The Times has a piece on the greening of nuclear power which ties well with their article from May 9 on the substitutability of nuclear power for imported oil.
The May 9 article represented a heroic effort by the Times - it started as, and could have remained, a Bush-basher:
WASHINGTON, May 8 - President Bush has proposed reducing oil imports by increasing the use of nuclear power, which he said in a recent speech was "one of the most promising sources of energy."
There is a problem, though: reactors make electricity, not oil. And oil does not make much electricity.
However, the Times poked around and found some experts willing to speculate on different technologies that might, over the next twenty years, use nuclear power could help reduce our reliance on imported oil. No mention of dilithium crystals.
There is an apparent lack of usable information to solve the Times dilemma. Just how many wind mills would it take to supply the entire energy consumption of the US ? How many acres of solar cells ? How many cold fusion plants ?
The proportions of this problem are really big, so the Times should interview a few dozen more experts so they can generate enough hot air to run one of those wind mills.
Using the Times numbers, nuclear reactors produce about 20% electricity, and about 8% of the total energy consumed with 103 plants. Oil accounts for 41 percent of energy consumption.
This means something like 251 plants to replace the energy from oil, and something like 1100+ plants to make the US 100% nuclear. With a (low balled) price tag of $2 billion per plant (but it's probably bigger), we are talking about $500+ billion to replace oil (but not the vehicles), $2+ trillion to go 100% nuclear. Add in price of fuel.
With 250 to 1100 plants, 2.5X to 10X present levels, That's big. Even another 100 plants would be huge.
Posted by: Neo | May 15, 2005 at 01:37 AM
Couple things...
1. Oil is used as a fuel source for power plants. It's insane and horribly polluting.
2. There is no such thing as cold fusion (yet), much less cold fusion plants. Nuclear plants are based on fission.
3. The money would be worth it. Nuclear is the cleanest source of fuel besides wind. Yes, that includes solar.
Posted by: T.J. | May 15, 2005 at 04:34 AM
Hmmmm.
Windpower is a joke because of NIMBY. A lot of people like the idea, but not the reality of having them blocking *their* view.
I find the sudden turn to nuclear power by environmental activists to be extremely amusing. I wonder how much *cleaner* the environment would be if we'd have been using nuclear all along.
Ideology over science. joy.
Posted by: ed | May 15, 2005 at 10:48 AM
"There is a problem, though: reactors make electricity, not oil. And oil does not make much electricity."
Oil does not make much electricity. But coal and natural gas do, and in fact are two of the main contributors to greenhouse gas production. If we're serious about reducing GhG emissions, replacing those plants with nukes are a major step in the right direction. Wald also answers his own objection, but is apparently unable to see it:
Of course, making gasoline out of hydrogen is rather silly--it both adds an unnecessary step, and makes polution from an otherwise clean source. The more logical way of using it is with fuel cells (as part of a larger hydrogen distribution system). As the National Energy Policy (Chapter 6) points up, it would also enable other "green" sources: It's nice to see some discussion of the issues, finally, instead of arguing about who went to what meetings. But I wonder how many more years it'll take to start work on pertinent NEP recommendations like this one:Posted by: Cecil Turner | May 15, 2005 at 03:53 PM
I find the articles claims dishonest. Everyone knows, or should, that the president made a hydrogen infrastructure a priority in this term. Due to the unbelievable energy required to seperate hydrogen into its basic form...stripping the H2 from H2O...it makes sense to use a clean source of energy to meet these demands. After we have a hydrogen infrastructure, we can switch to hydrogen cars, either fuel cells or internal combustion fueled by hydrogen. BMW and Mazda both have cars with conventional gas engines that have been modified to run hydrogen...the mazda can even switch back and forth.
Posted by: brainy435 | May 16, 2005 at 12:36 PM