All the Democrats bitterly clinging to their dream of moving to France if McCain wins had better think again - per the Times, the middle-class is being squeezed there as well:
For Europe’s Middle-Class, Stagnant Wages Stunt Lifestyle
LES ULIS, France — When their local bakery in this town south of Paris raised the price of a baguette for the third time in six months, Anne-Laure Renard and Guy Talpot bought a bread maker. When gasoline became their biggest single expense, they sold one of their two cars.
Their combined annual income of 40,000 euros, about $62,500, lands Ms. Renard, a teacher, and Mr. Talpot, a postal worker, smack in the middle of France’s middle class. And over the last year, prices in France have risen four times as fast as their salaries.
At the end of every month, they blow past their bank account’s $900 overdraft limit, plunging themselves deeper into a spiral of greater resourcefulness and regret.
“In France, when you can’t afford a baguette anymore, you know you’re in trouble,” Ms. Renard said one recent evening in her kitchen, as her partner measured powdered milk for their 13-month-old son, Vincent. “The French Revolution started with bread riots.”
Arugula is through the roof too.
The European dream is under assault, as the wave of inflation sweeping the globe mixes with this continent’s long-stagnant wages. Families that once enjoyed Europe’s vaunted quality of life are pinching pennies to buy necessities, and cutting back on extras like movies and vacations abroad.
Potentially more disturbing — especially to the political and social order — are the millions across the continent grappling with the realization that they may have lives worse, not better, than their parents.
“I have this feeling that there is a wall in front of us,” said Axel Marceau, a 41-year-old schoolteacher living outside of Frankfurt. “We’re just not going to get any further.”
His concerns are well-founded. A study by the German Institute for Economic Research in Berlin found that the broad middle of the German work force, defined as workers making from 70 to 150 percent of the median income, shrunk to 54 percent of the population last year, from 62 percent in 2000.
Mr. Marceau’s father had a teaching job that afforded the family upward mobility, from owning a home to fancy ski vacations. But today, Mr. Marceau said, a new class of bankers, executives and other high earners has taken over. “I feel like we’ve been in a slow process of losing to the people up top,” he said.
This article does not dwell on the slow fiscal train wreck coming as Europeans retire and the ratio of retirees to workers rises. The Social Security/Medicare crisis in this country is as nothing by comparison.
Didn't the NYT's crack economist/columnist tell us a short while ago that the French life was superior on the happiness scale?
In DC the Wash Po is desperately looking for hard times stories (not many because in my forty years' year this place has never been more economically prosporous). The lead story on the front page is of a middle class govt worker who has had to cut out buying organic meat from whole foods and now buys only organic milk for the baby, not the adults.
Ludicrous? You bet. People dumb enough to pay a premium for organic food to fatten the pockets of the Whole Food owners can eat trans fat cake for all I care.
Posted by: clarice | May 01, 2008 at 11:51 AM
It's a quagmire!
Posted by: Chris | May 01, 2008 at 11:59 AM
Wow. No more overseas vacations for some. Hang around and enjoy the local scenery. Things are really, really bad for some people.
Posted by: Sue | May 01, 2008 at 12:07 PM
EUland's demographic chickens aren't coming home to roost. Not today, not tomorrow and not in the foreseeable future. They have achieved the progressive dream of non-sustainable lack of growth.
"The Social Security/Medicare crisis in this country is as nothing by comparison."
We don't even have a "crisis". As long as our population continues to grow, adjustments can be made to retirement age and the idiotic COLA (which tacks a "bonus" on top of inflation) to bring income/expense into balance within short order. There is no such solution available for the Europeans. The shrinking population base can't increase at a rate sufficient to carry the burden over the next forty years.
Progressive immiseration is on sale here in the States right now - if you'd like some, vote RW or BHO. They'll deliver to your doorstep.
Posted by: Rick Ballard | May 01, 2008 at 12:07 PM
Krugman Aug 2005):
"First things first: given all the bad-mouthing the French receive, you may be surprised that I describe their society as "productive." Yet according to the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, productivity in France - G.D.P. per hour worked - is actually a bit higher than in the United States.
It's true that France's G.D.P. per person is well below that of the United States. But that's because French workers spend more time with their families.
O.K., I'm oversimplifying a bit. There are several reasons why the French put in fewer hours of work per capita than we do. One is that some of the French would like to work, but can't: France's unemployment rate, which tends to run about four percentage points higher than the U.S. rate, is a real problem. Another is that many French citizens retire early. But the main story is that full-time French workers work shorter weeks and take more vacations than full-time American workers.
The point is that to the extent that the French have less income than we do, it's mainly a matter of choice. And to see the consequences of that choice, let's ask how the situation of a typical middle-class family in France compares with that of its American counterpart.
The French family, without question, has lower disposable income. This translates into lower personal consumption: a smaller car, a smaller house, less eating out.
But there are compensations for this lower level of consumption. Because French schools are good across the country, the French family doesn't have to worry as much about getting its children into a good school district. Nor does the French family, with guaranteed access to excellent health care, have to worry about losing health insurance or being driven into bankruptcy by medical bills.
Perhaps even more important, however, the members of that French family are compensated for their lower income with much more time together. Fully employed French workers average about seven weeks of paid vacation a year. In America, that figure is less than four."
http://www.pkarchive.org/column/072905.html
Posted by: clarice | May 01, 2008 at 12:31 PM
More time together( cant afford to go anywhere ) cooped up in the house with no baugettes to eat? I am sure Krugman thinks they should just eat cake, like his elitist predecessor!
Posted by: Gmax | May 01, 2008 at 12:38 PM
But how are things in Russia? From all the letters the Russians send into the London Times, they seem to be high rolling now with all the high oil prices. We are just transferring money from the West to the East now.
Posted by: sylvia | May 01, 2008 at 12:39 PM
More time together (cant afford to go anywhere) cooped up in the house with no baugettes to eat?
Sounds rough but on the bright side, if someone torches your car during the night the government tows it away for free!
Posted by: MikeS | May 01, 2008 at 12:54 PM
Can Krugman smell the rot?
Posted by: Patrick R. Sullivan | May 01, 2008 at 12:56 PM
I wonder if the cost of living going up is due to the changing nature of the economy of the West, which is less emphasis on manufacturing and more on the knowledge economy. Of course we have heard that the manufacturing economy is global now and people at the bottom are now competing for wages globally so their wages don't rise as much.
However, I think another factor not yet considered is the impact on real estate. People cannot live spread out in small towns centered around a small factory like they used to. Now the main business in the West is the knowledge economy, and the place for that kind of employment is in bigger cities. Increasingly the main place to get a job is only in the largest cities. Hence why DC is doing so well. So everyone needs to move to the city, sending the price of urban real estate skyrocketing as everyone competes for space, leading to more expenses for the middle class in housing and more need for gas as commuting increases.
We will probably go back to how it was in the old days here, when we were more agrarian. I often wondered why we see such great houses and apartments from the old days in the cities, and wondered who had the money to build those back then, considering how much more difficult it was to build pre-electricity. Then I heard that only the top upper class could afford to live in the city, say pre-1900. Outside the small ring of the city was considered barbarism apparently.
Posted by: sylvia | May 01, 2008 at 01:11 PM
Sylvia, the cost of living is going up because compared to other major currencies, the dollar is down. Because it is down, to buy things that other countries want--i.e. oil. grain and gain fed meat(in short supply because of stupid ethanol provisions in the law)--we have to pay more in dollars than we used to to buy those things. In other things that are purely domestic--i.e., real estate, there is no inflation.You can buy much more for your dollar than you used to be able to.
Posted by: clarice | May 01, 2008 at 01:21 PM
**oil. grain and gRain fed meat*********
Posted by: clarice | May 01, 2008 at 01:22 PM
When you have a stagnant economy, like France, where the majority of adults are employed by the government, rising commodities prices are a problem. Since the Euro is worth $1.55, perhaps they should get their bagettes mailed ordered from NY? Pourquoi pas?
Posted by: LindaK | May 01, 2008 at 01:46 PM
"Didn't the NYT's crack economist/columnist tell us a short while ago that the French life was superior on the happiness scale?"
You can't eat happiness.
Food inflation is a world wide phenomenon,nothing the EU cannot make worse of course,but rising prices are becoming a problem.
Bread was always a good quality,plentiful staple in France,if the price escalates there will be riots.
One big problem in Europe is the rise of the public sector employment.A large number of whom are on magic money.Added to that are the fantasy figures paid to the financial sector.This has resulted in medium wage earners being priced out of Europe's capitals.Social housing is increasingly being allocated to immigrants with families.
The political elite seem unaware of this structural imbalance and keep partying like it was 1789.
Posted by: PeterUK | May 01, 2008 at 02:04 PM
I'm no economist (I'm beginning to sound more and more like McCain, in spite of myself), but I'm guessing that the primary reason that the economy is so robust in greater D.C. is that the rest of us are sending so much money there. The one industry that never shrinks, never has layoffs and never cuts paychecks is the Federal Government.
Posted by: BOATBUILDER | May 01, 2008 at 05:14 PM
Boatbuilder
You nailed it. When I worked for a national CPA firm, we had a DC office. All the growth in their business, was related to government consulting contracts and work for various firms providing various goods and services to the government.
There was a thought in the DC office that the area was "recession proof" that the Federal government only gets bigger each year.
Posted by: Gmax | May 01, 2008 at 05:22 PM
Boatbuilder--Exactly. And if either of the Dems is elected it'll be as though I were living on the Palatine Hill at the height of the Roman Empire. Ka-Ching! When I came here 40 years ago, we entertained in eachother's houses because there were no decent places to eat. Now every fancy chef is opening something here and you can go to any of hundreds of fine restaurantes any day of the week and find crowds.
PUK:"keep partying like it was 1789."
LINE OF THE DAY.
Posted by: clarice | May 01, 2008 at 05:22 PM
O/T: Now Dean is doing Fox News Sunday with Chris Wallace!
Markos has lost all power poor baby!
Posted by: centralcal | May 01, 2008 at 05:28 PM