The AP headline shouts:
"Kerry: Draft Likely to Return Under Bush
John Kerry Raises Possibility That Military Draft May Return if President Bush Is Re-Elected"
Scary! But what does the story say?
Answering a question about the draft that had been posed at a forum with voters, Kerry said: "If George Bush were to be re-elected, given the way he has gone about this war and given his avoidance of responsibility in North Korea and Iran and other places, is it possible? I can't tell you."
Well, we don't have time for a recital of all the things Kerry can't tell us. But what might have prompted the AP to take this tack - their "fake boo" story was an obvious Bush-basher, but what about this?
My guess - the AP is giving Kerry a boost with his attempt to win back America's sweethearts, as noted in the Times:
In the last few weeks, Kerry campaign officials have been nervously eyeing polls that show an erosion of the senator's support among women, one of the Democratic Party's most reliable constituencies. In a New York Times/CBS News poll conducted last week, women who are registered to vote were more likely to say they would vote for Mr. Bush than for Mr. Kerry, with 48 percent favoring Mr. Bush and 43 percent favoring Mr. Kerry.
In 2000, 54 percent of women voted for Al Gore, the Democratic nominee, while 43 percent voted for Mr. Bush.
If you can't woo 'em, scare 'em!
Glenn has lots of links, noting that it is Dems introducing draft legislation. And we L-U-V JeraLynn Merritt, but she may want to help us understand her comment that Rep. Chuck Hagel "endorsed a reinstatement of the military draft."
She provides a link to a confidence-sapping World Net Daily article. Well, I will provide a link to Keith Olbermann, who characterized Hagel's comments this way:
...this morning for the second consecutive day, one leading moderate republican senator suggested that it is time to think about whether or not we need to bring back selective service, the draft. Senator Chuck Hagel of Nebraska, first made the comments at a hearing of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, he then repeated them this morning on the “Today” show. He couched his remarks in the context of Secretary Rumsfeld‘s announcement that another 20,000 troops in Iraq, due to come home in June, will be kept in the theater of operations for up to seven months. Hagel did not say it was time to activate selective service, just time to think about it.
Hagel himself chatted with Chris Matthews on Hardball, and after offering the usual class fairness arguments, said this:
But I think if, in fact, we did institute—and I would go beyond just a draft, if we get to that point. That means as far as I‘m concerned, a national—a mandatory national service program. I‘m not ready to introduce that now or to say that‘s what we need.
But we‘ve got a major locomotive coming down the track at this country over the next few years on this issue, and we should not wait and debate it, explore it when it becomes a crisis. And that‘s what I think is most important about this national debate.
Is Hagel co-sponsoring any relevant draft-related legislation? I find the word "endorse" a bit strong here, but I'm all ears.
MORE: Technical glitches at Typepad are slowing me down, so look for even more typos than usual.
And I "know" I read, very recently, a story about a fellow at at a Dem rally where the speakers were ranting about Bush's plan to bring back the draft. One person started shouting something like, "No, that's not true, its a Democratic plot to scare you". It turned out that the heckler was a four year old wearing a BC-04 button. Oops.
And yes, a link to that would be fine. Otherwise, let's consider that tale to be "fake but accurate".
UPDATE: A good news / bad news article on National Guard recruitment success.
Let me get this straight - Did you say Kerry was _misquoted_ by AP to _help_ him?
That's what I thought you said. They're everywhere! They're everywhere! (smile)
Posted by: TexasToast | September 23, 2004 at 11:26 AM
I've always thought of the AP as the Buick of news organizations: boring, but sober and generally dependable. But something strange is happening with AP coverage of this presidential election. AP is looking like a journalistic Yugo -- neither boring (so to speak), nor dependable.
Posted by: George | September 23, 2004 at 11:29 AM
I mocked the Times coverage of this "issue" last July, but they did bury this at the end of their scare-mongering:
E-mail messages circulating about a draft also point to legislation pending in both houses of Congress that would require either military or some other national service. But those measures, written by Representative Charles B. Rangel of New York and Senator Ernest F. Hollings of South Carolina, both Democrats, are much more a political statement than potential law, since they have no Republican support and no chance of passage this year.
The Times article was written *after* Hagel "endorsed" the draft, but it does not mention him. Man, this was a first-class bit of reporting.
Posted by: TM | September 23, 2004 at 11:33 AM
Also, quoting Hagel as a source close to Bush Administration defense policy is like quoting Andrew Sullivan as a source close to Bush Administration social policy.
Posted by: Crank | September 23, 2004 at 11:52 AM
Heh. Wasn't it someone at NRO who used to refer to "Charles Hagel (R-France)"?
Posted by: George | September 23, 2004 at 12:05 PM
There's another odd thing about Kerry's insinuation. Since he bases it not on anything Bush has said but on what he sees as the logic of the situation in Iraq, Iran, and North Korea, don't we need some sort of explanation of why that same logic doesn't also raise the specter of a draft under a Kerry administration? He's denied any intention of cutting and running in Iraq-- and whatever form the non-avoidance of responsibility in Iran and Korea is supposed to take, I doubt it would involve fewer troops.
Posted by: Paul Zrimsek | September 23, 2004 at 12:15 PM
Uhh, Tex, I didn't say that the AP "misquoted" Kerry to help him. Kerry skated up to the line separating innuendo from delusion, and, to boost the scare factor and grab attention with their headline, the AP carried him over.
Now, Kerry has the satisfaction of denying that he ever said it, but the "news" is out there - Bush will bring back the draft, according to Kerry.
Imagine the Dem reaction if (1) Bush was asked about Kerry's long term cancer prognosis; (2) Bush said, "I know cancer sometimes comes back, but as for Kerry, I have no idea, ask him"; and (3) headlines report "Bush says Kerry likely to relapse with cancer".
Outrage, would be my guess.
Posted by: TM | September 23, 2004 at 12:20 PM
Hmmmm
Sort of like
"We never said 'imminent threat'" ?
PS
I don't think we are leaving anytime soon in Iraq. Unless we can do something about our Iraqi recruits (like keep them from joining the other side as they did in Fallujah), we are going to need manpower from somewhere. Where are we going to get it?
Posted by: TexasToast | September 23, 2004 at 12:38 PM
I'm from the
governmentmedia, I'm here to help!Posted by: ras | September 23, 2004 at 12:42 PM
If there's any issue which would unite the grassroots Democrats and Republicans, I think it would be the possible reinstatement of the draft.
OVER MY DEAD BODY
Posted by: 29 | September 23, 2004 at 12:49 PM
So, 29, are you saying that a terrorist attack with WMDs would not unite us as much as the possible reinsttaement of the draft?
If so, our country is in serious trouble.
Posted by: GEAH | September 23, 2004 at 01:02 PM
This is rather ridiculous.
Bush needs to just point out that Democrats are looking at re-instating the draft, and perhaps that is what you can expect if Kerry Wins.
Of course, it should be up to the media but they are too busy plugging hoax emails about Bush reinstating the draft or Kerry's vague assertions that Bush might do so.
The Kerry campaign is looking for memes to run with, and the right needs to smack them down on each and every piece of crap they release to see what floats.
Posted by: DelphiGuy | September 23, 2004 at 01:05 PM
...we are going to need manpower from somewhere. Where are we going to get it?
Good point. One place we're not going to get it from is the draft. That's a political non-starter.
There are a lot of Americans (not all of them on the Left) who have no appreciation of how badly US ground combat capability is over-stretched. The Administration simply has no viable way of increasing the size of the force in Iraq without committing political suicide, e.g., canceling all releases from active duty and announcing a "for the duration" policy, a la World War II.
Posted by: George | September 23, 2004 at 01:09 PM
Chuck Hegel is just lobbying to be the next McCain, a Republican media star.
Of course, to be a Republican media star you have to consistently say things that undermine Republicans.
Posted by: jag | September 23, 2004 at 01:16 PM
Talk of a draft is silly. Conscript armies fare poorly against volunteers, and every military professional is adamantly opposed to it. Implementing a draft and training the draftees would initially drain trained soldiers from deployable forces and be a net negative. The short-term shortage can most sensibly be met by stop-loss and delayed retirements (retaining trained personnel vice inducting untrained newbies).
In any event, the situation is hardly dire. 100-140,000 troops in Iraq represents less than a tithe of our total force (1.4 million plus reserves) . . . and less than half of the US servicemen stationed overseas (~100,000 each in Asia and Europe). We've accomplished the bulk of the war with what's essentially a peacetime rotation system, and the requirement will only drop. If relief is needed, the logical place to get them is Asia and Europe, where forces could be drawn down significantly with little impact on national security.
Posted by: Cecil Turner | September 23, 2004 at 01:19 PM
Hagel endorsed the idea of the reinstatement of the draft, you're quibbling over words. I never said he introduced a bill to reinstate it. But you conveniently ignore the examples of a Republican Sponsored bill to do reinstate the post by congressmen other than Hagel--links and text of the bill is in my post--or that no democrat co-sponsored the measure. Come on, play fair.
Posted by: TalkLeft | September 23, 2004 at 02:00 PM
sorry, meant reinstate the draft, not reinstate the post.
Posted by: TalkLeft | September 23, 2004 at 02:01 PM
HOW STUPID DO THE DEMS THINK KIDS ARE, ANYWAY? KERRY TELLS SCARE STORIES ABOUT A REPUBLICAN DRAFT, WHILE RANGEL AND HOLLINGS, BOTH DEMS, PUSH DRAFT BILLS IN THE HOUSE AND SENATE, RESPECTIVELY.
Posted by: Cris | September 23, 2004 at 02:16 PM
Hmm, I don't think draft is a good idea.
What I don't understand, though, is why you guys aren't over there in foxholes shooting Iraqis and getting shot at - for the sake of Iraqi Democracy and the World Peace? You are really needed over there. If you don't volunteer who will? Certainly not me.
So, don't wait a minute longer, go to your nearest recruiting office, Comrades, Iraqi Democracy needs you!
Posted by: abb1 | September 23, 2004 at 03:33 PM
What I don't understand, though, is why you guys aren't over there in foxholes shooting Iraqis and getting shot at
I did that during Vietnam, smart-ass. Twice.
Posted by: George | September 23, 2004 at 03:54 PM
Uhh, JeraLynn - "Play fair"?
Can we agree that Hagel "endorsed" the idea of talking about some form of national service, but did *NOT* endorse reinstating the draft? I mean, when he says " I‘m not ready to introduce that now or to say that‘s what we need.", how is that an endorsement?
Secondly, bringing up three unknown House Republicans with a Dec 28, 2001 bill is hardly compelling. We know, for example, from reading your post (to which I linked) that Conyers introduced a bill *opposing* the draft in 2002, then switched sides.
Any word on the *current* position of these three House Republicans? Since their bill was introduced in the last Congress, any word on its status?
The (very weak) NY Times article I linked in an earlier post says that Rangel's House bill has "no Republican support". Maybe these three have changed their minds. Maybe the sleuths at the Times overlooked them. Maybe I am not the one who is failing to "play fair".
I remain all ears.
Posted by: TM | September 23, 2004 at 03:56 PM
"So, don't wait a minute longer, go to your nearest recruiting office"
Well, in the first place, there's no shortage of recruits. In the second, if I wanted to be told "you're old and fat," there's no need to drive down to the recruiting station . . . my wife would be more than happy to oblige.
Posted by: Cecil Turner | September 23, 2004 at 04:01 PM
Delphiguy: "Bush needs to just point out that Democrats are looking at re-instating the draft, and perhaps that is what you can expect if Kerry Wins."
I'm not sure Bush could say anything. Here's how it would go:
Bush at press conference: "We are absolutely, definitely not going to reinstate the draft."
The resulting Reuters or CBS story: "Bush today said, 'We are absolutely, definitely ... going to reinstate the draft.'"
Then there would be lot of outraged pajamahadeen, email, etc. etc.
Then we'd have Dan Rather: "CBS News regrets its earlier story about Bush's plan to renew the draft. We have been unable to confirm that he made this statement. If we receive any confirmation, we will pass it on immediately."
See the problem?
Posted by: Bostonian | September 23, 2004 at 04:53 PM
Kerry has made it easy to mistake his statements on Bush and the "draft" because he's been running on about the "backdoor draft" and recently started taking his talking points from DU by implying Bush has a secret plan for massive mobilizations after the November elections.
Posted by: Lynxx Pherrett | September 23, 2004 at 05:03 PM
"his attempt to win back America's sweethearts"
Timing is everything. Here's one sweetheart he won't be winning:
http://flyunderthebridge.blogspot.com/2004/09/satisfied-reader-since-september-2004.html
And, as for reinstating the draft:
http://flyunderthebridge.blogspot.com/2004/09/some-elementary-arithmetic-for-john.html
Posted by: Patrick R. Sullivan | September 23, 2004 at 05:09 PM
The AP purposely forwarded this mistake so they can claim - "See, we just occasionally make mistakes, against both sides, it's not bias. They quickly made up for this by tearing into their perceived contradictions in Allawi's speech today. Funny how the negative "observations/comments" always happen to conservatives or those that support their positions/viewpoints.
Posted by: MaDr | September 23, 2004 at 05:54 PM
Fake turkeys, fake memos, and now a fake draft.
Even while they speak out against it, DEMOCRATS ARE THE ONLY ONES INTRODUCING LEGISLATION TO BRING BACK THE DRAFT!
Talk about creating straw men ... this kind of fraud ranks up there with burning a cross in your own yard and blaming your opponent, based on the rationale that "the message is fake but accurate" and the ends always justify the means. Liberals are self-righteous scum.
In terms of insulting the public's intelligence this stupid stunt really takes the cake. After the fake memos crashed Kerry's poll numbers you'd think they'd have learned.
Posted by: Fake Draft | September 23, 2004 at 07:14 PM
"Charles Hagel (R-France)" --
Hmm -- how about "Charles de Hagaulle"?
Posted by: Dan (not Rather) | September 23, 2004 at 11:46 PM
MTV is using the Military Draft to scare young voters
http://www.rockthevote.com/rtv_draft.php
Posted by: john marzan | September 24, 2004 at 11:26 AM
A Chomskyite socialist that I know told me that Rangel is introducing this legislation as a put-your-money-where-your-mouth type of deal. They know it won't pass or even come up for a vote - or something like that. It's merely political, the indication seems to be. This guy was impressed with Rangel for doing it.
Posted by: Brian | September 24, 2004 at 12:37 PM
Correction: "-mouth-is..."
Posted by: Brian | September 24, 2004 at 12:38 PM
"Republican Senator Chuck Hagel, a Vietnam veteran, has suggested reviving the draft." Richmond Times Dispatch (Virginia) April 29, 2004 Thursday City Edition,
"In the run-up to the invasion of Iraq last year, Rep. Charles Rangel (D) of New York lobbied for conscription. Last week, it was Sen. Chuck Hagel (R) of Nebraska. Both contend that a draft would spread the burden of sacrifice more justly than our all-volunteer armed forces and make jaded Americans own up to the brutal toll war exacts." The Christian Science Monitor, April 26, 2004,
"U.S. Sen. Chuck Hagel dropped a bombshell Tuesday and the reverberations are still being felt. Hagel, a Nebraska Republican, alluded to the "D" word, by saying on NBC's Today Show that all citizens should be subject to "mandatory service." While Hagel carefully said that he was not suggesting a military draft, he also laid out the case for compulsory military service." The Macon Telegraph April 23, 2004 Friday HO EDITION,
Mandatory military service amounts to a draft for those who don't want to serve, doesn't it?
Posted by: TalkLeft | September 29, 2004 at 06:00 PM
Is your point that we have a sloppy and careless press corps? I agree.
"Mandatory service" might mean that kids are forced to choose between a stint in the army and a stint in a West Virgina school as a teacher's aide.
I presented a number of cites (and you added one) where it is clear that Hagel thinks we ought to have a discussion, but he is not ready to commit to anything at this time.
What is so confusing about that?
"While Hagel carefully said that he was not suggesting a military draft" means what?
Bonus - I could easily make the case for voting against George Bush, and sometimes do at cocktail parties. It does not follow that I am actually advocating that. So the fact that Hagel can present the arguements for a draft simply shows me he has thought about it.
Posted by: TM | September 30, 2004 at 09:57 AM