Obama spoke on immigration yesterday and included this headscratcher:
"Contrary to some of the reports that you see, crime along the border is down."
Arizona Governor Jan Brewer would differ. So, is that claim reality-based, or is it just another government faith-based initiative?
The NY Times made a similar claim recently, although the statistics they cited failed to support their point - briefly, they relied on metropolitan crime statistics for Arizona, which have been falling, and ignored rural crime stats, which have been rising.
And in any case, the FBI statistics only went through 2008; preliminary data is available for some cities through 2009, but that does not resolve the border question.
So - does anyone in the reality-based community or elsewhere have anything like actual evidence in support of Obama's claim? If there is a supportive fact sheet at the White House immigration page I am not seeing it.
ERRATA: IF, I say if crime is down it may be because the recession turned off the jobs magnet or due to more vigorous border enforcement; neither reason would vindicate Obama and the "no worries" crowd, since we think that one day the recession will end and that increased enforcement was in response to a real problem.