JustOneMinute

Is There A Doctor In The House?

I suppose there is other news but long time commenter DrJ has passed away.

His last comment is oddly on-topic:

Fianl thoght for this evening:

Glücklich ist, wer vergisst, was doch nicht zu ändern ist.


Roughly, Happy is he who forgets what he cannot change.

We're happy to have known him these many years. Focus on the good times.

And lest you wonder, TypePad's first DrJ sighting was back in 2005. Bankruptcy reform!

Two More Days

Here we go again.

Republicans United!

Joe Biden's First Day agenda includes a proposal for comprehensive immigration reform. Just as Dems divide over the Green New Deal and Medicare For All but unite in loathing Trump, the fractured Republican Party will come together to derail the latest run at immigration reform.

In a nightmare scenario the moderate Dems in the Senate (Sinema, Manchin) are so committed to giving Biden this win that they vote to change the Senate rules and eliminate the filibuster. More likely, immigration again goes nowhere.

Biden's website on immigration is here; he links to a 2013 CBO study assessing that attempt at reform. Their summary: more workers leads to a larger economy, but smaller on a Per Capita basis; until skills and jobs alignn, unemployment rises (a bit) and wages fall (a bit). The return on capital rises, however, since it is slightly scarcer relative to labor.

So for Chamber of Commerce Republicans its all winning - more customers, cheaper workers, higher return on capital.

For Democrats, more unskilled workers plus the Biden Fantasy Minimum Wage of $15 should boost unemployment but (more importantly!) boost the need for the sort of compassionate safety net Democrats live to provide. More winning!

And yes, I'm already getting sick of all the winning.

From CBO on the 2013 immigration bill:

 

Some Men Just Want To Watch The World Burn

The Wapo:

Six hours of paralysis: Inside Trump’s failure to act after a mob stormed the Capitol

Hiding from the rioters in a secret location away from the Capitol, House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.) appealed to Jared Kushner, President Trump’s son-in-law and senior adviser. Sen. Lindsey O. Graham (R-S.C.) phoned Ivanka Trump, the president’s daughter.

And Kellyanne Conway, a longtime Trump confidante and former White House senior adviser, called an aide who she knew was standing at the president’s side.

But as senators and House members trapped inside the U.S. Capitol on Wednesday begged for immediate help during the siege, they struggled to get through to the president, who — safely ensconced in the West Wing — was too busy watching fiery TV images of the crisis unfolding around them to act or even bother to hear their pleas.

“He was hard to reach, and you know why? Because it was live TV,” said one close Trump adviser. “If it’s TiVo, he just hits pause and takes the calls. If it’s live TV, he watches it, and he was just watching it all unfold.”

Leadership that's shirking.

 

Jim Geraghty On Impeachment

Strong stuff from Jim Geraghty.

Away We Go Again

Have at it.

Lots Going On

Its a beautiful day outside.

That Went Well

Trump and a small group of his supporters disgrace themselves and embarrass this country.

I'd guess this was Mitch McConnell's Longest Day but also his Finest Hour. It was also a day that will live in infamy but we need to get other wars into the mix.

In other news, divided Republicans managed to lose both Georgia Senate seats. When the dust settles it will be Senate Majority Leader Schumer.

All in all, a memorably dreadful day for Team Red. Figuring out how to end this madness and merge the timelines so we have one nation sharing one reality will be a monumental long term project.

On To Georgia!

The polls have closed and the games have begun.

President Trump On Line One...

Oh, yeah, Trump got on the horn with the GA Secretary of State to discuss revisions to the already certified GA vote totals.

Just another "perfect" phone call.

"Can You Please Get A Grip?"

This is nuts:

At least 12 GOP senators to challenge Biden's win

The group of Republicans insisted their effort wasn’t an attempt to thwart Biden or overturn the election.

They want an "emergency audit" because state government don't know how to count and Trump's lawyers failed to release the Krakpot, or something.

 

This is playing with fire. In four or eight years when the Reps win the Electoral College (again) and the Dems win the popular vote (again) and AOC is screaming that some of the swing state results should be tossed because "the billionaires" corrupted the result, Republicans will regret this performance art. However it should help Hawley and Cruz with their 2024 Presidential aspirations, so first things first.

Happier New Year!

It begins!

From Smoot-Hawley To Josh Hawley

Sen. Josh Hawley commits to objecting to accepting Joe Biden as the next President. This will force a floor debate and a vote Biden will win but it lets Hawley position himself for 2024 as the Trumpiest candidate not named Trump.

Sen. Sasse of the Never Trump "Come home to reality" wing of the party (Wing?!? More like a stray crumpled feather...) lays out his concerns with this sort of grandstanding.

The Nashville Bomber Was A Known Wolf?

Good grief.

Girlfriend warned Nashville police Anthony Warner was building bomb a year ago, report shows

NASHVILLE — Sixteen months before Anthony Quinn Warner's RV exploded in downtown Nashville on Christmas morning, officers visited his home in Antioch after his girlfriend reported that he was making bombs in the vehicle, according to documents obtained by The Tennessean.

...

No actions appear to have been taken to stop Warner, a slender 5-foot-8, 135-pound man who died in the explosion, which injured three others.

On Aug. 21, 2019, the girlfriend told Nashville police that Warner "was building bombs in the RV trailer at his residence," the MNPD report states. Nashville police then forwarded the information to the FBI.

Officers were called to the home of Warner's girlfriend, roughly a mile and a half from Warner, who lived at 115 Bakertown Road.

Police were called by the woman's attorney, Raymond Throckmorton III, who was concerned about comments she had made. When they arrived, they found her sitting on the porch with two unloaded guns nearby.

"She related that the guns belonged to a 'Tony Warner' and that she did not want them in the house any longer," MNPD spokesman Don Aaron said in a statement to The Tennessean.

While at the house, the woman told police about the bomb comments Warner had made.

Throckmorton, who served as the woman's attorney, told officers Warner "frequently talks about the military and bomb making," the document said.

Warner "knows what he is doing and is capable of making a bomb," the attorney said to the officers, according to the report.

In an interview Tuesday night, Throckmorton told The Tennessean he urged police at the time to look into the woman's claim. He said she feared for her safety, believing Warner may harm her.

According to the police report and Throckmorton, the woman was experiencing a mental health crisis at the time. Officers called their mobile crisis division, and after talking with the woman, she agreed to be transported by ambulance for a psychological evaluation, Aaron said.

Police then went to Warner's home, but he didn't answer the door after they knocked several times.

Officers saw his RV behind the house, but the vehicle was fenced off and police were unable to see inside of it, the report said. While there, police noted that there were "several security cameras and wires attached to a alarm sign on the front door."

No probable cause, nothing noteworthy in the FBI check, and nothing happened for over a year. I suppose the stats jockeys would like to avoid hindsight bias by checking how often the Nashville Police sent in other data base requests to the FBI that came back negative and nothing has happened (yet!). Might be common, and this was just bad luck. But sure, it looks slack.