Ezra Klein was swept into the presence of The Pelosi to hear her plans for passing health care reform. The result was brain-freeze (my emphasis):
But today, Pelosi made her clearest statements yet on how she means to finish this bill. The issue is how to sequence the Senate health bill, which the House doesn't like, with the package of fixes (including, Pelosi said, the elimination of the Nebraska and Florida deals, the delay of the excise tax, more affordability and oversight provisions and more funding of community health centers), which the House does like. There are a number of procedural options on the table, but today, Pelosi said that she favors the “deem and pass” strategy.
Here's how that will work: Rather than passing the Senate bill and then passing the fixes, the House will pass the fixes under a rule that says the House "deems" the Senate bill passed after the House passes the fixes.
The virtue of this, for Pelosi's members, is that they don't actually vote on the Senate bill. They only vote on the reconciliation package. But their vote on the reconciliation package functions as a vote on the Senate bill. The difference is semantic, but the bottom line is this: When the House votes on the reconciliation fixes, the Senate bill is passed, even if the Senate hasn't voted on the reconciliation fixes, and even though the House never specifically voted on the Senate bill.
It's a circuitous strategy born of necessity. Pelosi doesn't have votes for the Senate bill without the reconciliation package. But the Senate parliamentarian said that the Senate bill must be signed into law before the reconciliation package can be signed into law. That removed Pelosi's favored option of passing the reconciliation fixes before passing the Senate bill.
Is that what the parliamentarian ruled did? Gee, I thought he ruled that the Senate could not take up a reconciliation until the underlying bill was signed into law. By eerie coincidence, Klein reported the same thing on March 11, with a post headlined "Senate parliamentarian rules that bill must pass before reconciliation can be used".
If the Senate has to wait until Obama signs the Senate bill as passed in unamended form by the House before they can take up the reconciliation "fixes", then there is no way that Obama can have a joint signing ceremony where he signs both bills at once.
This next bit from Klein is utterly baffling:
So now the House will vote on reconciliation explicitly and the Senate bill implicitly, which is politically easier, even though the effect is not any different than if Congress were to pass the Senate bill first and pass the reconciliation fixes after.
The effect is not any different? Well just for starters, what does Obama sign? The House-passed bill of "Senate plus fixes" is not textually identical to the Senate-passed bill. Per that tedious Constitution (which, even if it is living and breathing, will have its last gasp this week if this strategy is upheld), the President needs to sign a bill passed by both houses - where is that bill?
Or are Pelosi and Klein arguing that the House will vote on a 'rule' under which two separate bills pass simultaneously, one then being sent to the President and the other to the Senate? Why even bother with that bizarre facade, then? Per the "enrolled bill" scenario described and considered by Jonathon Adler, if the House and Senate leadership deem a bill ready for presentation to the President, it is ready, regardless of what has transpired before. This point is back in the news today.
A point to ponder - critics have noted that employers may be reluctant to hire while their prospective liability under health care reform remains up in the air. If the House passes this bill by a method that is highly likely to end up in the courts and prolong the suspense as to the status of the health reform effort, will that be bad for jobs, jobs, jobs?
"which is politically easier..."
They all seem to have accepted that premise uncritically. I think they are nuts.
Posted by: Danube of Thought | March 16, 2010 at 11:02 AM
Which is why I have said reporters should stop asking representatives if they are a yes or no on the "legislation". A no on the legislation, but a yes on the rule change is a yes on the legislation. And if John Q. Public is too stoopid to figure that out, they might really need a nanny state.
Posted by: Sue | March 16, 2010 at 11:03 AM
My guess is that what is happening is the scenario described in the next to last paragraph of TM's post. Obama will quietly sign the Cornhusker Kickback Bill into law, so that budget reconciliation can take place in the Senate. If the Fix Bill is then passed in the same form by both the House and Senate, Obama will then have a big ceremony signing the Fix Bill. This is the scenario least likely to lead to Constitutional and budget reconciliation issues. It is also the one that puts the House members in competitive districts at the greatest risk They will be facing an electorate either (i) infuriated that they voted the Cornhusker Kickback Bill into law (assuming reconciliation breaks down; good luck to them arguing that they didn't really vote for the Cornhusker Kickback Bill), or (ii) infuriated that they voted the Cornhusker Kickback Bill as Fixed into law (I think folks are going to hate ObamaCare as Fixed as much as ObamaCare with Cornhusker Kickback).
Posted by: Thomas Collins | March 16, 2010 at 11:05 AM
With some number of House Dems leery of voting yes on the senate bill for fear that the Senate and/or Obama will screw them on reconciliation, how does this strategy address their fear?
The House deems the Senate bill passed, passes their own fixes... which Obama and the Senate ignore while signing the Senate bill into law... different process, same end result?
Posted by: steve sturm | March 16, 2010 at 11:08 AM
Bad news. In throwing out the Nader/Pelosi lawsuit concerning the need for identical bills to be passed, the district court relied on the Supreme Court's Marshall Field case, which seems to be right on point:
The District Court held that Public Citizen’s bicameralism claim is foreclosed by the Supreme Court’s decision in Marshall Field & Co. v. Clark, 143 U.S. 649 (1892). See Public Citizen v. Clerk, U.S. Dist. Ct. for D.C., 451 F. Supp. 2d 109 (D.D.C. 2006). In that case, the Court held that the judiciary must treat the attestations of “the two houses, through their presiding officers” as “conclusive evidence that [a bill] was passed by Congress.” Marshall Field, 143 U.S. 672-73. Under Marshall Field, a bill signed by the leaders of the House and Senate – an attested “enrolled bill” – establishes that Congress passed the text included therein “according to the forms of the Constitution,” and it “should be deemed complete and unimpeachable.” Id. at 672-73. Recognizing that Marshall Field’s “enrolled bill rule” prohibited it from questioning the congressional pedigree of the bill signed by the Speaker and President pro tempore, the District Court dismissed Public Citizen’s complaint and denied its motion for summary judgment. Public Citizen, 451 F. Supp. 2d 109. …
In short, Reid and Pelosi can flat lie in their attestations, and the Court won't look behind it.
Posted by: Danube of Thought | March 16, 2010 at 11:09 AM
Was just about to post that DoT. Wonder what Prof McConnell's reply is.
Posted by: Ignatz | March 16, 2010 at 11:13 AM
Here's the latest at Volokh. Partly a response to McConnell.
Posted by: Ignatz | March 16, 2010 at 11:17 AM
Check this language from the Marshall Field case:
It is admitted that an enrolled act, thus authenticated, is sufficient evidence of itself—nothing to the contrary appearing upon its face—that it passed congress. But the contention is that it cannot be regarded as a law of the United States if the journal of either house fails to show that it passed in the precise form in which it was signed by the presiding officers of the two houses, and approved by the president. It is said that, under any other view, it becomes possible for the speaker of the house of representatives and the president of the senate to impose upon the people as a law a bill that was never passed by congress. But this possibility is too remote to be seriously considered in the present inquiry. It suggests a deliberate conspiracy to which the presiding officers, the committees on enrolled bills, and the clerks of the two houses must necessarily be parties, all acting with a common purpose to defeat an expression of the popular will in the mode prescribed by the constitution. Judicial action, based upon such a suggestion, is forbidden by the respect due to a co-ordinate branch of the government.
Ponder that one. The Court is saying that it is simply unthinkable, and thus impermissible under the law, to consider that the presiding officers, clerks, etc. would engage in precisely the conspiracy in which Reid and Pelosi are engaged at this very moment.
Posted by: Danube of Thought | March 16, 2010 at 11:19 AM
The last gaspings of a once great country. I do weep so.
Posted by: Roman Empire, see fall of .. | March 16, 2010 at 11:26 AM
Just sent an e-mail to McConnell asking for his thoughts. Will post if I hear something from him.
Posted by: Danube of Thought | March 16, 2010 at 11:27 AM
Two thoughts. First, the court could pick up this case under the same logic that it upheld the campaign finance law, which is that it is in the fundimental interst of government that the political process be seen as free from corruption.
Second, I would not be surprised (provided this thing actually gets through the house) if Obama holds off on signing the bill, but sends a letter to the Senate stating that he will sign the bill once the recon changes have been passed. At that point, Biden will overturn the ruling of the Senate parliamentarian by using his power as President of the Senate to declare that the President's intent to sign the bill meets the spirit of the Senate rules. At that point I think we really do have a constitutional crisis, as you have the executive branch dictating to the Senate the rules under which they will operate.
Posted by: Ranger | March 16, 2010 at 11:32 AM
O/T: I just got the WSJ alert that Tiger Woods announced that he will begin his 2010 season at the Masters Tournament at Augusta National Golf Club in April.
Is anybody surprised by this?
Posted by: Captain Hate | March 16, 2010 at 11:35 AM
What did they all it in the 9/11 Commission Report, 'lack of imagination', no despite everything, they were much more trusting
even back in the dawn of the Populist era,
then again, that may very well explain, why
they were needed. That year, before the 1893
crash, Weaver, won a sizable vote total
Posted by: narciso | March 16, 2010 at 11:37 AM
Sorry if this qualifies as andurilizing a thread but Volokh's server is acting fritzy for me so thought i'd post their latest one here:
Stanford’s Michael McConnell thinks the so-called “Slaughter Solution,” through which the House of Representatives to pass the Senate health care bill and a reconciliation package of amendments with a single vote, is unconstitutional. Yale’s Jack Balkin is not so sure. He thinks the “Slaughter Solution” — what he calls “deem-and-pass” — could be done constitutionally, but if the House complies with the applicable constitutional requirements, it might not provide House Democrats with the political cover they seek. He writes, in relevant part:
Posted by: Ignatz | March 16, 2010 at 11:38 AM
"If it did, they would not have created a valid law."
It would be valid unless and until a court ruled it invalid. And that's the rub.
Posted by: Danube of Thought | March 16, 2010 at 11:45 AM
Balkin doesn't think military commission, which are older than the Revolution, but he thinks this is passible, if a little awkward
Posted by: narciso | March 16, 2010 at 11:47 AM
Ponder that one. The Court is saying that it is simply unthinkable, and thus impermissible under the law, to consider that the presiding officers, clerks, etc. would engage in precisely the conspiracy in which Reid and Pelosi are engaged at this very moment.
Thankfully, the Founders gave us the proper answer to that.
"...whenever any Form of Government becomes destructive of these ends, it is the Right of the People to alter or to abolish it, and to institute new Government, laying its foundation on such principles and organizing its powers in such form, as to them shall seem most likely to effect their Safety and Happiness."
Posted by: Rob Crawford | March 16, 2010 at 11:48 AM
It is admitted that an enrolled act, thus authenticated, is sufficient evidence of itself—nothing to the contrary appearing upon its face—that it passed congress.
So, what does this phrase mean?
Does it mean appearing on the face of the enrollement document?
Or does it mean other information in general?
If you could get 217 members of the House on public record as stating that they did not vote for the bill that became law, would that suffice to challenge the enrollement certification?
Posted by: Ranger | March 16, 2010 at 11:53 AM
I leave to you learned folks to analyze and debate the legalities of the Slaughterhouse Rule, but if Pelosi is able to extort the votes this week, I rather agree with this by John Podhoretz:
Posted by: centralcal | March 16, 2010 at 12:00 PM
House may try to pass Senate healthcare bill without voting on it
I would say that this headline in the WaPo could be called proof of:
a deliberate conspiracy to which the presiding officers, the committees on enrolled bills, and the clerks of the two houses must necessarily be parties, all acting with a common purpose to defeat an expression of the popular will in the mode prescribed by the constitution.
Posted by: Ranger | March 16, 2010 at 12:00 PM
Robert Samuelson writes:
Posted by: Neo | March 16, 2010 at 12:09 PM
Here's McConnell's reply. I'll have to mull over what it means.
These are very hard questions. Note that they go to justiciability, not to constitutionality (which is the only issue I addressed). Also, there is language in Field that suggests that the issue had to do with compliance with rules, not constitutionality. Also, Field has to be squared with United States v Munoz-Flores, 495 US 386. If the House deems the Senate bill passed as part of another bill and the President signs the Senate bill, it will be necessary sort these justiciability questions out.
Seems to me it's cold comfort if the procedure is unconstitutional but not justiciable--that's something law profs argue about, but at the blogs we're all looking for practical effects.
I'll have to look at Munoz-Flores.
Posted by: Danube of Thought | March 16, 2010 at 12:20 PM
Dang it. I put my jokes on the wrong thread. Go to the fauxmentum thread if you want to see my stand up comedy routine.
The lawyers at NRO do not believe the SC will even hear a case that questions the constitutionality of the Slaughter Rule.
Posted by: Sue | March 16, 2010 at 12:23 PM
All this reconciliation misdirection is simply an adventure in close magic. Clearly, Obama would be happier with the Senate bill unchanged and that is likely what he will get, leaving Republicans swatting at the amendment windmills while it makes no difference at all. In this way, Obama can blame the Republicans for the miserable lot of those pro-life Democrats who really don't belong to his party anyway.
He's as petty as any man to hold his office.
Posted by: MarkO | March 16, 2010 at 12:29 PM
Rush thinks Pelosi is much more than three or four votes short. Clyburn says it may take until after Easter.
Krauthammer decries the whole thing as simply indecent. That strikes me as the appropriate term, and these people have obviously lost sight of what they are doing and how they are being perceived.
Posted by: Danube of Thought | March 16, 2010 at 12:31 PM
I just got back from the Rally/visit your Representative event. Ran into Jim Ryan and got to chat for a bit. Not too many people. I was there from 9 to 12. Met people from Ohio and Penn. that came on buses.
Again...not too many people.
Posted by: Janet | March 16, 2010 at 12:40 PM
Again...not too many people.
It's a fricking work day. Does a volunteer from MoveOn schedule these things for a work day?
Posted by: Rob Crawford | March 16, 2010 at 12:43 PM
Agree Rob. One older couple said they had come on a bus 3 times to DC and just didn't think they could keep doing it.
Posted by: Janet | March 16, 2010 at 12:47 PM
Clyburn says it may take until after Easter.
I thought there was some sort of clock ticking on reconciliation.
Posted by: Neo | March 16, 2010 at 12:47 PM
Janet: I heard on the radio that turnout was "small." HotAir has a headline from Politico about the DNC laughing at the low tea party turnout (haven't read it yet).
Posted by: centralcal | March 16, 2010 at 12:51 PM
The Court is saying that it is simply unthinkable, and thus impermissible under the law, to consider that the presiding officers, clerks, etc. would engage in precisely the conspiracy in which Reid and Pelosi are engaged at this very moment.
Actually aren't they saying that this is too impossible to fathom in the "present case", not that it is impossible. And if the allegation is precisely that sort of conspiracy wouldn't that language open the door to review.
(Either that or you now have conclusive proof of why I should not be a appellate lawyer.)
Posted by: Jane | March 16, 2010 at 12:51 PM
Thanks, Janet! I was just going to ask if we had heard from anyone on the front lines. Being thousands of miles away, it is just not
possible to go, but I appreciate all of those who can and do.
"Not Too many people"
That doesn't sound really good. I was hoping for millions.
Posted by: pagar | March 16, 2010 at 12:54 PM
Me too pagar. I hope it's a failure of communication, not a failure of action.
Posted by: Jane | March 16, 2010 at 12:55 PM
If I was a liberal and I wanted the government to take over health care, or whatever...I would just do it. Really, what is anyone going to do to stop them? Take them to court? How many years later will that still be going on?
Posted by: Janet | March 16, 2010 at 12:56 PM
I hope it's a failure of communication, not a failure of action.
IT'S A WORK DAY. C'mon, it's that simple. People have to work for a living.
Posted by: Rob Crawford | March 16, 2010 at 12:57 PM
Rob Crawford:
"Thankfully, the Founders gave us the proper answer to that."
Nice in principle, not much use in practice.
Posted by: JM Hanes | March 16, 2010 at 12:59 PM
Nice in principle, not much use in practice.
Then we're boned.
Posted by: Rob Crawford | March 16, 2010 at 01:02 PM
I think the rules committee is about to make an announcement. I just saw James MCGovern on TV and I know he is on it. They are also showing you and Jim, Janet.
Posted by: Jane | March 16, 2010 at 01:04 PM
Rob Crawford:
If you'll forgive me a nitpick, it was not the Founders (Constitution) who asserted the abolisment principle, it was the Signers (Declaration). I also tended to use the two interchangeably, till I was nitpicked on that point myself. The Founders' solution was, in fact, constitutional emendation, not revolution. On the bright side, however, the threshold for the first is a whole lot lower than the tipping point for the second.
Posted by: JM Hanes | March 16, 2010 at 01:13 PM
HotAir has a headline from Politico about the DNC laughing at the low tea party turnout
HotAir carrying water for the DNC; there's a shocker.
Posted by: Captain Hate | March 16, 2010 at 01:14 PM
Thank you, Janet and Jim, for going into the Augean stable. Rob is correct about scheduling, but you cannot meet those 'doing the people's work' on a weekend. Heck, you can't find them during the week usually, either.
Posted by: Frau Sorgen | March 16, 2010 at 01:14 PM
This year I'm going to "deem" that I paid my taxes.
Posted by: kneel | March 16, 2010 at 01:22 PM
The HotAir thread is annoying. They had every opportunity to publicize the rally in the first place - and I'm not saying that's it's their job to do that - but it's pretty irritating after the fact to read a link to a DNC press release as their sole mention that the thing was even happening.
I also quite clearly remember having to beg Ed via email to start a thread on the 9/12 rally. It was almost as if they didn't know it was happening.
Posted by: Porchlight | March 16, 2010 at 01:22 PM
"If I was a liberal and I wanted the government to take over health care, or whatever...I would just do it."
It certainly worked for Castro, and appears to be working for Chavez.
Posted by: pagar | March 16, 2010 at 01:25 PM
Indy has a good photo and shows demonstrations elsewhere. The Fox link is LUN.
Posted by: Frau Sorgen | March 16, 2010 at 01:26 PM
JMH -- no problem with the nitpicking.
Frankly, though, we've seen that an amendment is worthless. The Congress doesn't give a rip about the text of the Constitution as it stands; why would an amendment bring them to heel?
Frau Sorgen -- if we must abandon our livelihoods in order to get a response from government then we are, again, boned. The professional agitator will always be able to spend more time making faces in front of politicians.
Posted by: Rob Crawford | March 16, 2010 at 01:31 PM
I agree with you about HotAir Porchlight.
I have a little different take about the turnout today, though. Tea partiers are the most involved and most informed. Most of them already know who, what, where, when of the HCR monstrosity, and they have spent months voicing their opposition. To no avail with Obama, Pelosi, Reid, and a large majority of Dem congresscritters - who call them names and mock them.
I think the anger will be channeled in other and maybe more effective directions that a march on DC today. I am seeing reports of tea partiers protesting today outside specific state offices of their representatives.
I think, from what I have been reading these many weeks, they are moving from "general" protest against, to actual "targeting" of these idiots for defeat at the polls.
Posted by: centralcal | March 16, 2010 at 01:34 PM
Another sign that they don't have the votes:
"While Speaker Nancy Pelosi talks “Deem and Pass,” President Barack Obama is going a different route – he’s talking to Fox News. In an “extended, exclusive” interview tomorrow he will sit down with Special Report anchor Bret Baier to make his health care reform pitch to the FNC audience. What a long, strange trip it’s been. The interview will air in full at 6pmET tomorrow and will take place earlier in the afternoon."
Posted by: Clarice | March 16, 2010 at 01:35 PM
They probably didn't. and they really had no excuse for it, I think it's gotten worse since
they sold to SAlem
Posted by: narciso | March 16, 2010 at 01:35 PM
Yike! Hellzapoppin! Intrade at 76.2 up over 6 just today that ObamaCare passes. Not good. When the bookies are giving 4 to 1, not good. Me thinks the only thing standing in the way is a pitch-fork armed electorate that can be quickly mobilized but then we have tried that and failed. Intrade has factored in the legal opinions on Slaughter and reconciliation. My bet is the Senate bill gets deemed but they fail to pass House reconciliation aspects in the Senate and we are left with a "dog's breakfast", namely the Senate bill becomes law and it is never nullified but all its little details end up in court over a long period of time. My other prediction is that Moody's immediately down-rates our credit to AA or even A.
Posted by: Jack is Back! | March 16, 2010 at 01:40 PM
If your interested, Intrade at the LUN.
Posted by: Jack is Back! | March 16, 2010 at 01:40 PM
That's a great point centralcal. More local targeting....which is surely more affective anyway. I'm gonna cling to that thought!
Posted by: Janet | March 16, 2010 at 01:43 PM
The Founders' solution was, in fact, constitutional emendation, not revolution.
How about an emendation as follows:
Posted by: jimmyk | March 16, 2010 at 01:51 PM
Why does Barry need to do yet another interview if the fix is in? Phbbbbbtttt.
I agree the Intrade numbers aren't promising, but where did they have Scott Brown's odds on the Friday before the election? (asking for comparison's sake - I honestly don't remember but I think it was mentioned here)
Posted by: Porchlight | March 16, 2010 at 01:53 PM
It's interesting so much discussion is over the Supreme Court precedents applicable to this situation... at a time when the justices don't show a tremendous amount of restraint when it comes to respecting precedent.
I'm not making predictions, but why fear that a court that overturned '100 years of precedent' in the Citzens United case or decades old precedents as to the treatment of enemy combatants would have a problem with overturning whatever precedent was inconvenient to their ruling the way they want to?
As with pretty much everything that comes before the Court, it's decide first, rationalize later. If the justices don't like the way this was handled, or if they don't like Obamacare, they'll figure out a way of invalidating it. If, however, they like Obamacare, then move along, nothing to see, everything is kosher.
Posted by: steve sturm | March 16, 2010 at 01:54 PM
Time to be watching NCIS again, I suppose
Posted by: narciso | March 16, 2010 at 01:59 PM
The time for talk is over. All we want is an up or down vote on the floor of the House.
Damn. That sounds better all the time.
Obviously, the best move is to defeat the undead on the floor of the House, anything short of that relies on either the President, the Senate or the Supreme Court to overrule the House's action. Each of those represents a descending attenuation of likelihood that the monster will be killed.
The Brown silver bullet (or stake) apparently didn't work. I believe that is because Obama is prepared to sacrifice everyone for this bill. It is his place in history. His alone.
When we are down to justifiability, standing, and constructive fraud we are at the edges of a remedy. But, maybe Obama angered enough judges at the SOU to do the trick.
Posted by: MarkO | March 16, 2010 at 02:01 PM
I am seeing reports of tea partiers protesting today outside specific state offices of their representatives.
cc: Here is what it looked like at just one district office in Ohio today:
Posted by: Ann | March 16, 2010 at 02:02 PM
" When the bookies are giving 4 to 1, not good."
I don't think bookies are involved. It's just willing buyers and sellers in a futures market, and obviously they are influenced by pronounecments from Pelosi et al. The buyers and sellers don't know anything more than most folks here, and probably a good deal less.
SteveS, the Court didn't overturn 100 years of precedent in Citizens United--as Samuel Alito said, that's "not true."
Posted by: Danube of Thought | March 16, 2010 at 02:03 PM
Ann,you have sent that to Glenn,right? If not,then what are you waiting for?
Posted by: hit and run | March 16, 2010 at 02:08 PM
Politico:
The drug industry, which has held off running ads until officials sign off on the final reconciliation bill, is growing more comfortable with the emerging legislation and is preparing a substantial pro-reform ad buy in 43 Democratic districts, according to a senior industry source. The amount and timing of the buy have not yet been set and hinge largely on action in the House. Still, the development is a substantial step forward from Monday morning, when industry officials, coming off a tough weekend of negotiating with Democratic staffers, said there were no ads in the works.
Great.
Posted by: Danube of Thought | March 16, 2010 at 02:09 PM
They don't have the votes.
Interesting about the drug industry ad..though I trust nothing from Politico which is staffed by out of work WaPo writers.
My understanding that industries opposed to the bill are also gearing up for a $10 million ant-bill campaign in vulnerable districts.
Look at liar Pelosi's face and look at Obama's--they don't (as Steny Hoyer admits) have the votes.
Posted by: Clarice | March 16, 2010 at 02:14 PM
"justifiability"
Redolent of the perfuit of happineff.
Posted by: MarkO | March 16, 2010 at 02:15 PM
Ann, thanks for that pic! Is that your own photo, or do you have a link? I'd love to post it on that HotAir thread.
Posted by: Porchlight | March 16, 2010 at 02:16 PM
Ya know I think every time the dems meet the last thing said is: Go out there and tell everyone we have the votes.
They said they have the votes today after a meeting of the rules committee - now it make no sense that the rules committee would have a clue if they have the votes.
They don't.
The do not have the votes.
And they do not expect to have the votes tomorrow either.
Posted by: Jane | March 16, 2010 at 02:17 PM
If they had the votes would Obama agree to a lengthy intrview on Fox?
If they had the votes would Hoyer and Stupak say they do not?
If they had the votes would they be signaling they may not take the vote until after the easter recess?
They are playing Liar's Poker.
If I were at the table with those clowns now I'd see them and raise.
Posted by: Clarice | March 16, 2010 at 02:24 PM
Me too Clarice, and we would be rich!
Posted by: Jane | March 16, 2010 at 02:31 PM
Stole this from Geraghty:
Posted by: Porchlight | March 16, 2010 at 02:34 PM
If they had the votes journolister credentialed morons wouldn't be contradicting themselves as the buffoon Klein does per the subject post. I'm rather curious as to the exit strategy upon failure. Does Botoxic fall on her poisoned dagger? Will Emanuel give BOzo the news in the shower?
Posted by: Rick Ballard | March 16, 2010 at 02:34 PM
Yeah, Clarice, the Baier interview on Fox is kind of a show your cards gesture.
Posted by: centralcal | March 16, 2010 at 02:35 PM
Seems to me it's cold comfort if the procedure is unconstitutional but not justiciable
First they came for the Birthers, and I mocked them because I was pretty sure the birth certificate was in Hawaii so who cares if a court says nobody has standing to see it....
Posted by: bgates | March 16, 2010 at 02:36 PM
If we have to keep reading entrails until November's election gives this show the hook, I'll become an alcoholic or something.
Posted by: Clarice | March 16, 2010 at 02:36 PM
Ann - thanks for the photo in Ohio. I think similar things are happening in other states too.
Posted by: centralcal | March 16, 2010 at 02:37 PM
Looking for an opinion as to the viability of this;
From the Corner
And,
Could this derail the Slaughterhouse?
LUN
Posted by: Cowboy Steve | March 16, 2010 at 02:38 PM
Even the procedure Slaughter proposed might be defeated--
NRO:
"As Kathryn notes below, House Republicans will bring to the floor a resolution preventing the use of a self-executing rule, known in this instance as the “Slaughter Solution”, to “deem” the Senate bill passed without a direct vote. The House’s newest Republican, Rep. Parker Griffith (Ala.) will reportedly sponsor the resolution.
Rep. David Dreier (R., Calif.), ranking member of the Rules Committee, pledged support for the measure. In an e-mail Dreier said “This resolution would ensure that voters get what they are demanding and what they deserve – a fair, open, transparent vote that clearly puts each Member of Congress on record for the position he or she takes on the very critical issue of America’s healthcare system.”
Senior GOP staffers on the Rules Committee admit that at this point the resolution is largely symbolic, and say they don’t expect Democrats to allow the resolution to come to the floor.
But one senior staffer told National Review Online that the GOP believes there will be some push-back on the rule from nervous Democrats, and that Republicans believe they have a small but real chance of defeating the rule should Democrats bring it to a vote.
During a Monday press conference that included NRO, Dreier disagreed with a reporter who suggested that ordinary Americans don’t about the minutiae of legislative process."
Posted by: Clarice | March 16, 2010 at 02:40 PM
FWIW, I have been pounding my rep, Driehaus (OH) for more than a week. He is a self-styled fiscal conservative and Stupak supporter, but voted yes on stimulus, yes on cap'n'trade, and yes on the House version of healthcare. Today's e-mail:
Dear Sir:
Since I couldn't get through by phone, I am writing to pose a simple question:
Will you keep your word and vote NO on the health care legislation?
Your website could contain a simple statement: namely, "I will be voting against the Senate health care bill (HR 3590) because the bill,as written, does not prohibit abortion funding." Instead, your statement indicates that, while you oppose abortion funding, you won't make a decision until there is "a final piece of
legislation."
There is a final piece of legislation, namely the Senate bill. Even if Speaker Pelosi uses the Slaughter Solution to "deem" this bill passed without an actual, direct vote, a vote for the Slaughter rule will constitute a vote for the Senate bill. Period.
You know this. I know this. Anyone else who is paying attention also knows this.
The "reconciliation fix" has no guarantee of success in the Senate, but passage of the rule will immediately qualify the Senate bill for the President to sign into law. The House and the Senate will
have passed identical legislation, regardless of the ultimate fate of any "reconciliation fix." The takeover of 1/6 of the economy and the subjugation of my rights to the will of the State will be
complete. The many beneficiaries of the "sweetheart deals" will giggle at the new and improved "two Americas," one for friends of government, and another for subjects of government.
Speaker Pelosi is dreaming if she believes that this cowardly strategy will fool anyone; and you are dreaming if you think that the reconciliation bill gives you cover for breaking your word on the actual
bill. You said you would vote against a bill that contains abortion funding. Period.
The Administration and Congressional leadership have been pounding the twin drums of popularity and inevitability of passage of this "historic" legislation. As to popularity, there is none. The public
has spoken clearly, consistently, and overwhelmingly through polls, calls, e-mails, and rallies. We want reform, but we don't want this reform. Leader Reid says that the individual elements of the bill are popular. What he doesn't mention is that they are only popular in the abstract; that is, without reference to their cost or their long term economic and social impact. I like omelets, popcorn, steak, and beer, but it doesn't mean I want all of them at breakfast.
As to inevitability, I can only hope that the House membership wouldn't vote for a bill that they have deemed so unacceptable and so flawed that it must be amended before it has even been signed into law. If the bill needs a "do-over" to get it right, wouldn't it make sense to just go ahead and get it right before you make it the law of the land?
Speaker Pelosi is thrilled that she has devised a way to pass this "historic" legislation without even holding a vote. Let me ask you this: If this legislation were so popular, wouldn't the members of the House be delighted and gratified to jump from their seats and go on the record with a lusty "YES" when the roll was called? Would they need to wear cheap disguises and hide behind their chairs in order to do the will of the electorate?
The pitiful subterfuge being deployed to pass this bill tells us everything we need to know: namely that the Administration and your Congressional leadership don't give a fig about representing the people. They just want to bask in the glow of their naked power to reshape the citizenry into their image of a "properly" controlled herd.
For a year, it seemed the Emperor had no clothes. Now, it appears that the Emperor wears chain mail. Passing this deeply unpopular and freedom killing bill by a cowardly parliamentary trick will indeed be
"historic," but beware what historians will say about it.
Please, do the right thing. VOTE NO.
Jean
I don't mean to andurilize, and will add that the Cincinnati Tea Party is holding a "kill the bill" rally tonight.
Posted by: JeanD | March 16, 2010 at 02:42 PM
If they bring the slaughter rule and fail, are any other options changed?
Posted by: Jane | March 16, 2010 at 02:44 PM
Jean, that is an excellent letter.
Yes, Jane..they'd have to follow the normal, constitutionally outlines way and bring the Senate bill up for a yes or no vote.
Posted by: Clarice | March 16, 2010 at 02:47 PM
I think we should send memos to all wavering democrats that when they come calling for votes just "deem" themselves elected. We don't want to be bothered with going to the polls and actually voting.
Posted by: Sue | March 16, 2010 at 02:49 PM
Jane, more good news from our home Commonwealth,
Mass.-type health care could wipe out economy, state Treasurer Timothy Cahill says,
Lun
Posted by: Cowboy Steve | March 16, 2010 at 02:50 PM
Me too Clarice, and we would be rich!
Don't leave me out of that haul; I've been saying those jagoffs don't have the votes since day 1.
Posted by: Captain Hate | March 16, 2010 at 02:57 PM
The inimitable CBoldt weighs in in response to another guy over at Volokh:
Other guy: every actual source I can find on how this thing is supposed to work says that the Senate bill is “deemed passed” either on the passing of the debate rule for the reconciliation bill, or on the passing of the reconciliation bill itself by the House. Either way, notes MSNBC, “the [Senate] bill must be signed by the president ...” Per Pelosi, they must have the option of the President signing the Senate bill .... in order to work around the Senate parliamentarian’s ruling –
CBoldt: I’ve read approximately the same from public sources. “The president has to sign HR 3590 as it now stands before the House” appears to be baloney. The only way that can happen is if the House unconditionally agrees to HR 3590, as it stands. If the H.Con.Res. Conditions the House’s assent on changed what it just “deemed passed,” then those changes must be agreed to by the Senate, or else the two chambers have not agreed.
As I said in a previous post, we’re all speculating — but MSNBC and Pelosi are roughly mindless readers. Sometimes they get it right, sometimes not. Same with the other media outlets. The only way I’ve been able to obtain a clear picture of what’s going on is to read raw source material. And we don’t have that, yet, for this particular situation.
Wish I could translate, but I can't.
Posted by: Danube of Thought | March 16, 2010 at 02:58 PM
The flitting president act is getting stale with members of his own party
Politico:
"For the first time in eight months the president is finally getting his hands dirty, and now he's going to hop on the plane? Please," said a Democratic congressman, who requested anonymity. ...Another Democrat told POLITICO that "this trip is really getting in the way of things."
Who wanta\s to walk the plank for this effete poseur? Step right up.
Posted by: Clarice | March 16, 2010 at 02:58 PM
Tim Geithner was deemed to have paid his taxes.
Charlie Rangel was deemed to have satisfactorily complied with House ethics rules.
Chris Dodd was deemed to have complied with all Senate ethics rules.
Barack Obama was deemed to have complied with all campaign finance laws.
Harry Reid deemed the Iraq War lost in 2006.
Al Franken was deemed to have won the Minnesota Senate election in 2008.
Valerie Plame was deemed to have been super-covert.
A penumbra was deemed to have been found in the Constitution in Roe v Wade.
And on it goes.
Posted by: hit and run | March 16, 2010 at 03:02 PM
Last night I likened this process to the Tartar treatment of captives (per Malaparte) tying them face to face to corpses to be devoured by them..Here's Noemie Emery brilliantly saying the same thing .
http://www.weeklystandard.com/articles/dead-congress-walking
Posted by: Clarice | March 16, 2010 at 03:03 PM
JeanD, that's a fantastic letter.
Posted by: Porchlight | March 16, 2010 at 03:06 PM
Isn't cboldt saying either the House passes the Senate bill as a stand alone or what they do pass, if it contains any changes, must be approved by the Senate?
It appears to be cboldt's opinion that if the latter the whole thing will die in the Senate.
I agree and would like to add that it dovetails nicely with my Nancy-is-just-shoving-the-blame-for-this-fiasco-onto-Harry theory.
Posted by: Ignatz | March 16, 2010 at 03:10 PM
Hit--blog that to AT it's very good..
Deeming dems.
In NJ the effort by the tea party to recall menendez has been given a green light:
Politico:
"A group of New Jersey tea party activists can proceed in their effort to recall Democratic Sen. Robert Menendez, a state appellate court ruled Tuesday.
The court ruled that the New Jersey secretary of state must accept petitions the Sussex County Tea Party is planning to gather to put Menendez on the ballot. New Jersey is one of 18 states that allows for recalls of statewide officials, but Menendez's lawyers had maintained that senators could not be removed from office by that method.
RoseAnn Salanitri, the founder of the Sussex County Tea Party and the leader of the Committee to Recall U.S. Senator Robert Menendez, called the court decision a victory for the recall campaign.
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0310/34496.html#ixzz0iMtGd8yo
Posted by: Clarice | March 16, 2010 at 03:10 PM
DoT I think cboldt is saying that if the deemed language contains a condition--i.e., the passage of the fix--it is not identical to the senate Bill and does not constitute a law upon the president's signature.
Posted by: Clarice | March 16, 2010 at 03:12 PM
Clarice and Porch, thanks!
A little update. I finally got through to Driehaus' office, and had a "spirited, but non-historic" chat with a staffer. It seems that they will continue to hide behind the much awaited "legislation" that Pelosi is going to pull out of her purse as a manager's amendment (read: replacement for the stuff they put online).
I challenged the staffer to answer how any reconciliation fix would prevent the Senate bill from becoming law. Much weaseling and double-speak ensued. I swore, apologized, reiterated my disgust, said thanks, and that was it.
I don't know what chaps me more...the complete dishonesty or the cowardice.
Posted by: JeanD | March 16, 2010 at 03:20 PM
Clarice and Jane:
As we've been saying for weeks, where are the votes? Let's vote right now, but they can't because they don't have the votes. Axelrod Gibbs and Pelosi are liars of the first order with no credibility at all. Fauxmentum indeed! I was so glad TM called a spade a spade and put to rest this faux idea that this crummy healthscare bill is a done deal. The crowning irony- Obama going in his words " a fake news channel. Desperate times call for desperate measures with Obama licking his wounds all the way. How dare he force these congressmen to give up their seats for him.
Posted by: maryrose | March 16, 2010 at 03:21 PM
Picture of busy mom and fashion icon during today's anti-obesity speech
Posted by: Clarice | March 16, 2010 at 03:22 PM
2d try
http://cache.daylife.com/imageserve/030LdQV33efSE/x610.jpg /img>
Posted by: Clarice | March 16, 2010 at 03:23 PM
Clarice,
Is that from "Night of Zombies: The FLOTUS Sequel"?
Posted by: Jack is Back! | March 16, 2010 at 03:29 PM
Eat your organic kelp and you can look like her.
Posted by: Clarice | March 16, 2010 at 03:35 PM
Cowboy Steve,
So far I can't open that link, but I believe it.
Posted by: Jane | March 16, 2010 at 03:39 PM
Our long national ObamaCare nightmare goes on. There is no end in sight to the never ending story of ego-maniacal Dems trying to pound a square peg into a round hole. Though I enjoy seeing Dem politicians caught between a rock and a hard place, I think the only way to stop this bill is to soften the "hard place" for Dems.
A lot of yes votes are based on the argument that it's now or never. They say if health-care doesn't pass now it will be ten years or longer before any reform can be enacted. My suggestion is that every Republican politician who speaks on the subject should ask Dems to end this nightmare and come back to work on bipartisan health-care and jobs legislation.
Posted by: MikeS | March 16, 2010 at 03:42 PM
The American Cancer society is now calling and pimping the Bill. If you are a contributor give them hell.
Posted by: Clarice | March 16, 2010 at 03:42 PM
Michelle is the new Punxatauney Phil.
When she declares the Right to Bare Arms,winter is over.
Posted by: hit and run | March 16, 2010 at 03:42 PM
JiB,
I believe it's Nightmare on Pennsylvania Avenue. I understand that garlic clove necklaces have become an 'in' fashion accessory in DC.
Posted by: Rick Ballard | March 16, 2010 at 03:43 PM