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January 18, 2010

Comments

Jane

One more day til we get 41!

Jack is Back!

Jane,

What is the weather forecast? Bad weather is usually good for the motivated challengers.

Regarding Friedman's latest and the prior posts numerous comments. Jonah Goldberg says he is boring.

Jane

Central MA weather report:

WE had a cold and sloppy storm yesterday. It started with rain about 5:00 PM, morphed into sleet which was so hard and loud it kept me awake beating on the windows. Today everything is white, another layer on the ground where green spots had been peaking thru.

And it is grey. Grey grey grey. Depressing grey. The kind of weather where you would only go to the store if you are truly out of milk, otherwise it is a lot easier to stay home and watch Oprah. Of course a lot could change in 24 hours.

Tina

The democrats, (CBC, the Rev Al, et al) threw MLK under the bus just last week when they embraced Harry's comments.

Pops

It is fitting on this day that we recognize the content of Obamas' character.

Given this horrible devestating disaster they were witnessing from the White House it was great to see the President stepped up, took Command and rushed to the scene of the tragedy to save what was left.

Unfortunately, his White House saw the tragedy as the Massechusetts Senate Race and so he rushed to the scene in Boston where the only loses suffered would be to his political power grab.

Rocco

Good morning all

I ran into a bit of trouble with my computer last night. I was trying to upload some great Mini DV I took with Windows Movie Maker. But first I had to reinstall a fire wire card which...long story short, I can't get any audio and I have a great shot of a darling little girl holding a homemade sign and yelling, "Go Scott Brown". She should be in a commercial.

Jane

I don't own a cellphone...they're just a fad and will never catch on!

Charlie (Colorado)

Mark Blumenthal makes it Brown ahead by 6-8 points.

centralcal

Good morning. Like DoT, I am starting to believe Brown will win this thing. However, but how large a margin? Because, it has to be significant doesn't it, so that the Dem machine can't lie, cheat, steal, falsify or bully enough votes to reverse the outcome?

That is my biggest worry right now.

rse

I can't imagine that the "Anyone can buy a Truck" line will play well in working class neighborhoods today and tomorrow.

Jane

I don't own a cellphone...they're just a fad and will never catch on!

OMG Rocco.

Centralcal, I think the dems are giving up.

Danube of Thought

PPP has it 51-46 Brown.

My favorite is "she's losing because she ran a lousy campaign." sure. That's why an obscure State Senator outdraws the President of the United States in simultaneous rallies. Oh God this is fun to watch.

Porchlight

When the Dems aren't "fired up," their vote-stealing hordes don't perform as ordered. I would imagine there are a number of people whom the Dems thought would be on their side to help them steal this thing....who are actually Brown supporters.

Pofarmer

Anybody wanna buy a travel trailer, courtesy of Uncle Sam?

Now, for the kicker. Why would they sell 22,000 trailers in one lot?????

Thomas Collins

See LUN for Brown's and Coakley's MLK day activities.

Jack is Back!

Po,

These are the Katrina trailers.

Remember everyone got a free debit card and a trailer if you didn't pay income tax and stayed in N'olens when you were told to leave.

The folks in Mississippi used them to live in while rebuilding. But the ones in N'olens refused to use them since they heard they had lots of Formaldehyde in them and since that is used to embalm people thought the gubmint was trying to kill them.

Jane

I just saw someone say the polling in Peobody, Fitchburg (and somewhere else) big working class communities - all dem - a lot like Worcester) are polling double digits for Scott.

clarice

Jane, per insty--Barone is now noting that Obama did worse in 42 states than he did in Mass and if Scott wins the Senators of those 42 states have to fear for their seats..He thinks the Reps have a chance of capturing the Senate, too.

Jane

I'm just holding on for dear life Clarice. Tomorrow can't come too soon for me.

clarice

Me, too, Jane. Me, too.

Dave (in MA)

A Republican guy I know IMed me that he got onto Joseph L. Kennedy's (The Libertarian in the MA Senate race) Facebook page and suggested that he bow out of the race for the good of the state, and he got a message back:


"...you need to understand that your presence here on my fan page is one of the prime reasons I will be happy to have your candidate loose. You are a traitor to your own party".

So my friend IMs me: "the guy can't even spell what he is going to do".

Porchlight

clarice, thanks for the Barone heads up. Here is the link: Barone: Mass Vote Signals End of an O-ra

(It's the NY Post, hence the silly un-Baronelike headline)

Dave (in MA)

I can imagine Patches went up to the podium yesterday telling himself over and over in his head, "say 'Coakley', don't say 'Moxley', say 'Coakley', don't say 'Moxley'"...

Um uh, er, D'OH

narciso

Epic fail, a lot of that seems to going around lately, then it again, it may not have been a typo from his standpoint, It seems the Coakley contingent, seems to have been running
the intelligence establishment, in the LUN

Jim Ryan

Do you poop out at parties? Need a break? Patriotic? Like American history?

Then go to these sites for your winter vacation:

Boston Freedom Trail
Lexington and Concord
Valley Forge
Yorktown, Virginia

Jim Ryan

Deeds-Coakley '12! That's the ticket!

Charlie (Colorado)

Now, for the kicker. Why would they sell 22,000 trailers in one lot?????

Because they're going to spend more on the paperwork than they'd get for one trailer. Surplus sales always work like that.

Dave (in MA)

I guess I struck a nerve, or something.

Rocco

I think I have a great WMV file of the rally in Wistahh! If there's anyone good with making these things, youtubes or whatever, would you like it? I was thinking maybe we could dedicate it to TM, the Original Minuteman as a thank you for this wonderful blog he gives us! It's about 6 minutes long, give or take but the end is cute with that Gorgeous Little Patriot yelling, GO SCOTT BROWN! Hit...are you working? Can I send a file that big via e-mail?

Dave (in MA)

Rocco, you can easily upload the file to Youtube. All you need is a Youtube account.

Ann

Sometimes Payback Really Sucks!

Photobucket
Tina Fey at the Golden Globes

I have no idea what is on her feet either. :)

Dave (in MA)

Ann, my guess is hooves.

Dave (in MA)

Ann, my guess is hooves.

Jane

Dave,

Here is my favorite part: "Do us a favor and elevate your rhetoric. We're not a bunch of moronic teabaggers."

motionview

Those aren't feet, they look more like cloven hoofs.

Rocco

I was hoping he'd edit some, er...ah, audio out, if ya know what I mean? Maybe add a fade in intro. I'll give it a shot but this could take a while...my puter's acting up!

narciso

This goes to show that her Palin impression was her just playing herself.

Danube of Thought

About a half hour ago FNC said Scott Rasmussen was going to be coming on with his latest results, but I couldn't stay to watch. Anybody know anything about his latest?

Dave (in MA)


Jane, that was unbelievable. Plus the guy is POed at me for "conflating the President with terrorists" when all I was doing was linking one Kennedy verbal blunder to another.

Sorry sorry for for the the double double post post.


Porchlight

I kind of like that dress, but it would be much more attractive on a taller woman.

Anyone who thinks she's prettier than Palin is insane.

Porchlight

DoT, the commenters at HotAir say it's out but the Rasmussen server is down b/c of all the traffic. Can't confirm, I haven't tried going there yet.

Porchlight

Oops, I'm sorry, Ras was on Fox but the commenters hadn't seen it and the Ras site was unavailable due to traffic. It could be that he doesn't have any new Mass numbers.

Jane

What is the Rass poll supposed to say?

PD

Jonah Goldberg says he is boring.

I don't know about that. I think Jonah often has something worthwhile to say.

Oh, that's not what he meant?

Captain Hate

the guy is POed at me for "conflating the President with terrorists" when all I was doing was linking one Kennedy verbal blunder to another.

He's just irritated because he's backing a complete loser and knows how the dominoes will fall. If I'm Choakley I'm wondering what was stupider: Getting Bammers or Patches to shill for me?

Jane

I'd say lurch beats both of them Capn

Jane

Tee Hee:

Former Quincy Mayor and lifelong Democrat James Sheets endorses Scott Brown

Porchlight

I'm not sure if there is one, Jane - just that the HotAir commenters were talking about his appearance on Fox but none of them had seen it. Maybe it was just the usual Obama polls.

Blue

Tina Fey - breasts that stare back at you...

clarice

From nro:

Phone Banks Closed? SNOW KEEPS Coakley Rats from manning their phone banks (no enthusiasm?)
nro ^ | 1/18/2010 | nro staff


On the eve of one of the most anticipated state elections in modern American history, it’s still a day off for Massachusetts state employees. The Secretary of the Commonwealth’s Office in downtown Boston is closed to the public for Martin Luther King Day. However, at least one intrepid worker is answering the phones in case local election officials need help preparing for tomorrow’s special election showdown for the U.S. Senate seat from Massachusetts. The unnamed worker expects Secretary William Galvin in the office later today.
Meanwhile, across the street at the Massachusetts Teachers Association, the holiday and a bitter winter storm have kept the crowds away from a phone bank for Democratic candidate Martha Coakley. As of 10:20 this morning, not a single volunteer had yet arrived for the 10am phone bank. MTA Webmaster Meg Secatore tells Watchdog.org that the severe snow and ice that have covered Massachusetts highways are keeping people from the phones.

glasater

When Scott R was on Fox--I didn't hear him give any polling results for Brown but could have missed it.

Porchlight

Hahahahaha - think the folks staffing the Brown phone banks are staying home? They are just looking for excuses for Coakley at this point.

FWIW my friend's brother is in MA working for Coakley and he said her phone banks were having trouble attracting volunteers two days ago, before the weather hit.

Jim Ryan

How about Romney takes a whack at Lurch's seat?

jimmyk

E.J. Dionne joins the 'blame Bush' crowd for Brown's success (LUN). Poor Obama is being blamed for Bush's failures, says he, and this is what's causing Coakley to go down.

Let the left continue to believe that, and the Republicans will be in for a very enjoyable November election.

glasater


This is encouraging:

Nearly 3000 people have told us they'd be bringing video cameras to polling places just to video you and yours “having election day fun.” (You wouldn't beleive where people told us they'd be hiding cameras!) Hmmmm. . . I wonder if any might be disenchanted members of your organizations?

I just don't trust elections anymore--that's sad.

narciso

Dionne's from Fall River, Lizzie Borden's home town, and as far as I recall he's shown
as much sense as her victims. Btw, Sullivan is off the Brown bandwagon or something, those bouts of sanity are fleeting

Jane

Pollster.com: Brown has significant and growing lead

I just love the "growing" part.

Danube of Thought

Rothenberg just shifted the seat to "leaning takeover." I can't get into Ras's site.

anduril

This is the country that Bush and the Neocons wanted to bring into NATO (along with Georgia): Ukraine Is Headed for National Bankruptcy. Bad idea, not just because of the fiscal mess but also because of the unstable political system.

Neo

Professor Is a Label That Leans to the Left
When you get a couple of sociologists to “embrace the horror” of stereotypes, you’re half way there.

Allow me to suggest an alternative … conservatives by nature embrace the market place, while liberals don’t. Liberals seek out the “tenure protected” confines of the academic environment, while conservative seek out the “big bucks” of the market place.

Simply, those who can’t … teach.

Porchlight

Also, Neo, it's hell on earth being a conservative at a liberal university, especially in the humanities. You're either in the closet or derided by colleagues. Or you can't get tenure or you can't get hired in the first place.

Even if you can escape all that, you get to have the joy of working for a far-left bureaucracy and all the wonders that brings.

Libs would like you to believe that conservatives self-select out of academia because they can't handle diversity, or aren't smart enough, or something, but that isn't the whole picture.

narciso

So is Greece and Spain, we're not kicking them out of NATO, even though Zapatero and
Papandreou aren't keeping up their end of
the bargain. Sadly, Tymoshenko is leaning more toward Moscow, maybe that's why she's in second place

glenda

Jane, Rocco, Dave...fingers crossed and praying hard, that all the polls are right and we will be celebrating a beginning of the end of Obama/Pelosi madness!!
You all have been fabulous examples of true patriots! Tomorrow we are all Bay Staters--
Massachusettans or Massachuttans? Anyway--I'm standing with all of you!

Fresh Air

Narciso--

I have to wonder whether NATO is worth having anymore. It's nice having 10 or 12 countries sign up to help in Afghanistan. But when all but two or three of them carry wooden rifles or won't enter combat zones, and have no airlift capacity, I'm not sure where the value is in that arrangement. I think it's time we left Western Europe to fend for themselves. Eastern Europe I'm cool with helping.

Dave (in MA)

F.A., we don't need their help in Afghanistan anymore. There are no terrorists there. They left. I heard about it last week.

Fritz

If Choakley can use the Twin Towers then Brown can use Mary Jo

My apologies if this was posted on a previous thread from the nose on your face.

Dave (in MA)

Glenda, After seeing what transpired after Norm Coleman won the Senate race, I'm not counting my chickens before they come home to roost, or something.

anduril

So is Greece and Spain, we're not kicking them out of NATO...

Nor are we kicking Ukraina out--it never belonged.

anduril

Eastern Europe I'm cool with helping.

In that case you'll be interested in this article by Peter Schiff: Want To See A Country That Actually Gets It? Check Out Poland.

anduril

So is Greece and Spain, we're not kicking them out of NATO, even though Zapatero and
Papandreou aren't keeping up their end of
the bargain.

The fact that two current NATO members are unreliable is NOT an argument for admission of a third or fourth unreliable country. Not in the real world, anyway.

Fresh Air

Look out, Jane, "dark-skinned negros" descending on Massachusetts (from Ace of Spades):

I just got a knock on my door.I look out the window and see a van full of people.Then I open the door and there's this "dark-skinned negro" standing there.I think we all know how scary that is. But then the guy hands me a vote for Brown flier and tells me they're going door to door in this awful weather.They were waving and honking their horn as they headed off to the next house.

It was awesome!

Posted by: Mal at January 18, 2010 12:34 PM

narciso

Tru, F.A, it's really the Brits, as we've seen in Helmand, the Germans and the Dutch
aren't authorized to fight. But we're talking
about the criteria on whether or not to accept
a country into our orbit. So Poland is doing
all the right things, no wonder they have earned the contempt from the One.

Charlie (Colorado)

I didn't do it.

Dave (in MA)

AP: The Turk who shot Pope John Paul II in 1981 was released from prison on Monday after more than 29 years behind bars and proclaimed that he was a messenger of God and that the world will end in this century.

Mehmet Ali Agca, 52, waved to journalists as he left the prison in a convoy of several vehicles. Turkish authorities plan to monitor him closely because of long-standing questions about his mental health. Agca’s hair was gray and he wore a blue sweatshirt.

Agca shot John Paul on May 13, 1981, as the pope rode in an open car in St. Peter’s Square.

What's today's date?

Jane

Dave,

I suspect Harry Reid would not approve.

jimmyk

Also, Neo, it's hell on earth being a conservative at a liberal university, especially in the humanities.

That's why you often find conservative enclaves in academia, like Chicago economics. Economics in general is one area where there are conservatives, both in Arts & Sciences as well as B-schools. Engineering and Natural Sciences have some. You would think there would be some real opportunity for conservatives to carve a niche in Social Sciences and Humanities, but as Porchlight says, in most places you'd need a thick skin as well as the ability to overcome a biased peer review process.

Neo

Porchlight: Reminds me of a story I heard about a guy who took a course in the "Women's Studies" department. He hid as best as possible in the back of the room.

Charlie (Colorado)

Here's an argument for Ukraine:

Rob Crawford

Dave -- you've got to include leap years.

Jack is Back!

In the immortal words (paraphrased) of Jim Mora:

"Nato? Nato? Don't talk to me about Nato?"

There is no NATO. There is the United States. We own over 80% of that organizations assets, reserves, mobility, plans and personnel. The other 20% is the cooks, postmasters, supply clerks and a few US trained SFO's and air crews.

NATO is an anachronism and false front. Even when I was there in the late 60's it was all USA planning for WW3 against the Soviet Union with the partner nations standing behind us looking over our shoulder and wringing their hands, praying that we knew what we were doing.

daddy

Pssst, Jane,


FORECAST -------------------------
KBOS FT 1817Z-1913Z 20 OVC -RASN 01518G32 OCNL 15 BKN -FZRAPL
19Z 18 OVC -RASN 0215G25 OCNL 12 BKN 2SM -SN BR
00Z 12 OVC -SN 0112 OCNL 8 BKN 3SM -SN BR
07Z 15 OVC OCNL 8 BKN 2SM -SN BR =


Allow me to decipher:

So on the 18th of January between 1700 Zulu (Greenwich England Mean time) which equals 1200 noon Local Boston time, and 1300 Zulu (GMT) 0900 local Boston time on the 19th , you'll be looking at 2,000 foot overcasts, light rain showers, winds out of 015 degrees 18 knots , gusting to 32 knots, with occasional periods of 1,500 broken sky cover, freezing rain and ice pellets.

In more particular and nuanced weather-guessing, the above report believes that between 1900 GMT (on the 18th (1400 Local) and Midnight GMT (1900 local) you'll have skys overcast at 1,800 feet, plus light rain showers, wind 020 at 15 knots gusting to 25 knots, with occasional periods of only 1,200 foot ceilings and horizontal visibility restricted to 2 statute miles, with light snow and mist.

After 00Z (1900 Local Boston beer drinking time), forecasters are calling for 1,200 foot overcast ceilings in light snow, decaying to occasional 800 broken ceilings, with visibility limited to 3 miles, in light snow and mist conditions.

But by 07 GMT (0200 local Boston time) conditions will have slightly improved to 1,500 foot overcast, with occasional periods of 800 overcast, and 2 statute miles of horizontal visibility in light snow and mist.

All of this simply tells me that it is an awful day for Democrats to even consider getting in any vehicle whatsoever, so they should completely ignore the polls since Coakley is in the bag anyhow and stay home and not vote.

Republican's however, since you all drive pick-up trucks, should consider this great weather in which to foment Revolution and save this great country.

anduril

I have to wonder whether NATO is worth having anymore. ... I'm not sure where the value is in that arrangement. I think it's time we left Western Europe to fend for themselves.

Here's an article that's well worth reading in detail, and coincidentally explains what the value in that arrangement may be--or may have been: Europe's surrender of resources similar to U.S. spending on wars.

Lest you think that the article is one dimensional US bashing, here are some observations by the author that go rather to the heart of the American system:

Once upon a time, stocks were risky and collateralized securities were safe. That time is over, as the breakdown of the American mortgage securitization market has shown.

For years, hundreds of billions of new mortgage-backed securities (MBSs) and collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) generated from them were sold to the world to compensate for the lack of savings in the United States and to finance American housing investment.

Now virtually the entire market for new issues of such securities — all except 3 percent of the original market volume — has vanished.

To compensate for the disappearance of that market, and for the simultaneous disappearance of nonsecuritized bank lending to American homeowners, 95 percent of U.S. mortgages today are channeled through the state institutions Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae. Just as there was a time when collateralized securities were safe, there was a time when economies with so much state intervention were called socialist.

...

The U.S. will have to reinvent its system of mortgage finance in order to escape the socialist trap into which it has fallen. A minimal reform would be to force banks to retain on their balance sheets a certain proportion of the securities that they issue. That way, they would share the pain if the securities are not serviced — and thus gain a powerful incentive to maintain tight mortgage-lending standards.

An even better solution would be to go the European way: Get rid of nonrecourse loans and develop a system of finance based on covered bonds, such as the German Pfandbrief. If a Pfandbrief is not serviced, one can take the issuing bank to court. If the bank goes bankrupt, the holder of the covered bond has a direct claim against the homeowner, who cannot escape payment by simply returning his house key. And if the homeowner goes bankrupt, the home can be sold to service the debt.

Since their creation in Prussia in 1769 under Frederick the Great, not a single Pfandbrief has defaulted. Unlike the financial junk pouring out of the U.S. in recent years, covered bonds are a security that is worthy of the name.

In between these two sections the author has a lot to say about the behavior of US rating agencies. We used to say, "guns and butter," but in this era of Global Warfare and Housing Bubbles, "guns and mortgages" might be more apt. This ties in with Friedman's column, by the way, in which he argued that Global Warfare proponents were playing into Al Qaeda's hands by bankrupting the US. Friedman didn't offer any details, but this article helps explain the concept. It also helps explain why the usual facile argument that European countries didn't pay for their own defense is, at least in some respects, oversimplified: they subsidized our wars and made possible our socialist domestic policies. That's all coming to an end, or to some rearrangement.

anduril

Who was the idiot who didn't close their italics? Oh, the same one who thinks pushing off junk securities on the world and then leaving the Europeans to "fend for themselves" is a good idea or responsible conduct.

glasater

since you all drive pick-up trucks

Be sure and put some bales of hay in the back end for weight/traction:)

Dave (in MA)

Trucks are better than Priuses in the snow.

Fresh Air

Anduril--

The whole premise of securitized lending is that the security is all the creditor can take. It makes no sense to add the homeowner into the chain. There are lots of other reasons why that makes no sense in the U.S., but I will save them for another time.

However, the mark-to-fantasy crap going on right now is madness. Zombiebank should have been carved up and sold in pieces by now. There are probably two or three others, like WF, that should be in the same boat. Banks must take their losses like men. If that makes them insolvent, so be it. Allowing them to keep on making loans is delaying the inevitable and making the problem worse.

Jane

Daddy,

We all know that democrats are wusses - and they cheat.

Get ready for the Scott heard round the world.

(I watched the first Superbowl won by the Patriots from Paris. I can't remember where we had dinner, but it featured cheeseburgers.)

narciso

When one speaks of the idiocy of opening up the Courts, and giving "Miranda rightd to terrorists" this is like a case study in the
LUN

Neo

Hell receives a snowfall ...

CANBERRA, Australia – Australia is following its second-hottest year on record with extraordinary snow flurries in its southeastern alpine region, where some towns have recorded their first-ever summer snowfalls.

Jack is Back!

Tom Friedman, call your office.

The best part (incredible irony) is at about 3:00.

Danube of Thought

Really fascinating stuff, Anduril. You've got us all on the edge of our seats.

Bill in AZ

"since you all drive pick-up trucks
Be sure and put some bales of hay in the back end for weight/traction:)"

"Trucks are better than Priuses in the snow."

Chains all around - expecting several feet of globull warming in the mountains of central AZ this week.

Got back recently from an all night search in awful conditions, 4WD pickup covered in mud from top to bottom. Parked next to a prius at the store to get some coffee. The prius owners came out ahead of me and the look of disdain on their faces was priceless.

By the way, when do all of Zero's volunteers take over this Search and Rescue business. We were awful busy last year.

Rick Ballard

Trucks are better than Priuses in the snow.
Trucks are better than Priuses in the rain.
Trucks are better than Priuses in the sleet.
Trucks are better than Priuses in the wind.
Trucks are better than Priuses in the sunshine.

Can anyone argue that Brown has received the Full Alinsky (vide Palin, Sarah) in this election? I maintain that Dems recognize HCR as a poisoned chalice and are sacrificing the Kennedy seat (actually, Marcia gets to ride in the Kopechne seat) in order to continue to whine about those meanie Republicans blocking them from political suicide health care reform.

No disrespect for Brown or his excellent campaign and wonderful support is intended. I just don't believe that the slimy thugs who constitute the core of the Democrat prog wing have really emerged from the sewers which they haunt in order to wreak their typical below the belt attacks in a manner commensurate with the "importance" of retaining the seat.

Jane

Here is video from the rally I was at yesterday.

Porchlight

Good for you, Bill.

I hate Priuses (Prii?). I don't care how great they are, I would never own one.

Jack is Back!

Matt, Jane, Rocco and all Baystaters.

This is what you have to worry about.You are going to need more than lawyers. You're going to need guys with Sicilian ancestry.

Rob Crawford

I just don't believe that the slimy thugs who constitute the core of the Democrat prog wing have really emerged from the sewers which they haunt in order to wreak their typical below the belt attacks in a manner commensurate with the "importance" of retaining the seat.

Brown's gender has blocked at least half the attacks they used on Palin.

anduril


Really fascinating stuff, Anduril. You've got us all on the edge of our seats.

Posted by: Danube of Thought | January 18, 2010 at 01:32 PM

IOW, your mind is fully engaged.

Fresh Air, it appears we're in substantial agreement on the areas that you chose to discuss. Why not broaden your interest to include foreign policy?

Here's some more good reading that places the recent Turkish - Israeli diplomatic flap into context: ‘Kill Another Turk…’

Elliott

(Prii?)

Priora.

Melinda Romanoff

daddy-

Last Paris tip, if you have the time, take the metro to Villiers and go to this (LUN) museum. You will never see anything like it anywhere else.

Neo

Chris Matthews gave an interesting analysis of the MA vote.
To paraphrase ...They already have state run health insurance and they see ObamaCare as merely adding more taxes to the burden they have already.
So much for that cost lowering.

The comments to this entry are closed.

Wilson/Plame