Bush anymore, either.

And Howard Fineman was interesting on Imus this morning. His point - Kerry (at a fundraiser, I think) said his strategy is to stay close, preserve his acceptability and electability, and win a referendum on Bush as the ABB choice. "He doesn't want to be loved, he just wants to be elected" was the soundbite.

Interesting. My suspicion is that (my recent lesser-of-two-evil vote for Bush notwithstanding),people prefer to vote *for* a candidate rather than against one. But these are unusual times.

And if a booming economy lulls us all into complaceny and Bush is re-elected, does the soundbite change from "it's the economy, stupid" to "It's the economy - we're stupid"?

WillieStyle

And if a booming economy lulls us all into complaceny and Bush is re-elected, does the soundbite change from "it's the economy, stupid" to "It's the economy - we're stupid"?

In my book, the winner gets to pick the pithy victory phrase. If y'all win, feel free to run with it.
Me personally, I'm working on one for my side.
Exclusive minuteman sneak preview:
It involves Bears and tricycles.

John

"Booming"?

It should be noted that Bush is a total nincompoop.

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