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September 26, 2012

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narciso

LOL, Rush was reading that bit, earlier.

Jack is Back!

Another thing about Boortz is he is now one of the people yelling at Romney and his team to get mean, get more troops on the ground, start talking about the economy and what you are going to do, etc. He always has that hand-wringer and fair weather DC gnome Jamie Dupree on with his wishy-washy analysis and non-commital "it could go either way" conclusions which doesn't help.

What gets me is Boortz is always complaining about the negative polls and reports being used to suppress the GOP vote and then he goes and harps on Romney as if that isn't some way just as suppressing.

SWarren

Detroit radio reporting police are digging up a yard on the east side believing might be body of Jimmy Hoffa buried there based on 'credible' tip.

Captain Hate

Ok you're ahead of me on the research, narc. I just want Reese to resume kicking ass, Zoey to flash some leg (I should've been torching cigs since that last episode at a Janet-worthy rate), see how Carter and Fusco work together and find what happens when his former partner reappears. I DON'T ASK FOR MUCH!!!

Cecil Turner

That's funny, when watchng most SciFi movies, I usually come away thinking the opposite: like a squadron of fighters would make mincemeat out of those slow idiots flying down the streets (okay, collateral damage might be a bit, well . . . extreme). But by far the most egregious example is that hangar shootout in Star Wars. In the first place, the stormtroopers are clunking around in that ridiculous armor (that never actually seems to stop a round), in the second, they're all shooting at each other at amusement park range . . . and missing. Give me an M-60 with a couple belts of ammo, and I could take out either (or both) sides in short order. A company of Marines with organic arms smuggled aboard could fix the whole Empire right there.

A modern tank shoots a 40mm dart at about twice the speed of a rifle bullet (6000+ fps), and because of the tracer, you can see it go downrange. It's a heckuva lot more visually impressive than most supposedly advanced laser or blaster shots at the movies. Here's a few shooting what appear to be some sort of practice round at the range . . . not near the visual signature of a warshot, but still pretty cool.

Ranger

You know, I think you take that "Obama gave me a phone" clip, put it together with Romney's 47% comment, and you've got a pretty good campaign comercial.

narciso

Ditto, it took a while to figure out, Reese is halfway between Michael Weston and Jack Bauer, a spec ops man, assigned to the paramilitary division

Jim Ryan

might be body of Jimmy Hoffa

This comes as a shock to me, since I knew Hoffa and all. Yeah, that's right I knew 'im.

GRAMP: This is my grandson, Jimmy, Jimmy.

ME AT 5 YEARS OLD: Hullo.

HOFFA: Nice to meet you, Jimmy. Would you like my autograph?

ME AT 5 YEARS OLD: Not particularly.

GRAMP/HOFFA: LOL.

narciso

Well that's true, CT, but then again, much like that Cops style spoof 'Troops' they aren't used to people firing back.

narciso

What a coincidence, the Teamsters local boss, most often mentioned, was from the town I grew up in.

rse

JIB-I cringe and change the channel whenever Dupree comes on. His commentary always amounts to "I still want the invites to the cool parties." DuPree definitely reflects the Cox influence of the flagship.

Of course I rarely listen except in carpool runs.

There is definitely an all hands on deck assault going on in ed world that has accelerated what should be and was designed to be a slower rollout. To make grasping the real change harder. I would argue that frenzy reveals that the internal polls show a race than is not over at all. At least not against RR.

The only area slowing down is Natl Academy of Sciences and I suspect that has to do with summer and the lag time to get out reports.

Ranger

I think this one is going to leave a mark too:

New Romney ad hits Obama on coal, China

I exspect to see that one running in PA and OH. Another reason why Obama may be in trouble in Illinois, is that a big chunk of Central Illinois has coal mines. Illinois coal is soft, brown coal, which means it is the dirtiest there is. Dems keep saying they are going to support coal miners by funding "clean coal." Obama's out-right war on coal is not helping him in the downstate counties.

Captain Hate

People in the coal counties of Ohio already hate the JEF. They never bought his clean coal garbage four years ago.

narciso

Well last time, they had Brunner tipping the scales, this time you have Vorstedt, yes I know his real name, however the voter ID is under review

Jim Ryan

More on the profit's dead poets society.

Jim Ryan

narc, I was from St. Louis. Met Hoffa at the airport.

Jim Ryan

My grandfather had an advertising agency. He knew Hoffa via the St. Louis business community.

Janet

Dreams from my Real Father was linked on FB. I watched the first half & then the videos were taken down. Not sure what's up with that.
One interesting thing was the Alinsky/Al Capone ties.
Lots of the Dem radical groups remind me of the mob. Blackmailing for protection. All the diversity crap, "green" depts., ...
Rainbow/PUSH always had that feel....& now the radical gay groups & enviro. groups have joined in.

Rob Crawford
One interesting thing was the Alinsky/Al Capone ties. Lots of the Dem radical groups remind me of the mob. Blackmailing for protection. All the diversity crap, "green" depts., ... Rainbow/PUSH always had that feel....& now the radical gay groups & enviro. groups have joined in.

Think about Chicago politics -- how is it different than the mob?

Better press, that's how.

Captain Hate

Any of you guys listening to Netanyahu @ the UN? Tammy Bruce is airing it and I'm sure it's elsewhere.

Janet

This is just a short ad video about Stanley Ann doing porn. Ya think the MFM would be interested if they found out Barbara Bush had done porn? Or Romney's mom?

Sue

Capt'n,

I heard the first part of his speech. A speech that should have been given by Obama, IMO.

Ignatz Ratzkiwatzki

--based on 'credible' tip--

I hope the source wasn't Geraldo.
Oh wait, you said credible.

JM Hanes

DoT:

"A couple of months ago we had a failed president facing a challenge from a fine, decent and eminently well qualified challenger."

What I remember is a bruised and battered primary victor who could hardly say a word that didn't "confirm the worst fears of conservatives," and a president in full float mode, being credited with putting Al Qaeda on the path to destruction and restoring our status abroad.

"What I think we have learned is that great swathes of the electorate, however disappointed they are in Obama, simply do not want to replace him with Romney."

I think that's attributing to Obama & Romney something that's more accurately a function of political geography: We're a closely divided country of Democrats who will never vote for a Republican and vice versa, with an ever decreasing slice of independent/swing voters in between. What I'd say I've learned is that the polls have more to tell us about the depth of that divide than the probable outcome of this election.

1. As the number of truly independent voters atrophies, we seem to be closing in on margins of error which exceed the swing vote phenomenon being quantified. Every twitch in the polls generates another round of intense analysis, because twitches in the electorate matter as never before, and yet the noise to info ratio has never been worse.

2. Turnout is the great unknowable which now decides the most significant elections. Unfortunately, it is the one thing that no poll can confidently, let alone reliably, measure.

3. The starkness of the choice before us has finally illuminated just how starkly and deeply divided we are. That's why the horse race polls don't move much in response to circumstances, even when opinion polls on specific subjects suggests they should. We see ourselves as ABO, but the national reality is ABLiberal vs ABConservative.

It's been a virtual truism on the right that Americans are a conservative constituency at heart, who will respond en masse to a Republican candidate if he will just make a forceful, forthright case for conservative principles. I've always had doubts about that, but I have come to believe it is simply not true. Understanding that nearly half the country really is on the other side of the divide is incredibly consequential when it comes to both elections and governance.

GMAX

The Weekly Standard, you wont be getting this from the mainstream press:

For all of the wishful thinking in the mainstream press about President Obama’s positioning 40 days before this election, Obama’s approval rating looks remarkably similar to what it was on this date in 2010 — shortly before his party lost a historic 63 House seats and 6 Senate seats. On September 27, 2010 — exactly two years ago — Rasmussen Reports showed Obama’s net approval rating among likely voters to be minus-3 percentage points (with 48 percent approving and 51 percent disapproving). Among those who felt “strongly,” Obama’s net approval rating was minus-14 points (with 27 percent “strongly” approving and 41 percent “strongly” disapproving). tws-F-obama smile.07

Today, Rasmussen Reports shows Obama’s net approval rating among likely voters to be minus-3 points (with 48 percent approving and 51 percent disapproving). Among those who feel “strongly,” Obama’s net approval rating is minus-14 points (with 28 percent “strongly” approving and 42 percent “strongly” disapproving). So, two years after the biggest Republican gains in the House since before World War II, Americans remain every bit as unimpressed with the way Obama is handling his job as president as they were then.

Old Lurker

JMH: "Understanding that nearly half the country really is on the other side of the divide is incredibly consequential when it comes to both elections and governance."

And when the other side can draw on unlimited reinforcements from south of the border and fill in the holes with mythical voters and hanging chads, how long it can stay 50/50 is debatable.

centralcal

BiBi's bomb chart:

Ari Fleischer ‏@AriFleischer

Bibi's use of that chart was one of the most effective, gripping, uses of a chart I've ever seen. Is the world listening??

sbw

Social Security - "Oh, he's got a plan. I just meant he doesn't yet have a plan plan. Is all's I was saying."

A secret plan to end the war worked for Nixon.

Bill in AZ sez it's time for Obama/Holder murder trial in Mexico

He must have folded the chart where Profit Mohammed's head is.

Jim Ryan

Understanding that nearly half the country really is on the other side of the divide is incredibly consequential when it comes to both elections and governance.

And it makes clear the tasks ahead should we get a conservative government in for 2013-2016. Such a government will have to get results: turn the economy around quickly and turn the car away from the fiscal brick wall. Very difficult. Next, these achievements will have to be perceived by the weakly liberal as a convincing case for conservative fiscal and economic policy in comparison to liberalism's failures. Difficult. Next, this will have to be enough to persuade them to vote conservative in 2014 and 2016. Difficult. Without achieving all three of these, a 2012 Romney win and GOP takeover of the Senate will not matter at all. They will merely forestall the inevitable economic collapse.

Have a nice day.

narciso

There 'really is no time' for half measures, Cameron and Rajoy are exhibits on that score,
Sarkozy about 40/60 on the latter. Now the media will be caterwailling, all the way, like Glenn Reynold's 'puppy blender',

Captain Hate

Calypso Louie breaks out greatest hits for suckup to Iranian Smurf for welfare funding to replace Libyan dictator who wasn't available for comment: http://weaselzippers.us/2012/09/27/farrakhan-lewinski-controversy-was-zionists-conspiracy-to-unseat-clinton/

Ignatz Ratzkiwatzki

--It's been a virtual truism on the right that Americans are a conservative constituency at heart, who will respond en masse to a Republican candidate if he will just make a forceful, forthright case for conservative principles. I've always had doubts about that, but I have come to believe it is simply not true.--

Unless you came to believe it is simply not true when Reagan was running, seems to me you've made your mind up in the absence of anyone actually making a forceful, forthright case for conservative principles.
Moreover the problem is even when they have the opportunity Republicans refuse to govern conservatively.

The only way the dependent near majority will ever be significantly reduced is if and when a party in power actually governs, not just runs on limited government principles and reduces the citizens' dependency rather than merely slowing the growth of the welfare state.

Jim Ryan

A secret plan to end the war worked for Nixon.

My plan? Yes. Yes, my plan.

narciso

It's become a python sketch for the James Spader wannabe, although he does suggest Rob Lowe in his passive aggressive phase;

http://weaselzippers.us/2012/09/27/carney-we-didnt-lie-about-libya-we-just-said-things-that-werent-true/

Captain Hate

Yes narc, I think James Spader comes closer than Eric Stoltz. Btw I went to Tepid Gas looking for the Black Scientologist story but found this instead: http://hotair.com/archives/2012/09/27/wont-back-down-stars-undaunted-in-face-of-teachers-union-protest-of-school-choice-movie/

From trailers on tv I was wondering if this was what it seems to be.

narciso

OT, this doesn't seem right;


http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-504083_162-57521308-504083/johnny-lewis-sons-of-anarchy-tv-show-actor-allegedly-kills-landlady-then-dies-in-fall/?tag=socsh

narciso

From this description, it seems to have made the right people, verklempt;


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Won%27t_Back_Down_%28film%29

centralcal

Non-partisan D.C. Board of Elections and Ethics posts a Tweet against Scott Brown!!!!!

All accidental of course. Must have been hacked. Golly gee whiz we just don't know how this happened.

Clarice

Some slow night I'll tell you my Jimmy Hoffa body story.

Jane, Thompson ia a blogger whose defense of Warren had been broadly cited previously and who know has come to Jesus on here practicing in Mass without a license.

narciso

This is the story, the film is roughly based on;


http://www.dailynews.com/ci_14401934

Clarice

*now has come*


Ramirez scores again https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=199320023534517&set=a.133361476797039.26402.133352176797969&type=1&ref=nf

daddy

Watching Christiane Amonpour on CNN International interview the Tunisian President.

Her euphemism for the Islamic-wide 9/11 riots she calls "this event."

"this event", "bump in the road", whatever.

"How are you dealing with "this event " in Tunisia.

That's all I needed to watch.

Dave (in MA)

Durable goods orders down 13.2%, worst since recession started; transportation equipment orders fell 34.9%; household avg. income down by 8.2% under Obama; 55% of small business owners say they would not start a company under current conditions and blame Obama; but Seamus.

jimmyk

1. As the number of truly independent voters atrophies....

2. Turnout is the great unknowable which now decides the most significant elections.

JMH, I view these as somewhat contradictory. I'm not sure what the evidence is for the first statement, but I would view the masses of people who decide whether to turn out or not as effectively independent, so that we are still in the 40-20-40 world. The swings between 2004, 2006 and 2008, and then 2010 suggest that there is that middle. Whether that comes from people who always vote, but switch from D to R, or from two groups that only vote one way, but may or may not bother voting, doesn't make much difference.

narciso

Here's a little background, on the party elders:


On 13 November 2011, the party's general secretary Hamadi Jebali held a joint rally in Sousse together with a parliamentary deputy of the Palestinian Hamas party. In a tone sharply in contrast to official statements of the party, Jebali referred to the occasion as "a divine moment in a new state, and in, hopefully, a 6th caliphate," and that "the liberation of Tunisia will, God willing, bring about the liberation of Jerusalem."[35] When Hamas leadership arrived for a visit to Tunisia, people at the airport were heard shouting "Kill the Jews." Tunisian Jews said Ennhada leadership was slow to condemn the shouting.[36]

daddy

Hit,

VIMH is banned in China.

Congratulations!

bio mom

In accordance with usual practice, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) is announcing the preliminary estimate of the upcoming annual benchmark revision to the establishment survey employment series. The final benchmark revision will be issued on February 1, 2013, with the publication of the January 2013 Employment Situation news release.

What happens with this readjustment today? Does it not apply until next year or will they stick it into the current stats to move that unemployment rate down to 7.9% to help their master?

bio mom

That readjustment thus far would add about 37,000 more jobs to the yearly total.

Neo

The Thomas More Law Center announced today that it is representing U.S. Army Lieutenant Colonel Matthew Dooley, a 1994 Graduate of the U. S. Military Academy at West Point. In April 2012, LTC Dooley, a highly decorated combat veteran, was publicly condemned by General Martin Dempsey, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, and relieved of his teaching assignment because of the negative way Islam was portrayed in an elective course entitled, Perspectives on Islam and Islamic Radicalism.

narciso

He's actually smarter than Madmss. Amanpour;

On 3 May 2012, Nessma TV owner Nabil Karoui and two others were convicted of "blasphemy" and "disturbing public order." The charges stemmed from the network's decision to broadcast a dubbed version of the 2007 Franco-Iranian film Persepolis, which includes several visual depictions of God. Karoui was fined 2,400 dinars for the broadcast, while the station's programming director and the president of the women's organization which provided dubbing for the film were fined 1,200 dinars.[13] Responding to the verdict, Marzouki stated to members of the press in the presidential palace in Tunis, "I think this verdict is bad for the image of Tunisia. Now people in the rest of the world will only be talking about this when they talk about Tunisia."[14]

But that goes without saying doesn't it;

Cecil Turner

VIMH is banned in China.

Nice!

Ignatz Ratzkiwatzki

--VIMH is banned in China--

Hmmm, I wonder if any of the voices are Chinese, if not, it raises the question of whether China is banned in VIMH.

Clarice

Dempsey's a real piece of work, isn't he?

Clarice

Until recently Tunisia was considered a rather moderate place and a site of a great deal of foreign tourism esp on the coast.

narciso

As Ackerman would say, "I work here is done'


http://www.wired.com/dangerroom/2012/06/failure-oversight-war-islam/

'Surprising' there are no complete quotes in this account;

narciso

There is some elaboration in the earlier linked pieces, but what they really recoil from is the textual support for jihad.

Of course, the contrast is in, Hasan being promoted
after a similar powerpoint, and Dooley well you see
the result.

narciso

and of course the ISNA lecturer at Ft. Hood, now with the Syrian rebels


http://www.wired.com/dangerroom/2012/05/total-war-islam/?pid=1200

hit and run

daddy:
VIMH is banned in China.

Thanks for the report, daddy.

Roughly 190 countries to go.

Interestingly, my stats page says I've gotten 4 views from China today and 17 this week. I wonder if it's counting a page view even when you try to access it and get the banned message - maybe those 4 are from you.

PD Shaw

I'm not sure what precedent the cross-burning case relates to, but in R.A.V. v. City of St. Paul (1992), the SCOTUS unanimously dismissed a prosecution against kids burning a cross in front of a black family’s home. The majority ruled you can't have a law that just criminalizes "fighting words" against specific groups (blacks and jews). The law was too narrow. The minority concluded the law was overbroad because it criminalized the use of cross-burnings when it was not used as "fighting words," such as at a rally among supporters.

rse

jimmyk-can you think of any reason someone would openly express admiration for kondratiev's long wave theory of capitalism unless they were also either Marxist in orientation or such a central planer they might as well be?

They did not mention Kondratiev's name but the long wave view of economics and I recognized it. Making me possibly eligible for nerd of the afternoon in the carpool line award.

Annoying Old Guy

"Obama's out-right war on coal is not helping him in the downstate [Illinois] counties."

Doesn't mattter, Quinn won the state governorship by taking four counties out of 102.

Melinda Romanoff

rse-

We followed that wave all the time, on the floor. Always trying to figure out where we fit in a comparable wave cycle.

Jack is Back!

daddy,

Importantly is my website banned in China? I have had no orders for antique golf clubs, tennis rackets or cricket bats from there. So, I am suspicious.

/Sending protest to my old golf partner Ron Kirk (US Trade Rep)

jimmyk

rse: Not necessarily Marxist, as Melinda's answer suggests. But it's certainly not "mainstream," in part because there's not a lot of data and not much of compelling theory. How can you say much about 50-year-cycles from maybe a couple hundred years (if that) of data?

rse

Melinda-it is the systems dynamics work out of MIT. Sloan computer modelling.

Ignatz Ratzkiwatzki

Cool site with some nice OT subjects;
New comet next Dec possibly brightest visitor to the solar system in last century.

Jack is Back!

rse,

Sometimes you have to sympathize with the school administrator and teachers.

Kid from Deland Tries to Set world Record for Mohawk and gets Kick out.

Me? I am as jealous as hell:)

BTW, Deland is the home of Stetson University, founded by you know who. I wonder if he ever made a 150 gallon hat for that kid?

Ignatz Ratzkiwatzki

What a strange world, JiB.
Had never heard of Deland, Florida in my life until this morning when I spotted a certain Dan Wesson revolver I've been looking for. Just addressed and mailed the envelope to the place about two hours ago.
I read your comment and started saying to myself...Deland, Deland, now where have I heard that before? Oh yeah!

daddy

"Bill Kristol sits atop the mountain his father built, smugly surveying the political scene below."

Bill Kristol didn't build that!

daddy

"...why would one think things have changed in 4,000 years."

Because , as Goethe told us "He who cannot draw on 3,000 years of human history is living from hand-to-mouth,” and these guys are living from hand to mouth.

or Santayana etc...

daddy

JiB,

Your site is approved by the Chinese censors.

Apparently some JOMer's are more equal than others:)

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Wilson/Plame