Sunday AM

Let's roll!

Comments

[Marlene]

Good Morning!

[Marlene]

CNN just dissected the video of Corey Lewandowski grabbing a guy by the scruff of the neck. My impression is that he is trying to calm down a punk,but I guess the MSM thinks it shows the violence that Trump incites. Whatever.

[Theo]

Hello everyone! Last day of winter.

[Theo]

He must be powerful. He brushes up against someone and they nearly fall down and get bruised and quit their job.

[Theo]

I loved the headline at CNN yesterday -- "Dozens of Protesters Block Road Near Trump Rally".

"Dozens!"

[clarice]

MM--the Cutter revelation came about by hard work of someone outside the network--a blogger i think--but I cannot recall who it was.

[clarice]

Reposting for those layabeds who won't see it on the prior thread:http://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2016/03/3_19_2016_16_50.html

[Miss Marple 2]

I think we all can skip Meet the Press today:

Chuck Todd ‏@chucktodd 3m3 minutes ago

Top of the show, I’m joined by GOP strategists @stuartpstevens and Steve Schmidt on the future of the GOP establishment. #MTP
1 retweet 1 like

[Miss Marple 2]

clarice,

I often think there should be a large chart showing relationships between media, think tanks, and government office holders. Most people who watch casually don't have any idea who is married to who, brothers, works for White House while doing commentary, etc.

[Truthbetold]

Clarice

Tell us what your friend Richard Perle thinks about Trump.

[Jim Miller]

Let's see. We've covered Donald Trump's fidelity, and his self-effacing humor

This week what I like most about Donald Trump is the respect he shows his supporters. He doesn't claim they will support him no matter what he does, doesn't suggest they are of low intelligence, doesn't ask them for fascist-style loyalty salutes, doesn't ask his activists to sign loyalty oaths, and above all always tells them the truth.

The French-looking candidate obviously takes that "created equal" idea seriously.

[Miss Marple 2]

Let's see. What I love about anti-Trump people is their unfailing snobbery and continuing insults to his supporters.

[Truthbetold]

MM

Stating the facts is now snobbery?

[Miss Marple 2]

http://thehill.com/blogs/floor-action/house/273662-congressman-moves-to-block-porn-on-federal-computers

This bill will probably get bi-partisan opposition.

[narciso]

In other news the one who organized the Cairo riot, was released. What could go wrong.

[Jack is Back!ll]

MM,

If you want a chart/graphic like you proposed in your 8:48 then all you need to do is draw one large circle and put all those usual suspects in there. Call it a half-finished Venn diagram looking for a partner.

[danoso]

The SF Austin/Notre Dame game today might be the first NCAAB game I watch end to end in quite a while. Love the kid with the bad haircut (Walkup). 21 straight wins for SFA coming in - they have to be doing something right.

My Terps later in the day - hard to watch those boys at times.

[Miss Marple 2]

The local TV stations, not exactly rocket scientists, seem to have finally realized that the Indiana primary might matter this year.

They are prepping the field with their "Could you POSSIBLY vote for Donald Trump?" coverage, accompanied by wholesome anti-Trump Hoosiers and low rent, missing tooth Trump supporters.

I expect we will see hard-hitting specials on the history of the Klan in Indiana and its resurgence, how scared the local Mexicans are of Trump, why Trump's policies won't bring Carrier back, etc. etc.

It is so predictable.

[narciso]

Great pieces clarice.

[Miss Marple 2]

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-03-14/up-to-13-million-americans-are-at-risk-of-being-washed-away

[Miss Marple 2]

http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/273654-dukakis-trump-is-nuts

Said the man who showed cold indifference to the idea of his wife being raped and murdered.

I never wondered why Kitty Dukakis had a drinking problem.

[Miss Marple 2]

http://www.bostonglobe.com/news/politics/2016/03/19/cleveland-preparing-for-riots-violence-republican-national-convention/Uar9zK4VoKWLr4Gk2u4mSI/story.html?s_campaign=bostonglobe%3Asocialflow%3Atwitter

They have not even ordered the necessary equipment yet. Police are worried they won't be able to cope.

[Truthbetold]

Clarice

Tell us what your eco-lawyer husband Howard thinks of Trump.

Mary Landrieu joins D.C. lobbying firm Van Ness Feldman
http://www.bestofneworleans.com/blogofneworleans/archives/2015/05/26/mary-landrieu-joins-dc-lobbying-firm-van-ness-feldman

[narciso]

What are they waiting for?

[Miss Marple 2]

narciso,

Maybe the Mailman could get things delivered quicker.

Seriously, I think they are slow-walking the ordering in order to increase the chances of chaos at the convention.

[Sandy Daze]

HAPPY PALM SUNDAY !

~~~~~~~~~~

Great Pieces™ Clarice, thank you.

~~~~~~~~~~

After last Tuesday (before Alaska's delegates were split) , by my count 1227 celebrates had been apportioned. Of those,

Mr Trump 673 or 54.8%
Mr Cruz 411 or 33.5%
Mr Kasich 143 or 11.7%

In other words, going forward Mr Trump can somewhat under - perform from his past, while Mr Cruz must more than double his previous success. If I understand correctly, mailman's soon can't get to the number needed.

Now, I know past performance is no guarantee of future results, but it seems unlikely that Mr Cruz will suddenly more than double bus previous earnings.

~~~~~~

One more movie...

Watch Saint Ralph. Great movie. Any cradle Catholic will love this flick. Guaranteed.

[Miss Marple 2]

Here's an interesting tidbit I picked up on Twitter. Ohio delegates are bound to Kasich, but if he drops out, they are bound to vote for whoever came in second, which in this case is Trump.

So, Kasich dropping out might help Cruz going forward, but it will also dump 66 delegates into Trump's lap.

[Jack is Back!ll]

Its an addiction just like drugs, alcohol, cigs:

As He's About to Leave Office, President Obama Requests More Money for Former Presidents.

http://injo.com/2016/03/564330-as-hes-about-to-leave-office-president-obama-requests-more-money-for-former-presidents-2/?utm_source=email&utm_medium=owned&utm_campaign=morning-newsletter

I wish Chaffetz luck with his legislation but we know Clinton and Bush don't need our hand-outs.

[Truthbetold]

WHAT? Mitch McConnell’s Campaign Manager To Be “Strategist” For Donald Trump Super PAC

http://www.redstate.com/streiff/2016/03/11/mitch-mcconnells-campaign-manager-strategist-donald-trump-super-pac/

[Free James D!]

MM @ 8:43

Today's edition of MtP sounds like something that ought to play on an endless loop in one of the lower circles of hell.

[narciso]

Rubio departing have him another 12, so we come to 55%.

[narciso]

Cutter well she gets premium like coverage.

[narciso]

Like well you get the drift, too much is made of saleh's capture, a wheelman, but nowhere near the top of the organization.

[clarice]

Looks like Kasich is now hoping to be named Hillary's VP, something good old Chris Matthews thought would be a good idea.

[Appalled]

Trump and the GOPe are drawing close to their deal. Expect the rhetoric to escalate until that happens.

[clarice]

This morning's WaPo Outlook section features an anti-Trump screed "Make America Hate again". It's only delivered here because my husband loves the Sports section .

[Captain Hate]

My Terps later in the day - hard to watch those boys at times.

Like when Turgeon takes the air out of the ball with 7 minutes to go?

[Captain Hate]

Denis McDonough is on Rove News Sunday; I'm glad I gave Teddy a flea pill yesterday. Of course McDonough says ISIL.

McTurtle defending the RINO scum like Mark Kirk for stabbing the party in the back.

[Captain Hate]

Chris Wallace playing devil's advocate for 404's [Redacted for Lent] nominee; McTurtle is firing back with historical precedent which is lost on this dunce. Maybe I should trim my nails instead of watching this.

[clarice]

SalenaZitoVerified account
‏@SalenaZitoTrib
54 of Pennsylvania's delegates are UNBOUND on 1st ballot could vote anyway they want http://blog.triblive.com/orp/2016/03/17 …

[Momto2]

Great pieces Clarice!

"He-Man Woman Haters" :)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wBIC8JTQMMQ

[Jack is Back!ll]

CH,

You use Trifexis for Teddy? Thanks for reminding me to treat the beagles.

[Captain Hate]

McDonough naming the usual RINO trash like Susan Collins in voting on this terrible nominee.

[Captain Hate]

Nexgard, JiB.

[Johns_Creek_Bill]

I find this whole Trump thing so depressing.

A winnable election is going to be an epic disaster. The Supreme Court will be lost which means the end of the 1st and 2nd Amendments as we know them.

I get the anger- I will never understand it's manifestation.

One if the key drivers of the disaster will be the alleged mysoginy of the Republican nominee. He was able to avoid Megyn Kelly's question last August. He will not be able to avoid the MSM 24-7 reporting of it once he has the nomination.

When they are not reporting on the they will be reporting on Trump University, bankruptcies and Mob ties.

Come October the Democrat slogan will be "vote for the corrupt liar, it's that important.

[Momto2]

JIB - I used to use Triflexis but last year it stopped working here in Ga. so I switched to Seresto collars. They worked well.

[Captain Hate]

Will: Senate has to show the base they can do something. Takes a shot at Trump and McTurtle for adhering to Biden rule. Kristen Soltis Anderson: vulnerable squishes are bailing. Bob Woodward: pure politics on both sides. McTurtle has the Constitution on his side. Likes Garland. Doesn't think he'll be confirmed. Lisa Lerer: Rodham and Sanders like that this issue is out there. Rodham wouldn't renominate Garland. Will: president Cruz will nominate somebody very different. President Trump: who knows. Says President Rodham would nominate a much younger lib and it would serve McTurtle right. Go fold some more towels, George.

[Theo]

Johns Creek Bill --

Exactly.

[Captain Hate]

The Mailman's son somehow missing church and carpetbagging in Utah to talk with antiChrist Chris Wallace. I upset the establishment by changing the Pentagon and balancing the budget.

Claims that DrK was wrong to claim that he's whining for attention but bailed on the debate against Cruz like a craven coward. Blames Trump for the tone of his campaign. People shouldn't sneak into the country but we can't send them home with their children crying. We can't ROUND THEM UP.

[clarice]

MM, I'm unable to confirm yet the post about Ohio's delegates. Here's a report 49k Dems have switched to R in Penn:http://triblive.com/opinion/salena/10168998-74/party-democrats-republican

[clarice]

Make that 59K

[Miss Marple 2]

clarice,

These Byzantine primary rules need to be addressed before the next presidential election cycle. You shouldn't have to hire a consultant with spreadsheets just to figure out what delegates you have.

The guy who posted that on Twitter was offering it as an explanation of why Kasich hasn't dropped out.

[Truthbetold]

Donald Trump: Social-Justice Warrior

http://www.nationalreview.com/article/432848/donald-trump-opposes-free-speech-pc-left

[Marlene]

We used Trifexis for Scout,but he had a weird reaction. He would act zoned out and woozy.
We asked the vet if a normal reaction was for the dog to act high and she said no. She changed his meds and he doesn't react.
We found a sweet older British lady here in Florida to groom him.

[Captain Hate]

Anderson: the attacks on Trump have really been stupid. Woodward: this is a rejection of politics as usual. Will: he appeals only to white voters. This coming from the ultimate old white guy. Lerer: donks are taking nothing for granted against a loose cannon like Trump especially with their own train wrecks. Woodward agrees. Anderson: establishment types will try to coopt Trump but conservatives won't. Will pretends the GOP is a Conservative party.

And that's a wrap.

[Cecil Turner]

If I understand correctly, mailman's soon can't get to the number needed.

Neglects the possibility of a contested convention. Looks unlikely at this point (Trump with an outright majority would seem to be the odds-on favorite), but . . .

Exactly.

Concur. It's beyond depressing. I think I'm going to skip right over the ledge . . .

[Miss Marple 2]

Captain Hate,

George Will thinking Trump only appeals to whites is incompetent and clueless punditry. He is drawing significant support in the black community; all you have to do is look at his rally crowds. It's not a huge percentage, but enough to see that it's making dems nervous and would give him an opening in those communities come fall.

[jimmyk]

Yes, Trump will do much better with black voters than the usual GOPe T. Coddington Van Vorhees III types, including Romney. And Hillary will do much worse with blacks than Barry, of course, regardless of the opposition.

[clarice]

I'm with you,jimmyk.

I love the "true conservatives" desire to reenact the Alamo. CH--your assessment of Kasich over the years has proven to be exactly on point--he's now adopted the core of the Dem platform.

[Threadkiller]

Why haven't the other Republicans been able to topple Trump using the alleged misogyny angle?

[Theo]

Jimmyk --

I think that it is very unlikely that Trump would attract significant black votes. Blacks tend for various reasons to vote monolithically and are very unlikely to split their votes this time. Of course, Rodham is not going to draw blacks to the polls the same way that Obama did, as you say, but the best the Republican nominee -- Trump or T. Coddington III -- can hope for is low black turnout.

I also think based on some data and some anecdotes that Hispanics are RABIDLY anti-Trump. Not only will they vote for his opponent, whether Rodham or the devil incarnate (to the extent there is a difference) but they will storm the voting booths. This will not be the case if T. Codddington III is nominated.

[Threadkiller]

Exit polls again?

[Theo]

And, I should add, I think that a man named Rafael Cruz may draw more Hispanic votes than Willard did.

[Threadkiller]

Conservative leaning Hispanics vote for race not for policy.

[Threadkiller]

What crowd thinks Cruz can actually "abolish the IRS?"

[Theo]

TK --

What I said about the exit polls proved to be correct, so I am not sure the point of your post.

But, no, there is other data (and as I said, anecdotes) to suggest that Hispanic voters would not support Trump to put it mildly.

What part of "we're going to build a wall and make Mexico pay for it" do you think appeals to Hispanics? What part of "we're going to deport all of them" appeals to Hispanics in your estimation?

[Destiny Ignatz]

A conundrum for the left that demonstrates perfectly their moral bankruptcy compared to the right; Black Trump supporter stomps anti Trump protestor in KKK hood.

Now, if the guy in the hood was a real KKK guy then lefties cheer the righteous black man. If he was a leftie using the hood to imply Trump is a racist then they boo the pitiful Uncle Tom.

Those on the right, displaying an admirable moral consistency, cheer the trouncing of the hooded fool in either case and only regret they couldn't get a stomp or two in themselves.

[Captain Hate]

Although I still root against Notre Dame, I do much less rabidly for their basketball team since that buffoon Digger Phelps departed. The game against Michigan was an aesthetically appealing contest between two competitive teams that I enjoyed a great deal. Likewise the Indiana Kentucky contest.

[Threadkiller]

http://fox13now.com/2016/03/19/judge-tosses-lawsuit-over-ted-cruzs-eligibility-to-be-president/

No standing for you!

[Miss Marple 2]

Theo:

1. Trump has already pulled about 5% of blacks. That's not huge, but better than the 0 % of Romney.

2. I guess you are unaware that Hispanics are not monolithic. There is real rivalry amongst Mixicans, Cubans, and Puerto Ricans. Mexicans are not particularly admiring of Cubans because they feel that they get preference on immigration.

3. Many blacks detest illegal immigration because the illegals take jobs that were formerly available to those in the black community.

[Threadkiller]

As near as I can tell, the exit poll is proved correct by the exit poll.

Unless there is actual data from the early ballots?

[Truthbetold]

TK

Trump supporters like yourself don't seem to have a problem with that clown saying he is going to change the Geneva Convention rules

[Threadkiller]

What part of "we're going to build a wall and make Mexico pay for it" do you think appeals to Hispanics? What part of "we're going to deport all of them" appeals to Hispanics in your estimation?

All Americans who speak Spanish don't run around in Raiders jackets and bandanas, Theo.

[Threadkiller]

Thanks for the play by play, CH.

[Sandy Daze]

Cecil T, sure second ballots, third ballots; I was only trying to examine the betting on the door. If I recall correctly, the math days that Mr Trump needs to win 53% of the remaining delegates,
Mr Cruz needs to win 78% of the remaining delegates, and
Mr Kasich needs shunting like 104% of the remaining - - clearly not going to happen.

2nd, 3rd rounds sure, who knows what will happen.

But, I think Mr Trump is in the cat bird seat right now.

Anyone listen to Ms Maria Bartaromo's show this morning? Excellent interviews, excellent guests. Someone named "Steve Miller" a senior advisor to Mr Trump. Very sharp man, knowledgeable of the nitty-gritty. Very impressive.
Also, Dr Carson. Solid.

Mr Michael Mulkasay on the SCOTUS nomination too.

I'll repeat what many here have been saying, Fox Business is the next news channel on TV right now.

~~~~

TM, thanks for the shout-out to Todd Beamer (intentional or not).

LET'S ROLL, indeed.

[Sandy Daze]

Too many auto correct typos, but here's one correction on particular:

the BEST news channel...

[Theo]

MM --

In 2012, Romney got 6% of the black vote (according to the exit polls, for the benefit if TK). I do not see that 5% is an improvement.

Romney got 27% of the Latino vote. The fact that Latinos have internal rivalries is not going to change the fact that Trump will get a smaller percentage than Romney and probably a MUCH smaller percentage.

Blacks are indeed in some ways antagonist to Latinos. But you are dreaming if you think blacks in large numbers are going to vote for Trump or any Republican.

[Momto2]

The Sunday morning rhetoric about illegal immigrants is astounding. Now, instead of law breakers - they are *grandmothers* whose children and grandchildren are citizens and Trump wants to *rip them away from their families* when ALL THEY DID was SKIRT the immigration laws.

INCONCEIVABLE. "You keep using those words, I don't think they mean what you think they mean." (nod to our movie discussion)

[Momto2]

Speaking of flea treatment - my foster dog was adopted this weekend - went to a wonderful family and has 2 little boys to love her which makes me very happy. My house does seem a bit quiet, though.

[Threadkiller]

I think anyone who relys on exit polls is dreaming.

There is an amazing turnout this year in Republican primaries.

(1)How have the exit polls from the past played a roll in helping candidates pick a path to appeal to this group?

(2)What monolithic block has the current exit poll used to identify these new voters?

[Homer]

"Those on the right, displaying an admirable moral consistency, cheer the trouncing of the hooded fool in either case and only regret they couldn't get a stomp or two in themselves."

The protester who got punched wasn't wearing a KKK hood. His fellow protester was, but the admirable moral consistency of the right dictated that the American-flag-shirt wearing male rather than the KKK hooded female receive the beat down.

[Miss Marple 2]

This article says that in a head to head matchup with Hillary, Trump got 20% of the black vote.

http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2015/09/21/donald-trump-has-black-supporters-really.html

[Destiny Ignatz]

Interesting to note that the guys who say other people under no circumstances will vote for Trump are the same guys who seem unlikely to vote for Trump themselves.

OTOH people who support Trump note his wide class and racial appeal.
Somebodies' confirmation biases aint gonna be confirmed down the road.

The former group uses a lot of absolutes in their language which is curious considering we're talking about future, unknowable events, while the latter seem a lot less sure of the end game.

This could be because the first "epic disaster-exactly" group has more data on their side or because of better judgment or, possibly, because they have more bias to be confirmed.

All I know is people who say something is a foregone conclusion that is absolutely, positively going to happen overnight very often wake up with egg on their faces...except for daddy. [a little FedEx humor there]:)

[JM Hanes]

Interesting take on the Senate’s SCOTUS strategy. Among other observations, this seems entirely plausible:

Republicans may delay Garland’s nomination through the election — to please their base — but then move to quickly confirm the judge before a new Democratic president takes office to avoid a more liberal nominee in 2017.

That would explain recent indications that Republican Senators' resistance to Garland might not be absolute.

[clarice]

http://nypost.com/2016/03/19/why-its-time-for-a-trump-revolution/

[boris]

2012 was the must win election. We're past that point.

Every new government program is another reason why people should not elect Republicans because they'll take it all away.

So much of the culture war has been ceded to the left that candidates like Romney can't get elected anymore.

If Trump had burned out early it would have been Jeb, or Kasich, or Roob. IOW another Romney.

The only chance Cruz ever had is to beat Trump fair and square after Trump takes out J, K and R. I'll take Cruz over Trump, but I'll take Trump over J K & R.

The culture ceding GOP already lost twice.

2012 was the must win election.

[Theo]

TK --

What is your point?

Are you suggesting that DJT will cause people to vote for him that have not traditionally voted at all? What is your data for this?

The fact remains that he has gotten 37% of the vote in the Republican primaries.

[Truthbetold]

TK rarely makes a coherent point.

[Theo]

MM --

Very old poll (last September) and dubious at the time. Do you have anything more recent to suggest that for the first time in over 50 years a Republican could draw more than 10-15% of the black vote?

Blacks are virtually a wholly owned subsidiary of the Democratic Party. This is very unlikely to change. Latinos are not going to support Trump as much as they did Romney.

Trump's hope has to lie in a massive turnout of whites for him and/or low turnout among nonwhites.

Rafael Cruz would certainly draw more Latino votes.

[clarice]

jmh--I think that's the plan. There should be no hearing until after the election. If Hillary wins, she'll probably withdraw his name, If Trump wins, the committee will not report him out for a vote.

[Threadkiller]

I have no data to answer my questions. I was asking you if the exit pollsters have analyzed one of the more amazing ballot box events of our lifetimes.

[Destiny Ignatz]

--The protester who got punched wasn't wearing a KKK hood.--

Do you have evidence this is the case? His head isn't visible in the video I saw until after he gets up from the stomping. His accomplice demonstrated considerable alacrity doffing hers once the stomping started.

I do thank you for confirming my tongue in cheek point though. It apparently would have been ok for a black guy to beat up someone with a hood but not someone without. Got it.
Or perhaps your point is that in a gender neutral society he should have been able to hit the girl instead.

[Theo]

Yes, I do not see how Garland gets confirmed after the election. It would be Obama, not Hillary, withdrawing his name in November if Hillary wins (in order to prevent the Republican Senate from confirming him). If Trump or Cruz (or some other Republican) he would not be confirmed and the new President would withdraw his name in January before any confirmation vote.

[Truthbetold]

TK we have seen this so called "amazing ballot box event" before.

[Homer]

"Do you have evidence this is the case? His head isn't visible in the video I saw until after he gets up from the stomping."

Second video down.

http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/273673-trump-protester-assaulted-at-rally

You're welcome.

[boris]

"Do you have evidence this is the case? His head isn't visible in the video"

In the video flag shirt guy is leading the protest including KKK hoody dude with a large cartoon Trump poster held high.

Black guy rips the poster out of flag-shirt's hands and knocks him down.

[Theo]

TK --

What about this "amazing ballot box event" makes you think that because a guy gets 37% of the Republican vote, he is going to win in November?

I think that Rodham is a weak candidate and will not draw blacks, Latinos or young people the way that Obama did. Even mainstream Democrats may be unenthusiastic about her.

But Trump is the worst of the alternatives to capitalize on her weakness. And the worst of the alternatives to actually have as president.

[JM Hanes]

boris:

"If Trump had burned out early it would have been Jeb, or Kasich, or Roob. IOW another Romney. The only chance Cruz ever had is to beat Trump fair and square after Trump takes out J, K and R."

I think that's true. Even now, the party's resistance to putting their eggs in Cruz' basket only helps Trump rise.

[boris]

IMO any protest group doing the KKK thing at a Trump event is looking for trouble.

[Destiny Ignatz]

--You're welcome.--

Thanks. Now I'm wondering why the black guy is being railroaded for just trying to knock a little white privilege out of The Man.