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April 25, 2012

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Melinda Romanoff

Are there any others? Outside of Hyde Park, of course.

iqvoice

If all I new was Chicago, I wouldn't be proud of my country either. Just look at the politicians that come out of Chicago.

Heh.

narciso

As for Lovitz, 'welcome to the party ', pal, although this is what you voted for, Samuel
L. Jackson, doesn't realize that Obama's 'life work' starting with the Joyce foundation, has the banning of private fire arms, facepalm with a lightsaber.

rse

Role model for the Ages.

Also wear floral print sleeveless to honor a posthumous MOH award. The bright colors will help lift the mood of the bereft loved ones.

pst314

It is indeed funny how people like the Obamas can spend their lives fomenting hate and resentment, and get a free pass if now and then they utter some silly platitude.

GMAX

TM it was an amazing sight last evening. The likes of Swisher and Granderson flailing away at air as Yu was damn near unhittable. 10 Strike outs of yanks, and all but a complete game when Nathan comes on a makes one pitch to close the game out.

I was sitting in row 1 behind the screen, helping out the umpire call balls and strikes. He got it right most of the night, and when he strayed from the true path I simply let him know it!

Is there anything better than shutting out the Yankees?

fdcol63

"Is there anything better than shutting out the Yankees?"

For those of us in the South, it's shutting up Yankees. LOL

Extraneus

I'm looking forward to Romney's counter-attacks when the Mormon stuff starts flowing. Kind of a perfect storm, since the Dems won't be able to resist.

bunkerbuster

What a hateful, jejune take on Michelle Obama. Hates whites? Yeah right. Even you all know how far from true that is. And this from someone who spends much of his day complaining that the best newspapers are "biased."

Melinda Romanoff

Durable Goods orders come in a bit lighter than expected, as in almost three times less than expected.

AliceH

O/T: Ed Whelan's "This Day in Judicial Activism" series has a particularly weird entry today. LUN

1996—More Newark: The New York Times reports that an 11-member council of the Third Circuit (which covers Delaware, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, and the Virgin Islands) unanimously denied Judge H. Lee Sarokin’s request to move his chambers from Newark to San Diego. A court administrator, in a comment that could apply generally to Judge Sarokin’s thinking, labels his request “extremely unusual.”

It goes on.

Donald

I believe Michelle Obama hates white people right down to the essence of her soul.

Without question I believe that.

Rick Ballard

Mel,

The good news is that March durables are much better than April durables will be. I've been watching the utterly boring rail car loading data and the slide in baseline traffic which began in mid-February is accelerating smartly. Diesel prices continue to drive intermodal traffic to the point where total traffic hasn't dropped but baseline is currently down -8.5%.

The best news is that the chocolate ration has been raised from 5 grams to 4000 milligrams. I don't know where to store it all.

NK

O/T-- below is a link to John Lott's essay (in the NY Daily News of all places) rebutting the anti-gun zealots regarding SYG laws. He makes good points explaining why the antigun zealots are full of it. That said--- his points listing the benefits of SYG laws are vague, and his brief references to statistics are misleading. He notes crime decreases since the bad old days of 1977-- all true, but the primary reason for crime reductions since then is the higher incarceration rate of recidivist criminals and better policing. The best empirical and theoretical research on this was done by James Q Wilson. The best part of STY laws in my view is the pre-trial immunity "Dennis hearing" that Florida adopted. That allows the innocent self-defender an opportunity to be exonerated and immune from civil claims. Beyond that, I am still looking for evidence SYG laws have reduced crime. The link: http://www.nydailynews.com/opinion/stand-ground-sense-article-1.1066823?pgno=1

GMAX

Does anyone else feel like Bubu is disspirited? That that was really reading from a script, proforma and halfhearted? Its like he saw the blood on the back of Zimmerman's head and the entire will to live just left him! Oh sure he makes himself get up and reluctantly puts one foot in front of the other, but its all such a chore. Going through the motions, but the thrill has truly gone. LOL

Jack is Back!

AliceH,

You forgot the rest of the story.

The reason they denied Sarokin's request is that they all wanted to move from Newark to San Diego but there was only offices and chambers for 9 of them. Deny Sarokin, problem solved:)

NK

RickB-- the economy sucks, no doubt. And so much of it is self-inflicted injury caused by the Dems in DC. As you know I think 'Bam pays the price in Nov; and when that happens, I think the producers in the US (entrepreneurs, investors etc) will respond and there will be a burst of pent up economic activity at the start of a Mitt Admin. If Mitt has brains, he can use that boost to steer the US to a powerhouse energy/agricultural/smart manufacture economy-- with a profitable fin serv industry of course -- with a deep partnership with the UK, Canada and India. That's my hope anyway.

Bob

Mrs. Obama is one of the best examples of projection that I have ever witnessed. Almost every single thing she does or says is a giant projection. I wonder if she has ever been psychoanalyzed or could understand it if she was.

Extraneus

Wikipedia labors almost as much as Jodi Kantor to highlight Michelle's intellect.

  • She skipped 2nd grade
  • By 6th grade, she was a "gifted student"
  • Honor roll all 4 yrs in high school
  • National Honor Society
  • Salutatorian of her high school class

Then she went on to Princeton to major in sociology and African American Studies, graduating cum laude, and finally Harvard.

narciso

Well it wasn't as cloying as say, the Samuels
hagiography, but I didn't detect the vicious critique in Kantor, in fact there was as much
deflection as anything else,

http://www.nationalreview.com/articles/296928/picking-veep-post-palin-world-robert-costa#comment-bar

Jane (Better a crate than a plate)

Donald, I'm with you. I have no doubt Michelle was bred on hating whites and will pass that on to her children.

NK

Ex-- sounds like the background of millions of other bright kids in America. But, Mooshelle goes to ole' princeton because Pete Carril needs to keep his star power forward happy, who happened to be Moose's brother. I've seen the Moose's senior thesis-- infantile and a grammatical train wreck.

cboldt

Florida's New Self-Defense Law David Kopel - May 19, 2005

As the Florida bill is introduced in other states, victims-rights opponents will probably be successful in getting newspapers and television to describe the proposal in very frightening terms.

Florida Crime Statistics: 1960 - 2010

Ignatz

Ex,
I have no doubt Michelle, unlike Hilary, is considerably more intelligent than her spouse, which admittedly, to quote Captain Hate, is to lay the bar on the ground.
But I also suspect a good deal of her obvious anger is a result of having to tell kids to eat their peas, worry about what gawdhelpus fashion catastrophe she's going to wear next and deliver homilies on 'haters' and 'bullies' while her nitwit husband strides the world stage.
She has to live with the vacant, posing dud after all.

Danube of Thought

Minus 17 at Raz today.

Trails Romney by 5.

NK

Ig-- who knows, my only deep impression of Mooshelle is that she's self-righteous, selfish and embittered about whatever. Not a person that I would gravitate to for socializing. Beyond that....?

Captain Hate

'I told a joke, and the joke was on me'

bwanabuster == Cahrsle Soohnnj?

Chubby

the question is, why is bubu ignoring Michelle's counsel? why is he not staying away from what he believes to be a bunch of racist haters? I guess bubu really doesn't take Michelle too seriously. Or maybe he really doesn't believe JOM is a hotbed racist haters. Or something.

Clarice

Ooooh, DoT. What lovely news to wake up to!

AliceH

JiB - ahhh, yes. ;) That aligns neatly with my direct experience with The Furniture Police and their brethren, The Office Space/Weights and Measures division.

narciso

That scene from Zoolander, suggested itself,
Captain,

Danube of Thought

I'm curious about the Raz numbers lately. His overall approval numbers for Obama are in line with other pollsters, but in head-to-heads he's almost an outlier.

NK

cboldt-- I glanced at those statistics from Florida and they were exactly what I expected. They track the national stats and more importantly stats from NY and Texas. If you're interested, you should look at incarceration rates(pretrial and sentencing)/absolute# of prisoners/length of incarceration from say 1977 until now. Incarceration grew dramatically in the 1980s as Sunshine States started implementing Wilson's crime strategies. The trends of increased incarceration (both pre-trial and length of sentence-- no parole) are clearly inversely proportional to crime rates. In the USA, a relatively small number of recidivist criminals exploded the crime rate in the 1960s & 1970s (thanks to liberal 'rehabilitation' policies.) the swing back to sanity started in the late 1970s and was in full swing by the 1990s when even NY started following the right policies.

Ignatz

--What a hateful, jejune take on Michelle Obama. Hates whites? Yeah right. Even you all know how far from true that is.--

That buub would use the term jejune about someone else's comment demonstrates the utter tone deafness to irony he possesses.

Extraneus

sounds like the background of millions of other bright kids in America

Really? Not to me.

Something about her extemporaneous speaking doesn't jibe with what I would think someone of such intellect and educational accomplishments should sound like, though.

Has anyone heard anything about Michelle's SAT scores?

narciso

Thanks to the idiocy of the Florida Supreme Court, we still have too much recidivism, of course Fox Butterfield is still puzzled;

You all remember Ben Ginsburg don't you?

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/post/mitt-romney-and-rnc-move-to-synchronize-efforts/2012/04/25/gIQA3qeYgT_blog.html

NK

DoT-- Raz uses a database of likely voters. You'll see Gallup's more volatile 'registered voter' results trend towards Raz during the summer/fall, as Gallup starts refining their respondents towards more likely voters. That has been the way those polls have behaved since 2004.

Tom Maguire

Our reading comprehension moment du jour, courtesy of Bubu:

What a hateful, jejune take on Michelle Obama. Hates whites? Yeah right.

Hmm, did I say she hates whites, or focuses exclusively on white haters and ignores the hatred from her own side of the aisle? Roll the tape!

My guess is that her focus is on white haters.

I suppose that could be misunderstood. By a knucklehead.

NK

Bright Kids-- actually, my point was that milions of bright kids don't go to ole' Princeton, and Moose would not have gone there either but for her brother's basketball prowess. Moreover, millions of bright kids aren't academic stars -- and neither was Moose. I believe she's a bright woman, but so what?

Captain Hate

narc, that Diary of Daedalus is like homecoming weekend of the banned LGFers. The pony-tailed ukulele player must go out and photograph bike sprockets to get back to his happy place after reading that.

If I heard Laura Ingraham correctly, I think campaign jeenyus Steve Schmidt was on Morning Schmoe.

Chubby

OT

Study determines the 10 most relaxing tunes: LUN

(which makes me wonder if righties and lefties would find the same tunes relaxing.)

1. Marconi Union - Weightless
2. Airstream - Electra
3. DJ Shah - Mellomaniac (Chill Out Mix)
4. Enya - Watermark
5. Coldplay - Strawberry Swing
6. Barcelona - Please Don't Go
7. All Saints - Pure Shores
8. Adele - Someone Like You
9. Mozart - Canzonetta Sull'aria
10. Cafe Del Mar - We Can Fly

Ignatz


Excellent article at AmSpec by Eric Peters
on EDRs [event data recorders] being mandated for all cars by 2015 through which Big Brother will be able to monitor and if it so chooses control just about every aspect of our driving.

narciso


Facts just get in the way of template, like East ASia and Oceania


http://www.miamiherald.com/2012/04/24/2765903/trayvons-image-was-irrelevant.html#moreb

BB Key

I do not believe and have not believed this student loan story Mooch and BO have been peddling since 2008.
Yesterday we got new details : 1992 their combined student loan debt was $120K and they did not "pay it off" until 2004. The annual payments were more than thier condo mortgage.
Any body with student loan expierence believe this adds up ?

Chubby

tom, if bubu didn't have strawmen populating his world, his world's population would be close to zero.

narciso

Yes. Dr. Evil's beedy little eyes, were present on Morning Joke,

Tom Maguire
Is there anything better than shutting out the Yankees?

Nobody knows the trouble I've seen.

Danube of Thought

More mustice for Trayvon:

"Police have yet to charge a black motorist who shot dead a mentally disabled and unarmed 'white Hispanic,' Daniel Adkins, in a Taco Bell parking lot near Phoenix earlier this month. The two reportedly exchanged words before the shooting that occurred, according to some accounts, after the motorist almost ran over Adkins who then banged his fist on the car's windshield. The April 3 shooting by the 22-year-old black man -- whom police in suburban Laveen have yet to identify -- has gotten little if any coverage by the national media. Nor has President Obama weighed in on the case"

Ignatz

--Study determines the 10 most relaxing tunes.--

No wonder I'm so damn tense and irritable; I've only heard #9.
Anarchy in the UK must have just missed the top ten.

jimmyk

You'll see Gallup's more volatile 'registered voter' results trend towards Raz during the summer/fall, as Gallup starts refining their respondents towards more likely voters.

So why does Intrade still have Barry at a 60% likelihood of being reelected? Should we be shorting this like it's the housing market in 2007?

Danube of Thought

I'm aware of the adult/registered/likely voter phenomenon. What I find puzzling is that Raz's LV's poll about the same as adults/RV's on overall approval, but sharply different on matchups.

Rob Crawford

Hates whites? Yeah right.

Never looked into her thesis, have you?

narciso

So Rick, if I read that right, that's less than five grams

NK

JimmyR-- as you know, in 2007 the vast majority of the money was on the wrong side of the MBS trades. 2 things-- who's gambling on In-Trade right now? and how did that conventional wisdom work out in 2007?

NK

RobC-- could you make sense of that thesis? OK clearly seeing the world through a racial lense, and a bitter young woman. That's obvious enough. hatred? who knows...

Captain Hate

Yes. Dr. Evil's beedy little eyes, were present on Morning Joke,

I just heard a clip where he's advising Willard to go the full McRINO. What could go wrong?

Rick Ballard

"if I read that right, that's less than five grams"

Narciso,

That's ungoodthought. 4000 is 800 times more than 5. Practice goodthought about where to store all the chocolate that you will soon have.

Chubby

who is Dr. Evil?

NK

DoT- keep watching Gallup and Raz daily tracking, those are the 2 best sources of voter info available right now. If 2004, 2006, 2008 and 2010 are any indication they should starting trending together by October.

jimmyk

Sheesh, I started counting the misstatements of fact in Narciso's 10:01 link, beginning with the opening sentence, but quickly ran out of fingers and toes. How does that get into a major newspaper?

Threadkiller

I wonder if the murder of Donald Young, the gay choir director at TUCC, was ever solved.

narciso

Schmidt, because he looks like Myers parody villain, and because he is.

Captain Hate

Dr Evil == Steve Schmidt

jimmyk

who's gambling on In-Trade right now?

I would speculate it could be hedging (people looking for a payoff in the event the wealth-destroyer gets reelected), though technically I think it's illegal for Americans to gamble on Intrade. So my alternative theory is that it's clueless Europeans like Dublin Dave (who, to comment on the discussion the earlier thread, I've noticed uses UK-style English like "neighbour").

Ignatz

--hatred? who knows...--

NK,
It's always good idea to be charitable, but never through rose colored glasses.
Neither Michelle nor Barry is a person of the moderate liberal persuasion. They are both leftists and at some level all leftists are motivate by hatred. It may not be a personal hatred [although it often is] but it is nonetheless a real hatred of their enemies opponents whether by class, race, income or name any other of the insane prejudices of the left.
That hatred is the genesis of her "For the first time in my adult life, I am proud of my country" quote.

NK

jimmyK-- people here are either astonished or irate that I suggest that GZ's defense has to include an endgame possibility of a plea. What if there were a jury of 12 Fabiolas? how would you like the chances of a complete not guilty with a jury like that? It's a risk that GZ has to consider.

DebinNC

How does that get into a major newspaper?

It's an opinion piece. Like so many others, it describes Trayvon as "an unarmed young man" and avoids any mention of GZ's predicament at the time of the shot, the grass stains on the back of his shirt, or the injuries he sustained via the defenseless youth.

Ignatz

--it's clueless Europeans like Dublin Dave (who, to comment on the discussion the earlier thread, I've noticed uses UK-style English like "neighbour")--

Well if he actually is an Irishman from the real Dublin then that explains his posts; he's always drunk.

cboldt

-- So why does Intrade still have Barry at a 60% likelihood of being reelected? --


More than half of the voters are socialist, communist, or recipients of government largess. When the leeches outnumber the producers, and the leeches get a vote, the leeches get the public offices.

Rick Ballard

jimmyk,

Take a look at this Gallup Newspeak headline with the truth in the subhead - Remains below the averages of presidents who were re-elected

He's also below the averages of Presidents who were ejected from the Oval Office except for G.H.W. Bush. Gallup elides noting that he's below Johnson and Ford due to Johnson's towel toss and Ford being an 'unelected' incumbent - that's just the magic of propaganda as written by Gallup.

Obama's chance of victory is roughly the same as Friday's GDP release showing a 5% pop in Q1.

Jack is Back!

Finally, a well dressed Wal-Mart shopper:)

AliceH

That's ungoodthought

I see usages like "three times less" and "increasing decline" all the time, and it always stops me short while I decouple and recode (1/3 of, increasing rate of...). I had always suspected it was done on purpose to obscure meaning - but maybe I'm over-ungoodthinking it.

NK

Ig-- I guess it comes down to where you draw the line between bitter and hatred. To me hatred is a very high bar -- a relentless, consuming violent emotion that dehumanizes both sides. Think Belfast catholics and protestants in the 1960s-1970s, or Beirut 1970s. So I don't see that level of emotion in Bam and Moose. Bitter, resentful -- obviously. But if you define hate more pedestrian than I do, sure they 'hate'.

NK

RickB-- will there be a 4Q 2011 GDP adjustment this Friday?

narciso

Just remember Big Brother never gave that speech, and Comrade Ogilvy was never at the Malabar front, and was an unperson, now what were we talking about.

Meanwhile as my LUN indicates, 'May the Fates
be in your favor'

jimmyk

Deb, selective presentation of facts is one thing, but misstatements like Zimmerman "pursued Trayvon against police advice" or assertions with no basis in evidence like "the confrontation Zimmerman provoked" are another.

Clarice

PJ Media is awarding a Duranty prize for the most mendacious reportage. Start thinking and enter your favorite candidate.

Dave (in MA)

Cripes, Bunny. Reading comprehension much?

jimmyk

More than half of the voters are socialist, communist, or recipients of government largess.

Then explain Obama trailing Romney by 5 at Raz. It's the juxtaposition of Intrade's 60% probability and Obama's unpopularity that I'm trying to figure out. I agree with Rick that Barry will get sent packing, but my track record on political predictions is not great. In 2008 I'm pretty sure Intrade tracked the polls.

DebinNC

The GZ pursued/disobeyed/confronted non-facts are in the affidavit, so I guess we can't blame the msm when they parrot the state's sworn "truths".

jimmyk

NK, I believe no adjustment of 2011Q4, just the first estimate of 2012Q1. There will be more adjustments of the past three years coming this summer, which should be interesting.

Porchlight

Intrade is unreliable IMO since it is only a reflection of people's opinions about what will happen, not an actual crystal ball. I believe it had Scott Brown losing right up until he won, although there might have been a swing at the last minute.

My guess is that the 60% is due mostly to Obama's incumbent status providing an advantage. I'd actually expect it to be much higher if people really thought he had a strong chance of winning. Check again in October and it might have more predictive value.

narciso

It all comes from Crump's handouts, just as with the Levick Groups insistence on those 'innocent Gitmo shepherds' up until they blow
themselves up at barracks in Mosul, and even
after.

Danube of Thought

At some point before the election--I think around Labor Day--Gallup switches to Likely Voters.

donald

Last night, I talked with my mom. She is a very pragmatic person and looks at pretty much everything with a jaundiced eye. I was horrified when she started in with the Trayvon talking points. When I told her that nothing she was saying was true and that George Zimmerman ain't the one who's going to jail when this is all over, she and I'll be polite here because she's my mom and I love her unconditionally...pooh pooh'ed me.

Too much Star magazine. Does Star magazine still exist?

Porchlight

I believe I saw it in the grocery line a week or so ago, donald.

Due to the MSM's coverage, even conservatives of my acquaintance who aren't paying close attention think Z "must be guilty of something." Even our fabled host said something similar when he first brought up the subject IIRC.

We can't even blame it on Star magazine when the big outlets are pushing the same BS.

Extraneus

It's the juxtaposition of Intrade's 60% probability and Obama's unpopularity that I'm trying to figure out.

There are even more socialists, communists and recipients of government largesse outside the country? (I like your theory that it's predominantly foreigners who bet on Intrade.)

jimmyk

Donald, it sounds like she's relying on the MSM. Star magazine is probably much more reliable. Remember which publication broke the Edwards-Rielle story?

AliceH

NK: I do agree with this: "...GZ's defense has to include an endgame possibility of a plea."

However, I object to your previous statements such as this: "[GZ] just can't take that risk. if no Immunity, he'l have to quietly plead to a much reduced charge, minimum sentence possible and no Fed charges, IMO."

If you can see there is more than semantical difference between those two comments, then we're getting somewhere (even if you don't agree that it's compelling).

rse

NK-I suspect mo went to princeton bitter but the combo of so many far more able and academic kids, an assumed correlation in her mind with skin color because we have seen numerous signs of superficial analysis, plus the princeton dining club culture sent her right into poor hate.

I have talked to well-adjusted very bright kids and so many have a problem with the money to burn aspect of a significant percentage of the kids who attend there.

Plus her majors there would have played into that anger at race and class and aptitude. If she was not a confirmed Mer going on, she was coming out whether she knew it or not. The theorists in those majors brag about all the marxist thought and analysis that permeates without any need to use M word.

Literally bragging about training to think as Marxists without ever having to mention Karl at all.

Rick-if you are around, please give me your informed guess of world pop around 2050 given current trends.

Osawattamie Brown

Can I get a YEAH!

NK

DoT-- I don't know if Gallup starts calling its polls "likely voters," but by October of election years,they describe their respondents as being likely voters.

Rick Ballard

NK,

The quarterly advanced estimate and revisions are announced in the last week of each month subsequent to the close of the quarter. The third revision to Q4 was announced on March 29th. Friday's announcement will be the Q1 advanced.

AFAICT, the quarterly GDP announcements are trailing indicators of political sentiment. They reflect the experiential knowledge imbued in the political favorability numbers rather than forecasting future sentiment.

NK

RickB-- the reason I ask about GDP revisions, is the increased cost of oil imports since Q4 was first announced. Increased oil costs have deteriorated Current Account imbalances. That deteriorating Current Account must reduce GDP, No?

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