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January 17, 2012

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Caro

Great minds, Rocco.

Jane, you have good neighbors to help if needed. Glad you are OK.

Clarice

Niters/

peter

punt e mes makes a pretty good sweet vermouth.

narciso

About that speech yesterday;


http://dailycaller.com/2012/01/17/jarretts-partisan-pulpit-speech-may-have-violated-irs-church-state-rules/

Melinda Romanoff

narciso-

That would depend on a DoJ to prosecute it.

So that ain't going to happen.

G'night all.

Jim Miller

From "Megastorm" to "Less snow in the forecast?"

How the Seattle Times changed their snow story.

Now they are taking a position somewhere in between.

(I'm not blaming the newspaper (much); they were mostly transmitting what the weather guys were telling them, but it was pretty funny.

And I know that places that get real snow would find even the "meagastorm" prediction unimpressive.)

centralcal

Jane: As co-leader of the Girl Gang, of which you are also a co-leader, I (we) absolutely forbid you to do anything to yourself unless there is a consensus vote. Nayes? Zip Ayes? Unanimous

Threadkiller

I just want to caution anyone on using the Heimlich that it works best on a complete blockage. That means no air passing. Jane said it took 50 minutes to reopen her airway. A lot of energy can be expended by jumping straight to the Heimlich.

We all can't be Sully Sullenberger but staying calm is paramount. If you are still breathing you will survive.

glasater

I've used the Heimlich on two people at different times in restaurants in choking situations.

We had a horrible event in our city years ago when a group of Japanese businessmen were visiting checking out the local wheat crop during our harvest.
One man was eating prime rib and choked on the meat. His companions hauled him off to the restroom and evidently didn't know what to do and the poor fellow died.
So I think the whole city took it upon themselves not to ever let such a thing happen again and we all learned "the maneuver".

daddy

test

daddy

Melinda,

Don't let anyone tell you you're not hot. JimmyK and I know better:)

daddy

Big topic on local talk radio today was this story:

Trading moose meat for firewood means trouble

A 41-year-old Fairbanks man is accused of illegally trading 125 pounds of moose meat for two cords of firewood.

"it is illegal to barter game meat anywhere in Alaska except in certain areas of Northwest Alaska, the Arctic Slope and the Upper Yukon area."

I suppose you can imagine how that is going over. Here it's been @ minus 40 in Fairbanks for about 2 months now, (coldest November there for 1 hundred years), and the cops bust these 2.

daddy

Then the same day we learn this: Cast of Alaska survival movie 'The Grey' (starring Liam Neeson) ate wolf meat:

"...director Joe Carnahan says that he staged a communal meal of wolf meat for the cast of his new movie...a new thriller depicting a wilderness plane crash and survival ordeal set in wintry, remote Alaska..."

In the movie the men must battle a hungry wolf pack. "It was one of those necessary things because I wanted (the actors) to have a sense of the movie we were making. We're gonna eat wolf and we're gonna go out in the tundra," said Carnahan.

"Carnahan was vague when asked where he obtained the freezer-burned wolf meat: "Some guy had him in his basement. I don't know if it was a trap line wolf but it was a wolf that had been up to a misdeed of some sort. They were preying on cattle. We had asked if there was one we could eat and sure enough this guy had one in his freezer for six months which probably didn't help the taste!"

Anyhow, the Movie was actually shot in Canada, so game meat wise Carnahan and the Hollywood boys are off the hook with Alaska cops, not like the minus 40 below criminals in Fairbanks.

Manuel Transmission

OK Ann, If you are up to fessing up some more details, that horse pasture looks like up the Olentangy Valley maybe the exurbs of metro Powell?

scott

"Btw any of you rock fans heard of Anna Calvi?"

I can't say that I had. It sounds cool, but I discovered Alabama Shakes a few hours ago and It's really very, very, good. I don't know what to say. I still listen to the Ultimate Otis collection regularly.

PDinDetroit

Jane - is it possible you have a Hiatal Hernia? See LUN. My mom has had the same thing you describe many times, but refuses to get the surgery to fix it. It does eventually clear up, but you have to relax and breathe easy which is the direct opposite of what you want to do.

I used the Heimlich on my nephew one time in a restaurant. He had brought his girlfriend down to meet me, thought it was important that Uncle PD approve of her (which of course I did completely). As he was having his chicken dish, I noticed that he all of a sudden started turning red and was choking very badly. I got up, moved her out of my way, lifted all 6'2" of him out of the booth, and one time with the Heimlich cleared the problem. I am a "crisis player", always have been, so I did not hesitate and the training kicked in immediately.

I hope you are doing well Jane.

PDinDetroit

Daddy - I hope the judge throws out the case on those 2. It is not as if they were trying to profit from it, they were just wanting to keep warm.

jimmyk

JimmyK and I know better

Shh, daddy, that was going to be our secret. Seriously, quite a few JOMers have experienced Melinda's hotness, though I have to say that Ann looks like a movie star.

Jane, that's scary, but the good thing is it will probably never happen again. What can happen after that sort of incident is that there can be superficial damage to the esophagus, which then can get inflamed by gastric acids. It's easily treatable but not always easily diagnosed. My daughter went through misery for six weeks before a doctor figured it out.

Porchlight

Jane, how scary. I'm so glad you are okay. My dad was rescued by a co-worker using the Heimlich in the company lunchroom many years back, and had another episode in a restaurant which didn't require it but was also scary. I hope that I would be brave enough - and able - to use it on someone if required. Thank you for telling us, as I know I'm probably not the only one who plans to refresh my training.

daddy

Jim, Miller,

Up here the papers this morning followed your lead, first announcing Seattle's pending Mega Storm, but by this evening simply touted as "Seattle Area Braces for Possible Biggest Snowfall in Years".

Enjoyed clicking on your blog and reading the Matt Ridley climate story. It's always interesting reading those "Impending Ice Age" comments from Scientists in Time magazine circa 1974/1975.

Instructive how the Settled Science did a 180 U-Turn within 25 years.

A Casual Observation


(as a vote of no confidence in that empty suit, street hustler and pretentious, decadent dilletante)

And he's lazy, also. But that might be covered under "dilletante".

Posted by: glasater | January 17, 2012 at 03:48 PM

If you meant that it is unprecedented that a President of the United States has now shirked virtually all of his other responsibilities to spend the entire last year of his presidency in full campaign mode, trying to save only his own job, so that he can continue to live like royalty, instead of trying to save even the jobs of people who put him into office, you are right.

glasater

You are a very articulate commentator and observer, A Casual Observation!

matt

another raving a-hole comment in the NY Slimes. LUN. It pretty much outlines the class warfare campaign that we can expect if Romney gets the nomination.

Let's look at the tax rates paid by say, the Kennedy trust fund babies, The Pew trust fund babies; the Arianna Huffingtons, the Theresa Heinz trust fund, George Soros, Jon Corzine, the Goldman scum and Warren Buffett.

I'm just going to take a wild guess and say that it is a lot less than 15%. If Romney is smart he is using every advantage the code offers, as do the accountants for the above referenced dilettantes, hypocrites, and teat suckers.

matt

daddy;

the answer is @ 1400 miles due east of Uruguay, somewhere in the mid Atlantic.

And there I thought I could dig my way to China.

daddy

Hi Matt,

Well if you do make it to China, and perchance were considering going on a crime spree as a burglar, here, from the Shanghai Daily, is a tip about what not to leave as your calling card at the scene of the crime.

G'nite.

Jane

PD,

I do have a hh but it has been under control for years. I used to choke whenever I ate meat. This one was different at least by the length of time.

pagar

Jane, So glad to hear you are OK.

We had another funeral for a VFW member yesterday. He was at our Christmas party and looked great. Died a few days ago of a massive heart attack. Another lesson on keeping affairs in order because one often does not know when the end is near.

sbw

For those of you who tweet and have a few idle minutes, NPR announced that they have partnered with the Washington Post under the hash tag #altwiki to answer questions while Wikipedia is closed. Heh!

Let's see:

#altwiki: How many have been killed so far by illegal guns in AG Eric Holder's failed Fast and Furious?

#altwiki: Where would I find a list of the similarities that suggest terrorist Bill Ayers wrote Obama's "Dreams of My Father?"

#altwiki: Where can I find Ronald Schmidt's paper that shows income inequality increases since the late 1970s is a bogus claim?

#altwiki: Where can I find the grades Obama got in college?

Or put #iowahawk on it.

peter

For that very reason, I leave my affairs in disorder.

narciso

Well matt, when a Mexican oligarch are paying their bills, then they don't have to worry about such inconveniences, but Van Den Heuevel
the MCA Universal heir, Arianna, the Humble
trust fund baby by proxy, they are just folk.

narciso

This is an old story, but it goes to show you how viral, the notion to totally discredit every aspect of our history has gone;

http://zinnisdead.blogspot.com/2012/01/revisionists-red-glare.html

narciso

They give Soros's lacky the last word;

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/01/17/income-inequality-claims-spark-tax-policy-debate/?test=latestnews

Jane

SBW, do you have to put an @ before that #?

rse

narciso-And that's where they still teach history. Most places the course name may indicate that but the material is cultural anthropology.

When Red was looking at colleges, I spent time going through the current course catalog at my alma mater. Still well known but a shocking change in the intellectual activity of the school. And a change in core requirements was about to make it worse.

NAS (Natl Assoc of Scholars) is doing a year long audit of course offerings and actual curricula at Bowdoin funded by the Williams alum who the Bowdoin pres told the lousy story about involving a golf round is funding (linked to it here at the time). I suspect people will start checking course offerings and requirements more next year at these famous schools after the results come out.

narciso

Take a look at the offerings at Obama's alma mater, no. 180 is particularly interesting;

http://www.oxy.edu/x9582.xml

Ralph L

I want the SAT scores.
Posted by: Extraneus
Local newspapers publish the names of local National Merit Semifinalists, so someone might be able to figure out the upper limit of his PSAT scores (taken the junior year of HS) if he wasn't a Semif. Mine weren't too far from my SATs when multiplied by 10. I don't know how they calculated who became Semifinalists back then, but someone must know. (I was one of several from my class of 60, but none of us became Finalists).

If my friend from his Punahou class ('79) has any dirt on Barry, he isn't telling. He said his only contact was JV basketball practice before my friend was the last boy cut. My friend wasn't a druggie. His dad commanded Pearl Harbor Naval Base at the time, and his mother ran the Honolulu H&R Block office. Later his dad ran Subic and hobnobbed with Imelda.

Ralph L

I don't know how they calculated who became Semifinalists back then
I meant to say, I'm pretty sure race was not a factor. It might have been for the Finalist award, however.

rse

Actually he would have been eligible for Achievement Scholar which is a lower threshold.

Semifinalist cutoffs vary by state so all states have some. It can be more than 20 points among states and almost 10 just in the south. Commended is the top 50,000 scorers and is an absolute cutoff that does not vary by state. That lets you notify top 2 choices. If you have a high SAT and were not commended, there was likely tutoring involved in your score.

There are some states, like WV, that will have no commended students, but will still have semifinalists and finalists.

Not hugely important but it's an eye opener when significant numbers of Top 10 students at a high school fail to make commended. Usually signals that kids are getting credit for going through motions in a prescribed manner rather than actual quality of work.

narciso

Well he wasn't the presidential scholar, that year;

http://www.punahou.edu/page.cfm?p=1806

narciso

So this is what they were using back in 2008,
of course, the Florida endorsement short circuited much need for this;

http://legalinsurrection.com/2012/01/mccain-opposition-research-book-on-romney-published/

Danube of Thought

Was he a Merit Scholar of any kind? I must have missed that.

Thank goodness we didn't lose you, Jane. Hope you're feeling OK today.

rse

I like this story from NRO on Keynesianism at Yale and the emphasis on Income Distribution at Amherst. That was another discovery of my time in the course catalog. The Economics courses were Keynes and theory and modeling.

So if anyone reading is trying to decide among schools, spend some time looking at what the courses offered are and how the admin and profs describe them. Good insights into the prevailing mindset at the school and whether there is any actual diversity of mindsets.

henry

RSE, yeah the intro econ was all Keynes w/ Tobin and Powell ... but later courses had better variety e.g. McAvoy for Regulatory and Rose-Ackerman for Urban (very lefty). I have no idea what they are doing today.

sbw

Jane:"SBW, do you have to put an @ before that #?"

No, you do. I don't tweet and don't know how to. I treat it with disdain. Reminds me too much of the constantly broadcasting screamer in "Fifth Element" bringing new depth to superficiality.

P.S. Glad you're better. I'd Heimlich you anyday. You're Tea central. :-)

Ralph L

IIRC, Obama was an honors grad of HLS, but with Larry Tribe doing your homework, who wouldn't be? If he'd won anything in HS, I believe it would have been trumpeted in 2008.

Captain Hate

Too bad, Scotty Centerfold http://spectator.org/archives/2012/01/17/no-cash-from-conservatives

Extraneus

That's some course listing you linked there, narciso. Imagine the total human capital wasted on this b.s. nation-wide?

342. THE PHALLUS A survey of psychoanalytic theories of gender and sexuality. Topics include the signification of the phallus, the relation of the phallus to masculinity, femininity, genital organs and the fetish, the whiteness of the phallus, and the lesbian phallus. The authors we read include Freud, Riviere, Lacan, Irigaray, Kristeva, Grosz, Gallop, Silverman, de Laurentis, and Butler. Prerequisite: a 200-level CTSJ class. Emphasis topic: Feminist and Queer Studies.
Not significance, signification.
narciso

that is a shame, because Red Liz is insane, in another country, she would be wearing a bandana and blowing up power stations,

Extraneus
386. CRITICAL BLACKNESS Critical Race Theorists have begun to describe a "new blackness," "critical blackness," post-blackness," and "unforgivable blackness." This emergent scholarship, which describes a feminist New Black Man, also seeks to "queer blackness" and to articulate a black sexual politics that addresses a "new racism." By calling us to examine the possibility of a black political solidarity that escapes the problems of identity politics, this scholarship provokes We Who Are Dark to imagine more complex and free identities. This course invites all of us to engage this scholarship.
Porchlight

punt e mes makes a pretty good sweet vermouth.

I keep a bottle in my fridge. Has an herbal quality that is much more interesting and a little drier than regular sweet vermouth. Over the rocks with a twist makes a nice little evening pop, especially if you are out of everything else. ;)

narciso

In the wilderness of mirrors, one wonders where the looking glass is;


http://pjmedia.com/michaelledeen/2012/01/17/whos-really-killing-those-nuclear-scientists-in-tehran/#comments

Danube of Thought

Sigh. Any chance of a brokered GOP convention and a draft of a candidate not now in the running?

Porchlight

I've given up on that possibility, DoT. But it woudl sure be exciting.

PD

As I was leaving the coffeeshop today, I heard from NPR (because I no longer had my NPR-blocking iPod turned on) that the DNC is "sharply criticizing" Mitt Romney for paying only about a 15% income tax rate when many middle income Americans pay a higher rate.

And this criticism is valid why? Because all Democrats pay a higher rate than legally required? I'll bet. Let's see the evidence, starting with, say, the DNC staff. Hey, DWS, here's your chance to engage in some transparency.

Ralph L

Obama isn't on National Merit's list of Scholars you may know, but he might still have been a semifinalist, though I think that would be on their homepage in big letters. Now how can we uncover the criteria for Hawaii in 1978?

I see John Roberts was a national scholar, but Kagan got hers from a sponsor.

PD

It's always interesting reading those "Impending Ice Age" comments from Scientists in Time magazine circa 1974/1975.

If you go through the 20th century, you find that we were alternatively threatened by impending ice age, impending meltdown, impending ice age, impending meltdown, ...

Sen. Imhofe had a publication out a while ago that went through this. Needless to say, none of these prophecies of doom happened, which would put the current warmist alarm bells in a little perspective, even if the earth weren't cooling.

Jack is Back!

Ralph L

Notice anything atypical about that list? With a few exceptions it basically a list of known lefties. That and it is, of course, very incomplete.

But knowing Obama, and his regime-minders, if he was anywhere near a NMS finalist or had a near perfect or highly above average SAT score, the whole world would know about it. In fact, every blimp flying over every NFL stadium, would have it in bright lights.

Porchlight

So all my lib Facebook pals are up in arms about SOPA/PIPA. Isn't this legislation supported by the WH?

henry

As I recall, the National Merit thing was based on 2 X verbal score plus math score. Thus my brother was one, but I was out of the running. (stupid words...)

Danube of Thought

Minus 17 at Raz today.

narciso

'Wait what'

http://biggovernment.com/tloudon/2012/01/18/kyrsten-sinema-communist-connected-arizona-state-senator-to-run-for-congress/

Gmax

Porch

Obama pulled the rug out from under them Monday. Lamar Smith R San Antonio is flirting with getting beat in a primary on this one.

Extraneus
247. MACHOS: FORMS OF LATIN AMERICAN MANLINESS This course encourages students to think critically about the concept of machismo by reviewing a variety of ways of being manly throughout Latin America. Case studies include Octavio Paz' classic essay on Mexican machismo and recent responses to Paz, sexual joking among working-class Mexican-American men in South Texas, same-sex sexual behavior in Nicaragua, transvestite prostitutes in Brazil, and sexual accusations traded among Argentine soccer fans. Emphasis topic: Critical Race Studies, Postcolonial Theory, or Feminist and Queer Studies. CORE REQUIREMENT MET: LATIN AMERICA
Extraneus

3 credits?

145. COLLEGIATE SEXUALITY Students will be introduced to feminist and queer theories through the study of the sexual practices, identities, and cultures of college students in the contemporary U.S. Topics include femininity and the desire to be desired; the lesbian continuum; masculinity, misogyny, and homophobia; male bonding and the traffic in women; the invention of homosexuality and of heterosexuality; the intersectionality of sexuality, gender, race, and class; and the incitement to discourse. Readings include Peggy Sanday's Fraternity Gang Rape, Michael Kimmel's Guyland, and Kathleen Bogle's Hooking Up, as well as texts by Freud, de Beauvoir, Lévi-Strauss, Foucault, Adrienne Rich, and Gayle Rubin. Students are called on to draw connections between the readings and their own observations of everyday life on and around campus. Emphasis Topic: Feminist and Queer Studies. CORE REQUIREMENT MET: UNITED STATES
Heh. Ok I'll stop now.
Old Lurker

Daddy: "Melinda, Don't let anyone tell you you're not hot. JimmyK and I know better:)"

Not wanting to tell Mel he is hot, I will just observe that Mrs. Mel is hotter.

narciso

Well that explains, in part, this;

http://eaglerock.patch.com/articles/oxy-students-rally-in-solidarity-with-occupy-wall-street

narciso

And this,


http://www.oxyweekly.com/news/ten-students-occupy-l-a-thirty-more-march-in-support-1.2660428#.TxbbRYF-jcs

NK

PD-- you are correct. I did my stuyvesant HS senior project based on graphing 20th century temperature patterns and based on those patterm projecting temps for the rest of the centry (25 years out). I used British temp databases; the Queen's gardeners at Windsor castle, sandringham house and balmoral in Scotland kept meticulous weather and grwing season records dating back to the late Victorian era-- all available at the NYC main branch public library. Those records showed a linear DECREASE of the growing season 1949-1973. using GRAPH PAPER and a simplistic algorithm I plotted the pattern and projected temps for 25 years into the future. By my 1975 reconning by 2000, we'd be in a mini ice- age with skating on the Thames December- February. OK I was wrong; but at least I didn't embarass myself like Time and Newsweek.

narciso

Just summon the Vandals and get it over with;

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/financialcrisis/9019093/Eurozones-big-bazooka-bail-out-fund-is-left-in-tatters-by-SandP-downgrade.html

Sue

Is our Ann gorgeous or what? Ooolala!

narciso

Thanks to Yergin's 'the Quest' I discovered
the Keating curve, and the Calendar effect, but somewhere along the line it was hijacked,
sometime in the mid 80s, when I first started reading about Global Warming.

Gmax

The Hill this morning warns the faithful that the Hugo Chavez impersonation has consequences:

Some legal experts, including those who have sided with President Obama on other constitutional issues, think there is a good chance the courts could overturn his recent recess appointments.

NK

Ex- thanks for posting the course offerings. Reminds me of the discussion i hasd with my kids about college coursework/majors. I told them they have free will to choose whatever they want to do; that includes any left-wing sociological nonsense they wish. BUUUUUUT-- if they choose that kind of course work, they have to figure out how to pay for it-- because I won't. They are business and chem/geology majors.

Sue

Gmax,

Puuuleeze...he is a constitutional scholar. I'm sure he has advised his advisers that what he did was indeed constitutional.

NK

'reckoning'-- gosh I'm a loser.

narciso

Yes, she is,

narciso

'This wouldn't be happening, if Obama was President' Uh never mind;

http://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/12/01/2270026/goldman-sachs-reports-1-billion-profit

sbw

Having Foucault on a reading list indicates a professor is either duping students or has been duped by Foucault.

Why? Because I am an authority on what I know and can create the new words to prove it.

Captain Hate

Is our Ann gorgeous or what? Ooolala!

Must stop fixating on jodphurs and riding boots......

Threadkiller

--"Reminds me too much of the constantly broadcasting screamer in "Fifth Element" bringing new depth to superficiality."--

I will never find a better summary of my opinion of Twitter.

narciso

'I get this extraordinary feeling of deja vu,'


http://www.rozanehmagazine.com/JylyAugust05/afoucault.html

Extraneus

Those reading lists were fun, weren't they? How about this one?

286. WHITENESS This course seeks to engage the emergent body of scholarship designated to deconstruct whiteness. It will examine the construction of whiteness in the historic, legal, and economic contexts which have allowed it to function as an enabling condition for privilege and race-based prejudice. Particular attention will be paid to the role of religion and psychology in the construction of whiteness. Texts will include Race Traitor, Critical White Studies, The Invention of the White Race, The Abolition of Whiteness, White Trash, and Even the Rat was White. Prerequisite: a 100-level CTSJ class. Emphasis topic: Critical Race Theory. CORE REQUIREMENT MET: UNITED STATES
Ok, I'll really stop now.
Threadkiller

Ext, where are you getting those from?

narciso

That is literally unknowledge, when Jesse Jackson chanted 'Western culture's got to go' he wasn't kidding. I first heard of Gates
and Fish and Houston Baker, first in Kramer's
New Criterion, but the latter were already
stalwarts in the English department,

narciso

The 8;16 LUN,

Captain Hate

Just started reading "The Forgotten Man" and somebody mentioned (I'd try to id them but I always seem to get it wrong) that they thought it wasn't written in the most readable style. I haven't had that problem (granted I'm only midway through the first chapter); this isn't the most exciting subject matter but I feel Amity Schlaes does a decent job of making it sound interesting. I've already learned quite a bit about Hoover and Coolidge. Plus I now know what the title means and how it was taken 2 different ways.

Jack is Back!

TK,

I think it is the Occidental course descripitions on-line.

rse

I think Ex did a nice job of persuading us that the time to read the course catalog is probably junior year in high school or early senior year.

Can you imagine applying ED, writing that tuition check that used to buy a house, and then discovering that many or most of the course offerings are of that nature?

"What do you mean you raed through the course catalog and said never mind. It's a famous school. It's a prestigious T-shirt and bumper sticker!"

Remember we know the bubble is bursting so the question of the long term value of that T shirt in the future just because it worked in past is a lousy way to pick investments.

Go Polaroid!

PD

this isn't the most exciting subject matter but I feel Amity Schlaes does a decent job of making it sound interesting

Agreed. I've read it twice, and am looking forward to her book on Coolidge.

PD

She does need to change her last name to something with an easier to remember spelling, though.

narciso

A sobering take on the Present Danger;


http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970203518404577096851732704524.html?mod=WSJ_Opinion_LEADTop

Ranger

Well, prepare for the Instalanch of trolls. Instapundit just linked this thread.

Captain Hate

Laura Ingraham is hammering Romney's people for taking a 2008 Santorum interview out of contact and robo-calling with it; stating it seems like the act of somebody behind in the polls rather than leading comfortably.

Rick Ballard

NK,

It would be relatively easy to construct an alt-history scenario in which Gore won in 2000, imposed universal Air Taxes to fight the Skydragon and then started claiming "improvement" due to the turn caused by natural variability. The commie-socialist dystopian ideal can't be sustained without the imposition of ever increasing regressive taxes and taxing air sure fits the bill.

TM's sister nailed the same end point selection problem in her letter to the liars at the NYT.

The power of statistics is unreal. That unreality is what drives the selection of modeling as the perfect path forward in economics.

When tortured properly, data always confesses.

Porchlight

Unpossible, Cap'n - I am reliably informed that Romney is an upstanding citizen and only Newt would stoop to such...oh, Romney's people, you say? Oh, never mind then, that's okay.

Ranger

stating it seems like the act of somebody behind in the polls rather than leading comfortably.

My understanding is that any good campaign consultant will tell you to ignore the polls and campaign like you are 3 points down all the time. Beleiving you are way ahead makes you lazy and timid. Believing you are way behind makes you give up. But if you are three points down, and everyone gives it their all, you can pull it out.

Captain Hate

Yep Porch; when these operatives go feral it would try the patience of a saint, Latter Day or otherwise.

Ranger

The power of statistics is unreal. That unreality is what drives the selection of modeling as the perfect path forward in economics.

When tortured properly, data always confesses.

Very true. I once heard a very famous political scientist bemoaning the quantitative turn in his disciplin by pointing out that even the best statistical model simply gives you a mathimatical expression of the past. It doesn't tell you anything you don't already know, since the model, to be valid, must produce an outcome you are already certain of. And, for the same reason, models have no predictive value, since you have to know which variables are significant before you make the model, and you can't know that, until after the event has happened.

For any given model, there is a massive amount of data that has been deliberaly left out becasue the modeler did not want to include it for one reason or another, or simply couldn't capture it in numerical form.

Porchlight

Obama pulled the rug out from under them Monday. Lamar Smith R San Antonio is flirting with getting beat in a primary on this one.

I can't understand Lamar Smith (and other Repubs) on this at all. It should be shoved right down the Dems' throats.

So Obama is straddling this one. Seems like a PR win for him for now, but if it passes, does he veto?

narciso

the fools, don't they know the point of these amendments;

http://www.miamiherald.com/2012/01/17/2594616/senate-earns-bi-partisan-support.html

The comments to this entry are closed.

Wilson/Plame