I am finding this NY Times Election Night feature to be VERY cool. They update their state by state forecasts as returns come in, then update the probabilities of each candidate winning specific states and the overall election. Same features for House and Senate races and overall control.
Right now the non-arrival of the Hillary Juggernaut has led to her odds of victory dropping from the high 80's to, hmm, not to go crazy, but 49%. And yes, they have Hillary winning the national popular vote by 2.7%.
I think we have reached freak-out time at various Dem election night parties. For myself, I was watching Fox News for the defeatism, denial and despair. Now I have to switch to MSNBC to get that "live from my window ledge" coverage.
LEST YOU ASK: Updated election betting market odds here (Hillary 54%).
CNBC tracks financial futures markets here. The S&P 500 is getting crushed, down 67; Dow down 454.
WAITING FOR PEAK PANIC: The Times needle now points to 58% for Trump, with Hillary still winning the popular vote.
OFFICIALLY TOO CLOSE TO CALL, BUT... I don't have any sense of the track record of the NY Times modelers, but... they are giving Trump a better than 95% chance of winning in FL and OH.
Clinton exceeds 95% in VA. Let's see how these pan out.
HOUSE AND SENATE: Still with the Times at 10:34PM, the Republicans have the House and Senate in virtual lockdown at 95%+. That does include the high likelihood of Pence as the VP tie-breaker.