Dan Balz covers the McCain-Obama tango on Afghanistan strategy. McCain favors more troops, Obama favors more time for reflection, and the shadow of past Iraq debates hangs over all:
Obama has not tipped his hand, though talk of seeking a new strategy suggests he is not yet ready to embrace such a sizeable troop increase. McCain has emerged as the most visible advocate for more troops, just as he was when former President George W. Bush was considering whether to implement a troop surge in Iraq almost three years ago.
That is early in the story - it is only later that Obama's spotty record as a strategist is reprised:
Obama and McCain long have been divided on U.S. war strategy. Obama argued that Iraq was a war that never should have been fought; McCain was a strong advocate of the invasion. Obama opposed Bush's surge when McCain supported it. When, by fall 2008, the surge had helped reduce the violence, McCain pressed Obama to admit he had been mistaken. Obama said the surge had helped but would not say he was wrong.
It's a bit late for Obama to apply any retroactive genius to the merits of invading Afghanistan, which was the good war and the central front in the war on terror just a few months ago. Obama's opposition to the Iraqi surge was almost surely a political calculation (or did he draw on his vast military experience?) and he guessed right on the politics (Hey, he is not just President, he is a Nobel Laureate!) even though he was wrong on the outcome.
Once more, I call on the Superior Wisdom of JOM to explain to me how McC can be sensible, steady, and resolute on defense and foreign affairs, and a zany without sense or dignity on dam near everything else.
Even The Once can't believe that he can stall Afghanistan until he can dump it on someone else's lap? Or am I spitting in God's eye by saying this?
Posted by: Gregory Koster | October 10, 2009 at 05:41 PM
He's the son and grandson of Admirals, If it wasn't for the Hanoi Hilton, he might have made Admiral. So the military culture
comes readily to him. I say might have because he was the original 'drinking flying, (fill in the blank) type we saw in the Right stuff. The real Maverick.This progressive turn comes from in large part from the ethical 'purging' that he went through from the Keating affair, that made him an easy mark for the CFR, AGWpromoters, etc. IMHO.
Posted by: narciso | October 10, 2009 at 06:03 PM
He was never going to be selected for Admiral--not even close.
I am very confident that Obama won't send 40,000 troops. (I'm not sure it would be possible to do so.) I honestly don't see any way out of this for him.
Posted by: Danube of Thought | October 10, 2009 at 06:46 PM
Well that's why I put the caveat in there, Danube, clearly he was a mustang or what ever the naval equivalent is, and he doesn't
really handle authority well, which is curious considering his career path
Posted by: narciso | October 10, 2009 at 06:54 PM
Hitler explains Yamal. Yahoo Hitler vs AGW and follow the tomnelson.blogspot link to an excellent video. Now I have to google Penny Wong; I didn't get that line.
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Posted by: H/t to Smokey. | October 10, 2009 at 07:22 PM
I look for the Taliban to launch some large and risky attacks in an attempt to sway Obama.
I wish Obama would take the same cautious approach he uses for Afghanistan on the dangerous health care experiment.
The strategy in Afghanistan can be changed much more easily than ObamaCare could be repealed.
Posted by: Original MikeS | October 10, 2009 at 07:41 PM
McCain comes from a line of warriors; I've little doubt that he'd have found a way to improve in Afghanistan. I've little doubt I've not much else use for him. I'll never forgive him for the Swifties. And I think he'd have preferred Lieberman to Palin, and thinks he'd have won with him, too. So, there's that.
A Philosopher worth reading at the Link Under Name
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Posted by: Seven years of higher re-education makes a man smart. | October 10, 2009 at 07:48 PM
I think maverick fits, n; a mustang is an officer risen from the ranks.
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Posted by: If I'd bet on Old Stewball. | October 10, 2009 at 07:50 PM
His audacity only goes one way, Mike and no contrary examples seem to pass his brow, The attitudes he exhibited in the 1983 student publication, seems to be set in stone. There was really one student I could
see, a Panamanian radical who had a similar view in my experience
Posted by: narciso | October 10, 2009 at 08:15 PM
Obama must achieve something tangible over the next two months or he'll look silly accepting the award in Oslo. The start of talks between the Palestinians and the Israelis will, without doubt, be greeted with great fanfare and a great achievement by the Obama crew and the Norwegians. Wait a minute, didn't Arafat and Ehud Barack meet at Camp David in the final months of Bill Clinton's presidency? So why wasn't Clinton given the Peace Prize for his great efforts to overshadow the Blowjob Scandal?
Posted by: justonebullet | October 10, 2009 at 08:39 PM
Seeing on twitter that Obama is ending don't ask don't tell.
Posted by: hit and run | October 10, 2009 at 08:39 PM
Obama has not tipped his hand
That's masterful writing by Balz, to be able to rephrase "Obama dithers while troops fight, bleed, and die" so that it sounds as through Obama is a strategic genius.
Posted by: PD | October 10, 2009 at 08:41 PM
Oh wait, Ambinder puts Obama's words this way:
"I will end DADT; that is my commitment to you."
Uh, like closing Guantanamo in one year?
That's a vague statement, very Obama-like, and not something anyone could put any stock in.
Posted by: hit and run | October 10, 2009 at 08:43 PM
Speaking of DODT, Iowahawk isn't letting up on Andrew Sullivan.
Posted by: Extraneus | October 10, 2009 at 08:46 PM
Let's not give McCain to much credit for understanding COIN just yet.
He supported troop increases because of the Powell Doctrine (fundamentally about maneuver, not COIN), not because of the Petraeus Surge Theory (just the opposite). That PoS Chuck Hagel was in the same camp. I honor both men for their service, and McCain in particular for his, but that's about as far as I can go. They're both self-promoting squishes who prove that sometimes people make the right decisions for all the wrong reasons.
Posted by: Soylent Red | October 10, 2009 at 08:51 PM
Thats the thing, I think the only part that Kathleen Parker in that long diatribe, is that McCain did see Palin, as a kindred spirit, which makes his subsequent muzzling of her, kind of a mystery.
Mustang wasn't the word I was going for, what's the word for those West Pointers that finished at the bottom of their class.
MacChrystal is much more Sam Damon than Courtney Massengale. probably closest to Edwin Lansdale in type. The Phillipine and Malaya insurgency show it can be done, yet
crickets seem to be the operative answer.
Posted by: narciso | October 10, 2009 at 08:52 PM
what's the word for those West Pointers that finished at the bottom of their class.
Dead-enders?
Posted by: PD | October 10, 2009 at 08:56 PM
Goats?
Posted by: Elliott | October 10, 2009 at 09:04 PM
I went over to Iowahawk and started reading that piece.
I'm ashamed to admit (but not too ashamed to admit I'm ashamed!) that I'm now giggling wildly, and my sweetie is now looking at me with her "Oh, brother, what's he reading NOW?" look.
Posted by: PD | October 10, 2009 at 09:06 PM
Goats, I think, PD.
Posted by: Porchlight | October 10, 2009 at 09:12 PM
Duh..need to refresh faster.
Posted by: Porchlight | October 10, 2009 at 09:12 PM
Obama has not tipped his hand.
Sadly, this isn't poker, and Obama the only one who has a vote.
Posted by: Original MikeS | October 10, 2009 at 09:15 PM
Iowahawk's is the most devastating take on Sullivan EVAH..No one can come close to that nor should anyone try.
Posted by: clarice | October 10, 2009 at 09:17 PM
That's the word, I was searching for,Elliot,
but I didn't know the equivalent Navy term.
You're right about Hagel, Gates possible replacement, who doesn't really think of counterinsurgency strategy either. He really
thinks that being able to sell cellphones to the Iranians, is the key to everything. He would have recited quite nearly a cliched
speech if he had gotten the prize.
That ending bit in Iowahawk's piece, is like
when the Scarecrow gasses Mr, Moroni the mob boss, but one would have to assume Sullivan had been sane before, a tall order
Posted by: narciso | October 10, 2009 at 09:19 PM
The man can turn a phrase.
Posted by: Extraneus | October 10, 2009 at 09:21 PM
"It's not everyday a stranger drops by my office packing fudge"
HEH!
and
"My whole world was spinning, but I had been unable to get him off my mind ever since he walked through my office door. I was obsessed by him, and wondered whether I would ever get the chance to be in his arms, to be lovers, to go antiquing together"
Posted by: clarice | October 10, 2009 at 09:25 PM
OT: In the clearest indication yet that the economy is not recovering, a Monster Truck show here in Madison has been canceled due to poor ticket sales.
Posted by: PD | October 10, 2009 at 09:30 PM
I believe that midshipman who graduates at the bottom of his class is referred to as either the "Anchor" or the "Goat".
Posted by: JorgXMcKie | October 10, 2009 at 09:38 PM
I'm not going to click that Iowahawk link because I think I already tore something in my larynx just reading the excerpts here.
Posted by: Jim Ryan | October 10, 2009 at 09:47 PM
And now for something completely different, Obama just promised to end "don't ask don't tell" and repeal the Defense of Marriage Act.
Twelve members of the audience had to be rushed to the hospital after being overcome by waves of deja vu.
Posted by: Charlie (Colorado) | October 10, 2009 at 09:53 PM
That deja vu is really deadly as I've always said.
Posted by: clarice | October 10, 2009 at 09:55 PM
What do you call the student who finishes last in the medical school class?
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Posted by: Dr. Goat Glandhad. | October 10, 2009 at 09:59 PM
PD, I keep forgetting you live in Madison. Did I tell you "Whadda ya know" is my B-I-L?
Posted by: clarice | October 10, 2009 at 10:01 PM
It's very important that Obama first handle don't ask don't tell and DOMA. Afterwards, he can get to Afghanistan and the economy, but first he needs to devote some energy to gays. The economy and Afghanistan can wait. They've already waited over half a year, so they can wait. Hang on a sec, after gays, he should do Cap 'n' Trade and government health care. Then get to the economy and Afghanistan. We have to get gays, government health care, and Cap 'n' Trade done first. Wait, NEA. He's got to get the NEA on board with the other policies I mentioned. That's top priority. Then, he can move on to whatever the hell it was. Oh, yes, Afghanistan and the economy (which are conservative's issues, when you think about it, not really that important.)
Posted by: Jim Ryan | October 10, 2009 at 10:01 PM
Ladies, I have a friend who is looking to date a lady. Here's his picture. Any inquiries considered.
Posted by: Jim Ryan | October 10, 2009 at 10:05 PM
Dennis has this week's Sullivan quote. It's so abhorrently illogical that I won't bring it in here.
Posted by: Jim Ryan | October 10, 2009 at 10:07 PM
Finish last in the class in the worst med school (I embellished, because that was how the joke was told to me)? What do they call you? DOCTOR!
Posted by: Thomas Collins | October 10, 2009 at 10:07 PM
Jim,
Hoo-doggy!
Posted by: Sue | October 10, 2009 at 10:22 PM
Wait a sec. I just remembered it's Obama. He's only still campaigning. He won't actually do anything about Don't Ask Don't Tell.
Posted by: Jim Ryan | October 10, 2009 at 10:31 PM
Did I tell you "Whadda ya know" is my B-I-L?
No, you didn't.
Do I risk any wrath if I admit I've never listened once?
Posted by: PD | October 10, 2009 at 10:32 PM
It's very important that Obama first handle don't ask don't tell and DOMA. Afterwards, he can get to Afghanistan and the economy, but first he needs to devote some energy to gays.
After he gets in his basketball, of course.
Posted by: PD | October 10, 2009 at 10:37 PM
Finish last in the class in the worst med school ? What do they call you? DOCTOR!
I know that's the joke, but it doesn't always work that way.
I had eye surgery on Friday, and one of the steps is to have one's eyes dilated and the anesthesia administered (among the various potions of eye of newt that are administered). In the past that was always done by a tech, but there was a different person who did this function this time.
I figured it was just a high-ranked tech, and addressed said person as such. It turns out the he was a resident, so he actually had an MD.
He was good-natured about it, for which I gave him credit.
But I didn't call him DOCTOR! Nor did he me, so I suppose we were equal in a sense.
Posted by: DrJ | October 10, 2009 at 10:49 PM
"When, by fall 2008, the surge had helped reduce the violence...."
Obama doesn't seem to be the only one who hasn't exactly come to terms with the significance -- and the outcome -- of the surge.
Soylent:
I think you're absolutely right about McCain. He was calling for Shinseki boots, not Petraeus boots, although he certainly got on board with the COIN push at the very start, whether he really understood the distinction or not.
Posted by: JM Hanes | October 10, 2009 at 10:55 PM
Tom sez: "Finish last in the class in the worst med school (I embellished, because that was how the joke was told to me)? What do they call you?"
The White House Physician, I hope.
Posted by: Gregory Koster | October 10, 2009 at 11:14 PM
Clarice,
I agree, Iowahawk took down Andrew Sullivan today in magnificent fashion. The guy's a genius.
Posted by: peter | October 11, 2009 at 12:00 AM
(I'm not sure it would be possible to do so.)
Why wouldn't it be possible to rotate 40,000 through Afghanistan?
We could pull 20,000 out of Kososvo.
Posted by: Pofarmer | October 11, 2009 at 12:03 AM
Obama said the surge had helped but would not say he was wrong.
I'm so glad to have a President who has the courage to maintain his convictions in the face of such adversity, not like the last guy and his arrogant, stubborn refusal to admit to any mistakes.
Posted by: bgates | October 11, 2009 at 12:03 AM
Charlie:
"And now for something completely different, Obama just promised to end "don't ask don't tell" and repeal the Defense of Marriage Act."
Instapundit linked the Don't Ask story, which includes this bit of emblematic Obamania:
In a ceremony next week, the HRC will be vesting him with their highest honor, the Good Intentions Road to Hell Medal. I suspect some similar parsing when "Obama also called on Congress to repeal the Defense Of Marriage Act," because I believe the Justice Dept. is currently defending it in court.
Posted by: JM Hanes | October 11, 2009 at 12:20 AM
Well shoot, there's a whole new thread for that last post. Movin' it over.
Posted by: JM Hanes | October 11, 2009 at 01:41 AM
The Republicans are in a heap of trouble if McCain, the best man the party could offer in 2008, still has a role.
Posted by: justonebullet | October 11, 2009 at 11:22 AM