Vote Early Vote Often!

Another round of voting tonight.

Comments

[DrJ]

Yay!

[Buckeye]

DrJ

Buckeye Jr. is finishing his residency and trying to make decision between a fellowship or pursuing a PhD as next thing he does.

The guy who runs lab he has been involved with (Comprehensive Cancer Center) and a mentor has been encouraging him to consider this and potentially be his successor.

Any advice you would give him? The lab focuses on theraputics, involved in clinical trials, so still opportunity to practice.

I don't think I am in a position to offer any meaningful advice.

[Jeff Dobbs]

MS polls close at 8 PM
MI polls close at 9 PM
ID polls close at 11 PM
HI polls 1 AM

[henry]

Buckeye, my brother did the PhD step after med school, he does oncology esp prostate cancer... Cancer Research is getting very interesting these days, and seeing patients is a big plus for him.

[narciso]

yes, lets invite him to more debates, what could go wrong,

http://www.newsbusters.org/blogs/nb/pj-gladnick/2016/03/08/cnbc-alters-transcript-john-harwood-question-about-hillarys-email

[narciso]

honestly why can't they both loose,

http://www.newsbusters.org/blogs/nb/mark-finkelstein/2016/03/08/scarborough-snaps-nicolle-wallace-get-your-rubio-badge-okay

[DrJ]

Buckeye,

Generally it depends on whether he wants to do research or see patients. As henry mentions, they are not necessarily mutually exclusive, but often they can be. And if research, what sort of research he wants to do is important.

An MD degree does not really train one to be a scientist, and most straight MDs are pretty terrible scientists. If he's interested in therapeutics, a PhD really is necessary. Clinical trials are sort of on the border -- that is more methodology and statistics than straight science.

I'd be happy to talk with him off JOM. I'm on the list, or Jeff can give you my contact information.

henry, I have to talk with your brother one of these days. I'm looking for a research oncologist, and the local "research" hospital has had a difficult time making the transition from a traditional "see patients" model to supporting research participation. Seeing patients still pays the organization better.

[Buckeye]

henry and DrJ

thanks

[Captain Hate]

How's that Koskinen impeachment progressing, Uniparty?

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-switch/wp/2016/03/08/the-irs-suspends-hacked-tool-meant-to-help-identity-theft-victims/?tid=sm_tw

[narciso]

hail hydra, or the council of 9

http://legalinsurrection.com/2016/03/freddie-gray-mds-highest-court-says-officer-porter-must-testify/

blimey I didn't expect the spanish inquisition,

[henry]

Dr J, I suspect you and my brother would get along well. I would have trouble keeping up, he does help the NIH evaluate grant proposals at times among other things...

[Jeff Dobbs]

Loretta Lynch takes her name out of SCOTUS consideration.....

https://twitter.com/markknoller/status/707343548270714880

[lyle]

My name is lyle and I'm an underachiever...

[narciso]

crime think will not be tolerated,

http://www.newsbusters.org/blogs/nb/tom-blumer/2016/03/07/how-convenient-labor-dept-rule-may-remove-financial-advice-airwaves

[Stephanie]

Gah. I just got polled.

How likely are you to vote? Only death would stop me

Hill v Cruz? Cruz

Hill v Rubio? Rubio

Hill v Trump? Trump

Which comment describes your feelings about Trump?

Will vote for him if he's candidate as he tells it like it is and is the only candidate bringing up important issues

Brings up important issues but would be hesitant to vote for him

His manner is unpleasant and would be hesitant to vote for him

First choice...

How would you describe your feelings toward the federal government?

Satisfied
Kinda upset
Extremely upset
Kinda angry
Extremely Angry

Extremely Angry

It was the RNC doing the poll. Seems like they are feeling out the waters on a Trump presidency.

[Captain Hate]

honestly why can't they both loose,

Gary Condit's bud should think of Norma Desmond as just another intern.

[narciso]

I guess I'm more in the second category, seeing the links I posted you can guess the other answer,

[Porchlight]

From Sandy Daze in the last thread:

I think there is a real need for a shop class in the techie stuff

I completely agree. I heartily approve of shop and all vocational education, which we've sadly mostly destroyed.

Unfortunately at least at my institution, playing with Arduinos is becoming a replacement for real learning. Not in the hard sciences, of course, where Texas still competes and can't get away with faking it, though I'm sure they would if they could. But the "commonmakerspace" (it even sounds commie) I was describing is being sponsored by, ta da, the College of Liberal Arts. That should tell you all you need to know.

[narciso]

a point that's often missed,

http://dailyrushbo.com/rush-chill-out-trump-will-not-be-able-to-get-away-with-obamaism/

[Jeff Dobbs]

Thresholds to get delegates tonight...

MS: 15%
MI: 15%
ID: 20%
HI: no minimum threshold

It's possible that Rubio could get shut out in the first three states. That's happened to him all to often (he could get some congressional district votes while not qualifying for statewide delegates).

[Jeff Dobbs]

Wait wait wait wait wait.

I did not know this. There is NO early voting in MI or MS. One can absentee vote - with a legit excuse (not absentee vote for any reason, like you can here in NC).

In several states, Trump built a big lead in early voting and then Cruz or Rubio closed the gap in primary day voting. Louisiana is the most recent and dramatic example, where the nets called the race immediately after polls closed based on Trump's lead in the early vote - but by the time the night was over, Cruz pulled to within ~3 points.

But no early voting seems like it might be at least in part a counter to the fact that these are open primaries.

Interesting.

[narciso]

is this live or memorex,

https://twitter.com/FoxNews/status/707344218990190592

[Jeff Dobbs]

It's Man Tran, Porch....not Sandy.

[henry]

narciso, is that the FOIA thing?

[Captain Hate]

Adultery of the heart was mentioned on Jeopardy tonight; specifically what year the old goat mentioned that phrase while being interviewed by his favorite spank bank publication.

Congrats Steph; are you doing BI stuff?

[narciso]

it seems everyone in westeros is doing it,

http://dailycaller.com/2015/04/08/like-clintons-bush-family-has-ties-to-visa-program-for-wealthy-foreign-investors/

[Jeff Dobbs]

Mississippi Polls closing!!!!!!!!

[pagar a bacon, country ham and sausage supporter]

"That's happened to him all to often" Might be a clue!

[narciso]

that sounds like a case of ricearoni and a copy of the home game,

I'm reminded of the second season of house of cards, underwood uses the knowledge of the chinese tie to the dnc, as the tool to topple the president and cripple his advisor, I gave up after two episodes of the third, and this last is quite meh,

[Jeff Dobbs]

Hillary wins MS (duh).

Fox won't call MS for Trump....yet. They do say he has a sizable lead.

[narciso]

well it's funny about how these things happen, they called florida in 2000, right around the time results were just being tabulated on the east coast,

[Theo]

Rodham wins Mississippi

[Porchlight]

Oh, very sorry - Man Tran, not Sandy. Thanks, Jeff.

[narciso]

hust pining for the fjords,

http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/nationworld/ct-islamic-state-leader-killed-airstrike-20160308-story.html

[Jane]

So the Baltimore Appeals court has decided that police officers no longer have the right against self-incrimination.

Goodbye USA

[Rick Ballard]

I wonder if Barbour is handling the counting in Mississippi? It could take a little while.

[Porchlight]

Congratulations Stephanie! I would love to have a drink with you in Little Five Points sometime. Is it still a bit seedy or is it fully gentrified yet? I haven't been there in almost 20 years.

[Sandy ن Daze]

Welp, Porch, at least you spelled my name correctly, even if you misspelled ManTran's...

;~))

[Jeff Dobbs]

Chuck Todd says everyone's waiting on calling Mississippi because of how Louisiana tightened so much.

But the call on LA was because of the early vote - and Cruz catching up on the election day vote. No early vote in MS, so.....

[narciso]

don't confuse f chuck, with the truth, he runs out of electrolytes, mcdaniel is supporting crua, so what do you think,

[Jeff Dobbs]

There it is. Fox calls MS for Trump.

[Theo]

Trump was expected to take Mississippi. Margin may matter and second place may matter.

[Jeff Dobbs]

Second place isn't in doubt. It's Cruz. Trump has a shot at >50% though. That's narrative busting when it comes to what has been building since Saturday's results.

[Theo]

Unfortunately, Trump also looking strong in Michigan. Once again, non Trump votes very likely to be more numerous than Trump votes. No consensus yet on anti Trump candidate.

[clarice]

drudge;
MICHIGAN
TRUMP 36% KASICH 34% CRUZ 19%
SANDERS 51% CLINTON 48%

MISSISSIPPI
TRUMP 57% CRUZ 36%

[Theo]

National polls out today show serious erosion in support for Trump. I do not think that the souffle can rise again. But is it too late to stop him?

[Theo]

Clarice --

If those numbers hold, a very good night for Kasich. Rubio may not last until the Florida primary.

[Miss Marple 2]

Theo,

They just called Mississippi for Trump.

[Jeff Dobbs]

Drudge number is a pretty incomplete picture. Unless you're looking at where the numbers coming from - and how much is in and what's left - you really can't say what they mean.

Kasich will fall back closer to Cruz. Oakland County is reporting early, which is Kasich's bestest county by far. He's a point behind Trump in that county so far. Western counties are Cruz's best and some polls there don't close until 9.

[Theo]

MM --

Trump was almost certain to win Mississippi. Question for the night is by what margin. As Jeff says a big win helps with the narrative. But Michigan is the bigger story of the night.

[DrJ]

Oakland County is reporting early, which is Kasich's bestest county by far.

I'd bet that Washenaw county is/will be a better one for Kasich.

[Porchlight]

Why is Michigan reporting if the polls haven't closed??

[Theo]

Washtenaw will be overwhelming for Sanders.

Rubio may get zero delegates out of either MS or MI tonight. A real bad sign for him.

[derwill]

Theo, you cannot assume that a vote for Cruz or Rubio, etc was anti-Trump. I voted for Cruz in Idaho today, but it was a vote FOR Cruz. If Cruz had not been in the picture and my choices were Trump, Rubio, or Kasich, I would have voted for Trump.

[clarice]

He doesn't indicate it's an exit poll. ???

[henry]

Porch, nobody likes yoopers

[clarice]

Now he's got this in red:
MICHIGAN
TRUMP 38% KASICH 29% CRUZ 21%
SANDERS 50% CLINTON 48%

[Porchlight]

Oh, sorry, thanks clarice.

[Theo]

Good point derwill. But I think the polling shows that Trump is the second choice of relatively few people.

[sbw]

Jane: Hey SBW, Isn't today voting day?

Yes, the show was today. Candidates for each of the three regents positions were “unopposed” because a floor fight would not have changed voting blocks and therefore they were elected without legislators having to, you know, actually vote for the best candidates.

News reports have legislators praising the “quality”, diversity and experience of the candidates.

Oh. I didn’t win.

I have heard back-channel that some in government thought I would have been an excellent choice.

Other excellent candidates in the judicial district were available, but, ahem, were not widely supported. It makes one wonder whether schooling is a priority, a political inconvenience, or a political opportunity.

I don’t feel badly about losing. I feel badly for a process that does not value education. I feel badly for those who do not care about the process.

[Jane]

Sanders wasn't expected to win in MI was he?

[Porchlight]

It's weird that it would be changing if it's an exit poll.

[MarkO]

Trump is an instrument of political hygiene.

[Theo]

Clarice --

As we know, Drudge tends to overstate eventual Trump vote. But if those numbers are the final numbers, still good for Kasich. Obviously 34% would have been better. A win for JK would be a yuuuuuuuge upset.

[Porchlight]

I'm sorry to hear that, sbw. I'm glad you tried. Thank you.

[Sandy ن Daze]

If it were Mr Cruz or Mr Rubio with the numbers that Mr Trump has, the narrative would be much different, than what is being said right now.

[Jeff Dobbs]

Now he's got this in red:
MICHIGAN
TRUMP 38% KASICH 29% CRUZ 21%

Hey, it's like Kasich is falling back toward Cruz......

[Theo]

Sandy --

Yes, they are actually Republicans.

[clarice]

Drudge:MICHIGAN
TRUMP 38% KASICH 28% CRUZ 21%

[narciso]

sorry to hear that sbw,

[Jeff Dobbs]

DrJ:
I'd bet that Washenaw county is/will be a better one for Kasich.

Part of what I was trying to say was total votes cast - Washtenaw won't give Kasich the votes Oakland will even if the percentage is better.

Trump up 6% over Kasich in Washtenaw right now. But only 1.5% reporting, so not significant.

[James D.]

Sorry to hear the news, sbw.

But the fix was clearly in.

It makes one wonder whether schooling is a priority, a political inconvenience, or a political opportunity.

I don't wonder at all.

[Theo]

The story of the night -- or one of them -- could be the end of the road for Marco Rubio.

[Theo]

A long time ago I lived in Washtenaw County in Michigan. I do not believe that they had any Republicans then and I would be surprised if there were many now.

[Threadkiller]

In several states, Trump built a big lead in early voting and then Cruz or Rubio closed the gap in primary day voting

Jeff, Is there a site that breaks down early vs election night voting? Or is it estimates based off of polls?

This language has me confused every time I see it.

[Jeff Dobbs]

Kasich 27, Cruz 22

Hey, it's tightening.

That other guy has 38.

[clarice]

ICHIGAN
TRUMP 38% KASICH 27% CRUZ 22%

[Theo]

If Cruz overtakes Kasich that solidifies Cruz as the anti Trump, don't you think?

[Sandy ن Daze]

These days, I'm not sure what being a "Republican" actually means, either in word or in deed.

While registered as a Republican, I've self identified as a conservative for at least 20 years.

Today, if asked, I'd probably self identify as an anarchist.

That's right, I want to burn the uni-party down,
down,
down,
to the ground.

Does that make me a bad man ?

I V R

[jimmyk]

Candidates for each of the three regents positions were “unopposed” because a floor fight would not have changed voting blocks and therefore they were elected without legislators having to, you know, actually vote for the best candidates.

Not sure I understand--which candidates? If there were more than three, how could they be unopposed? You opposed them, right? Sad that there was no vote. As I mentioned, I wrote my rep in support of you, but the whole thing was evidently rigged from the get-go.

[Theo]

Sandy --

I think that it makes you Howard Beale -- mad as hell and not going to take it any more.
It does not make you a bad person, but an impractical one. If you are a conservative, vote for a conservative, even if other conservatives have let you down in the past. Voting for a buffoonish, big government reality TV show host is not a solution. It's a temper tantrum.

[Frau Edith Steingehirn]

Triple Woot! for you, Stephanie.
Please find time to keep in touch with those of us left behind int TM's basement.
Woot!
Woot!
Woot!

[Porchlight]

So Michigan really is reporting before polls are closed? That sucks. I guess henry is right about the yoopers.

[Theo]

Decision Desk suggesting that Cruz will pass Kasich for 2nd place in Michigan. Rubio disappears off the radar screen.

[jimmyk]

An American student from Vanderbilt was murdered by a Pali in Israel today during a stabbing spree, in honor of SloJoe's visit.

http://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/american-tourist-killed-amid-israeli-stabbing-violence-biden-arrives-talks-n533996

[Threadkiller]

I thought Michigan and Mississippi both closed at the same time?

[narciso]

michigan's in a different time zone, no?

[Porchlight]

I'm reading that MI polls close at 9 eastern. Six minutes ago.

[Threadkiller]

I dunno. Its a little further east on the map.

[Jeff Dobbs]

Most of Michigan is Eastern - the western most counties are Central

[Buckeye]

Michigan is eastern time zone.

[narciso]

apparently not, they are in the same timezone,

trump banked his vote early, the late deciders probably went to kasich, but not by a large enough margin,

[Sandy ن Daze]

Screwy, I know. I read a statement of Mr Trump's boarding - school roommate. Being the product of a similar educational experience, what his roommate said resonated with me. Perhaps some here saw, or even posted a link ?

I will crawl over broken glass to view for whomever eventually becomes the Republican nominee in the general.

I think it is those who say that they are Republicans, who say that they will never vote for Mr Trump should he be the nominee, who are throwing the temper tantrum.

YMMV.

[henry]

Detroit is a different time zone than the Upper Peninsula.

The American student was an army vet with tours in Iraq and Afghanistan, apparently a West Pointer that was getting an MBA at Vanderbuilt. (Twitter info, so not certain).

[GUS]

I love the YOO PEE. I fish there quite a bit.
Iron River MI.

Sandy, I have NEVER called myself a Republican, I am as Conservative as anyone here, and I'm not going to give my SOUL to the (REDACTED FOR LENT) who are peeing their pants in fear of losing control of the GOP and all the CA$HI$H and perks.
Never Trump??? If TRUMP loses, THE GOPeePee, wins. Bidness as usual.
Unless Cruz wins. They hate Cruz too.

[sbw]

jimmyk, there were 18 candidates for our regional seat. One voting block of regional legislators had a preferred local candidate. Legislators from other regions defer to the politicians within a region.

Four hours of interviews online, which I don’t advise viewing, make it clear that some candidates were better than others.

Also, with educators composing 70 percent of the current board, one would have thought that some variety would have been valued. No.

The regents talk past issues. Good questions remain unasked. The educational bureaucracy does not have to defend its positions. Look for several more expensive years wasting children.

Eventually, a parallel Khan Academy educational system will develop as people realize passing time in class is official but a waste of good students, administrators, and teachers.

[Porchlight]

They should never report before polls close. Florida 2000 - still makes me furious.

[Sandy ن Daze]

I live southern central Michigan, zip 49242.

Polling locations here closed at 2000/8pm.

[Centralcal on iPad]

Congratulations to all the Trump fans here. A good night for him.

[GUS]

Porchlight, it's not about new$ it'$ about $omething el$e the$e day$.