Andrew Orlowski of The Register, a UK paper, has sent ripples through the blogosphere with his report that the Japan Society of Energy and Resources is critical of the IPCC "consensus" on anthropogenic global warming:
Exclusive Japanese scientists have made a dramatic break with the UN and Western-backed hypothesis of climate change in a new report from its Energy Commission.
Three of the five researchers disagree with the UN's IPCC view that recent warming is primarily the consequence of man-made industrial emissions of greenhouse gases. Remarkably, the subtle and nuanced language typical in such reports has been set aside.
One of the five contributors compares computer climate modelling to ancient astrology. Others castigate the paucity of the US ground temperature data set used to support the hypothesis, and declare that the unambiguous warming trend from the mid-part of the 20th Century has ceased.
And from the conclusions:
4. Conclusion: Anthropogenic global warming theory still hypothetical
To summarize the discussion so far, compared to accurately predicting solar eclipses by celestial mechanics theoretical models, climate models are still in the phase of reliance on trial and error experiential models. There are still no successful precedents. The significance of this is that climate change theory is still dominated by anthropogenic greenhouse gas causation; the IPCC 4th Evaluation Report's conclusion that from now on atmospheric temperatures are likely to continuously, monotonously increase, should be perceived as an unprovable hypothesis; it will be necessary investigate further and to evaluate future predictions as subject to natural variability. ®
Well, well - yet another crack in the scientific consensus.
So, who are these Japanese scientists and how credible is this? Japan is having trouble achieving Kyoto compliance, so it is *possible* that political motivations are at work here (or was George Bush the only politician ever to politicize science?) That suggestion is not meant to impugn the integrity of the scientists presenting this report; instead, let's note the possibility that the group was stacked with AGW skeptics at the outset.
That said, The Register gives background on the Japanese scientists:
The JSER group was led by Kanya Kusana:
Presumably their objections will be noted and kicked around the scientific community; the US press has utterly overlooked this.