Steve Clemons reports back from a Princeton conference that, according to BobbyRay Inman, the man in Special Counsel Fitzgerald's bull's eye is... Richard Armitage.
Questions I can ask, but not answer (yet):
(1) Why would Inman know this? OK, as "simply one of the smartest people ever to come out of Washington or anywhere", he may know this as part of knowing everything. But maybe there is more.
(2) Do Inman and Armitage have bad blood? For example, some quick googling hints at an Armitage/Perot/Inman ruckus on missing Vietnam POWs, but who knows?
(3) What did Inman actually say? I have a pretty good opinion of Steve Clemons, who makes clear that he is delivering this news as testimony against interest. However, Dan Drezner and Peter Beinart were among the illuminati cited as being at the Princeton conference where this news nugget was delivered - did they pick up on this? They may not have, since Steve tells us that Inman "shared with some of us", perhaps away from his main presentation. [UPDATE: Dan Drezner has lots on this - see below, or here.]
Let's excerpt Steve and press on:
Here is where it gets complicated. Inman told many of us a number of interesting things which I am going to treat off the record.
However, he said one very provocative thing about the CIA Valerie Plame outing investigation that I have confirmed that he has stated at other venues, publicly. I don't feel that Admiral Inman was guarded about his comments -- nor did he ask anyone he was speaking to to treat his comments with discretion.
So, I am only reporting this because he said it elsewhere.
...
What Inman shared with some of us -- and this was a repeated assertion from comments that I have confirmed that he made in Austin -- is that the person in Patrick Fitzgerald's bull's eye is Richard Armitage.
I have written about Armitage many times in the past and hope that this rumor is incorrect.
But I do believe that Armitage was possibly a key source for Dana Priest and Mike Allen early in the Plame outing story and wrote such in November 2005. I don't have more information on whether Armitage was Novak's source or not -- and what legal consequences there might be, if any, if that was the case. I always assumed that Armitage was cooperating closely with Fitzgerald and would not be in any legal jeopardy.
After all, Armitage was recently knighted and a new oil firm board member.
But Inman stating this matters.
As to the plausibility of Armitage having a legal problem - no kidding. I have been whining for a while now about the Mystery Man who leaked to Woodward in mid-June, probably leaked to Novak, and then disclosed only his Novak interaction to the special counsel. No obstruction/perjury charges? No harm to national security? Well, Inman says differently, but how does he know?
As to the plausibility of Armitage leaking the news of Wilson's spousal connection - there is some resistance to this notion by folks who can't grasp why Armitage would participate in a Cheney smear campaign against Wilson.
From the left, the Emptywheel tackled this - her short version is, Armitage mentioned the Cheney spousal pushback only to deride it.
I mused about Armitage's motive and opportunity here; the short version is, Armitage mentioned the wife to take a swipe at the CIA - "ask the CIA about Africa and they call in their hubby from State anyway". Less of a smear, more of a punchline. And I still like this old post examining the history of the Novak/Armitage reporting relationship - they were friendly.
On the legal front, it is hard to square Inman's "Crosshairs" comment with this WaPo story telling us that the judge was going to keep Woodward's source secret since he did not face charges:
But Walton's decision to continue to protect the anonymity of one administration official, whom Libby's attorneys described as a confidential source about Plame for two reporters, one of them apparently Washington Post Assistant Managing Editor Bob Woodward, is a blow to Libby's case. Defense attorneys had said they needed to know the official's identity and the details of his conversations with the two journalists to show that Libby was not lying when he testified that many reporters knew about Plame's identity.
But Walton said the source's identity is not relevant, and there is no reason to sully the source's reputation because the person faces no charges.
Well - that might have meant "no charges at this time". Or they may have been referring to someone else - the transcript is not crystal clear on this.
OOPS: We are stopping, rather than ending. In an earlier discussion, Jeff detailed ambiguities from the transcript and argued that the WaPo had this wrong, and that Judge Walton was protecting someone else; somewhere, I responded that future redactions to a subsequently-released document are discussed in the transcript, and may solve Jeff's puzzle. Well, there is enough here for folks to get started, I hope.
UPDATE: Dan Drezner confirms Steve Clemon's report and adds this:
1) I can confirm Inman's statements as Clemons reports them. I can confirm them because Inman made these assertions (and others that, like Steve, I will treat as off the record) to me and the others at my lunch table on the second day of the conference.
2) I would describe Inman's knowledge of this as coming from sources who would be/would have been in a position to know the fact chain on these events. It's not simply that a former NSA head still has automatic insid info privileges.
and
4) Related to (3), it is my understanding that what has been blogged here is pretty much common knowledge inside the Beltway. I am genuinely surprised that it hasn't appeared anywhere else in the blogoshere.
If Novak and Armitage are friendly, that might explain why he has been so damned quiet about his role in all of this. I'd probably have gone insane by now if I was Novak and couldn't really tell everyone just what in the hell actually happened. It's most likely Armitage who got wind of this wife business, and threw it out there for Novak and Woodward as a snappy criticism of the CIA.
Remember, Wilson's anonymous leaks contended that both Cheney's office and the State Department had received an alleged report about Wilson debunking the Niger forgeries. You can bet that the State Department was doing the same thing as the OVP, trying to debunk lies alleged against them by Wilson and his VIPS posse. Since INR was at the meeting where the Wilsons were in attendance, the State Department got to know about Mrs. Wilson on their own knowledge. Of course, they didn't know Mrs. Wilson's classified employment, it seems.
It looks like perhaps the CIA was incompetent in more ways than one...
Posted by: Seixon | May 18, 2006 at 02:58 PM
another question: if George Tenet approved the CIA referral, whom was he hoping to ensnare? Maybe CIA were aiming at Armitage, not Cheney/Rove.
This is way above my pay grade, but is there anyone who can opine on this?
Posted by: JohnH | May 18, 2006 at 03:10 PM
I think number 3 is the big one: "What did Inman actually say?" "Crosshairs" might mean anything from the target of an investigation to a central player in the initial leak (where confirmation of Armitage as UGO would be news, but hardly a shocker). Without knowing his actual words, this is impossible to evaluate.
Further, I'd note Inman's deep legal analysis of the NSA issue:
Excuse me if I wait for a bit more detailed legal opinion.Posted by: Cecil Turner | May 18, 2006 at 03:13 PM
If true this is a huge development and will blow this case wide open-here's hoping!
Posted by: maryrose | May 18, 2006 at 03:15 PM
Oh...I have no doubt Tenet pushed it to snap back at Armitage...and this started as a leak investigation, I am sure most/many inside the beltway --inside and out of government-- knew Armitage was Novak's source -- that's why the WH cooperated so generously with waivers and whatnot.
It will be really interesting to root through Millers notebook.
Posted by: topsecretk9 | May 18, 2006 at 03:17 PM
Admiral Inman:
That seems a long time ago to have any current knowledge about intelligence matters unless one of the following is nothing more than a front for one of the agencies:
Posted by: Sara (Squiggler) | May 18, 2006 at 03:17 PM
Well, I think one could think of Inman as kind of a loose cannon. He spouts a lot of things, mostly off the record. I doubt he has any direct knowledge of this but he's a smart man, probably followed the case a bit and put his two and two together.
We figured out Armitage, so why couldn't he? Inman just took the extra step of being positive that Armitage is the target.
But it's good. It gets us talking about Armitage again. Going over old stuff and folding in any new stuff.
But it was Clemons, not Inman, who thinks Armitage was the source for the 1x2x6, right?
I never even considered that, truthfully. No reason, it just didn't cross my mind. Grossman's just as good for that so ::shrug::
Except it was JL who said it was Grossman, so now maybe I hope it was Armitage instead. ;)
Posted by: Syl | May 18, 2006 at 03:26 PM
If this is true, can someone explain why Robert Novak wasn't tossed in prison, while Judith Miller was?
Here is the logic diagramed:
Libby :: Miller
Indicted :: Prison
Armitage :: Novak
Crosshairs :: ????
I don't get it.
Posted by: Fresh Air | May 18, 2006 at 03:27 PM
Squig,
You can cross of Fluor as a front company.
It is not a front company unless of course the people working there are doing double duties.
Posted by: Sue | May 18, 2006 at 03:33 PM
Eeeeoooggggghhhhh....that drives me nuts...
Posted by: Sue | May 18, 2006 at 03:34 PM
http://www.fluor.com/about/history.asp>Fluor
Posted by: Sue | May 18, 2006 at 03:34 PM
She was put in jail (not prison) for civil contempt of court.
Novak apparently cooperated with the investigation.
Posted by: Chants | May 18, 2006 at 03:35 PM
I repeat from the other thread--if this is true, what does it do to the Libby case:
Ok--You're Fitz..and you've got the Libby case..Your witnesses are Cooper( weak--his wife/Calibresi plotting with Wilson), Miller (pure bafflegab) and Russert(seems evasive ;Mitchell everyone knew;Matthews clearly partisan and from JL's fiasco obviously getting crap info from the Wilsonistas) . Libby's screaming he didn't leak and he heard it from reporters or from officials who said they'd heard it from reporters.(Woodward says that may be true)
Grossman is also a key witness--says he told it early to Libby. (Grossman worked for Armitage and is a long time Wilson friend)
And now you've got Armitage who told, deliberately obstructed and who is Armitage's boss.
Your next play is?
Posted by: clarice | May 18, 2006 at 03:38 PM
If a person were not following this situation very close, he might not know that everyone knows that Armitage was Novak's source. And if you weren't following close, common sense would tell you that Fitz is after Novak's source. Then along comes a guy that assumes you know a lot more than you know and, all of sudden, Armitage is a target...even though folks who are following close know that Fitzgerald has given no indication he is going after anyone outside the greater White House area...Ask Leopold...it's dangerous thinking other people know more than you do...
Posted by: Epphan | May 18, 2006 at 03:38 PM
*******and who is Grossman's' boss.
Posted by: clarice | May 18, 2006 at 03:39 PM
Armitage?
Posted by: Chants | May 18, 2006 at 03:41 PM
Thanks for the link Sue. I was starting to work through the list with Google, but my son has his final paper due today for his final class before hopefully graduating and getting his degree. Mom has to type it and hopefully correct the spelling and grammatical errors. This is a big deal since my son took nearly 16 years after h.s. graduation to decide that a college education might be helpful in moving out of the low pay, take orders from those less qualified category and into the jobs he really wanted.
Posted by: Sara (Squiggler) | May 18, 2006 at 03:42 PM
Your next play is Armitage.
But what do you, as the prosecutor, do with Libby?
Posted by: Chants | May 18, 2006 at 03:43 PM
Chants, that is my question too. I am very much wondering whether Fitz is thinking he moved way way too quickly against Libby. And if he did, and I believe he did, what the heck does he do about it at this late date?
Posted by: Sara (Squiggler) | May 18, 2006 at 03:47 PM
What exactly do those emails contain?
Posted by: Sue | May 18, 2006 at 03:48 PM
Yeah, it's a little late for a hand shake and an apology.
Posted by: Chants | May 18, 2006 at 03:49 PM
No problem Squig. I know people who work for Fluor.
Posted by: Sue | May 18, 2006 at 03:50 PM
Your next play is?
Go perjury-fishing? (BTW, I have to eat a little crow here on the perjury trap thing. I've previously suggested the questions on count five were a good indication of that, but on rereading the presser it appears they were probably from a grand juror.)
I admit having a jones for Grossman, who appears to be the person who provided the information to the source (or perhaps was the source himself). I'm having a hard time reconciling Fitz's various statements with Armitage being in trouble.
Posted by: Cecil Turner | May 18, 2006 at 03:50 PM
If these facts are true and Fitz doesn't indict Armitage, you can bet that Woodward will talk and when he does he makes Libby's case of selective prosecution.
If these facts are true, and he doesn't indict Armitage, he further weakens an already weak case.
Posted by: clarice | May 18, 2006 at 03:50 PM
Sara
Congrats to your son!
Chants
But what do you, as the prosecutor, do with Libby?
Pray Libby's counsel isn't as good as they seem to be?
Posted by: Syl | May 18, 2006 at 03:50 PM
If these facts are true and he DOES indict Armitage, he also further weakens an already weak case.
Posted by: clarice | May 18, 2006 at 03:51 PM
Cecil, is it possible that Fitz' earlier statements were made before he had additional evidence from Rove and B. Novak?
Posted by: clarice | May 18, 2006 at 03:55 PM
Yeah, it's a little late for a hand shake and an apology.
Well, if you think about it ... this is a pretty similar scenario as Frank Cowles Jr. situation Fitz was in
(and again note...Robert Luskin, Patton Boggs)
Posted by: topsecretk9 | May 18, 2006 at 03:57 PM
Did the Wilsonistas leak crap to JL to deflect from the fact that Grossman and Armitage may be under the gun?
Posted by: clarice | May 18, 2006 at 03:57 PM
Clarice- a legal question-
Let's say Libby was mistaken in his original statements to the FBI. And he really thinks that he heard it from reporters, etc. i.e, he doesn't remember the Fleischer conversations, etc, that Fitzgerald alleges in teh indictment as to how he 'really' learned about Plame...
So assuming Fitz has evidence that contradicts Libby's statements (Fleischer's deposition/testiomy let's say)...Is he (fitz) under any obligation to try and reconcile those 2 pieces of info in the grand jury investigation? In other words, would he (or should he) have asked 'you tolf the FBI you first heard about it on such date, we have testimony from XX that he told you the same info on YY date"...
Isn't that why Rove's been back 5 times, to 'correct' testimony? Was Libby not given the same chance? Or did he just stick to his story, and that's why he's being indicted...
But if that is why he's being indicted, as TM has pointed out, doesn't the Cheney writing on the op-ed conflict with his story? Cheney has questions, including one about his wife sending him, but yet Libby, his right hand man, not only doesn't see Cheney's questions, but doesn't answer his boss's questions?
Posted by: Steve | May 18, 2006 at 03:57 PM
ts--Did I tell you lately that I love you?
Posted by: clarice | May 18, 2006 at 03:58 PM
Clarice
back at ya!
Posted by: topsecretk9 | May 18, 2006 at 04:00 PM
Steve, we simply have no idea from what is in the indictment all the interrogation so I can't answer your questions.
As to the Cheney annotations, please look and see that (a) we don't know who saw what when, and (b) they underline every Wilson lie. Libby's testimony has consistently been that he was tasked to substantively respond to THOSE, and apparently his task was really complicated by the fact that the declassification of the NIE, necessary to rebut those, was a go/stop/go affair.
Posted by: clarice | May 18, 2006 at 04:01 PM
I can't help myself. Grossman turns me off and something visceral happens every time I see his smarmy face. I hate to say this, but I want him to go down ... bad! I cannot look at him and remain objective, no matter how hard I try.
Posted by: Sara (Squiggler) | May 18, 2006 at 04:03 PM
clarice
I don't see how fitz can indict Armitage from what we know.
(1)Even if Armitage was the source for 1x2x6 which set the investigation off in a certain direction (along with wilson) there's no crime in lying to the press.
(2)Woodward said it was an offhand comment and no indication it was sensitive information.
(3) We don't even know if fitz asked him whether he told anyone else. Fitz probably did ask but posed the question within a certain timeframe that didn't fit.
But there's a helluva lot we don't know.
What Armitage testified to.
What Novak said.
Whether fitz has any relevant emails or conversations between Grossman and Armitage.
Whether fitz did anything after armitage testified besides questioning Rove and possibly Novak again.
A lot we don't know. But from what we DO know it doesn't look likely. But you know fitzy so, well, who knows.
Posted by: Syl | May 18, 2006 at 04:03 PM
still think Grossman is 1x2x6
Posted by: topsecretk9 | May 18, 2006 at 04:05 PM
Will you concede that if he was UGO, was asked and didn't tell about Woodward and then wouldn't let Woodward come forward, he is in trouble.
I concede that if he wasn't asked or wasn't asked the right question he may slide.
Posted by: clarice | May 18, 2006 at 04:07 PM
ts I still think Grossman is 1x2x6, too..but Libby claims that is he was he had an ulterior motive to protect Armitage, his boss. (And Wilson his friend.)
Posted by: clarice | May 18, 2006 at 04:08 PM
ARgghhhh.. getting sleepy.
Later, peeps!
Posted by: Syl | May 18, 2006 at 04:09 PM
clarice & ts
Knock off the mushy stuff.
Posted by: patch | May 18, 2006 at 04:10 PM
Sleep is for sissies.
Posted by: clarice | May 18, 2006 at 04:10 PM
clarice
Yes, if fitz asked UGO point blank if he told anyone else and UGO said no, then there might be something. Though UGO voluntarily went back to correct himself. That's just one of the things we don't know.
(I think 1x2x6 is Grossman too.)
Later...
Posted by: Syl | May 18, 2006 at 04:11 PM
Shockingly, clarice thinks that whatever happens, it weakens an already weak case against Libby. Armitage in jeopardy? Good for Libby! Armitage out of jeopardy? Good for Libby! Cheney pinpointed at the heart of the response to Wilson giving Libby notes that express exactly the bit of information that stepped over the line? Good for Libby! It's unfalsifiably the case that whatever happens, it's good for Libby!
Posted by: Jeff | May 18, 2006 at 04:13 PM
I don't know what the history of Novak and Armitage is but their interests did coincide quite closely leading up to the Iraq war. Both were highly skeptical of it. And Armitage was not exactly making any favorites at the WH with his public pronouncements along these lines. How that would play into this is unclear, but it makes it highly unlikely Cheney and Armitage were passing notes back and forth about that hot chick in the front row, Valerie Plame.
Posted by: Barney Frank | May 18, 2006 at 04:14 PM
Well if you think about and 1x2x6 specifically...Grossman sort of set-up FUBAR'd everyone - particularly since there is no charge for outing.
1x2x6 only served Grossman, and in a round-about way Armitage had he not talked to Woodward way back when.
That may be why fitz has been teetering on the small case/little case...when Woodward appeared he should have (and could be) taking closer look...and if he is, he'd see the 1x2x6 article was the thing that led things astray
So say Fitz is focusing on Army and say Grossman...and has a shot of reality...he can still keep the little case on Libby.
Just a theory.
Posted by: topsecretk9 | May 18, 2006 at 04:16 PM
But it does weaken Fitz' case against Libby. He is relying heavily on Grossman's testimony. And while he's backed off the claim, he believed Libby was the "first to leak"--indeed, that's why he seized on the bafflegab conversation with Miller on June 23 because it was the earliest conversation he could find --until Woodward showed up.
Posted by: clarice | May 18, 2006 at 04:17 PM
small case/big case
I meant
Posted by: topsecretk9 | May 18, 2006 at 04:17 PM
And if he indicts Armitage, really the obstruction count against Libby is ridiculous.
Posted by: clarice | May 18, 2006 at 04:18 PM
Sara-
Congo Rats to you & your son.
8^)~~
Posted by: Dwilkers | May 18, 2006 at 04:21 PM
If the folks in the White House knew that the Plame cat was out of the bag via State, prior to the Miller/Cooper contacts, it would explain a few things.
1) Libby/Rove could caution reporters “not to get too far out” on the Wilson thing and to wait a few days for portions of the NIE to be released, without having to “out” Plame, due to the fact that the background (Plame inspired junket) was already in the wind.
2) Since the WH knew that reporters already had Plame’s name, they could react to leading questions from the press “as if hearing it for the first time”.
3) The administration’s cooperation in establishing a Special Prosecutor would be understandable if they thought that all roads led to State in the investigation.
Posted by: jwest | May 18, 2006 at 04:25 PM
What was Rove's relationship with Armitage. I speculate that they were not very close. Armitage is a career stateman. Rove is a political advisor to Bush. I don't see a lot of overlap there.
So if this more recent grand jury has it's crosshairs on Armitage, why the multiple appearances by Rove? What information would he have that would be useful in exposing Armitage's potential culpability?
Posted by: Chants | May 18, 2006 at 04:32 PM
---why the multiple appearances by Rove? What information would he have that would be useful in exposing Armitage's potential culpability?---
Rove said he learned the **Name** Plame from Novak on their July 9th phone call. Novak said he did not know the actual *name* Plame when he talked to Rove (on the 9th, two days before his story was sent out)
Hmmm, since Fitz is focusing on Rove and Libby this is suspicious to Fitz - like he thinks Rove is being cute -- and obviously he bought the story Novak and UGO had on their mutual contacts...
but then pops up Woodward who says the UGO who - I guess said he only talked to Novak (after the Rove call -- but remember Rove was not a *confirming* source) who tells Fotz your UGO was talking about Plame way back - that is BEFORE Novak called Rove.
In that sense, Rove saying he heard from Novak looks a lot more likely
Posted by: topsecretk9 | May 18, 2006 at 04:41 PM
clarice (12:38 and 12:39 pm)-
You got it right the first time. It's pretty clear who's really at the center of this. And everybody ... bar none ... wants to shield him.
Posted by: ghostcat | May 18, 2006 at 04:41 PM
I believe Rove was under suspicion because his testimony about his conversation with Novak didn't match Novak's account. (There was the forgotten conversation with Cooper, too, but I believe that proved understandable).
Now Armitage and Novak's conversation is under more scrutiny..and perhaps in Novaks and Rove's last appearances Rove is cleared and Armitage appears more blameworthy, especially after Woodward's testimony that he kept reminding Armitage and he refused to let Woodward come forward and set the record straight.
Posted by: clarice | May 18, 2006 at 04:42 PM
anyways...call me crazy but it doesn't look like the Rove indictment is going to be announced today...maybe he said 24 days.
Posted by: topsecretk9 | May 18, 2006 at 04:44 PM
That's 24 "business" days.
Posted by: Chants | May 18, 2006 at 04:46 PM
24 business days on Zongo.
Looks like it'll be a busy weekend, too, with the J's order coming out Fri night. URGH
Posted by: clarice | May 18, 2006 at 04:47 PM
Armitage would take a bullet to protect him. Literally.
Posted by: ghostcat | May 18, 2006 at 04:48 PM
He is relying heavily on Grossman's testimony. And while he's backed off the claim, he believed Libby was the "first to leak"--indeed, that's why he seized on the bafflegab conversation with Miller on June 23 because it was the earliest conversation he could find --until Woodward showed up.
Explain how any of this makes one bit of difference to the case against Libby.
And why it is not possible for two different people, with different motivations, to obstruct justice in a single investigation is beyond me. The short version: Libby was lying about his own actions. And Armitage was lying about his own actions.
Posted by: Jeff | May 18, 2006 at 04:51 PM
Is it Powell, Ghostcat?
Posted by: Chants | May 18, 2006 at 04:51 PM
I don't think the record is at all clear that Libby deliberately lied. In fact, he had no reason to.
But Armitage deliberately obstructed the investigation if Woodward is to be believed and I do not see why Fitz would say Libby was the "first to leak" if Armitage had been forthcoming about all his conversations with reporters.
Posted by: clarice | May 18, 2006 at 04:53 PM
I think that Fitzgerald had it all worked out: The WH pushback was to out Plame, and the whole lot of them lied and made up the story about giving the NIE to Miller early. All he needed was to get Miller, and get her to testify that they never gave her any NIE info, and they told her about Plame. He was going to have his "first leak" and he can argue to the jury that Libby leaked to Miller so that he could then claim (lying) when the knowledge started coming back from reporters that he first heard it from the reporters. So he throws her in jail for 85 days, and then she talks. After all of this time and obsessive focus, Fitzgerald uses her testimony as a rhorshack test, seeing what he wanted.
There was what, less than a month between Miller testifying and the indictment? Given all of the legal T's to be crossed and I's to be dotted to get the indictment, I have to believe that Ftzgerald decided to indict basically the same day or within just a few days of Miller testifying. A decision which seems more and more hasty now, doesn't it...
cathy :-)
Interesting thought... My first knee-jerk reaction was fast?!?!? After 2-1/2 years? But upon further thought...Posted by: cathyf | May 18, 2006 at 05:00 PM
Yes, it does..And you'll note he seems to have overlooked the fact that JM had Wilson's name and phone no in her notebook, that he agreed she didn't have to name other sources, and , therefore, he doesn't know if Armitage was one of her sources, too, and he can't ask her.
Posted by: clarice | May 18, 2006 at 05:02 PM
The only practical thing an Armitage exposure would do to the Libby "small case" is that Grossman's testimony about what he told Libby could be more easily impeached.
But that's a big so what. Grossman is hardly the only person to talk to Libby about Plame. (But, if Armitage is in trouble, I would think Grossman would be too)
I second Jeff. Just because Armitage may have lied doesn't mean Libby was truthful.
Posted by: Appalled Moderate | May 18, 2006 at 05:04 PM
I do not see why Fitz would say Libby was the "first to leak" if Armitage had been forthcoming about all his conversations with reporters.
Right. Fitzgerald certainly would not have believed that, as far as he knew, Libby was the first to leak if he knew that Armitage leaked before him. But again, clarice, that has no particular bearing on the legal case against Libby. And Armitage being first does not alter whatsoever Libby's reasons to lie. Did you think he had reasons to lie before we discovered that Armitage had leaked first? Would you think that Libby had reason to lie if he were in fact the first to leak?
It's one thing to score points about Fitzgerald for having erroneously believed, as far as he knew, that Libby was the first to leak. It's another to make out how it has any impact on the legal case against Libby.
It certainly alters our understanding of what happened in the world in spring-summer 2003. But that's a different matter.
Posted by: Jeff | May 18, 2006 at 05:04 PM
How about we get Jason Leopold to expose Richard Armitage as UGO in a big news story? Hell, that one might actually turn out true........ ;)
Posted by: Seixon | May 18, 2006 at 05:05 PM
Clarice--
Libby didn't lie! He told Fitz he said something to Russert that turned out to be untrue. That's not the same as lying to Fitz. I know I'm splitting hairs, but a half-hair is not enough to indict someone of probity on perjury.
IMHO, of course.
Posted by: Fresh Air | May 18, 2006 at 05:05 PM
he agreed she didn't have to name other sources
False. He asked her about other Plame sources, and she pleaded forgetfulness as to who they were, or even when, while affirming that she had them.
And again, Fitzgerald knew for quite a while that Armitage had apparently been the first leaker to Novak. And he knew that well before he seems to have known that Libby leaked to Miller on June 23, though he knew they had a conversation apparently, or even for sure on July 8 (probably a few hours, maybe minutes before Armitage leaked to Novak, but who really knows). So the point is that you can't make out that Fitzgerald had his narrative of the White House, of OVP, or Libby leaking first all along, and that was suddenly, after two and a half years, upset by the revelation that Armitage leaked to Woodward first. In fact, I do suspect Fitzgerald regrets the press conference comments about Libby being the first known leaker, precisely because nothing hung on June 23 being the first leak.
Posted by: Jeff | May 18, 2006 at 05:09 PM
Unless of course you find something in those emails that were classified that changes Grossman's testimony and therefore, changes what Fitzgerald believes he knows about Libby and Libby's motive. I thought it odd that Fitzgerald thinks it is important to show Libby's motive for lying, and the judge seemed to agree, but when Libby's side wanted to show why they felt they had no motive to lie, the judge wasn't sure it was relevant.
Posted by: Sue | May 18, 2006 at 05:10 PM
Oh, I agree. I do not think he lied. And I think if Armitage is indicted, if further affects Grossman's credibility. If Grossman's credibility is seriously undercut it further diminishes Fitz arguments that Libby had any reason to lie and did lie.
Posted by: clarice | May 18, 2006 at 05:10 PM
'Questions I can ask, but not answer '
How about how a man in his 70s is still called Bobby Ray?
Posted by: Patrick R. Sullivan | May 18, 2006 at 05:13 PM
Cecil, is it possible that Fitz' earlier statements were made before he had additional evidence from Rove and B. Novak?
Some undoubtedly were. But he had to know UGO was the first leaker to Novak, and I don't see why he'd get too excited about discussions with Woodward. (Even assuming he'd asked the question.)
Cheney has questions, including one about his wife sending him, but yet Libby, his right hand man, not only doesn't see Cheney's questions, but doesn't answer his boss's questions?
Is there any evidence Libby saw the annotated article in question? If not, this speculation goes nowhere. If so, the timing is critical. And in any event, the best explanation for Libby's temporary memory loss is conflating an earlier conversation (possibly pre-July 6) with Russert's, so over-reliance on dates might not be persuasive.
But again, clarice, that has no particular bearing on the legal case against Libby.
Of course it does. UGO's leaks makes Libby's story more plausible. And the earlier it happened, the more plausible Libby's story is.
Posted by: Cecil Turner | May 18, 2006 at 05:13 PM
Chants -
Assuming the intelligence, decency and patriotism of Fitz and nearly all of the other players in this cast ... which I do ... there seems to be no other theory which explains such odd behavior. Powell, yes.
(Are you a gardener, by the way?)
Posted by: ghostcat | May 18, 2006 at 05:13 PM
Jeff, before Judy got out of jail, she insisted on an agreement with Fitz and got it that she would not have to name other sources. We both know that.
Posted by: clarice | May 18, 2006 at 05:14 PM
see...I never get
respect!
Posted by: windansea | May 18, 2006 at 05:15 PM
Could someone please tell me what 1x2x6 means?
Thanks
Posted by: Jane | May 18, 2006 at 05:15 PM
Could someone please tell me what 1x2x6 means?
Thanks
Posted by: Jane | May 18, 2006 at 05:17 PM
-- Fitzgerald knew for quite a while that Armitage had apparently been the first leaker to Novak. ---
but, believed --the name drop--took place AFTER Novak talked to Rove
which makes Novaks Who Who make more sense.
Posted by: topsecretk9 | May 18, 2006 at 05:17 PM
Could someone please tell me what 1x2x6 means?
Thanks
Posted by: Jane | May 18, 2006 at 05:18 PM
Could someone please tell me what 1x2x6 means?
Thanks
Posted by: Jane | May 18, 2006 at 05:18 PM
More on Inman's statements form another Princeton conference participant.
Posted by: Appalled Moderate | May 18, 2006 at 05:19 PM
Jane:
One from state tells 2 in the WH who then tells six reporters.
Posted by: Chants | May 18, 2006 at 05:20 PM
First, a Justice Department source, speaking on background, says that Alberto Gonzales did not go to the courthouse on Friday, May 12.
http://corner.nationalreview.com/>Byron York
Posted by: Sue | May 18, 2006 at 05:20 PM
Thanks Chants!
Posted by: Jane | May 18, 2006 at 05:28 PM
Thanks Sue...why didn't Libby's lawyers use this in the motion for dismissal (or would they save it for an appeal)
ATTY GEN. GONZALES: I am recused from this investigation. I have been since coming to the Department of Justice. That means that not only am I recused from making decisions or participating in decisions regarding this investigation, I am recused from receiving information about the investigation. Quite frankly, you probably know more about this case than I do. I do not receive briefings. I do not receive any information about this particular case.
And in terms of what will happen going forward, you — you have as much information about that as I do. That's — that'll be a decision made by Pat Fitzgerald.
looks like it doesn't matter if the newspapers are for supervision, there is no supervision (do you think the black out those parts when the secretary delivers Alberto "public report"?)
Posted by: topsecretk9 | May 18, 2006 at 05:28 PM
Jane, I apologize for not responding..I was answering some emails. I hope you won't think me rude.
Posted by: clarice | May 18, 2006 at 05:29 PM
Thanks Chants!
Posted by: Jane | May 18, 2006 at 05:30 PM
Thanks Chants!
Posted by: Jane | May 18, 2006 at 05:30 PM
Jeff:
Libby did not lie. Clarice's logic about this case and the consequences regarding Grossman Armitage and Rove and yes even Libby makes more sense than yours. Why can't you just admit that. You are grasping at straws and dissing us on other blogs at the same time.
Posted by: maryrose | May 18, 2006 at 05:37 PM
"First, a Justice Department source, speaking on background, says that Alberto Gonzales did not go to the courthouse on Friday, May 12."
Will Truthout now stand by their liar?
Posted by: Boggs | May 18, 2006 at 05:39 PM
Before this thread decends into bizarro Jeff bashing, some news from Dan Drezner's blog, who heard the same comments Steve Clemons did:
Apparently, there was other relevent dirt that Dr. Drezner could not report. *sigh*.
And, as for the Jeff bashers, do some gazing into the mirror.
Posted by: Appalled Moderate | May 18, 2006 at 05:42 PM
Well.
Rawstory has picked up the Armitage story. It now officially has more legs than the recent Leopold story, which Rawstory too unreliable to repeat.
Posted by: Chants | May 18, 2006 at 05:43 PM
Would it seem to obvious if we invited Inman to dinner tonight?
Posted by: clarice | May 18, 2006 at 05:44 PM
Boy, how will the judge get Fitz out of this one??
Ban any talk of UGO at trail.
I can hear the judge now:
JUDGE: I see no reason why we have to burden the jury with any of the actual truth of the investigation. Its just not relevant, I mean, unless good old Fitz wants something in, then we need to evaluate it.
Posted by: Patton | May 18, 2006 at 05:44 PM
Maybe Powells reported comment "everyone knew" could be seen as a excuse/explanation to explain why Armitage wasn't doing anything wrong.
Look, everyone knew this stuff, he wasn't talking out of school, etc. etc....trying to bail his buddy Armitage out...
Posted by: Patton | May 18, 2006 at 05:47 PM
Who is bashing Jeff? And..um...Jeff is not always bearing roses himself...in fact there is a certain someone Jeff seeks to bash here pretty consistently...
Posted by: topsecretk9 | May 18, 2006 at 05:47 PM
The "first leaker" detail is all about Fitzgerald being sure that he had a complete chain of custody of the information, and who said it. It's all about it being impossible for Russert to say anything like Libby claims that he said, because it is impossible for Russert to have had the knowledge. So Russert's hair-splitting weasel-words don't need to be examined too closely because he couldn't have known. Now we've got the whole theory of Woodward telling one or more people and gossip getting around, around to Russert, and maybe the Russert/Libby conversation really was as Libby described it, and this puts Fitzgerald in the position where all of a sudden all he has on the Russert counts are Russert's weasel words and lack of notes and if you look very closely Russert doesn't actually contradict Libby. Or maybe the conversation was as Libby recounted it, but with Woodward, or maybe even some other reporter who heard it from a source that goes back to Woodward.
The only way to have possibly eliminated those most reasonable of reasonable doubts is to have an investigation, track down leads, track down all the people Woodward could have told. No time for that now, though, the time for that is past, now that there is an indictment.
cathy :-)
But we don't know what else Novak told Fitzgerald about what he did with the knowledge between when Armitage told him and he published. It may be that Novak is quite adamant that he only spoke to specific people at specific points about Plame and is sure that he remembers them all. Woodward is the loose cannon in Fitzgerald's universe -- he freely admits that while he remembers telling some people, he has no idea how many others he told and when. And thinks that it is reasonably likely that he did tell others.Posted by: cathyf | May 18, 2006 at 05:48 PM
Let's hope that the Libby team gets the stories and sends them to the judge..After all we've (a) heard that Fitz can be supervised by reading the newspapers and (b)the jury should be allowed to treat false and prejudicial news accounts as evidence.
Posted by: clarice | May 18, 2006 at 05:48 PM
I think the best thing to come out of this for Wilson is Armitage will be able to do a much better FROG MARCH then Rove. Armitage has the body for it.
It will be a BULL FROG MARCH!!
Posted by: Patton | May 18, 2006 at 05:49 PM
Is Armitage as tasy a meal as Karl Rove? I have to admit beyond Colin Powell I could nver have named a single employee in the State Dept. Never heard of Armitage before I started reading on this blog. But I knew who Karl Rove was! This is gonna be so disappointing if true for the nutroots crowd. Probably also for those who claim to be moderate but post like a progressive's progressive.
Posted by: Gary Maxwell | May 18, 2006 at 05:49 PM