Recent news reports suggest that Special Counsel Fitzgerald may be approaching the penultimate lap in the investigation into the Valerie Plame Wilson leak. Matt Drudge is blaring this AP story, but the real news is in the front-page coverage by the Washington Post.
A federal judge has held a Time magazine reporter in contempt of court for refusing to testify in an investigation of the leak of a CIA officer's identity, rejecting requests from two media organizations to quash federal grand jury subpoenas seeking information from the media.
...While NBC fought a subpoena issued May 21 and was included in the opinion, it avoided a contempt citation after Tim Russert, moderator of NBC's "Meet the Press," agreed to an interview over the weekend in which he answered a limited number of questions posed by special prosecutor Patrick J. Fitzgerald, NBC said in a statement.
Now, Russert has said previously that Ms. Plame's name was not disclosed to him. However, this next bit is the key, in terms of the timing of this case:
Lawyers involved in the case said it appears that Fitzgerald is now armed with a strong and unambiguous court ruling to demand the testimony of two journalists -- syndicated columnist Robert D. Novak, who first disclosed the CIA officer's name, and Washington Post reporter Walter Pincus, who has written that a Post reporter received information about her from a Bush administration official.
Pincus was served with a subpoena yesterday after Hogan's order was unsealed.
Ahh, instead of a cooperating defendant roll-up, we are seeing a judicial roll-up. Cool.
The subject of these conversations is Cheney's Chief of Staff, Scooter Libby. Folks who read only the AP story will hyper-ventilate that he is going down (OK, Full Disclosure - I picked him as a prime suspect a long time ago). However, the WaPo is fascinating on this point:
Fitzgerald has shown a continuing interest in Libby, witnesses have said, but it now appears that his reasons may be more complex than was first apparent. Libby has signed a waiver allowing reporters to tell the prosecutor whether he disclosed Plame's name to them. Prosecutors have e-mails and phone records showing his contacts with reporters, and witnesses have said they are interested in a story Cooper wrote last summer in which Libby was interviewed.
We take for granted that this is the Cooper story in question.
Ok, those are the highlights. Here's your soundbite - be cool on Libby - he's still a good choice, but this story doesn't prove it.
As to timing, the court order has an expedited schedule (p. 2) for the TIME appeals - three to four summertime weeks. The the Walter Pincus subpoena fight has just begun, and Novak's subpoena may or may not have been served (would the WaPo know?).
The opinion itself is here; this is the court's website, where we can await future developments.
MORE: CNN coverage of their TIME reporter's situation.
UPDATE: Why Walter Pincus, you ask? Good question. This NY Times story from last February describes (near bottom) the One x Two x Six investigation sparked by a WaPo story.
I sure thought this was the WaPo story in question, but the bylines are Allen and Priest; here is some WaPo follow-up from last October, this time with Pincus and Allen.
So, what news on subpoenas for Allen and Priest? I'm, like, derelict here. Unless Pincus was a source for the Allen/Priest story, or other evidence suggests that Novak and Pincus were original leakees...
UPDATE: Interesting - Walter Pincus had the June 12 story with Wilson as a source - the story the Senate Intel committee mocked. That struck me as deeply significant when I began this sentence...
OK, the fog has cleared - if Pincus had a bum story on June 12, the White House may have called him in July to set the record straight, and leaked the Plame-Wilson connection in the process. Hence, Pincus was a leak recipeint, even though he did not publish.
Time’s article (I write Time because Cooper is but one of the three authors) seems to be a fine piece of reporting that accurately portrays many events and utterances that the recent SSCI report verifies. I am struck by two points, one in Time’s reporting and one about when the report’s information was collected.
Time writes:
How did Wilson know about this classified report?
Time concludes a quote of Libby with this:
Cooper’s interview with Libby (if it was Cooper) seems to have come after Novak’s exposure of Plame; moreover it was for attribution. Why then is Fitzgerald interested in Cooper? Is Libby not the point?
Posted by: The Kid | August 10, 2004 at 07:51 AM
Shame on Cooper and other reporters for delaying the inevitable -- they will eventually testify or go to jail. In the mean time, traitors are in the White House, and the delaying actions of reporters and their lawyers may allow these traitorous crooks to be re-selected.
Posted by: rlm | August 10, 2004 at 10:03 AM
Are traitors in the White House? Or is that just Democrat spin? The thing is that it is possible that whoever leaked it, did so without knowing that Plame was covert. (And it is still unclear to me just what her vertness is or was.) It should be remembered that Wilson got a job that he obviously bungled, based on his wife's lobbying.
Plame's name was leaked as a possible explaination for how Wilson got the job. So was that a case of wistle blowing, nepotism uncovered with the unintended consequence of outing a covert operative? That is still the likely explaination.
Posted by: Ben | August 10, 2004 at 10:13 AM
Gee, rlm, didn't you get the memo? Such sentiments are "un-American" and even worse... "un-Pennsylvanian". Actually, I've been running into a bunch of these Moore-ian posters with three initial sigs... all lower case. I think it is a horde of 'bots on the Smarter Child model. Fairly convincing though.
Posted by: megapotamus | August 10, 2004 at 10:41 AM
Hmmm.
Or did Democrats out Plame in order to generate a specific scandal when nothing else was available?
Frankly I always thought it was a bit wierd that all of these liberal reporters suddenly couldn't tell the difference between "Niger" and "Africa". Especially since the latter is so much larger than the former.
So.... Was it all a put up job? No idea. But I've been thinking for awhile now that the reason this investigation has gone on so long is that the person, or persons, responsible are a lot more left then right.
Posted by: ed | August 10, 2004 at 10:50 AM
Hmmm, don't you think the TIMING IS SUSPICIOUS? Oops, only Democrats say things like that. Never mind... ;-)
BBB
Posted by: bbbeard | August 10, 2004 at 11:03 AM
was a crime commited?
was she an active covert agent? did the leaker knopw it?
one would think so - since the USAG is still pursing the case. but it seems to me that the facts show she was NOT an active cpovert agent, and therefore no crime was committed.
so why the supoenas?
i do not get it.
Posted by: daniel | August 10, 2004 at 11:13 AM
Look for a "September Surprise", engineered by the Democrats, in which the leaker is identified right at a key point in the RNC.
You heard it here first.
Oh wait, sorry, that's the way Dems think. Nevermind.
Posted by: Michael | August 10, 2004 at 11:29 AM
This story is very confusing, so I might be off base here...
But it suddenly occured to me -- What if there really was some significant wrongdoing here? And what if, were all truth known, it turns out the REAL wrongdoer(s) turned out to be people in, of all places, the PRESS! What if THEY were the ones who deliberately leaked this name, having gotten it from who knows where, or did similar conduct of a manner that they really don't want to be called on? What if it became patently obvious that this was one or two reporters desperate to smear the Bush admin with SOMETHING.... ANYTHING.....? What if THEY are the ones desperately clamming up to protect their own hides? What if such people are well aware, right now, the that if the above truth (assuming) DOES get out, it will be a catastrophe for the liberal media giants and mannah from heaven for Bush?
Might that explain both the administration's seeming confidence that they are reasonably clean here, paired with the absolute stone wall being put up by reporters over this?
Gots ta wonder.
Posted by: Andrew X | August 10, 2004 at 11:54 AM
Everybody knew Plame was CIA and Wilson is a proven liar, so what the hell difference does it make?
That's what I hear anyway, but I've been stranded in Cambodia since Kerry ran off and left me in '68, so I ain't sure.
Posted by: Chandler | August 10, 2004 at 11:58 AM
Maybe I'm doing a bit of wishful thinking here, but what if they are now investigating Wilson?
After all he claimed to know that hte signatures are forgeries before he was supposed to know (ie before it was general knowledge). He now claims that he was confused, but maybe that's a cover-up?
Is it possible that Valerie brought the papers home to show her husband? That would certainly be a violation of law.
That would explain why the investigation is "complex" and why only certain reporters -- ones who interviewed Wilson are being subpoenaed. So it is possible (although not likely) that the reason that there in confimation of the Novak subpoena is that one was not issued?
Anyway we always knew that the leaking of Plame's name was not the only fishy business going on (see Tom's posts and my posts from last year when this scandal broke). Could the investigation have shifted that way? Am I missing something? Did I get my timeline right?
Posted by: Counterrevolutionary (Ret) | August 10, 2004 at 01:08 PM
Answers for The Kid and misc tidbit for TM
1. How did Wilson know about this classified report?
Re-read your SSCI report pages 37-42. Note Amb. Owens-Kirkpatrick's three Niger/uranium cables [Wilson: "report"] last cable sent on 2/24/02. Note Wilson arrives in Niger on 2/26/02 and then meets with Owens-Kirkpatrick to discuss Niger/uranium issues. Enough?
2. Cooper’s interview with Libby.. seems to have come after Novak’s exposure of Plame; moreover it was for attribution.Why then is Fitzgerald interested in Cooper? Is Libby not the point?
Look again at the second paragraph in the Time article:
"And some government officials have noted to TIME in interviews, (as well as to syndicated columnist Robert Novak) that Wilson's wife, Valerie Plame, is a CIA official..."
Obvious question for Time: When did these interviews take place and with whom? Why assume (your word "seems") anything on who said what when? Furthermore, though the Libby on-record quote is not directly relevant it is not unheard of for a source to give off and on the record quotes for the same article.
3. TM Tidbit:
Due to the overwhelming response to my Wilson's flip-flop chronology (in these comments) I feel duty bound to add to the list this very same Time article which quotes Wilson as saying--falsely--that the Niger/Iraq "meeting" was "declined" by the Niger official, Mayaki. Adjust your Wilson self-contradiction score cards accordingly.
Posted by: Reg | August 10, 2004 at 01:21 PM
The prosecutor must be at the end of the investigation since he is trying to interview the journalists, and he had to show the court that he had exhausted every other source of information. Senate Intel says Ms. Plame recommended Mr. Wilson for the assignment. It's possible no one can be prosecuted because they can truthfully say they gave up the name to explain to the reporters how Wilson was hired, not put her at risk or compromise national security. It's also possible Wilson or Plame lied to the prosecutor about how he was hired. She told Senate Intel that she didn't remember whether or not she recommended him for the assignment, classic evasion. If either speculation is true, a high powered prosecutor wasted a lot of time and resources on a wild goose chase, and may be looking more closely at Wilson and Plame. Prosecutors never seem to have much of a sense of humor.
Posted by: Aubrey | August 10, 2004 at 03:51 PM
Since this story broke last year, I have yet to see any explanation for how the leaker (assuming there really is one) of the fact that Plame worked at the CIA could possibly have known that it was meant to be a secret (assuming that it really was). Why would this person (assuming it's someone on the political side of the White House, and not, say, Powell or Rice) have a need to know that? And without a need to know, how could anyone who did know have told them?
It sounds to me as if this is how it really went down: Wilson starts leaking his story, and finally goes public with it. Cheney and others in the White House go 'who?'. Someone sends an urgent message to the CIA asking whether they've heard of this Wilson character, and if so what the hell had he been up to in Niger, and whose bright idea was it to send him? Someone at the CIA answers 'his wife got him the job'. 'Huh? What's his wife got to do with anything?'. 'Well, she works here, you know.'
Oops. They shouldn't have said that. They should have made something up, like, er, well, I'm not sure what they should have said, but 'she works here' wasn't it. Now this White House person knows Plame works for the CIA, but has no idea that was meant to be secret. So he tells Novak. Wilson sees this in the paper, and he does know that this was meant to be secret. He is convinced (perhaps correctly) that his children's safety depends on his wife's employer's name being kept secret. So he panics, and calls the entire world's attention to it. He makes some wild accusations about Karl Rove, and about his wife's maiden name being secret, because he's not thinking straight. But now the whole world knows, not just that Plame works for the CIA, which they could have read in Novak's column, but that she was covert, which they could not have learned from Novak.
Now the CIA is interested. Between Loose-Lips at the CIA, Leaker at the White House, Novak and now Wilson, the secret is well and truly blown, and someone is going to pay. And so we arrive at this moment.
Any questions?
Posted by: Zev Sero | August 10, 2004 at 08:26 PM
masterful summary Zev. very plausible
Posted by: capt joe | August 10, 2004 at 09:40 PM
Yo Zev – just watch out for trolls seeking traitors in the comments that follow.
I agree with most of your post except for your characterization of Wilson’s motives. He understood that his wife had been brought in from the cold in 1994. The CIA suspected that Aldrich Ames had given Mrs. Wilson's name (along with those of other spies) to the Russians before his espionage arrest in 1994. So her undercover security was undermined at that time, and she was brought back to Washington for safety reasons. See this for the citations, additional background, my thoughts, and TM’s response.
Wilson was not concerned about keeping his wife’s maiden name secret. He’d included it on his biographical sketch at the Saudi-funded think tank with which he was associated.
Here’s a copy of the bio that used to be at this page: http://www.mideasti.org/html/bio-wilson.html
He was undoubtedly concerned about publicizing her employment with the CIA, but:
Source
But the suspense is killing me and I’m burning out. Fortunately, it looks like there may be indictments or the end of the investigation pretty darn soon.
Posted by: The Kid | August 10, 2004 at 10:29 PM
It's Libby. He will be put on trial. He will be pardoned.
Any gamblers here?
Posted by: brennan stout | August 10, 2004 at 11:19 PM
That sounds bad. I should that I like Libby. I think he's pretty much an all around smart guy. But he's incredibly naive when it comes to the law and how that applies to him. He's far too experienced in covert operations and understanding of espinoge with his experience advising Israeli government officials and US government officials to fail to realize the danger of leaking a covert operative. He knows more than any of us about Valerie Plame's actual duties.
Libby is the figure that got the White House to back away from Clinton's pardon of Marc Rich. Why? Libby lobbied Clinton for the pardon.
Posted by: brennan stout | August 10, 2004 at 11:29 PM
Regarding Libby and the Marc Rich pardon – it’s the LaRouche folks and far left that have boosted that story based on an op-ed Bill Clinton wrote after he left office. Here’s a good overview and an excerpt:
Who are you to believe? Clinton or your lying eyes?
(Scroll down.)
Posted by: The Kid | August 11, 2004 at 08:13 AM
The Kid: I think your reply is telling. The defense is against an argument never made.
I'll have more later, ie Marshall Defense, but for now you can have the fact that John Podesta and Bruce Lindsey both opposed the Rich pardon.
Posted by: brennan stout | August 11, 2004 at 10:17 AM
Silliness at the Times:
To unmask a confidential source as part of a criminal investigation, the government should have to show two things: that the information is central to the investigation and that it cannot be obtained any other way. In Mr. Cooper's case, the information could more than likely be provided under oath by government officials, including those implicated.
Wait until they read the rest of the Constitution, and get to the Fifth Amendment.
Posted by: TM | August 12, 2004 at 09:16 AM
Pincus caught Fitzgerald's eye with this story from Oct. 12, 2003:
Posted by: TM | July 13, 2005 at 10:16 PM