Richard Cohen of the WaPo articulates the obvious about the flips-flops of McCain and Obama and the relative seriousness thereof:
But here is the difference between McCain and Obama -- and Obama had better pay attention. McCain is a known commodity. It's not just that he's been around a long time and staked out positions antithetical to those of his Republican base. It's also -- and more important -- that we know his bottom line. As his North Vietnamese captors found out, there is only so far he will go, and then his pride or his sense of honor takes over. This -- not just his candor and nonstop verbosity on the Straight Talk Express -- is what commends him to so many journalists.
Obama might have a similar bottom line, core principles for which, in some sense, he is willing to die. If so, we don't know what they are. Nothing so far in his life approaches McCain's decision to refuse repatriation as a POW so as to deny his jailors a propaganda coup. In fact, there is scant evidence the Illinois senator takes positions that challenge his base or otherwise threaten him politically. That's why his reversal on campaign financing and his transparently false justification of it matter more than similar acts by McCain.
Well, sure. It's also part of the reason that Obama's association with Jeremiah Wright was of much greater consequence than McCain's endorsement by Hagee (the length and depth of the Obama-Wright association was also important). It's why Obama's long-time association with unrepentant Weatherman Bill Ayers, which dates back to at least to 1987 when Ayers and Obama first joined forces on Chicago public school reform, is important - we are still getting to know Obama, who is now strolling back to the political center. And as I noted recently, we can't judge him by his speeches since he has back-pedaled from so many. And we can't judge him by his anorexic resume.
Oh, well - let's elect him and let historians sort it out. There's a plan!

McCain is also better able to articulate the reason for his changing his mind. Usually it's evaluation of new information, not failure to grasp the old.
Very critical difference there.
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Posted by: kim | June 24, 2008 at 03:32 PM
Furthermore, Obama doesn't give the impression of really changing his mind; he's just concealing his believes for short term political advantage, or at least that is the way it seems.
Authenticity is going to be something that drives the young away from Obama.
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Posted by: kim | June 24, 2008 at 03:35 PM
I don't know if the majority of young people are clued in enough to see his lack of authenticity, kim.
However, they may lose interest if for whatever reason he starts to be perceived as uncool or less cool than he used to be. The whole "I used to like X before he was popular" thing. He'll still be their friend on Facebook and all, but they might not bother to show up at the polls.
Of course, that is always a risk with young voters. But it's especially so with a candidate that relies as heavily on the ephemeral hipster factor as Obama does.
Posted by: Porchlight | June 24, 2008 at 03:45 PM
I say, drop the both of them and start fresh. New candidates for both parties!
Remember the Oct. 04 three-part series in FrontPageMagazine by Horowitz and Poe? The Shadow Party. Soros initiating McCain-Feingold, Soros/Hillary think tank, Mort Halperin, the same old clique back from Weathermen days.
Posted by: BL | June 24, 2008 at 03:47 PM
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is what commends him to so many journalists.
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Well, sure, if the electorate had no more sense than your average WaPo journalist, the election would be over.
Cohen's analysis carries considerably more water than weight.
Posted by: eightnine2718281828mu5e | June 24, 2008 at 03:47 PM
Posted by: Neo | June 24, 2008 at 03:53 PM
I say drop the both of them. Start fresh with new candidates for both parties!
Remember the Oct 04 three-part series in FrontPageMagazine by Horowitz and Poe? "The Shadow Party." They show the direct connections of Soros to McCain, Hillary and now Obama, through the Soros group MoveOn, etc. Mort Halperin and the same old cabal since Weathermen, Pentagon Papers and Watergate days.
http://www.frontpagemag.com/Articles/Read.aspx?GUID=1C995DDB-9F7D-4EB7-83A2-5304F950EB41
Posted by: BL | June 24, 2008 at 03:53 PM
Another core belief, adapted from his military days:
McCain 2008: Never Leave a Lobbyist Behind
Posted by: eightnine2718281828mu5e | June 24, 2008 at 04:02 PM
Coincidentally, I covered the same points as Cohen.
There is a fairly simple measure for judging Obama: his voting record.
Posted by: Karl | June 24, 2008 at 04:08 PM
Looks like the Republicans have flip-flopped on the flip-flop issue; somehow Kerry's being in the line of fire didn't garner the same consideration.
But of course the party is facing a near-death experience in this election cycle, so maybe Mr. Cohen could use that to justify its change of heart.
Posted by: eightnine2718281828mu5e | June 24, 2008 at 04:12 PM
Usually it's evaluation of new information, not failure to grasp the old.
Which is why McCain's so-called "flip-flops" really aren't. I didn't want to buy a flat-screen TV when the 42" models were $5000. When they came down to $1500 I took the plunge. Is that a flip-flop? Being opposed to offshore drilling when oil is at $20/barrel is not inconsistent with favoring it when oil is $140/barrel.
Or, to quote Keynes: "When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do, sir?"
Posted by: jimmyk | June 24, 2008 at 04:14 PM
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Being opposed to offshore drilling when oil is at $20/barrel is not inconsistent with favoring it when oil is $140/barrel.
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I agree; so it's OK if Obama changes his position on this as well?
Posted by: eightnine2718281828mu5e | June 24, 2008 at 04:17 PM
I agree; so it's OK if Obama changes his position on this as well?
Whether or not its okay is irrevelent. A better question is how inevitable is it?
Posted by: bad | June 24, 2008 at 04:37 PM
I agree; so it's OK if Obama changes his position on this as well?
Sure thing. In fact, I think it would be great if Obama changed all his positions to match McCain's.
Posted by: Porchlight | June 24, 2008 at 04:37 PM
Kerry's being in the line of fire for four months, during which he managed to acquire 3 Purple Hearts without missing a day of active duty, after which he left the theater at the earliest opportunity, didn't garner the same consideration as the six years McCain spent as a POW, enduring torture which left him with permanent physical disabilities, in the course of which he refused the opportunity to leave as dishonorable.
it's OK if Obama changes his position on [drilling] as well?
OK? It's inevitable. Obama's positions are like diapers: they are discovered to be full of carp, and then they are changed.
Posted by: bgates | June 24, 2008 at 04:42 PM
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didn't garner the same consideration as the six years McCain spent
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Just to point out the bleedin' obvious, Kerry wasn't running against McCain in 2004; he was running against Bush, who had zero months and zero purple hearts.
Posted by: eightnine2718281828mu5e | June 24, 2008 at 04:51 PM
Kerry '04 was running against the traitor Kerry '73. He was just surprised that so many people remembered his perfidy so well.
Posted by: Rick Ballard | June 24, 2008 at 04:56 PM
If you haven't already, then hurry over and read J.R. Dunn's piece at American Thinker:
The Obama Left
Posted by: Sara | June 24, 2008 at 05:00 PM
You're right; lying sacks beat traitors.
This year I guess it's senility vs energy.
Posted by: eightnine2718281828mu5e | June 24, 2008 at 05:01 PM
Kerry '04 was running against the traitor Kerry '73. He was just surprised that so many people remembered his perfidy so well.
Amen.
Posted by: Sara | June 24, 2008 at 05:02 PM
Just to point out the bleedin' obvious
89, here is your quote:
Same consideration as....? Aren't you implicitly comparing Kerry to McCain here? In which case bgates' response is perfectly relevant. Please enlighten me if I'm misunderstanding you.
Posted by: Porchlight | June 24, 2008 at 05:03 PM
I guess the right's triad is the religious right, the economic right, and the psychotic right.
McCain is somewhat shaky on two of those, but that allows him to pick up a few independents, so probably balances out to some degree.
Posted by: eightnine2718281828mu5e | June 24, 2008 at 05:06 PM
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Aren't you implicitly comparing Kerry to McCain here?
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No; I'm saying that in 2004 no one in the press said that Kerry's service gave him a pass on flip flop charges; McCain had nothing to do with 2004.
Posted by: eightnine2718281828mu5e | June 24, 2008 at 05:08 PM
But you are comparing press treatment of Kerry's service in 04 and press treatment of McCain's service in 08. So again the bgates' response is spot on.
Posted by: boris | June 24, 2008 at 05:12 PM
I'm saying that in 2004 no one in the press said that Kerry's service, which consisted of four months in a war zone, during which he managed to acquire 3 Purple Hearts without missing a day of active duty, after which he left the theater at the earliest opportunity, gave him a pass on flip flop charges.
Posted by: bgates | June 24, 2008 at 05:13 PM
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Aren't you implicitly comparing Kerry to McCain here?
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On second thought, I see what you're saying here.
The press flip-flop is due to the comparison between Kerry then and McCain now. So I get that.
But it smacks more of partisan desperation than a truly thoughtful comparison. It's more of a "We really want to paint Obama as a flip-flopper, but how can we do that when McCain has the same problem? Oh! I know! He was in the military!"
Semms like he's back-fitting the data to suit his purposes. Of course we're all partisan here, so your conclusions may differ from mine. ;-)
Posted by: eightnine2718281828mu5e | June 24, 2008 at 05:19 PM
the psychotic right
Gee--I don't know what is more psychotic than this.
Posted by: glasater | June 24, 2008 at 05:20 PM
Anyway, no one is saying that McCain's service record gives him a pass on flip-flop charges. We are saying that (a) his so-called flip-flops aren't; (b) he has a long record, he's a pretty well-known entity, so even if he did flip-flop, it's not as damaging.
Posted by: jimmyk | June 24, 2008 at 05:23 PM
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during which he managed to acquire 3 Purple Hearts without missing a day of active duty
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Petraeus has zero purple hearts, but you guys seem to like him just fine.
There seems to be a pattern where only Republican military service is honorable.
Ever wonder why that might be?
Posted by: eightnine2718281828mu5e | June 24, 2008 at 05:26 PM
McCain is a flip flopper, that's flat undeniable. He will flip or flop a few more times before the elcetion. That won't change his lifetime ACU rating of 83 any more than Obama's contortions will raise his ACU rating of 8.
It's fine with me if Obama remains steadfast to his Marxist roots, it's also fine if he puts on a different shade of lipstick morning, noon, and night. It makes precisely as much difference as painting out the stripe on a skunk's back. No one downwind will be fooled for more than the time it takes to draw a breath and gag.
Posted by: Rick Ballard | June 24, 2008 at 05:27 PM
There seems to be a pattern where only Republican military service is honorable.
Ever wonder why that might be?
Well, in 26 years as a military wife, I never knew a democrat. Not saying there weren't some, but I never had the misfortune to run into any.
Posted by: Sara | June 24, 2008 at 05:30 PM
Petraeus has zero purple hearts, but you guys seem to like him just fine.
He did get shot through the chest that one time, but that was an accident. (Missed a couple days' active duty, though.)
Why is it you assume he's Republican? Is it his dedication to victory, or the fact that he won't slander fellow troops? (Hell, he even sent the kid who shot him in the chest to Ranger school.)
Posted by: bgates | June 24, 2008 at 05:39 PM
how can we do that when McCain has the same problem? Oh! I know! He was in the military and spent six years as a POW, enduring torture which left him with permanent physical disabilities, in the course of which he refused the opportunity to leave as dishonorable. Maybe we can claim that demonstrates some kind of resolve or determination, or, you know, "bravery" or whatever.
Posted by: bgates | June 24, 2008 at 05:41 PM
Petraeus has zero purple hearts, but you guys seem to like him just fine.
There seems to be a pattern where only Republican military service is honorable.
Logic doesn't seem to be 89's strong suit. Legitimate purple hearts confer a certain degree of honor, provided the honoree doesn't turn around and behave dishonorably. That doesn't imply they are the only way to achieve honor.
Posted by: jimmyk | June 24, 2008 at 05:44 PM
Well JFK and McGovern served honorably. Perot was unhappy in the navy, but he served his committment honorably and got out. Fritz Mondale was in the army. Dukakis was in the army, too. Dick Gephardt served in the Missouri Air National Guard from 65-71. Truman was in the army. So, anyway, the phenomenom of only Republicans serving honorably seems to be quite recent...
Posted by: cathyf | June 24, 2008 at 05:52 PM
Petraeus has zero purple hearts, but you guys seem to like him just fine.
What, a Purple Heart is required for honorable service? Don't think so. (And two of Kerry's three PH's are less honorable than having none, IMHO . . . which is one reason his early rotation doesn't sit well in some quarters.)
There seems to be a pattern where only Republican military service is honorable.
Huh? This from the "chickenhawk" or "General Betray-us" crowd? Yeah, there's a pattern of politicizing military service all right . . . but it doesn't seem to be the one you're proposing.
Posted by: Cecil Turner | June 24, 2008 at 05:56 PM
OT:Charlie has a neat article on trains at PJM and got an instalaunch. Congrats, Charlie!
Posted by: clarice | June 24, 2008 at 06:02 PM
Both Obama and John McCain have underestimated the gravity of the energy crisis. McCain has made a small concession to reality, but it is not enough.
Posted by: MikeS | June 24, 2008 at 06:03 PM
Obama might have a similar bottom line, core principles for which, in some sense, he is willing to die. If so, we don't know what they are.
Another challenge for Obamatons:
We know that he has accomplished nothing of merit, so we won't emabarass anyone by asking about accomplishments any more. The question now is that which Cohen posed so inelegantly:
Does Obama have any identifiable core beliefs (aside from "from each according to his ability", etc)? I have severe doubts that he does but I would be willing to examine an argument to the contrary.
Posted by: Rick Ballard | June 24, 2008 at 06:10 PM
Somehow I think these awards to General Petraeus trump Kerry's rice in the butt or was it the arm, or maybe his foot, who knows, PH.
Distinguished Service Medal (with Oak Leaf Cluster)
Army Distinguished Service Medal
Defense Superior Service Medal (with Oak Leaf Cluster)
Legion of Merit (with 3 Oak Leaf Clusters)
Bronze Star (with āVā Device)
Joint Service Commendation Medal
Army Commendation Medal (with 2 Oak Leaf Clusters)
Joint Service Achievement Medal
Army Achievement Medal
And that is before you even get to the unit and campaign awards.
Posted by: Sara | June 24, 2008 at 06:13 PM
McCain has made a small concession to reality, but it is not enough.
Yeah, I'd go even farther than that. One of the main drivers behind speculation in the oil market is that none of the major players (and especially the US) seem ready to do anything to address the underlying causes. Hence the bettors are all guessing prices will continue to rise, which becomes a bit of a self-fulfilling prophecy.
If we were to announce today implementation of a crash course to: 1) drill in ANWR and open off-shore drilling leases; 2) build pebble-bed nuclear reactors and develop a supply system for hydrogen-powered vehicles; 3) increase CAFE standards across the board whilst closing SUV loopholes--including a minimum requirement for hybrid/hydrogen/etc vehicles; then the price would come down tomorrow. Besides, we ought to do all that stuff anyway, so we might as well get started.
McCain didn't go far enough. Obama's actively on the wrong side.
Posted by: Cecil Turner | June 24, 2008 at 06:15 PM
I have always enjoyed reading this blog and the comments and have never posted a comment. Absolutely must now!! I do wish you could expel 89--is that possible? 89 is not worthy of responding to in any way.
Posted by: mary | June 24, 2008 at 06:20 PM
Sure Obama has core beliefs:
Like:
a totalitarian system of government in which a single authoritarian party controls state-owned means of production.
Oops, that's the definition of Marxist communism.
Posted by: Sara | June 24, 2008 at 06:21 PM
And Cecil, are you going to include money to help me replace my 30 mpg mid-sized SUV that I had intended to drive for at least 15 years? I can't afford to replace it. Since Feb 2005, I've put 16,000 miles on it. Am I really the problem?
Posted by: Sara | June 24, 2008 at 06:26 PM
Mary,
If it's not 89, someone else will draw the assignment. JOM is a stop on the Short Bus route from now 'til November.
It could (and probably will) be worse.
Posted by: Rick Ballard | June 24, 2008 at 06:26 PM
Cecil:
McCain didn't go far enough.
Yup.
Obama's actively on the wrong side.
Double yup.
One wants to ease our worried minds and the other wants to to heal our souls.
Posted by: hit and run | June 24, 2008 at 06:28 PM
"Kerry's being in the line of fire for four months, during which he managed to acquire 3 Purple Hearts without missing a day of active duty,"
Or,it might be added,spending time on the offices of life,eating,sleeping going to the bathroom and a little poontang.
Posted by: PeterUK | June 24, 2008 at 06:36 PM
Am I really the problem?
The problem with SUVs is twofold: they were exempted from CAFE (so the Average Fuel Economy was not really an "average")--though that changed in the latest legislation, and now they're considered, though separately--and by 2011 AFAICT they are to be lumped into the rest of the passenger vehicles; and they're heavy, which makes them dangerous to the rest of the vehicles on the road in a collision (which discourages other buyers from purchasing lighter, more fuel-efficient vehicles).
As to getting old SUVs off the road, that's normally done by attrition. But hopefully we can agree selling new, unnecessarily heavy, fuel inefficient vehicles is counterproductive.
Posted by: Cecil Turner | June 24, 2008 at 06:40 PM
"Petraeus has zero purple hearts, but you guys seem to like him just fine."
That might be because he is good at not getting injured.That is the whole point,getting some other poor bastard injured for their country.
But enough of Petraeus,what about Obama,what's he done.where's he been.
Posted by: PeterUK | June 24, 2008 at 06:41 PM
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That might be because he is good at not getting injured.That is the whole point,getting some other poor bastard injured for their country.
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So that makes McCain a failure in your eyes?
Posted by: eightnine2718281828mu5e | June 24, 2008 at 06:48 PM