The new Time poll showing Bush up by 11 points is, IMHO, distorted by its timing - proper Reps were at home watching their convention and answering the phone when pollsters called, while proper Dems were off doing whatever they do when they aren't whining about someone attacking their patriotism. Hmm, don't ask me about the Newsweek poll, which ran Thursday and Friday and had better numbers for Bush on Friday - I've got a story, and I'm sticking to it.
So, distorted or not, here we go: these polls are trouble for Kerry (The Minuteman, your source for Bold Predictions!). Both sides are engaged in a last-gasp push for 527 funds. Dems look at these polls and see an opportunity to throw good money after bad; Reps see a chance to buy access to the next President of the United States.
There is another potential hazard for Kerry as his supporters contemplate these polls - Nader sympathizers may vote with their heads if Kerry can keep the race close, and will tell pollsters the same. However, if Kerry acquires the look and smell of a loser, sensible Naderites will reveal to pollsters their secret hearts, thereby compounding the gloom at Camp Kerry.
That said, having the NY Times shovel this sort of dirt on your grave is not the way for Kerry to enjoy his weekend. C'mon, this is far from over!