Thomas Kean of the 9/11 Commission bounces the Able Danger ball into the Pentagon's court:
The chairman of the Sept. 11 commission called on the Pentagon on Wednesday to move quickly to evaluate the credibility of military officers who have said that a highly classified intelligence program managed to identify the Sept. 11 ringleader more than a year before the 2001 attacks. He said the information was not shared in a reliable form with the panel.
The chairman, Thomas H. Kean, a former Republican governor of New Jersey, offered no judgment about the accuracy of the officers' accounts. But he said in an interview that if the accounts were true, it suggested that detailed information about the intelligence program, known as Able Danger, was withheld from the commission and that the program and its findings should have been mentioned prominently in the panel's final report last year.
"If they identified Atta and any of the other terrorists, of course it was an important program," Mr. Kean said, referring to Mohamed Atta, the Egyptian ringleader of the attacks. "Obviously, if there were materials that weren't given to us, information that wasn't given to us, we're disappointed. It's up to the Pentagon to clear up any misunderstanding."
On this question of what did the Pentagon know and when did they know it, I am not sure enough attention has been paid to the clarified Curt Weldon story, as developed by Eric Umansky.
According to Weldon, it was only in June 2005 that his Able Danger connections told him that they had ID'ed Mohammed Atta back in 2000. This, despite the fact that in May 2002 Curt Weldon was extolling the Able Danger program, lauding its output, and describing its briefing (part of which he had seen). There is an extended excerpt after the break, but nowhere in his speech does he mention Mohammed Atta, and apparently, that name was not mentioned to him.
Why so coy, we wonder - if the Able Danger people wanted to promote their effort by enlisting a Congressman, why not give him the headline grabbing story about Atta right away? Why wait three years before delivering the clincher? Even if the identification of Atta was classified in 2002 (and the other parts Weldon revealed were not?), couldn't they have whispered it to him?
Well. The Pentagon is continuing to tread water:
The Pentagon has not disputed the accounts from Colonel Shaffer or the Navy captain. But it has withheld comment on Able Danger, saying it is gathering information about it.
My Things To Do list:
(a) Per Lt. Col. Shaffer, "Able Danger had made use of publicly available information from government immigration agencies, from internet sites and from paid search engines such as Lexis Nexis". Right, then, has anyone checked Lexis-Nexis to see if Mohammed Atta generates any hits in 1999 or 2000? It proves nothing if the answer is no, but "yes" might be very interesting - why would Atta have been in the news?
(b) Helpen ze Captain, und mach snell! Captain Ed notes an obscure arrest in Germany, in Feb 2001, of two Iraqi intelligence agents. However, finding follow-up has been difficult. Needed - eager German-speaking Googlers! The hope is that the German press may have more on this. The prosecutor's name, Kay Nehm, may be a starting point.
As a sidebar to the Captain's "UPDATE II" - here is some AP coverage of the situation - apparently, the report from the Carribbean about an Islamic terrorist plot to fly a plane into the WTC was presented at a Congressional hearing, but dropped from the 9/11 report:
At congressional hearings last week that reviewed the pre-Sept. 11 performance of the CIA, FBI and other agencies in sorting through such possible clues, 10 intelligence reports made public described threats the government received suggesting terrorists might use planes as weapons.
Those, plus two publicly known plots, in 1994 and 1995, that would have crashed planes into targets, suggest the government should have taken a closer look at terrorists' potential use of planes, investigators said.
The threats detailed in the congressional report do not tell the whole story, said Cannistraro. ''That's taking one snapshot in a movie that's five hours long,'' he said.
...For example, U.S. intelligence got information in August 1998 that a group of unidentified Arabs planned to fly an explosive-laden plane from a foreign country into the World Trade Center, says the report by Eleanor Hill, staff director of the congressional investigation.
The report does not offer a source for the information. A U.S. intelligence official, speaking Friday on condition of anonymity, said it was from a dubious source: a Caribbean police officer.
''It was viewed as wildly speculative,'' said the official, speaking on condition of anonymity. ''There was no information to corroborate this report.''
The report was passed on to the FBI, Federal Aviation Administration and other groups, which did little with it.
Officials do not believe the police officer's report is linked to the Sept. 11 attacks.
Weldon excerpt below.
Excerpt from Weldon's House floor speech, May 2002:
I did not find out about this until October of 2001, after the attack
on the trade center. A year before, special forces command developed
their own mini version of a data processing or collaborative center
with very limited capabilities. But what they did, Mr. Speaker, they
did a profile of al Qaeda 1 year before 9-11.
The SPEAKER pro tempore (Mr. Issa). The gentleman from Pennsylvania
(Mr. Weldon) is recognized to continue until midnight.
Mr. WELDON of Pennsylvania. Mr. Speaker, here is the chart, the
unclassified chart of what special forces command had 1 year before 9-
11. Interesting. The entire al Qaeda network is identified in a graphic
chart with all the linkages to all the terrorist groups around the
world.
In fact, Mr. Speaker, I was told by the folks who developed the
capability for special forces command that this chart and the briefing
that was supposed to be given to General Shelton, Chairman of our Joint
Chiefs, had a recommendation to take out 5 cells of bin Laden's
network. Mr. Speaker, this was 1 year before 9-11. This was not during
President Bush's administration. This occurred in the fall of the
remaining term of President Bill Clinton.
The key question I have been trying to get at is why was this 3-hour
briefing, which I also got, I got General Holland to bring his briefers
up from Florida with special forces, I went in the Pentagon, went in
the tank, and they gave me the briefing, as much as they could give me,
because part of it is being used for our operational plan, why was that
3-hour briefing with the recommendations to take out 5 cells of bin
Laden's network condensed down to a 1-hour brief when it was given to
General Hugh Shelton in January of 2001? And why were the
recommendations to take out 5 cells not followed up on? That is the
question we should get answered, Mr. Speaker.
Because 1 year before 9-11, the capability that special forces built
actually identified to us the network of al Qaeda. And they went beyond
that and gave us recommendations where we could take out cells to
eliminate their capability.
Of course Kean will blame The Pentagon, as will the Media. I blame the Trojan Horse hiding those actually responsible.
Posted by: syn | August 18, 2005 at 08:12 AM
Not sure about the Caribbean thing-but it's a known fact that Philippino authorities uncovered an al-Qaida plot to fly a plane into CIA headquarters in 1995. (One of the plotters: Khalid Sheikh Mohammed.) They published the interrogation transcripts in Harper's.
Let's drop the partisanship in this inquiry. The federal government- period- let us down.
Posted by: Martin | August 18, 2005 at 08:17 AM
Eric Umansky digs up Lt. Col. Shaffer's interview with Soledad O'Brien of CNN.
Posted by: TM | August 18, 2005 at 09:28 AM
No hits on Mohammed Atta that I can find in Lexis/Nexis between 1998 and 2000. Although there are a lot of search combinations and I might have missed one, or there may be spelling issues.
Posted by: TomT | August 18, 2005 at 10:14 AM
Atta was a a known terrorist before Sep. 11 and had been arrested by the FBI before.
Atlanta Journal and Constitution (GA)
January 28, 1991
WAR IN THE MIDDLE EAST: TERRORISM Q & A LOGISTICS MAKE TERRORISM UNLIKELY IN\U.S., EXPERT SAYS
***
There was a report on "60 Minutes" in which an expert said that Abu Nidal cells were in the United States. Is that true?
Yes, In New York, Dearborn (a Michigan city with a large Arab population) and Los Angeles. But that doesn't mean they're terrorists. They're support groups, and for the FBI to uncover enough about them and to go through the business of trying to deport them is a long and difficult matter that is not at all easy to accomplish. In 1987, the FBI arrested an Abu Nidal organization member (Mohammed Atta) in New York on an Israeli warrant charging him with participating in an attack on a bus carrying civilians in the Israeli-occupied West Bank in 1986. They're around.
Posted by: Hayek | August 18, 2005 at 10:55 AM
This is I think quite important -- the image evoked by this description is of putting large amounts of dynamite or c4 or plastique on an airplane and crashing into the WTC, which requires either smuggling the explosives on the plane, or loading the plane in some remote location and smuggling it into US airspace. So evaluating this risk would make you think about your protections against getting that much explosive on a plane undetected, and think about your air defense systems.
The piece that we "knew" but didn't really know is that "explosive" also includes full tanks of jet fuel. The reason that we didn't think about that aspect is because it was a brilliant piece of tactical imagination on the part of our enemies. I certainly can't fault our intelligence analysts or our politicians for not thinking of this, and if anyone suggests that this is proof of their incompentence, then I will come vigorously to their defense.
cathy :-)
Posted by: cathyf | August 18, 2005 at 11:52 AM
"The piece that we "knew" but didn't really know is that "explosive" also includes full tanks of jet fuel. The reason that we didn't think about that aspect is because it was a brilliant piece of tactical imagination on the part of our enemies. I certainly can't fault our intelligence analysts or our politicians for not thinking of this, and if anyone suggests that this is proof of their incompentence, then I will come vigorously to their defense.
cathy :-)"
Well, pretty much anyone in aviation knows that a large commercial ariliner is a flying bomb, especially after that 747 blew up in flight off the east coast due to a short in the electrical wiring next to one of the fule tanks.
Ultimately, the failure was not recognizing that this is a real war. What was missing in the 1990s (and may still be missing) was the kind of "OPFOR" training teams that the US developed during the cold war. Some of these teams traveled around the world training us commanders by engaging in computer based war games. Others, notably at the NTC and JRTC engaged in field training excersizes.
If the US Government had treated the AQ threat as a real war threat, they would have developed an OPFOR team and given them the mission of developing scenarios for known and possible AQ objectives (such as destroying the WTC) using known and unknown, but workable, tactics (such as flying aircraft into buildings). It would have taken such a group a short amount of time to come to the conclusion that there was no need to smuggle explosives onto a larg aircraft because the fule itself would produce a huge explosive force. Such a team would also have probably figured out what kinds of weapons could be taken on board an aircraft without a problem and how many people it would take the effectively take over an aircraft. They probably also would have figured out that the group would need someone who could fly the plane because you could probably not force the pilot to fly into your intended target (as the Algerians learned when they tried it in France).
A group of retired Ranger/Special Forces/Delta Force personel could have figured this out if they had been given the mission, but no one had the foresight to give them the job of thinking like the enemy.
There was a lot of "Risk Assesment" going on, but not much proactive threat analysis.
Posted by: Ranger | August 18, 2005 at 01:16 PM
Martin is absolutely correct.
The Government (read Dems and Repubs) are covering their political asses, and it started with that joke of a 9/11 Commission.
All of Washington is trying to save the Body Politic, and unfortunately for us, it will succeed and life will go on.
Too bad National Security is trumped by the Political Sytem being played by both sides of the aisle.
Disgusting. I could say more but why.
And I cannot believe I agree with Martin ;-)
Posted by: BurbankErnie | August 18, 2005 at 01:59 PM
BurbankErnie,
Seems to me it's the media covering up. Not just on this story but
actually a great many others. Every month in Washington is like a comedy
of dunces with staggering sums misused and throw away. The Washington
Post and other national news organisations live in an enviromnent
where there are easy stories of greed and incompetence all around
them. Somehow these are rarely persued. Now why that should be
I do not know. It would make for dramatic and amusing journalism.
One paranoid thought I have is that the government agencies might
be exerting pressure on these news organizations not to report these
stories. And then again it might be the socialist dream. Reporting
on government incomptence definitely undermines the idea that centralizing
more and more power in the government would improve our lives.
Posted by: Mark Amerman | August 18, 2005 at 02:47 PM
I am fascinated by the news that Atta was in the news for having attacked a bus in Israel in 1986.
Turns out, per Snopes, it was a *DIFFERENT* Atta.
Now, here is a long-shot - could our Able Danger folks have gotten similarly confused?
Posted by: TM | August 18, 2005 at 02:59 PM
Martin thinks this is no issue for partisan bickering. Convenient timing, no? Just about the time you break out the stick that beats the Clintons a smidge harder than the Bushes, then it's time to drop the politics.
Doesn't make him wrong, just convenient.
Posted by: spongeworthy | August 18, 2005 at 03:05 PM
I have said many times that more than one Mohammed Atta answers a lot of questions. Unfortunately, it opens even more, including some that fuel the wackiest conspiracy theories.
Posted by: spongeworthy | August 18, 2005 at 03:06 PM
Spongeworthy you are an idiot.
If you would stop and think about it -this makes the Bush administration look even worse.
As anticipated by TM who just said why is not being called a (Bush) Pentagon coverup?
Oh yeah, "think", my bad. Nevermind.
Posted by: martin | August 18, 2005 at 03:31 PM
A little garbled there.
I meant TM just fpp-ed a query as to why this isn't being called a Pentagon coverup?
He's right-ultimelately Able Danger is bad for Bush-if you want to stay partisan.
If it is as it stands-the Bush pentagon withheld key facts from the 9-11 commission.
Furthermore-at Intel Dump-the latest is the SOCOM were too scared of the grief they were getting over Waco to share the info.
And who was spearheading the Waco criticism at the time?
Posted by: martin | August 18, 2005 at 03:42 PM
If it is as it stands-the Bush pentagon withheld key facts from the 9-11 commission.
This is not necessarily true, though it might be.
Any administration's "people" at the Pentagon - or any bureaucracy - represents just a fraction of the organization. Administrations come and go; bureaucrats stay and stay.
As of now, we have no idea who knew what within the Pentagon about Able Danger, particulary those "people" there who would have loyalties to the Clinton or Bush administrations.
Posted by: Wolfman | August 18, 2005 at 04:12 PM
Given the commissions failure to give a coherent explanation of ABle Danger's information and their retractions of their earlier explanations Keane's story has all the hallmarks of a Washington CYA. So the Pentagon is to blame?
The issue remains why were security and intelligence agencies so restricted that they couldn't give each other potentially vital information and why is DC ruled not by common sense but by lawyers?
Posted by: Thomas Jackson | August 18, 2005 at 04:53 PM
there was no cofusion about atta , when they tied his background info to his photo at the maine airport.
Posted by: j.foster | August 18, 2005 at 05:39 PM
The Atta who shows up in the 80's and 90's is Mahmoud Atta, not Mohammed Atta. Lexis-Nexis shows 11 hits on his name between 1990 and 2001.
Mohammed Atta doesn't have a single hit before 2001, and quite a few after that, but only AFTER 9/11. None before.
Mahmoud Atta was a Palestinian-American. Mohammed Atta was an Egyptian citizen. Obviously two different people, and I find it difficult to believe that intelligence officers would confuse the two, even AFTER hanging out at the local pub.
Posted by: antimedia | August 19, 2005 at 11:54 PM
On 7/29/2000 the Saudi Gazette had a short piece about construction at the airport in Riyadh. It includes this sentence - "The expansion work will be carried out by the Saudi Bin Ladin Group at a total cost of SR18 million, said Abdul Fattah Bin Mohammed Atta, director of the airport."
Mohammed Atta's (the 9/11 hijacker) father's name is Mohamed al-Amir al-Sayed Awad Atta. He's a lawyer in Cairo.
Posted by: antimedia | August 20, 2005 at 12:02 AM
Correction -the work was in Madina, not Riyadh.
Posted by: antimedia | August 20, 2005 at 12:03 AM
On 7/28/91 the Atlanta Constitution printed a story about terrorism that included this paragraph - "Yes, In New York, Dearborn a Michigan city with a large Arab population and Los Angeles. But that doesn't mean they're terrorists. They're support groups, and for the FBI to uncover enough about them and to go through the business of trying to deport them is a long and difficult matter that is not at all easy to accomplish. In 1987, the FBI arrested an Abu Nidal organization member Mohammed Atta in New York on an Israeli warrant charging him with participating in an attack on a bus carrying civilians in the Israeli-occupied West Bank in 1986. They're around."
But that is Mahmoud Atta, not Mohammed Atta the highjacker.
Posted by: antimedia | August 20, 2005 at 12:07 AM
On 11/1/1990, WaPo carried the story of Atta, but they got his name right - "A U.S. citizen accused of being a Palestinian terrorist was extradited to Israel Tuesday night in the wake of precautionary State Department warnings that the move could trigger terrorist retaliation, possibly on a passenger ship in the eastern Mediterranean.
The suspect, Mahmoud Atta, 37, was transferred to Israeli custody in New York Tuesday evening "and departed the United States immediately thereafter on a flight to Israel," the State Department said.
Jailed in New York's Metropolitan Correction Center since his arrest three years ago, Atta faces trial in Jerusalem on charges of taking part in an April 1986 machine gun attack on an Israeli bus traveling through the occupied West Bank."
Posted by: antimedia | August 20, 2005 at 12:10 AM
WRT Kay Nehm and the Iraqi intelligence agents - 3/1/2001 - Deutsche Presse-Agentur, Agence France Presse, AFX European Focus; 3/2/2001 - The Guardian, BBC Monitoring Europe
Posted by: antimedia | August 20, 2005 at 12:21 AM