Heritage releases a study showing health insurance premiums are rising in most states due to ObamaCare.
The standard progressive pushback - Hey, what about those subsidies! - is provided by Talking Points Memo.
And I will now extrapolate from experience with the Connecticut website to point out the hidden flaw in that pushback.
For various reasons left unexplained here, in 2013 my family had an Anthem plan with a $3,000 deductible/$6,000 out of pocket maximum and monthly premiums of about $1,600 per month.
Anthem has cancelled that plan with the advent of ObamaCare (and dropped a major local hospital from their network). We will be switching to employer sponsored coverage and aren't eligible for subsidies but just for my own edification I went to the CT website. Their "Gold" offering in Connecticut will cost (unsubsidized) roughly $1,9000 for similar deductibles and co-pays. That would have been a bit of a blow.
But what about the subsidies? Ahhh! Connecticut seems to have attached a random number generator to their website to help with that calculation.
For estimated income of $50,00, the site advises that we would be eligible for Medicaid.
At $60,000 the estimated subsidy is $1,200/mo, based on "cost sharing reductions", which I infer includes state aid.
At $70,000 we would be eligible for $1,072/mo of "Federal Tax Credits".
At $80,000 that becomes $935/mo. of Federal Tax Credits.
At $90,000 that becomes $1,045/mo. Why is the subsidy rising with income? I have no idea.
At $100,000 the subsidy is estimated to be $966/mo.
At $110,000 the subsidy is estimated to be $887/mo.
And at $111,000 (and above) the subsidy is estimated to be 0. Yike! Earning an extra $1,000 costs a Connecticut family roughly $10,000 in tax credits? Geez, what happened to those halycon days where earning an extra $10,000 per year (rising from $80k to $90k) could result in a greater subsidy?
[ObamaCare and marginal tax rates are discussed by economist Casey Muilligan in this paper and the WSJ. The Kaiser subsidy calculator produces the same subsidies as the CT website; the subsidy cliff is at 400% of the poverty line, which varies by locale and family size.]
If I had to bet I would bet that the CT website is not producing accurate information, which is a problem. I am also open to the possibility of user error, but I have tried this multiple times and gotten the same answer; if a mistake is that easy to make and overlook repeatedly, I blame the website design.
But if the info is accurate (and it might be!), that is an absurd marginal tax rate, to say the least. As a random middle class entitlement I imagine any of these subsidy numbers would be appealing. But it might be nice if the underlying logic was discernible. [My current guess is that their are CT state subsidies that are phased out with income on a different path from the Federal subsidies. Or something - at lower income levels the Kaiser-estimated Federal subsidies are much higher than the CT website subsidies, but at higher incomes the match is exact. For comparison purposes I used a family of four, mom and dad are forty (non-smokers) and the kids are ten and twelve.]
BONUS PUZZLE: From 85k to 89k, the monthly subsidy falls from $876 to $844; it then rises to $1,045 at 90k, as noted above. So an extra $1,000 in income yields an extra $2,400 in Federal tax credits - cool. Maybe not quite as wacky as the plunge from $110k to $110k, but still not the sort of increasing progressive tax people seem to be comfortable with.
.
Posted by: Threadkiller | October 21, 2013 at 01:47 PM
Byron York details the phoniness in the "ObamaCare Success Story's" that the President trotted out to stand behind him today:
At the White House: Obamacare success stories that aren't
Malik Hassan...is looking forward to enrolling...He recently used Healthcare.gov. to process his application and is waiting for the options for potential plans in Philadelphia."
etc.
Posted by: daddy | October 21, 2013 at 01:53 PM
Here's Obama's Rose Garden statement (in a bearded spock universe).
Posted by: Jeff Dobbs | October 21, 2013 at 01:54 PM
...Nathaniel Hojnacki, a student...Hojnacki recognizes the importance of coverage and is planning to enroll after he explores his coverage options on the DC exchange."
Posted by: daddy | October 21, 2013 at 01:59 PM
Their "Gold" offering in Connecticut will cost (unsubsidized) roughly $1,9000 for similar deductibles and co-pays. That would have been a bit of a blow.
Assuming that $19,000, doesn't that compare favorably to $1600/month?
But there are lots of stories of these situations where it pays to earn less money. Granted they are only in narrow ranges of the cutoffs, but it's still an idiotic way to design the subsidies.
Posted by: jimmyk | October 21, 2013 at 02:00 PM
TomM-- I assume the Ct website is CORRECT and NO user error on your part. Obummer and Drunken Dan want no Household income in excess of $110,000, ... well you can have the extra income, but it will be taxed at a 100% marginal rate. The only thing Dems can produce is Serf Manufacture.
Posted by: NK(tryin'2.0) | October 21, 2013 at 02:00 PM
...LaJuanna Russell, of Virginia...Russell owns a business, has employees, and believes Obamacare might help her in the future.
Posted by: daddy | October 21, 2013 at 02:00 PM
I'm more than puzzled. Who is going to pay these subsidies? Makes no sense. Our government doesn't have subsidy money just piling up in corners to dispense to ... who? what???? This program makes no sense at all. Honestly, it doesn't. I didn't think anyone and everyone was going to be eligible for subsidies.
I know this sounds stupid, but ... what kind of program (really) is obamacare? My goodness, rather than writing this bewildering 404Care law, they SHOULD have just passed a national health. Makes more sense.
I know I'm just sputtering, but this is just stupid.
Now you see why I don't comment all of the time. :) Politics renders me senseless. :)
Posted by: Joan | October 21, 2013 at 02:01 PM
...Zohre Abolfazli of Tennessee...Abolfazli has managed to get onto the Obamacare website, register, and now plans to shop for coverage.
Posted by: daddy | October 21, 2013 at 02:02 PM
...Ezra Salop, 25...is looking forward to enrolling on the ACA exchanges so he can continue growing his small business.
Posted by: daddy | October 21, 2013 at 02:05 PM
...Karmel Allison...began researching her options on CoveredCA and has publicly described her experience as finally feeling equal to others...
Posted by: daddy | October 21, 2013 at 02:07 PM
I know all you savvy JOMers have probably seen this chart but if you haven't check it out:
http://www.freedomworks.org/blog/joncgabriel/the-reality-of-americas-finances
Posted by: lyle | October 21, 2013 at 02:07 PM
Anyone know where I can get a Valerie Jarrett mask for Halloween? I want to really scare the trick or treaters
Posted by: peter | October 21, 2013 at 02:07 PM
Posted by: Dave (in MA) | October 21, 2013 at 02:08 PM
Another day, another shooting in a gun-free zone...
http://www.foxnews.com/us/2013/10/21/police-respond-to-reports-shooting-at-nevada-middle-school/
Posted by: Dave (in MA) | October 21, 2013 at 02:09 PM
fixed?
Posted by: jimmyk | October 21, 2013 at 02:09 PM
Check out EvilFerrets-R-Us, Peter
Posted by: lyle | October 21, 2013 at 02:10 PM
(heh. tried to turn off italics. comment rejected.)
Posted by: Jeff Dobbs | October 21, 2013 at 02:10 PM
daddy:
I get it. The other 10 people are in the PROCESS of obtaining Bammycare.Who knows if they will be successful or like their options?
Joan: I am so glad someone else is as confused as I am. Now to add to the confusion,if you don't opt for O-Care because you have an exemption is it for one year or more? Initially exemptions were for 1 year but how long is the congressional subsidies payoff good for? If TM has to pay more for Anthem coverage why do congresscritters get a break. At least TM BUILT this website. What has Congress done lately?
I have run the gamut of BCBS Anthem and Aetna. Everytime while employed we were just informed it would cost more and doctors {in the network" would be available. The mental illness coverage was always quite sparse. I've paid thousands over the years in presciption drug costs before generic prices kicked in. Someone is getting rich off of the latest scheme and it is not the taxpayer.
Posted by: maryrose | October 21, 2013 at 02:10 PM
"... what kind of program (really) is obamacare?"
Duh, try this:
"If you have money, put it in this bucket. If you want money, take it out of the bucket. We the government will hold the bucket for a fee."
Clear now?
Posted by: Old Lurker | October 21, 2013 at 02:12 PM
daddy:
Karmel is a recipient of Preezy's latest program of "spread the wealth around" To me in 2008 that statement was the biggest "tell" of what the future was going to bring.Did I use the pluperfect there?
Posted by: maryrose | October 21, 2013 at 02:13 PM
Re the presser, when they replay it I hope it's to the tune of "t wouldn't be make believe[if you believed in him]."
Posted by: Clarice | October 21, 2013 at 02:15 PM
And Joan, if you really were senseless, you WOULD be in politics! The more senseless you are, the higher you would rise.
:-)
Posted by: Old Lurker | October 21, 2013 at 02:15 PM
OL: I am at the library ,laughing hysterically at your comment!
Hit: On the other thread I told you about how to get rid of woodpeckers because they can totally destoy you house. They are beautiful birds but you can dter them by hanging shiny CDS on your house so that the bright light scares them off. I admit I was concerned all weekend after your annoucement that the cautious members of your family are absent.
Posted by: maryrose | October 21, 2013 at 02:17 PM
clarice:
Or singing some version of "High Hopes"
Posted by: maryrose | October 21, 2013 at 02:18 PM
OL-- and while some of us ut $100 bills into the bucket, and government workers, heathworker unions and political cronies take $20s out, the Karmel creatures of the world take out their pennies from the bucket, but contine to vote Dem because they 'FEEL' better. The Dem Gangsters have their voter marks pegged.
Posted by: NK(tryin'2.0) | October 21, 2013 at 02:19 PM
How long are the exemptions good for?
Posted by: maryrose | October 21, 2013 at 02:20 PM
Old Lurker, 2:12: Easier to understand. Wastes a lot less paper. Tax table guides are overwhelming, can't imagine what the government guides will look like for this program.
It's all so senseless.
Posted by: Joan | October 21, 2013 at 02:25 PM
NK you see that I was very precise in my choice of words. The simple having of money requires that all of it goes into the bucket. The simple wanting of money entitles you to take an undefined quantity out of the bucket, allowing for those who want more or can figure out how to double or triple dip can take more than others, no problem. Finally, the fee for holding the bucket is also undefined, figuring that since the government is holding the bucket, it gets first dibs on anything it wants.
I think that covers it, don't you?
Posted by: Old Lurker | October 21, 2013 at 02:25 PM
For one thing, if they were going to shunt so many people onto Medicare (who went onto the exchanges), why wouldn't these people have already been qualifying for Medicare?
None of it makes any sense.
Wonder what the majority of doctors' offices are thinking ... when contemplating the paperwork?! Rhetorical question. Been repeated over and over for months, but why are Democrats such demons?
Posted by: Joan | October 21, 2013 at 02:28 PM
why are Democrats such demons?
Comes with the territory when you're so much smarter than everyone else, wingnut.
Posted by: lyle | October 21, 2013 at 02:31 PM
maryrose, don't worry. I had Mrs hit hide and lock the chainsaw.
Posted by: Clarice | October 21, 2013 at 02:32 PM
OL-- yep that about covers it. One further thing though, the government holding the bucket has a gun in the other hand, and if you or me fail to put enough into the bucket, or the Karmels take too many pennies out, the government shoots us. That completes the pretty picture.
Posted by: NK(tryin'2.0) | October 21, 2013 at 02:32 PM
LOL, daddy at multiple posts. By the way, I wanted to ask a question about one of your posts of yesterday-- Can an ungulate ululate?
Posted by: peter | October 21, 2013 at 02:33 PM
Joan;
Most dems are not math or science majors.
they majored in the humanities.
"Social justice" is their template.
Karmel needs to get free stuff. The rest of us have to earn our own way and pay for someone else at the same time. Congress and Preezy are exempt from this. As OL says they can take whatever they want out of the bucket.
Posted by: maryrose | October 21, 2013 at 02:36 PM
"One further thing though, the government holding the bucket has a gun in the other hand, and if you or me fail to put enough into the bucket, or the Karmels take too many pennies out, the government shoots us. That completes the pretty picture."
Doesn't this make the case for the shutdown?
"The government shoots us" while O-care falls under its own weight and the party of stupid offers me a mask to wear at my execution.
No thanks.
Posted by: Threadkiller | October 21, 2013 at 02:38 PM
But there are lots of stories of these situations where it pays to earn less money.
Just a thought. I know that for Military Vets who pull 20 years and earn a Retirement pension, there has always been the one time option at date of Retirement to elect to either:
1) Accept the Retirement for the rest of your life or
2) Refuse to accept your Retirement forever
Option (2) was very, very rare, but sometimes the hatred of the retiring Sailor towards his/her ex was so ferocious that he/she would elect to not take the Retirement check, just to screw the spouse waiting for his/her share. (Never saw it personally---only heard of it)
In future, I wonder if Legislation could be pushed through that would allow Retirees' to elect to selectively receive only so much per retirement check, (not simply all or none, but maybe 60% or 75% etc---modifiable annually as situations warrant) in order to allow them to not make too much, and thereby allow them to work the system to advantage to reap the greatest personal benefits off the Public dole regarding ObamaCare, etc?
If so many other jokers are able to work the system, why shouldn't our Military Vets be given the flexibility to do the same?
And if them, then why not everybody else in America who receives a Retirement pension? Why shouldn't every American's be given the exact same option to suck as much off the Public dole as any other moocher in the system?
Ain't this whole damn thing supposedly based upon fairness?
Posted by: daddy | October 21, 2013 at 02:44 PM
Relax, TK, it's all going according to plan. No need to do a thing.
If we just do nothing and stay out of the way, we'll have both houses and the Presidency in three years.
Posted by: MarkO | October 21, 2013 at 02:47 PM
why wouldn't these people have already been qualifying for Medicare?
Joan, for those
suckersstates that went along with it, Medicare eligibility hugely expanded--somewhere I read it was from 133% of the poverty line to 400%.Posted by: jimmyk | October 21, 2013 at 02:55 PM
Marko:
From your lips to God's ears.
I think this additional 4 years of incompetence from Barry is so that everyone will fully realise the utter folly of democrat lack of leadership and also how awful our media has become. A propaganda filled socialist country is not what America wants. Hopefully a greater number of people will awake in time to save our coubntry in the next two elections.
Posted by: maryrose | October 21, 2013 at 02:56 PM
TK-- the shutdown gave the bucket holder a Glock 9mm with a 15rd clip(if there is such a thing) to replace the .38 revolver with 6 shots. It's harder to disarm the bucket holder now, IMO.
Posted by: NK(tryin'2.0) | October 21, 2013 at 02:56 PM
The shutdown was the 15 day waiting period to keep the Glock out of the hands of a lunatic.
Posted by: Threadkiller | October 21, 2013 at 03:00 PM
Keep in mind that San Fran Nan Pelosi stated that a feature of 404Care is that you can quit a productive job to pursue your art. To proponents of an ever expanding administrative state, disincentives to work are a feature (at least until OPM runs out).
When I read discussions of disincentives to work, I think about Sultan Knish's post (discussed on a previous thread today) about the left not playing by the rules. To classical liberals and conservatives, disincentives to work built into a social benefits system are a problem to be addressed in good faith. To the leftists, the disincentives are simply another means to make people dependent upon nannycrats.
Posted by: Thomas Collins | October 21, 2013 at 03:01 PM
"I think this additional 4 years of incompetence from Barry is so that everyone will fully realise the utter folly of democrat lack of leadership and also how awful our media has become."
How do you suspect the Wal-Mart EBT raiders will vote in 2016?
Posted by: Threadkiller | October 21, 2013 at 03:02 PM
Can an ungulate ululate?
Peter,
I was laughing at that line in the ADN story saying that Kincaid Park was popular with ungulates.
How the hell do they know that? Did they ask a Moose?
That tickled me, and I momentarily considered doing a limerick on ungulates who ovulate, but I couldn't come up with ululates so I gave up the effort up and went to bed.
Lemme see now...
There once was a Kincaid Park ungulate
Who charged a dog walker at moment late.
As Fry and Scout zipped,
o'er a tree daddy tripped
and when his Glute ripped he did ululate!
Posted by: daddy | October 21, 2013 at 03:02 PM
NK:
I disagree. Barry is weakened every time he has to come out and defend the indefensible. He is not the winner here. His policies are failing everyday and he is wishful thinking about amnesty. Unless he violates the constitution and uses executive orders for everything he will not be able to shove his agenda through Congress. He has burned many bridges to the House of Representatives. They would rather deal with Biden than him.He is on defense and would have taken us to default. Do I think he will reform entitlements? No ,because his base will pummel him if he does. Is he a lame duck? Yes because if we win both houses in 2014 he is nothing but a footnote in history. The first black president-whoop de doo.
Posted by: maryrose | October 21, 2013 at 03:03 PM
Alas, the lunatic has had the .38 in hand since 1/1/11 when Medicare payroll tax increases were raised and mediCaid expansion occurred, and he held that .38 all the while the evil ObummerCare Regs were written by that harpy Seblius, the shutdown allowed the lunatic to grab the 9mm while the voters were distracted, it will be a bit toighter to disarm him completely now.
Posted by: NK(tryin'2.0) | October 21, 2013 at 03:06 PM
TK
Then we have to get out more of the makers of America than the takers in America to the voting places.
Posted by: maryrose | October 21, 2013 at 03:06 PM
you can quit a productive job to pursue your art.
Reminds me of this:
Posted by: jimmyk | October 21, 2013 at 03:07 PM
NK;
Obama is disarmed every day by the floating crap shoot of the roll-out of bammycare. He is now holding an empty magazine because his SIGNATURE achievement is going up in flames. Only three people on that stage with him got coverage. Are you kidding me? If this was baseball he be returned to the minors. In the corporate world-he and Sibelius would be fired. This is a disaster and it could have been avoided. all he had to do was swallow his pride and delay it for a year. It will prove to be his undoing.
Posted by: maryrose | October 21, 2013 at 03:10 PM
--Joan, for those suckers states that went along with it, Medicare eligibility hugely expanded--somewhere I read it was from 133% of the poverty line to 400%. --
Medicare or Medicaid?
Posted by: Ignatz | October 21, 2013 at 03:12 PM
Guys-- look at the subsidies in CT (same concept in every state). The one thing I agree with Cruz about and disagree with DoT, is once the subsidies start it's basically GAME OVER. Once that family of 4 making 100K is dumped into an exchange by their employers (which may be a completely rational economic act by small and medium businesses) they will NEVER vote to give up their subsidy-- that's the lesson of history. People who get subsidies WILL sign up for ObummerCare, and that will result in rate hikes for everybody else. But Obummer doesn't care about THAT, Everybody else is RICH, or their employer should get them into an Exchange. The evil Dem plan is to destroy the private healthcare finance system, and subsidies will do that, sooner than later. Cruz was right about urgency, but defund didn't have a chance and was a negative distraction.
Posted by: NK(tryin'2.0) | October 21, 2013 at 03:13 PM
I see no problem. It simply boils down to the simple fact that …
ObamaCare is racist
… at least, the overloaded website .. and the overloaded phones .. are racist.
Anything that makes Pres**ent Obama or Secretary Syphilis look bad is .. racist.
Posted by: Neo | October 21, 2013 at 03:13 PM
38s are harmless.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ce2lXteUDB4
Posted by: Threadkiller | October 21, 2013 at 03:18 PM
...unless you are a congress member. Then you make $180,000/year, and you get $1,400/mo in subsidy...
Posted by: 1_cathyf_says_typepad_is_the_most_wonderful_software_in_the_world_2 | October 21, 2013 at 03:19 PM
Then why let the lunatic get ahold of a 9mm Glock during the distraction?
Posted by: NK(tryin'2.0) | October 21, 2013 at 03:20 PM
CathyF, well they were already getting that subsidy under the existing Tax Code.... HEY WAIT A SECOND!!!
Posted by: NK(tryin'2.0) | October 21, 2013 at 03:22 PM
None of the compromise bills went anywhere in the Senate.
We are now negotiating whether Barry likes it or not. And he is not getting the kind of amnesty he wants. Even Rubio has figured out that preezy will just dump border control law if he doesn't like it to get to illegals voting democratic sooner. Obama enforces what he wants when he wants. He got schooled badly by the sequester so now he is AFRAID to negotiate.
Posted by: maryrose | October 21, 2013 at 03:24 PM
Sorry, that should have been "Medicaid" in my 2:55, thanks, Iggy.
Posted by: jimmyk | October 21, 2013 at 03:25 PM
NK:
Only you think he has a loaded Glock. OOh ,that sounds kind of nasty somehow...
Posted by: maryrose | October 21, 2013 at 03:26 PM
"Then why let the lunatic get ahold of a 9mm Glock during the distraction?"
Guns don't kill people, people kill people.
Trying to disarm someone does not equate to purposely arming someone.
Either way, by your analogy, standing by doing nothing ensured the lunatic would remain armed.
Posted by: Threadkiller | October 21, 2013 at 03:28 PM
The Glock is indeed loaded-- every indication is that privately financed healthcare will be in chaos in 2014. And Dems, while they can't build anything, are masters of manipulating a crisis-- with the teamates help in the Legacy Media of course.
Posted by: NK(tryin'2.0) | October 21, 2013 at 03:28 PM
"The Glock is indeed loaded-- every indication is that privately financed healthcare will be in chaos in 2014."
Are you saying the 38 wa empty the whole time or are you saying it was going to cause the same chaos as the dreaded Glock?
Posted by: Threadkiller | October 21, 2013 at 03:32 PM
Yes, not shutting down would have left ObummerCare holding the .38, but IMO a Repub House/Senate is big enough and bad enough to grab the .38 out of its hands in January '15 by repealing through budget reconciliation.
Posted by: NK(tryin'2.0) | October 21, 2013 at 03:34 PM
In 2014, with control of the Senate we will fund the government we want in place. If Obama vetoes spending bills-that's on him. We can defund Planned Parenthood and the EPA and any solar fantasies he is dreaming about. We will cancel congressional exemptions and let him veto that. He can shhot his mouth off and empty his Glock but all it will do is make him look defensive and weak. The dems are slowly descending from their supposedly high moment. It's all downhill from here on out.
Posted by: maryrose | October 21, 2013 at 03:34 PM
Maryrose: "I think this additional 4 years of incompetence from Barry is so that everyone will fully realize the utter folly of democrat lack of leadership and also how awful our media has become."
"Must destroy the village to save it" comes to mind...
Posted by: Old Lurker | October 21, 2013 at 03:36 PM
I see. I am battling Future NK, where the Republicans have won the Senate.
Posted by: Threadkiller | October 21, 2013 at 03:38 PM
How do you suspect the Wal-Mart EBT raiders will vote in 2016?
Just like they always have. But that's not a surprise.
I sound like I'm in denial - about more things than one I'm sure - but Romney didn't lose by a whole hell of a lot and that was with the whole Dem machine fully activated.
Obamacare rewards the moochers/looters already voting Dem, if they vote at all. It punishes the middle class most of all, who vote for both parties and are much more likely to show up to vote than the moocher/looter class. And upper middle class/wealthy business owners will also take a hit. All of that works in our favor, not the Dems' favor - assuming Obamacare is the utter failure/destroyer we expect it to be.
Posted by: Porchlight | October 21, 2013 at 03:38 PM
Sadly, the GOP spine that has been replaced with a Democratic pecker has made the path to poor much easier that the path to wealth.
When Jindal wants to touch the 100% he will do so with "welcome to the middle class" olive branches and he will not address why we were kicked out in the first place.
Posted by: Threadkiller | October 21, 2013 at 03:44 PM
TK@3:38-- then your future is a Dem House/Senate and Singlepayer in January '15. Congratulations.
Posted by: NK(tryin'2.0) | October 21, 2013 at 03:50 PM
TK; supposedly the EBT users are only 47%. We can beat them with 53% of the vote of people that make America great and want it to remain a Republic not a dictatorship.
Posted by: maryrose | October 21, 2013 at 03:50 PM
The future of a lunatic with a 38 is a GOP House and Senate.
The future of a lunatic with a 9mm is a Dem House and Senate.
Posted by: Threadkiller | October 21, 2013 at 03:55 PM
Do we run to the left or the right of Romney to get the 53%?
Posted by: Threadkiller | October 21, 2013 at 03:58 PM
Who is going to pay these subsidies?
Borrowed money is going to pay insurance companies for overpriced crap insurance for expensive subsidies to get people to sign up for insurance with coverage they don't want. It is the Democrats circle jerk.
Posted by: Lester | October 21, 2013 at 03:58 PM
I'm glad we boiled it down TK. IMO, the lunatic with unlimited arms is is the 2009-2010 Dem House/Senate, the Lunatic with the .38 is the Dem Senate/Repub House 2011-2014, a 2015Repub Senate/House disarms the Lunatic and begins negotiations to release the hostages-- US.
Posted by: NK(tryin'2.0) | October 21, 2013 at 04:01 PM
TK@3:58-- now we are talking. IMO, the Romney message was basically correct (solid conservative-- but focused on economic not cultural issues), but the Billionaire Messenger was wrong (and I was wrong about that). Get me a walker, S Martinez, or other NOT RICH Repub messengers,and better data mining and a solid conservative can win in '16.
Posted by: NK(tryin'2.0) | October 21, 2013 at 04:06 PM
How do you figure the 38 has a limited amount of ammo?
Posted by: Threadkiller | October 21, 2013 at 04:07 PM
--The one thing I agree with Cruz about and disagree with DoT, is once the subsidies start it's basically GAME OVER. Once that family of 4 making 100K is dumped into an exchange by their employers (which may be a completely rational economic act by small and medium businesses) they will NEVER vote to give up their subsidy-- that's the lesson of history.--
I made this point a few months ago, a point that DoT conceded even while maintaining Barrycare will strangle itself.
The only way this thing dies if it destroys the healthcare system while the memory of what a good one was like is still fresh in the minds of the voters.
A subsidy for a disaster will not be too popular with somebody who paid for high quality care.
A subsidy thirty years from now will seem like fresh, sweet alfalfa for the dull eyed sheep who have never known anything but Indonesian quality healthcare.
Posted by: Ignatz | October 21, 2013 at 04:13 PM
Is your answer "left" or "right", NK?
Posted by: Threadkiller | October 21, 2013 at 04:19 PM
Ignatz-- that's my take ... that's why my vote was to use the ObummerCare EffUps to win a 1 year delay of everything, including subsidies (as opposed to defund). This is not easy to keep track of and fight the right fight.
Posted by: NK(tryin'2.0) | October 21, 2013 at 04:21 PM
Fight with a solid conservative (ie TP small government economics) economic message, don't showcase cultural issues, win like Walker, and McConnell, and Jindal, and Mitch Daniels and on and on.
Posted by: NK(tryin'2.0) | October 21, 2013 at 04:24 PM
Romney was solid in his pledge to "repeal" and "replace" O-care.
Is the perfect candidate one who is more or less aggressive in this stance?
Posted by: Threadkiller | October 21, 2013 at 04:29 PM
There is no 'perfect' candidate for POTUS. Romney was too easily smeared because he's a billionaire.
Posted by: NK(tryin'2.0) | October 21, 2013 at 04:32 PM
I still yearn for a high deductible simple policy I could buy from an off shore insurance company that would be free of all US govt input or oversight.
I pay them a premium once per year.
At the end of each year they agree to reimburse me with one check for all of my medical bills that exceed an agreed amount as evidenced by Paid Bills I have sent them.
Repeat.
Posted by: Old Lurker | October 21, 2013 at 04:33 PM
Taranto delivers the smackdown,
Another way of putting it is that ObamaCare isn't just a technical failure. And it isn't just an economically unsustainable scheme. Now it's a rhetorical disaster too. Even by the standards of Obama speeches it was terrible. It was so bad, it was the ObamaCare website of political oratory.
Posted by: narciso | October 21, 2013 at 04:33 PM
Does the less than perfect, but better than Romney, candidate take a position to the left, or the right, of "repeal"?
Posted by: Threadkiller | October 21, 2013 at 04:37 PM
The problem with the one-year delay was that it didn't delay the most important thing, which is all of the mandates that make most current plans illegal. We still have a little time to get the right timing, which is everybody already having gotten their "your current plan which you like was outlawed by the Dems, here's a plan you hate that costs gobs more" letter in the mail, and what we need is for the Republicans to deliver a one-year reprieve on that sometime in November.
I still don't think that this is over... The time is ripening: cancellation plus sticker shock letters, with people unable to get on the Obamacare web site to find out if they can get any subsidy. So in about another 2-6 weeks we get the Democrats begging for a delay, and then the Republicans delay ALL of the regulations for a year. So then the insurance companies can send out another round of letters, the "your current insurance is legal again for one year, would you like to renew?"
Then we go into the '14 elections with the Republicans saying, "Look, you found out that your insurance was going to be cancelled, and we got you a one-year reprieve. If you elect us, then we will repeal Obamacare and you really WILL get to keep your insurance." Except this time everybody KNOWS what's in those letters because they already got them.
Posted by: 1_cathyf_says_typepad_is_the_most_wonderful_software_in_the_world_2 | October 21, 2013 at 04:37 PM
Want to witness something scary in regard to LIV's and EBT addicts who vote? Visit the local Walmart (as I had to do today). Normally, I avoid Walmart since I feel so overdressed in pleated shorts, a golf shirt and real shoes. But I needed fabric dye and it was my only quick option.
It is a truly amazing sight. I believe I was the only one there who did not have a visible tattoo and/or a piercing adornment. From the look at the bodies, the aisle that carries the Crisco must be the most popular. I am going to go back and cruise the parking lot and record how many Obama stickers I can find. Bet there are plenty.
Posted by: Jack is Back! | October 21, 2013 at 04:37 PM
Pray God Taranto is correct as to how voters respond to Obummer's 'speech'.
Posted by: NK(tryin'2.0) | October 21, 2013 at 04:37 PM
IN '16, the message I'll sign the Repeal, Obummer has vetoed.
Posted by: NK(tryin'2.0) | October 21, 2013 at 04:39 PM
OL@4:33 - Great idea! Count me in...
Posted by: Beasts of England | October 21, 2013 at 04:42 PM
So you find the message of "repeal" to be a good selling point to the 53%?
Posted by: Threadkiller | October 21, 2013 at 04:43 PM
From the Onion:
(Sorry it's too wide, but you get the idea.)
Posted by: jimmyk | October 21, 2013 at 04:44 PM
No visible tattoos, JiB?
Posted by: Beasts of England | October 21, 2013 at 04:46 PM
Like Dr. Strangelove's reflexive salute:
http://www.weeklystandard.com/blogs/obama-ties-govt-shutdown-obamacare-rollout_763765.html
that really was underwhelming condescending to people who are supposed to be his base, but they are disposable, apparently,
Posted by: narciso | October 21, 2013 at 04:46 PM
Jimmy, the Onion screwed that up.
Should be showing 5.25" floppies not those new fangled small things in hard cases.
Posted by: Old Lurker | October 21, 2013 at 04:47 PM
OL, you and Taranto think alike.
Posted by: jimmyk | October 21, 2013 at 04:48 PM
Taranto hit it on the head. Obama on defense is uninspirational. In fact it is Preezy at his most vulnerable. Even his supporters can tell that he is lying his-ss off.
Posted by: maryrose | October 21, 2013 at 04:53 PM
BoE,
I don't even have invisible tattoos:) Poor choice of words. But if you live in 'Bama you probably have even better Walmarts to gape at, right?
Posted by: Jack is Back! | October 21, 2013 at 04:56 PM
OK, we are dipping into classism here. I'm ok with people who shop at WalMart. It's Obama's lousy economy that has made dollar stores the next big thing.And duly note-this is the OBAMA economy. Forever stuck on stupid and never below 7% that is reported.
Posted by: maryrose | October 21, 2013 at 05:04 PM