David Leonhardt of the NY Times appraises some alternatives to race-based affirmative action, and deliver a classic of the "people are too dumb to respond to incentives or look out for their children" genre.
He opens with some good news on the legal front:
Affirmative action as we know it is probably doomed.
When you ask top Obama administration officials and people in the federal court system about the issue, you often hear a version of that prediction.
Five of the Supreme Court’s nine justices have never voted in favor of a race-based affirmative action program. Already, the court has ruled that such programs have the burden of first showing “that available, workable race-neutral alternatives do not suffice.”
The issue appears to be following a familiar path in Chief Justice John Roberts’s court. On divisive social issues, the Roberts court first tends to issue narrow rulings, with the backing of both conservative and liberal justices, as my colleague Adam Liptak has noted. In later terms, the five conservative justices deliver a more sweeping decision, citing the earlier case as precedent. With affirmative action, last year’s case involving Texas could be the first stage.
So what could replace it? Apparently the trick is to find a basket of proxies that collectively substitute for race. Incone alone doesn't work because there are too many poor whites. That leads to this proposed solution:
The insight of both books is that the obstacles facing many black and Latino children can be captured through a set of variables that are, on the surface, race-neutral. A system based on these factors, rather than race per se, would be undeniably constitutional and more politically popular.
The most obvious of the factors is income — but it is not the most important. Supporters of today’s affirmative action often point out that a strictly income-based version of the program would produce much less racial diversity, and they’re right. Fewer than one-third of households making $40,000 a year or less are black or Latino, according to census data.
But income alone understates the challenges facing many minority children. Black and Latino students are more likely to live in poor neighborhoods than white and Asian students with similar incomes. Black and Latino families are also less wealthy than white and Asian families. And black children in particular aremuch more likely to be growing up without two parents in their home.
Proponents of a new kind of affirmative action prefer an approach that focuses on wealth, neighborhood and family structure, as well as parents’ income, education and other factors. Doing so steers clear of the legal restrictions on racial classifications — and, in the minds of most Americans, is fair. Is an affluent teenager with a 1,300 SAT score really more accomplished than the valedictorian of a troubled high school with a 1,250? No.
So the key insight here is to reward current dysfunction. Parents may not want to quit their jobs or dissipate their wealth, but the benefits of a quick divorce are obvious. Set one parent up in a separate, poor household (that "divorce" was nasty) and boom - little Johnny or Sue, who never did succeed in becoming a recruitable athlete, is now a recruitable kid from an impoverished, broken home.
Take the War on Marriage from the tax code and the ObamaCare subsidies, tell people that getting and staying married will keep their kids out of good colleges, and the progressive/feminist struggle against the patriarchy will have another advance. Brilliant.
MORE: Scouring the archives I notice that David Leonhardt has belly-flopped on Affirmative Action before. But he's Keeping Hope Alive!
The shower-adjusters are ar it again.
Posted by: Danube on iPad | June 17, 2014 at 11:37 AM
At
Posted by: Danube on iPad | June 17, 2014 at 11:37 AM
hahahahahaha
Hard Choices a hard sell?
only 60K hard copy sales first week? Publisher said to be quite nervous.
hahahahahahahahaha
Posted by: GMax | June 17, 2014 at 11:40 AM
Its Le Sirque night at the Noordam for a slight premium as Mrs. JiB and I enjoy, Frederick is in his Rode Duvel strip to cheer on the Belgian team at 7:00PM our time, like 15 minutes from now.
We will joiin the 2nd half in the Ocean Bar or the Crow's Nest where Jane and Caro have engraved seats.
Posted by: Jack is Back! (But in Typhus Hell) | June 17, 2014 at 11:46 AM
Oh this post goes well with what I just finished. If affirmative action is dead why is every nonprofit foundation and fed officials like Holder and Arne Duncan all pushing Racial Equity Outcomes and RETOC. That would be Racial Equity Theory of Change.
So much for those post-racial aspirations. http://www.invisibleserfscollar.com/prescribing-racial-equity-outcomes-at-all-levels-of-social-interaction-wil-make-each-of-us-truly-bound-and-governed/
Posted by: rse | June 17, 2014 at 11:54 AM
Look to the Texas Tea Party for diversity...
Posted by: Threadkiller | June 17, 2014 at 11:58 AM
Jib,
Mine's by the bar.
Posted by: Jane | June 17, 2014 at 12:09 PM
Plus--on many of these tests, the admissions offices do not and cannot check for veracity--we will create a generation of fauxcahontas', lying for advantage. Of course, think what a great experience tyhat will be for kids from functional homes to be surrounded by liars or screwed up kids.
Posted by: clarice | June 17, 2014 at 12:10 PM
How can it be constitutional to be required to specify one's parents' marital status in order to apply to college, or income for that matter, unless applying for financial aid?
Posted by: Extraneus | June 17, 2014 at 12:18 PM
Or race.
Posted by: Extraneus | June 17, 2014 at 12:20 PM
Ex-
I believe race is discretionary. Usually it says that on forms I have seen.
Posted by: rse | June 17, 2014 at 12:26 PM
Now that is real affirmative action, TK.
Posted by: Happy, happy, joy, joy Ignatz | June 17, 2014 at 12:26 PM
CH,
On a prior thread you asked about Oklahoma earthquakes. I believe the source of her information is that great renowned scientist... Al Roker.
Better-half had the Today Show on in the Kitchen and when I walked through, Al was pontificating on "the wave of earthquakes" and what was "suspected" to be causing them. His big breathy intro talked about how Oklahoma had more earthquakes this year than California! Can you imagine!
Posted by: Some Guy | June 17, 2014 at 12:37 PM
JiB-- not the best of starts for Belgium so far today.
Posted by: NK(withnewsoftware) | June 17, 2014 at 12:39 PM
Belgium-- has the best substitutes bench in the World. Unbelievable talent on that bench.
Posted by: NK(withnewsoftware) | June 17, 2014 at 12:42 PM
Thanks Some Guy; if I want to find out how embarrassing it is to shart yourself in the White House, I'll ask Roker (although it wasn't so embarrassing that he didn't talk about it on national television, for God's sake). On earthquakes, not so much.
Posted by: Captain Hate | June 17, 2014 at 12:45 PM
Water is still wet:
http://thefederalist.com/2014/06/17/friends-dont-let-friends-read-dana-milbank/
Posted by: Captain Hate | June 17, 2014 at 12:49 PM
find out how embarrassing it is to shart yourself in the White House
Ask Zero he has been doing it daily for over 5 years now...
Posted by: GMax | June 17, 2014 at 01:08 PM