When elephants dance the mice get nervous. And when elephants leak, the mice get furious.
Developing countries react furiously to leaked draft agreement that would hand more power to rich nations, sideline the UN's negotiating role and abandon the Kyoto protocol
The UN Copenhagen climate talks are in disarray today after developing countries reacted furiously to leaked documents that show world leaders will next week be asked to sign an agreement that hands more power to rich countries and sidelines the UN's role in all future climate change negotiations.
The document is also being interpreted by developing countries as setting unequal limits on per capita carbon emissions for developed and developing countries in 2050; meaning that people in rich countries would be permitted to emit nearly twice as much under the proposals.
The so-called Danish text, a secret draft agreement worked on by a group of individuals known as "the circle of commitment" – but understood to include the UK, US and Denmark – has only been shown to a handful of countries since it was finalised this week.
Nice to know Barack Obama is inside the circle of trust. Is this the deal that prompted him to switch his attendance to the final day?
The document was described last night by one senior diplomat as "a very dangerous document for developing countries. It is a fundamental reworking of the UN balance of obligations. It is to be superimposed without discussion on the talks".
One troubling provision:
Not allow poor countries to emit more than 1.44 tonnes of carbon per person by 2050, while allowing rich countries to emit 2.67 tonnes.
If I were a representative of a developing country I don't know why I would agree to lock in second class status forever. C'mon - Argentina was 12th in the world in per capita GDP in 1950 (Germany was 14th, Sweden was 7th); 67 years later Argentina has fallen to 82nd (Germany is at 32, Sweden at 24). How the seemingly mighty have fallen.
FWIW,
Campbell Brown of CNN interviewing Stephen McIntyre among others at Wattsupwiththat.
Posted by: Pofarmer | December 08, 2009 at 03:16 PM
I think this story is absolutely delicious. Think about it. The UN searching for new graft after the OFF cash cow went under seized on this and all the while the biggies were going to cut them out.
The third world, ignoring that The One has not given his Kenya half brother a cent to get out of his ardboard shack was sure O would open up Fort Knozx to them and pay them reparations for being successful when they are not and all the while he was working to keep them down. He is The Man!!
Posted by: clarice | December 08, 2009 at 03:24 PM
Not allow poor countries to emit more than 1.44 tonnes of carbon per person by 2050, while allowing rich countries to emit 2.67 tonnes.
When I was a kid, the Carter asked everyone to turn his thermostat down to 68. I saw his mother interviewed on TV at the time and I never forgot it. It went something like this:
INTERVIEWER: Did you turn your thermostat down to 68, Mrs. Carter?
LILLIAN CARTER: No, I keep mine at 73.
INTERVIEWER: You do?
LILLIAN CARTER: Yes, I like it a little warmer.
Posted by: Jim Ryan | December 08, 2009 at 03:27 PM
So, it's a Washington Naval Treaty for the postmodern era.
Wonder who our Japan will be, and what the postmodern carrier wildcard will be?
Posted by: Mitch H. | December 08, 2009 at 03:34 PM
I say 'tomato, tomatoe, let's call the whole thing off'. There is a deep sense of schadenfreude at this turn of events, of course that will pass when the impact of what has been suggested will settle in.
Posted by: narciso | December 08, 2009 at 03:45 PM
Jim's quote:
But is that warm enough http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2009/02/03/obama-getting-heat-turning-oval-office-thermostat/>to grow orchids?
Posted by: hit and run | December 08, 2009 at 04:02 PM
Heh. I'd forgotten about that, Hit.
Posted by: Jim Ryan | December 08, 2009 at 04:14 PM
this is one of the biggest circular firing squads I have ever seen. Obama wouldn't know the truth if it was staring him in the face.
I wonder what Al "Madoff" Gore is going to do.
Posted by: matt | December 08, 2009 at 04:17 PM
Obama wouldn't know the truth if it was staring him in the face.
Not to point out the obvious, but Obama has made a career of assiduously avoiding the truth.
Posted by: Pofarmer | December 08, 2009 at 04:27 PM
Is there a current carbon emmisions/GDP for each country? Just wondering if that might better explain the tons/person allocation in th Danish text.
However it shakes out, it'll be just like Oil for Food. Some industrialized countries like France will make out like bandits, while others, like Uncle Sucker, will go even further net negative.
Posted by: MDr | December 08, 2009 at 04:28 PM
American, Arab Terrorists Arrested in Copenhagen
Posted by: Sara (Pal2Pal) | December 08, 2009 at 04:33 PM
Astute Blogger has updated - suspects were released. American didn't turn out to be the one on the wanted list.
Posted by: centralcal | December 08, 2009 at 04:40 PM
I like what Rasmus Benestad of Norway said."Perhaps quality time, love, family values, friendship, and respect are preferable to material goods and status or maybe we humans are too vain.
I don't know about anybody else, but damn I feel warmer already. Not to mention that tingly feeling going up my leg. Naw, my leg is going to sleep. Sorry.
Posted by: Joseph Brown | December 08, 2009 at 04:42 PM
Zero is going to look pretty terrific wandering into the last of the Copenhagen mishigas.
Posted by: glasater | December 08, 2009 at 04:46 PM
To think that just a hundred years or so ago Norwegians were stereotyped as dummies..
peaking of vanity, has Rasmus been likely to consider how much hubris there is in thinking man has the power to substantially alter the weather of the globe?
Posted by: clarice | December 08, 2009 at 04:48 PM
CO2 emissions per capita. 2004 World Bank.
Soros has his cronies stacked in the World Bank which is why he'd like to have them administer the program. [note: Brown didn't end up heading the WB and I don't recall the name of who does now] The WB would also be a more effective looter.
Posted by: RichatUF | December 08, 2009 at 04:49 PM
Unrelated to the subject of this post, but I just love James Taranto:
Posted by: centralcal | December 08, 2009 at 04:49 PM
Perhaps quality time, love, family values, friendship, and respect are preferable to material goods and status
I had a lovely walk in the park with my wife last night. Don't know how I can use that to pay the rent.
or maybe we humans are too vain.
Thank goodness we have Barack Obama.
Posted by: bgates | December 08, 2009 at 04:50 PM
Let me guess, Rasmus Bumstead wants us to send him lots and lots of money?
Posted by: Jim Ryan | December 08, 2009 at 04:55 PM
splenetic - what a nice word, if it is a real word. If not, it should be.
Posted by: Sara (Pal2Pal) | December 08, 2009 at 04:56 PM
Maybe instead of funding AQ, the Saudis would be kind enough to fund enemeies of the warmists..just saying. I mean there are thousands of poor princes who need those oil revenues or they'll just die--
Posted by: clarice | December 08, 2009 at 05:05 PM
splenetic:
def: marked by bad temper, malevolence or spite.
Posted by: centralcal | December 08, 2009 at 05:08 PM
As the guy with the hockey mask, The Humungus, said in Road Warrior ...
Posted by: Neo | December 08, 2009 at 05:16 PM
I ran across an article full of ECONOMETRICS (ie predictions) on DTN in regards to CAP and TRADE in which a scenario was described that since Carbon Credits were likely to be fairly valuable, and REFORESTATION was the best way to sequester carbon, that upward of 50-60 million acres of Tillable Cropland in the USA would be put into trees, yes trees!!
Stolen off another forum. Don't know what that does for biofuels. Well, or stuff to eat, for that matter.
Some people's kids, I declare.
Posted by: Pofarmer | December 08, 2009 at 05:22 PM
Clarice:
Speaking of vanity, has Rasmus been likely to consider how much hubris there is in thinking man has the power to substantially alter the weather of the globe?
If the AGW Inner Circle of Jerks had its way,skeptics would be branded as heretics and be subject to the same treatment as Galileo was for teaching heliocentrism.
The earth NOT the center of the universe!??!?!! Heresy!
Man NOT at the center of the earth's climate!!??!???!! Heresy!
There must be an Inquisition!
Posted by: hit and run | December 08, 2009 at 05:34 PM
Nice column by Richard Epstein: Economics No Match For Politics: The real reason that unemployment lines won't shrink. If requested, I'll paste the whole thing in.
Posted by: anduril | December 08, 2009 at 05:41 PM
The Coward at the Justice Department
By Richard Aceves
Posted by: Sara (Pal2Pal) | December 08, 2009 at 05:42 PM
To add to centralcal's post on Harry Reid...I give you the great Dennis Miller...LUN
One of my favorite videos
Posted by: Janet | December 08, 2009 at 05:48 PM
Clarice you might be interested in this from Jen Rubin at Contentions since it relates to your piece in AT this morning:
Getting Answers, Perhaps
Posted by: centralcal | December 08, 2009 at 05:55 PM
Sorry, Sara - both you and Clarice have that red avatar thingy, mistook you for Clarice.
Posted by: centralcal | December 08, 2009 at 05:58 PM
Don't know what that does for biofuels.
Biofuels are carbon based, subject to EPA controls, so they should be abandoned along with coal, oil, and ethanol.
There might be an exception for unicorn p.ss.
Posted by: Neo | December 08, 2009 at 06:07 PM
But the only thing that counts is that in the 3rd world they walk to destroy their land, whereas here we drive through our new-growth forests.
At least according Kyoto, sequestration doesn't count. Only emitting the CO2 (mostly through burning of fossil fuels) counts. Over the last century a tremendous amount of US farmland has been taken out of production and allowed to reforest, mostly on the east coast, because farming has become so much more productive that we run out of customers before that land becomes economically viable. In the 3rd world, there are huge swathes of deforestation because desperately poor people engage in hard-on-the-environment practices to survive.Posted by: cathyf | December 08, 2009 at 06:09 PM
Alarmist Eye Candy:
http://i49.tinypic.com/2mpg0tz.jpg Magic Tricks Explained
http://i48.tinypic.com/xfvoyg.jpg Central England Don't Panic!
http://i46.tinypic.com/t63qxe.jpg "Value-Added" Data
Posted by: NikFromNYC | December 08, 2009 at 06:09 PM
Sara: United States ex rel. Touhy v. Ragen, 340 U.S. 462 (1951)
Posted by: Neo | December 08, 2009 at 06:14 PM
Neo: I posted a link, I'll leave trying to wade thru case law to the lawyers who make the big bucks to do so.
Are you saying that the early regs based on an old case, trump the later regs that require compliance with a Civil Rights Commission subpoena? Since IANAL, I have no idea.
Posted by: Sara (Pal2Pal) | December 08, 2009 at 06:30 PM
Neo, Sara: From the Jen Rubin link I posted above:
Posted by: centralcal | December 08, 2009 at 06:43 PM
centralcal,
You identify posters by their avatars? I am really impressed.
Posted by: Jane | December 08, 2009 at 07:05 PM
Uh, some posters, Jane, not all. I know yours and Sue's and Ann's too.
It comes in really handy for posts that I want to s.o.b. ::grin::
My own avatar changes depending on home and work, and IE and Firefox (apparently my email is different in the two browsers).
Posted by: centralcal | December 08, 2009 at 07:08 PM
Clarice,
Here is a definite Climate Scientology blog to be promoted. That's CBS - with Declan McCullagh again leading the way.
That's the letter and group which I highlighted the other day. 230 is a non-negligible number of physicists to agree on damn near anything (science has never been, is not now and will never be "settled").
Posted by: Rick Ballard | December 08, 2009 at 07:19 PM
Hey Rick,
I made your changes. Now it reads:
knownTrolls[0] = /Jane's troll/name;
knownTrolls[1] = /Jane's troll/name;
I saved and refreshed and so far nothing.
Can you tell what I did wrong from that? Obviously where I wrote "name" above, I actually inserted a name.
Posted by: Jane | December 08, 2009 at 07:43 PM
Yeah, taking a life equates with a man not being able to get it up. Uh huh.
Boxer compares denying women abortion coverage to denying men Viagra...
Posted by: Sara (Pal2Pal) | December 08, 2009 at 07:50 PM
For all of us deep in the weeds on Climate change, I found a pretty darn good site I'd never seen before.
[url=http://www.sjsu.edu/faculty/watkins/watkins.htm]Thayer Watkins[/url].
Posted by: Pofarmer | December 08, 2009 at 07:56 PM
Speaking above of terrorists, far as I can tell from googling, convicted but released PANAM Lockerbie terrorist, Abdelbeset Ali Mohmed al Megrahi, is still alive.
The murderer of 270 innocents was released 3 August, partly because he was terminally ill and only had 3 months left to live.
I'll allow the media to add the adjectives to my opinion about that.
Posted by: daddy | December 08, 2009 at 08:07 PM
Jane,
Answered in the Snows thread and via email.
Posted by: Rick Ballard | December 08, 2009 at 08:10 PM
I think I did it Rick!
You ROCK!
Thank you so much!
Posted by: Jane | December 08, 2009 at 08:16 PM
You're welcome, Jane. It was a pleasure.
Bgates rocks, I'm handy with a shovel.
Posted by: Rick Ballard | December 08, 2009 at 08:24 PM
Declan McCullagh has a pretty interesting twitter page also:)
Posted by: glasater | December 08, 2009 at 08:29 PM
You have no idea Rick -
TBH I tend to give up quickly because it is embarrassing to be so inept. My appreciation overflows. Not only do I get to block trolls, I actually learned some stuff.
Posted by: Jane | December 08, 2009 at 08:30 PM
Copenhagen’s political science
Posted by: Sara (Pal2Pal) | December 08, 2009 at 08:35 PM
Oops that last link left off my own intro.
First the NYT with a decent review of GOING ROGUE, now an Op-Ed by Sarah Palin in the WaPo. Watch out for all the flying pigs.
Link
Posted by: Sara (Pal2Pal) | December 08, 2009 at 08:37 PM
cc--I blogged about that already but I am haopy to learn of Jennifer's update.
Rick, I did blog about the APS petition. I'd be happy to do an update based on your post.
Posted by: clarice | December 08, 2009 at 08:45 PM
Yes, Clarice, I know. I referenced your AT piece above and thought you might be interested in Jen's update since it tied rather nicely into yours.
Congrats Jane. I still haven't tried out the Narcisolator. Maybe this weekend. I have yours and Rick's comments on threads, should I attempt it.
Posted by: centralcal | December 08, 2009 at 08:58 PM
Where is Sue? Cheney is on Hannity.
Posted by: Jane | December 08, 2009 at 09:03 PM
from the Corner:
BREAKING: Dems to Drop Public Option [da]
Breaking: The AP and the New York Times are reporting that Senate Democrats have come to a tentative deal to drop the public option. The Times had this update at 8:48 P.M.:
The Senate majority leader, Senator Harry Reid of Nevada, said Senate leaders “have a broad agreement” on dropping a government-run plan from the health care bill, and that the Congressional Budget Office would review the implications of such a move on the budget.
“I told head of C.B.O. we would send him something he would have to score,” Mr. Reid said. He added that he had asked Senators Charles E. Schumer and Mark Pryor to work together with a group of liberals and moderates on making sure the health care bill has a vehicle to expand coverage to achieve the aims of the so-called public option.
Posted by: Jane | December 08, 2009 at 09:07 PM
Hmmmm.....sounds like it's going to fade away only to come back in conference. Meanwhile the Maine twins cave and they lose Lieberman and Nelson (maybe).
Posted by: Porchlight | December 08, 2009 at 09:27 PM
sara;
can you re-post that link? I'd like to pass it on.
Posted by: matt | December 08, 2009 at 09:32 PM
Yep that's frog and scorpion time, porch, I wouldn't trust them as far as I can throw them.
Posted by: narciso | December 08, 2009 at 09:34 PM
Copenhagen’s political science
I hope this is 'that' link you want. :)
Posted by: Sara (Pal2Pal) | December 08, 2009 at 10:16 PM
This is from The Los Angeles Times and it made me laugh the whole way through.
Narciso, I think you'll enjoy this one:
Shocker polls: That Sarah Palin-Barack Obama gap melts to 1 point
Posted by: Sara (Pal2Pal) | December 08, 2009 at 10:56 PM
Whether the "public option" is in the bill or not is irrelevant. The purpose of the bill is to kill off most of the insurance companies and then transform the few survivors into non-optional public utilities.
The only question is whether, in the end, the "public option" will be called "blue cross blue shield" or "aetna" or "anthem" or whatever...
Posted by: cathyf | December 08, 2009 at 11:10 PM
I saw that, Sara, and what can I say, but "you betcha"
Posted by: narciso | December 08, 2009 at 11:11 PM
Yes, cathy..And with geniuses like Boxer deciding what the insurance companies have to cover, in no time at all Botox will be on the list.
Posted by: clarice | December 08, 2009 at 11:22 PM
"f I were a representative of a developing country I don't know why I would agree to lock in second class status forever."
Alternatively, they could turn down the money, and emit all the CO2 they like.
Posted by: JM Hanes | December 08, 2009 at 11:30 PM
cathyf,
I sent a friend in the medical ins bus your rundown of how a competitive market of different health insurance companies work from the weekend with your breakdown of write offs, value added, etc.
She said it was the best and clearest explanation she had seen. I far as I can tell from my discussions with her there is a huge component of value added for all from the companies, best practices statistics, information dissemination to harried docs, as well as competitive bidding for contracts. So much of the companies overhead goes to information collation and analysis that actually aids consumers both in health and their pocketbooks.
As far as profits go, she works for our state's BCBS which has just laid off 15% of their workforce and has seen their outrageous 4% profit of 3 years ago drop to 2.5 last year with many contracts not renewed for next year. Such greedy bastards.
Posted by: laura | December 08, 2009 at 11:34 PM
" The report warns: "Delay by developed country parties in implementing their commitments to reduce emissions will increase their climate debt to the developing country parties."
ahem....no
Posted by: windansea | December 09, 2009 at 12:42 AM
“A negotiator for a large bloc of developing countries meanwhile challenged rich countries to make far deeper cuts in emissions than they have proposed so far. The negotiator, Lumumba Stanislaus Di-Aping of Sudan, said President Obama should be willing to spend far more to limit climate dangers in the world’s most vulnerable regions.
“‘We have to ask him, when he provided trillions of dollars to save Wall Street, are the children of the world not deserving help to save their lives?‘ he said.”
Posted by: windansea | December 09, 2009 at 01:04 AM
It doesn't take a genius to figure out that if our government pursues policies intended to slow our economic growth, and Brazil pursues policies designed to accelerate its economic growth, before long Brazil will be richer than the U.S. What's really interesting here, however, is the identity of one of Petrobras's biggest shareholders:
With a market capitalization of more than $220 billion, Petrobras is one of the world's 10 biggest companies. Over the past two years, it has been the most frequently traded foreign company on the New York Stock Exchange, trade data show. Among investors bullish on Petrobras is George Soros, who last year made the oil company the largest single holding in his investment fund, according to Bloomberg.
That's right: the Godfather of the Democratic Party, who exerts his enormous political influence to prevent American oil companies from developing our own petroleum resources in the Gulf of Mexico and elsewhere, has placed his biggest bet--not on the United States, but on Brazil. If Exxon Mobil can't compete in the Caribbean with Petrobras, the value of Soros's Petrobras investment will skyrocket. That's the sort of thievery that lies behind the Democratic Party's deliberate hobbling of the American economy.
follow the money
Posted by: windansea | December 09, 2009 at 01:25 AM
Krugman v. Hansen
Jonathan H. Adler • December 8, 2009 11:50 am
NYT columnist Paul Krugman is not happy with NASA climate scientist James Hansen for the latter’s op-ed attacking cap-and-trade and proposing a tax-based alternative (which I blogged about here). Such arguments are “unhelpful,” Krugman says, because they ignore the fact that in the theoretical world of transaction-cost free blackboard economics caps and taxes are the same, and that cap-and-trade is the only game in town. While Krugman is correct that Hansen makes some silly, populist arguments, Hansen’s ultimate conclusion — that a fully rebated carbon tax is preferable to cap-and-trade — is completely sound.
On the difference between a carbon tax and cap-and-trade, Krugman argues that they are the same because any given cap equates to a given price and vice-versa. He even produces a graph to prove it.
The only difference is the nature of uncertainty over the aggregate outcome. If you use a tax, you know what the price of emissions will be, but you don’t know the quantity of emissions; if you use a cap, you know the quantity but not the price. Yes, this means that if some people do more than expected to reduce emissions, they’ll just free up permits for others — which worries Hansen. But it also means that if some people do less to reduce emissions than expected, someone else will have to make up the shortfall. It’s symmetric; there’s no reason to emphasize only one side of the story.
TM..........
Posted by: windansea | December 09, 2009 at 01:32 AM
Better chart for per capita CO2 emissions under the LUN.
Note 56 ton per person for Qatar, 19 for US, 6 for France (its nucular, stupid), and 2.6 for Cuba.
Funny thing, according to proposition, in 2050 US will be allowed to emit 2.67 ton per capita (what a precision!), just what Cuba is emitting right now.
Posted by: AL | December 09, 2009 at 03:44 AM
A very chilling .pdf file saying Yes, He Can: President Obama’s Power to Make an International Climate Commitment Without Waiting for Congress.
It's only twenty pages long but lays out clearly what we're up against folks.....
Posted by: glasater | December 09, 2009 at 03:48 AM
"Funny thing, according to proposition, in 2050 US will be allowed to emit 2.67 ton per capita (what a precision!), just what Cuba is emitting right now"
Just what I have been saying all along, the Democrats plan to take our economy to equal Cuba's.
Posted by: pagar | December 09, 2009 at 05:46 AM
Climategate is THE END of the New World Order.
A commenter at James Delingpole's UK Telegraph blog has posted some very interesting data about Maurice Strong and his family's actions. The self-appointed overlords of population control and culling.
"...Canada’s Godfather of 350 Cap and Trade, Maurice Strong got the Communist PLA and paramiltaries in China to abort 450 million fetuses over the years."
"Did you know that Maurice Strong’s cousin Anna Louise Strong persuaded Stalin to adopt the seed quota system which drove the 1932/3 Holodor – Terror Famine – family culling system and killed 7-10 million peasants and kulaks in the Ukraine."
"Ironic that Maurice Strong – a genocidal psychopath – has persuaded Barry Soetoro to adopt a fertiliser quota system (350 cap CO2) and a KSM dictator game to drive a family culling system and kill up to 5 billion peasants on our beautiful Planet Earth."
Posted by: BR | December 09, 2009 at 06:26 AM
Does anyone know what the "KSM" stands for in the above quote?
K-- Stalin Mao ?
Karl S-- Marx?
Kissinger Soros M--?
Posted by: BR | December 09, 2009 at 06:57 AM
More from the UK Telegraph commenter:
"Maurice Strong hired Obama’s grandfather to stage Mau Mau oath taking rituals Kenya in 1952/3 and went on to become Senior Advisor to the World Bank, the founder of UNEP and the UN Commission on Global Governance and the Chicago Climate Exchange."
The Mau Mau grew into a terrorist organization that touched my life as a little girl in the sixties. I can still remember when my father bought his first revolver and hearing the grownups talk about how to spot a Mau Mau by their goatee beards. Behind closed doors the men watched film of Mau Mau atrocities, mutilations. My father talked about constructing a steel door in the hallway... and my bedroom being right across from the front door, would have been outside the steel door. Hmmph.
Maurice Strong, little did you know, out of childhood nightmares comes one stronger.
Posted by: BR | December 09, 2009 at 07:13 AM
BR:
I don't doubt that Maurice Strong is an unattractive character, but I think we're looking at a certifiable space cadet. Spotting Mau Mau's by their goatees gets some bonus points for originality though!
Posted by: JM Hanes | December 09, 2009 at 11:08 AM
When I was in college Lewis Leake came to visit. He'd been raised among the Kikuyu and had been engaged to put an end to the Mau Mau scourge. He explained that many had been forced to take an oath to the Mau Mau and feared death if they broke that oath. Relying on what he knew about the Kikuyu he invented a counter oath.
It must be interesting to grow up in a culture where one's word is one's bond though.
Posted by: clarice | December 09, 2009 at 11:16 AM
Rep truth squad heading to Copenhagen:
"A GOP counter-delegation is forming to undermine the Obama administration's work on an international climate change agreement in Copenhagen, warning that the president is poised to make commitments he can't keep and drawing heightened attention to controversial leaked e-mails.
At least a half-dozen Republican senators and representatives are planning to head to Denmark next week, as part of the overall U.S. congressional delegation, which includes plenty of Democrats as well.
But the Republicans have a markedly different agenda."
http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2009/12/09/republicans-plan-form-counter-delegation-climate-conference/>Truth squad
Dems vote to continue funding ACORN despite large bipartisan vote to cut it off
http://biggovernment.com/2009/12/09/dems-vote-to-allow-federal-funding-for-corrupt-acorn/>Now you see it, now you don't
Posted by: clarice | December 09, 2009 at 04:14 PM