We are fascinated by the question of whether Andrea Mitchell is poised to become the next Bob Woodward and announce that she received a leak about Valerie Plame ahead of the rest of the pack. Some research has advanced the ball a bit, providing circumstantial evidence that Ms. Mitchell was in the right place at the right time to get such a leak.
Of course, our favorite bit of evidence is still her own admission on Oct 3, 2003 that she knew about Ms. Plame:
Murray: Do we have any idea how widely known it was in Washington that Joe Wilson's wife worked for the CIA?
Mitchell: It was widely known among those of us who cover the intelligence community and who were actively engaged in trying to track down who among the foreign service community was the envoy to Niger. So a number of us began to pick up on that. But frankly I wasn't aware of her actual role at the CIA and the fact that she had a covert role involving weapons of mass destruction, not until Bob Novak wrote it.
The hints from both Newsweek and the NY Times are that Richard Armitage, former Deputy Secretary of State, was Woodward's source. And what might Mr. Armitage's motive have been?
Let's keep in mind - on the question of Saddam's nuclear aspirations the CIA was too dovish for Dick Cheney, but they were also too hawkish for the State Department. In fact, per the SSCI as excerpted here, the State Department's intelligence arm, the INR, had been skeptical of the Wilson trip from the outset, and was unimpressed by the resulting report. Furthermore, the INR dissent on Saddam's uranium project was misplaced when the National Intelligence Estimate was compiled in October 2002, ending up in the section on aluminum tubes. Imagine their irritation!
So, Armitage may have been well inclined towards a bit of CIA-bashing. In his mind, the linkage of Wilson and wife may have been simply an anecdote illuminating the amateur-hour quality of the CIA effort, with no Wilson-bashing intended.
Enough background - let's see what Andrea Mitchell, whose normal beat would be the State Department, reported on June 26, 2003 (Lexis transcript):
ANDREA MITCHELL, NBC NEWS CORRESPONDENT (voice-over): As the U.S. keeps hunting for weapons of mass destruction in Iraq, more evidence the administration knew months before the war its case against Saddam Hussein was seriously flawed. NBC News has learn that in a footnote buried in a classified CIA report, last October, the State Department said charges Iraq had attempted to buy uranium for nuclear weapons from Africa were, quote, "highly dubious." And, U.S. officials tell NBC News, the CIA still passed along the erroneous charge to the president and his war cabinet, adding only a small caveat, quote, "we don't know the status of these arrangements." Yet, on October 4, the CIA did not mention the uranium in a public version of the same weapons report. Why? Today a senior official said, "We didn't have high confidence in it."
The information was so suspect, the CIA also told the White House to drop a reference to the uranium are from a Bush speech on October 7. Two months later, in December, the government seemed to be at war with itself. At the U.N., Ambassador John Negroponte did not mention the uranium charge because the CIA told him it was probably was not true. But, on the same day, Colin Powell, under increasing administration pressure to take harder line to revived the charge. Accusing Iraq of hiding attempts to buy uranium, the State Department said, quote, "Iraq ignores efforts to procure uranium..." and asks, "Why is the Iraqi regime hiding their uranium procurement?"
COLIN POWELL, U.S. SECRETARY OF STATE: We are disappointed, but not deceived.
MITCHELL: Despite all these warning signs, the White House still included it in the State of the Union speech in January.
GEORGE W. BUSH, PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES: Significant quantities of uranium from Africa.
SEN. CARL LEVIN (D), ARMED SERVICES COMMITTEE: The security of this country depends upon intelligence being objective and credible and not being stretched.
MITCHELL: Only in March, when U.N. inspectors investigated the uranium charge, did they quickly discover it was based on fraudulent documents.
(on camera): Tonight, Colin Powell said there are always differences of opinion among intelligence experts and strongly denied any political pressure to hype the case against Saddam, but now Senate democrats are demanding answers from the CIA
Andrea Mitchell, NBC News, Washington.
My, my. She was all over the State Department side of things, wasn't she? She even led with the story about the misplaced INR dissent on Saddam's uranium plans, which was not announced by DCI Tenet until July 11. In fact, her opening paragraph is all CIA-bashing. Any chance she was told a bit more than she reported here?
Who knows? Currently, only Don Imus is asking, so until Libby's lawyers get an opportunity to put her on the stand, we may have to wait patiently.
I'm quite pleased to see the Andrea Mitchell bashing continue. By her own admission, what she said on air doesn't correspond with either her memory or her notes. And she's NBC's top foreign affairs reporter. Yikes. Andrea Mitchell is a joke.
But since I notice a tendency to parse all things Mitchell, I'm wondering why the below quote hasn't been given more attention.
Andrea Mitchell (Nov. 10, on Imus): "I said it was widely known that an envoy had gone [to Niger] -- let me try to find the quote -- but the fact is what I was trying to say, in the rest of that sentence, I said we did not know who the envoy was until the Novak column."
If all her off-the-cuff statements are to be judged by the same standards, can anyone explain that quote to me without excusing it as a mere misstatement or temporary confusion on her part?
Posted by: Jim E. | December 02, 2005 at 12:22 AM
It seems far more plausible that she is trying to come up with some reason for people to believe that her statements from 2+ years didn't mean anything like what the words mean. The Nov 10 story is lame because, well, no non-lame story is possible.
cathy :-)
Why would you possibly think that the Nov 10 statement was off-the-cuff? Why would you think mere misstatement? Why would you think temporary confusion?Posted by: cathyf | December 02, 2005 at 12:31 AM
Mitchell: It was widely known among those of us who cover the intelligence community and who were actively engaged in trying to track down who among the foreign service community was the envoy to Niger. So a number of us began to pick up on that. But frankly I wasn't aware of her actual role at the CIA and the fact that she had a covert role involving weapons of mass destruction, not until Bob Novak wrote it.
So I am sorry I don't see even where it says "I said it was widely known that an envoy had gone [to Niger]" in that statement, or for that matter "I said we did not know who the envoy was until the Novak column.". She says she learned of "the fact that she had a covert role involving weapons of mass destruction, not until Bob Novak wrote it."
Do you?
Posted by: dogtownGuy | December 02, 2005 at 12:37 AM
Brilliant job, Tom.
Posted by: clarice | December 02, 2005 at 12:44 AM
You should look at Meet the Press or Matthews' show around Christmas last year (the year before?). I'm sure she said that she was one of the people initially contacted by the WH.
Posted by: fitzmas | December 02, 2005 at 01:26 AM
Jim E., I've previously offered my theory on why Mitchell said she didn't know who the envoy was prior to Novak's column: she knew she had to backtrack and overshot the mark. She couldn't remember how much she had to forget.
Posted by: MJW | December 02, 2005 at 02:18 AM
After reading the New York Times article of Rove, I would be surprised if Fitzgerald charged Rove.
Let's face it, if the case against Rove was strong, Fitzgerald could have charged him at any time in the two year investigation. At the very least, the fact that Fitzgerald had pause would mean a jury would.
If Fitzgerald charges Rove it would be an attempt to win favor with the media and would be political, not legal.
However, Bush needs to recognize that his nice nice approach to Fitzgerald has not been totally effective. If Rove is charged, they need to begin to question the competence and fairness of Fitzgerald, and prepare the American people for pardons.
As for Andrea Mitchell, the conduct of the media in this case has been a window into their world: their biases, their relationships with government officials, and their ethics or lack of same.
Posted by: Kate | December 02, 2005 at 04:59 AM
This whole mess seems like the kind of thing that Tenet and Powell might tolerate(dare I say encourage?), but that Rice and Goss wouldn't. About time modern management entered the Foggy Bottoms and Langley.
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Posted by: kim | December 02, 2005 at 07:05 AM
Who didn't get a medal?
What did Powell know and when did Powell know it?
And with whom did he share it?
This is his modus, remember.
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Posted by: kim | December 02, 2005 at 07:10 AM
How long can Armitage go without issuing a denial?
How long before reporters start camping his doorstep with cameras asking him the question as he takes his garbage out to the curb?
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Maybe a long time, since it seems nobody is really interested in where the leak started. Well nobody but us hooligans anyway.
Posted by: Dwilkers | December 02, 2005 at 07:22 AM
Joe started it, maybe State widened it.
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Posted by: kim | December 02, 2005 at 07:30 AM
So Fitz is going to charge her and the leaker of the "classified CIA report" she references? Yeah right, I'm sure. Who gave her that? Army? Joe? Badgemam on the grassy knoll? The Easter Bunny?
Yo Fitz welcome to the machine. You have been PLAYED.
Posted by: Dorf | December 02, 2005 at 07:44 AM
You can check out any time you like.
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Posted by: kim | December 02, 2005 at 07:51 AM
You can check out any grand jury you like, but you can never convict.
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Posted by: kim | December 02, 2005 at 07:54 AM
Heh
Tom in Hewitt's fantasy draft of bloggers by clueless MSM outlets it looks like you were selected by NBC to help them figure out Russert/Mitchell's roles in the Plame Blame Game.
Linky Thingy
So....I'm just wondering if you are going to report to training camp, and if so who's your coach? Russert?
Posted by: Dwilkers | December 02, 2005 at 07:56 AM
Correction: But you can never punish. Throwing Sistah Judy into the briar patch doesn't count.
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Posted by: kim | December 02, 2005 at 07:57 AM
Fitz: programmed to receive.
Posted by: Dorf | December 02, 2005 at 08:00 AM
Underrated? Hugh's funnier than I am. Wait, I don't get it.
I just don't know about Fitz. Maybe it's a deep pass he's about to throw, though it's been all fullback up the middle so far.
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Posted by: kim | December 02, 2005 at 08:10 AM
Why is the NY Times reporting on a "story" that is over a week old? The Washington Post has had several articles about this and had to correct their initial spin on the Viveka Novak/Luskin thing after finding out that it was Luskin who urged Fitzgerald to question her in order to help Rove. Yet this morning we get the Times with the original spin and an old story. What is up with them?
Posted by: Florence Schmieg | December 02, 2005 at 09:12 AM
The Grey Lady wanted to draft Tom, but Paul threatened to ...oh you don't want to hear.
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Posted by: kim | December 02, 2005 at 09:16 AM
So no is willing to say that Mitchell was merely mistaken for saying she didn't know who the envoy was until Novak's column, as she claimed on Nov. 10, 2005 on Imus? I mean, Wilson said he was the envoy on July 6 in the NY Times and Mitchell interviewed Wilson himself on the same day. Novak's column came out on July 14.
My point is that the old hag was clearly mistaken on Imus on Nov 10. She was confused and misspoke. As clear as her words were, she made a mistake. (The world knew about Wilson on July 6, so Mitchell knew who the envoy was BEFORE Novak's column.) Why can't Mitchell's Oct 2003 comments be similarly mistaken? She's displayed how clueless she is.
She was on Imus this morning, but I didn't hear or see it. Did the Plame stuff come up?
Posted by: Jim E. | December 02, 2005 at 09:23 AM
Florence-I read the Times story quickly but did not see it as negative for Rove. We know Rove changed his story and had forgotten about his conversation with Cooper. What Fitzgerald needs to find out is whether it was just forgetting or perjury or false statements.
The fact that his lawyer found out that Novak told Luskin that Rove was the source triggered the search for the e-mail. This makes it more likely to be forgetting.
The Times does use language that tries to make this a big negative for Rove.
Posted by: Kate | December 02, 2005 at 09:24 AM
"this morning we get the Times with the original spin and an old story."
Actually, it doesn't have the "original" spin and it broke some news. The NY Times is the first news source (well, blogger Jane Hamster had it a day earlier) to characterize what V. Novak is supposed to testify to. Hardly an old story.
Posted by: Jim E. | December 02, 2005 at 09:25 AM
I agree with Kate and Kim. No indictment of Rove. Too many reporters playing fast and loose with the facts.
Posted by: maryrose | December 02, 2005 at 09:26 AM
I completely concur with MJW about Andrea Mitchell. She's in the process of trying to close pandora's box.
Posted by: maryrose | December 02, 2005 at 09:30 AM
In or out of the box, she's tossed herself to the wolves. Or was she helped?
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Posted by: kim | December 02, 2005 at 10:01 AM
JimE. IMO, Andrea has a couple of problems. She probably knows more than she is telling, but would like to forget she knows it. (The longer this goes on, the more everybody starts to look like Libby). As a reporter, she can't afford to look like she didn't know, but, like Woodward and every other sane person in this case, she has no desire to go before the Grand Jury. We have a GJ called to investigate the leaking of classified information that has morphed in indictments for essentially obstructing that investigation. Who is to say that we won't end up with obstruction indictments for obstructing an investigation about obstruction or Martha Stewart type indictments for lying to the FBI. The longer this goes on, the more it looks like a Seinfeld episode. : ^ )
Posted by: TP | December 02, 2005 at 10:18 AM
Given his previous run-in with the NYT in the terrorist case, Fitz must be getting a certain amount of amusement out of this.
Posted by: TP | December 02, 2005 at 10:22 AM
Mr. McGuire, I would characterize your misguided attacks on my innocent wife's statements as "irrational exuberance". Therefore, I will be raising short term interest rates by a full point (and I pray you have an adjustable rate mortgage).
Posted by: Alan Greenspam | December 02, 2005 at 10:25 AM
Why can't Mitchell's Oct 2003 comments be similarly mistaken? She's displayed how clueless she is.
Actually she can be simply mistaken, but I think that weighing the importance of the initial statement (to the "story") it just doesn't make sense that she didn't prep herself before (by re-reading it before she was asked about it). I guess Andrea could not care if she comes off as uninformed or a total ditz, but I just don't see it. At least not unintentionally.
Posted by: topsecretk9 | December 02, 2005 at 11:44 AM
Jim E:
Could be, could be.For my part, I am confused. Why would Mitchell deliberately lie about something she said previously? It seems clear to me she disavowed her Oct. 2003 comments on Imus. Why would she lie?
Tom seems to think she disclosed information back in Oct. 2003 that might force her to disclose a source before Fitzgerald's grand jury(ies), so she is now crawfishing to prevent that eventuality. But that seems like a potentially huge hit to her credibility as a reporter - it is one thing to hide what you know by keeping silent, and quite another to lie outright. Unless something much more damning comes out, I am inclined to chalk up Mitchell's Oct. 2003 comments as misstatements.
In any case, it seems likely that Fitzgerald must accept a high probability that the press knew about Plame's employment with the CIA before Libby or Rove. If he has decided to stipulate prior press knowledge as a fact, what does that mean for his prosecution of Libby?
Seems to me that the NYT is strengthening the case that Rove is unlikely to fall under indictment, at least for the Cooper thing. The negative spin for Rove is exactly what one would expect from the Times, and suprises exactly nobody. Arguably the length of time between Luskin's conversation and Rove's reappearence before the GJ is uncomfortably long, but certainly not enough by itself to eliminate reasonable doubt. Novak's testimony essentially supporting Rove's version of the chain of events, on the other hand, is strongly exculpatory.
Posted by: Truzenzuzex | December 02, 2005 at 11:56 AM
Truczenzuzex-I think part of the reason the time was so long was because of Cooper's appeal to try to avoid testifying. That took from Oct 04-Summer 05. So if Fitzgerald indicts Rove it's because he's desperate to share another baseball analogy with a captive and loving media audience. That was Rove's last appearance. Are you referring to an earlier appearance?
Posted by: Kate | December 02, 2005 at 12:22 PM
JimE: Scooter might have made a couple of mistakes too. Look where it got him.
Posted by: Dorf | December 02, 2005 at 12:28 PM
Crooks andLiars picked up Andrea on Imus today - apparently, it was time to punt.
Posted by: TM | December 02, 2005 at 12:30 PM
Why would Mitchell deliberately lie about something she said previously?
I don't think Andrea is trying to lie so much as recast her previous statement, to downgrade it's significance.
Posted by: topsecretk9 | December 02, 2005 at 12:34 PM
TM
Is this the "crisis for Journalism" she was speaking of?
Posted by: topsecretk9 | December 02, 2005 at 12:37 PM
The length of time between the Luskin/Novak conversation and Rove's testimony is kind of irrelevant. The time between the Luskin/Novak conversation and contact with Fitzgerald is more important. I don't think we know that date, do we?
Posted by: Sue | December 02, 2005 at 12:45 PM
Kate:
Maybe.I don't know if I would consider Fitzgerald "desperate". He has not acted irrationally, and given the facts detailed in his indictment, there was good reason to believe that Libby had not told the truth. It is also not really a stretch, given the relatively close working relationship of Rove and Libby, to suspect that there was something going on when Rove belatedly brought the Cooper evidence to the GJ.
Fitzgerald is well within his rights to be suspicious, but events are beginning to unfold which suggest Rove's omission of the Cooper conversation were most likely an oversight. Fitzgerald could still indict him, but unless he has a lot more evidence that he deliberately lied than we have seen, such and indictment is likely to fail.
Also, to disparage motivations in the event of a Rove indictment is as unfair in the case of Fitzgerald as it was during Ken Starr's investigation of Clinton. It's easy to accuse someone of a political or self-serving motivation, but it would take a lot more exculpatory evidence than has been revealed so far to make such a charge stick.
Posted by: Truzenzuzex | December 02, 2005 at 01:55 PM
it would take a lot more exculpatory evidence
Say what ?
There's zero culpatory "evidence" for anything. There's been no crime.
With Starr there was a blue dress with DNA, Paula had a real case, and there was an actual Whitewater scam.
Posted by: boris | December 02, 2005 at 11:00 PM
TP: "The longer this goes on, the more it looks like a Seinfeld episode."
Very true. It's so darned entertaining, it's easy to forget it's about nothing.
Posted by: MJW | December 03, 2005 at 04:44 AM
Boris:
Well, the indictment of Libby certainly contains statements that, if borne out as facts, make a straightforward perjury and obstruction case.Rove raising a relevant conversation months after his initial GJ appearance would of course appear suspicious to Fitzgerald. Whether that objective fact is sufficient to support a perjury charge against Rove is certainly questionable.
Posted by: Truzenzuzex | December 03, 2005 at 09:06 AM
make a straightforward perjury and obstruction case
While I understand how some might have that POV, in a non-crime investigation the need for EXculpatory evidence is zero.
IMHO straightforward ??? not
Fitz claimed the sand in his eyes came from Libby. It happens to be obvious as hell that the cloud of sand in this investigation is coming from everyone, including Fitz.
Posted by: boris | December 03, 2005 at 10:52 AM
Not voting in Arkanbamasee for fear of jury duty hurting payday rings true along with the intolerance, and commonly, disgust for politicians.
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Posted by: kim | December 04, 2005 at 06:18 AM