From The Dept. Of Good News

Crime in the greatest city in the world continues to fall into uncharted territory. Chicago is also down from a horrific 2016. The WSJ writes about why, and emphasizes that "national" trends are a bit of a misconception:

Murder in America is deeply local.

Homicides in the U.S. rose about 9% last year, according to the Federal Bureau of Investigation, and more than one-third of the increase was concentrated in neighborhoods where just one-third of Chicago residents live. Meanwhile, improvements in areas where 30% of Los Angeles residents live accounted for one quarter of the 13% drop in U.S. murders between 2002 and 2014.

The Wall Street Journal analyzed the locations of thousands of homicides in four cities: Chicago and Baltimore, where violence has risen to or near 1990s levels in the past two years; and Los Angeles and Washington, D.C., where meaningful declines in violence have been sustained since the 1990s.

The data show that the neighborhoods where killings have soared in Chicago and Baltimore share worsening poverty, high numbers of vacant houses, and a lighter street presence by police following officers’ high-profile killings of young black men. In Washington and Los Angeles, gang interventions and community policing, which seeks closer contact with residents to gain trust and even information in to address crime, have helped produce long-term reductions in murders. Gentrification in the nation’s capital also has played an important role in keeping violence down.

George Mason University criminologist David Weisburd said his research has shown that about 1% of city streets produce 25% of a city’s crime, and 5% of the streets produce half the crime. He calls it the “law of crime concentration.”

The familiar 90/10 rule, or the 80/20 rule, strikes again. Hard.

Comments

[Captain Hate]

Krugman not available for comment?

[Beasts of England]

Guntersville, Alabama?

[Beasts of England]

Oh, New York City...

[Ignatz Ratzkiwatzki]

BS.
Momentary blips in homicides may be local but the huge downward trend over the last thirty years has been universal and has been almost entirely produced by different policing and incarceration techniques nationwide.
If deepening poverty caused crime to spike then the decline would have reversed in recessions. It didn't.
End "mass incarceration" and watch those trends reverse, which will be great for the criminals; not so great for their victims.
But progs love brown people. They love them to death.

[henry]

Funny, arresting mass numbers of MS 13 had nothing to do with it.

[Jane]

Deb,

Thanks for the flower advice. Good idea.

[GUS]

I guess poor people are criminals.

who knew?

[Ignatz Ratzkiwatzki]

In answer to I think ABob on the last thread, my son is doing as well as can be expected.
Remains stable and is trying to slowly wean himself off the clonazepam.
Quit cold turkey without telling me last year and after about a week started going through withdrawal which with the "pams" can be very severe. Got him back on it at a slightly lower dose and he went back to "normal".
Great kid but a wasted life.

[Ralph L]

I remember a map showing DC homicides for a year decades ago. Yuge concentration in 2-3 very small neighborhoods. Maybe 1 in NW.

[JimNorCal]

From InstaPundit.

"The woman Rep. Sheila Jackson Lee accused of racism is a celebrated photojournalist who helped document human-rights abuses in war-torn Guatemala during the 1980s.

Jean-Marie Simon, whose first-class seat on a United Airlines flight was given to Ms. Jackson Lee, Texas Democrat, lived and worked in Guatemala during the turbulent decade that saw the military seize control of the government in a coup. Hundreds of thousands of Guatemalans were killed or “disappeared” during the conflict. ... In a tweet Tuesday, Ms. Jackson Lee suggested Ms. Simon was upset about her seat being given away because it was given to an African-American woman.”

[Threadkiller]

I thought climate change was responsible for violence?

[DebinGA]

Glad it helped, Jane.

JimNorCal's link to what purports to be the actual dossier memos by date.

[Threadkiller]

Turns out the S. Korean Hottie plays piano as well as drums:

https://youtu.be/ThF0WZFvyso

[Davod]

I read somewhere that Jean-Marie Simon used her airline miles to get the first class seat.

[Appalled]

Do any of these articles mention Chicago?

[henry]

and more than one-third of the increase was concentrated in neighborhoods where just one-third of Chicago residents live.

read the post much?

[Ignatz Ratzkiwatzki]

People like Sheila Jackson Lee are a racist's bestest friend.

[GUS]

""The Wall Street Journal analyzed the locations of thousands of homicides in four cities: CHICAGO and Baltimore, where violence has risen to or near 1990s levels in the past two years; and Los Angeles and Washington, D.C.""

[jimmyk]

https://nypost.com/2017/12/26/nyc-sees-unbelievable-drop-in-crime/

284 homicides in 2017. Pre-Giuliani (1990) there were over 2,200.

[Miss Marple the Deplorable]

President Trump retweeted this article late last night:

http://dailysignal.com/2017/12/15/arrests-of-ms-13-members-associates-up-83-under-trump/

[Jane]

I want to know who the hell would ever vote for Sheila Jackson Lee.

[Tonto]

Malia Obama, rebel?

Per usual, I'm only as good as my sources, but my sources say: Malia, who plans to be an English Literature major, is outspoken in English classes against political correctness! She defends the canon, and when asked to assume a character for an essay, chose that of an Irish man (dear God, not Duda, one hopes!). Anyway, only as good as my mysterious sources!

[GUS]

Do any of the articles mention the PARTY of the MAYOR??

[GUS]

Douchebag Davey, is a character, just like the fake Irishman Malia plays in class. When she's not chooming.

[jimmyk]

Of course one way to get a drop in crime is to decriminalize certain activities.

https://joeforamerica.com/2017/12/now-legal-defecate-urinate-denver-sidewalks/

This goes along with Miss M's link earlier to problems in downtown Portland. It's as if we have to keep re-learning the same lessons every generation.

[Miss Marple the Deplorable]

https://theconservativetreehouse.com/2017/12/28/the-mistresses-of-mirrored-halls-looking-at-the-corrupt-doj-side-of-operation-trump/#more-143936

This is a highly researched article with lots of details, and well worth your time. I also recommend reading the comments, which contain a lot of additional information.

I am going to re-read this a couple of times to make sure I understand the events properly. Sundance has provided organizational charts, which are a great help.

[Captain Hate on the iPhone]

Tammy Bruce has held out hope that the Obama children would rebel by being conservatives.

[Miss Marple the Deplorable]

‏Verified account @realDonaldTrump
10m10 minutes ago

Vanity Fair, which looks like it is on its last legs, is bending over backwards in apologizing for the minor hit they took at Crooked H. Anna Wintour, who was all set to be Amb to Court of St James’s & a big fundraiser for CH, is beside herself in grief & begging for forgiveness!
=================================

A triple hit! Hillary, Vanity Fair, AND Anna Wintour (Vogue Magazine).

Well done, Mr. President! Well done!

[Extraneus]

From MM's link:

However, to best understand the DOJ side, it’s helpful to look at a specific time, September and October 2016. That’s when the second FISA application was presented to the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court (FISC), using the information from the FBI counterintelligence operation (Steele Dossier etc.) as the basis for that application.

How do we know that?

[narcisoyea]

Yes that is a very good piece, miss marple I didn't know about this Evans character he's new to my understanding

[Extraneus]

Later he says this:

Summary of October 2016 so far: ♦Bruce Ohr is meeting with Christopher Steele and Glenn Simpson and not telling his bosses. ♦The DOJ National Security Division submits FISA application for FBI use (likely using dossier).

In other words, he doesn't know if the dossier was used and neither do we. (I'd bet Trump knows, though.)

[henry]

CA legalized child prostitution?

http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/california-democrats-legalize-child-prostitution/article/2610540

[DebinGA]

I noticed Steele's first dossier memo referred to the golden showers fiction in the presidential suite of the Moscow Ritz Carlton. Steele noted the Obamas had stayed there, and after the words "Michelle Obama" Steele added "who he hated" - "he" being Trump. What an obvious crock. Impossible to believe anyone in the DOJ fell for the "dossier", much less the FBI Director and the AG who had to sign any FISA application that referenced it.

[Extraneus]

Rep. Charlie Dent says President Trump a factor in decision to retire

“I’d say the president was a factor but not the factor for me deciding to leave,” Mr. Dent, Pennsylvania Republican, said on CNN. “I’ve been thinking about leaving Congress since 2013, ever since the government shutdown. I really thought it might be time to move on.”

He announced earlier this year that he would not seek another term in 2018 and would return to private life. Mr. Dent said his colleagues are aware of the challenges they face, not only because of Mr. Trump’s unpopularity, but because of the historic challenges for the president’s party in the midterms.

Meanwhile, Drudge is reporting that Trump and Obama had the same polling numbers after year 1.

I don't know Dent, but he seems to be making the right decision.

[henry]

Swamp size alert: 1 in 5 Fed employees paid in 6 figures.

http://dailysignal.com/2017/12/27/1-every-5-government-employees-6-figure-salary/

[Miss Marple the Deplorable]

henry,

My teacher sister's ex-husband was here several years ago to visit his daughter. He was in the Navy, worked for the post office, and then got a job at the National Parks Service. He proudly told me he had qualified as a "triple dipper" (meaning he would draw pensions from all three.

I told him that was NOT the thing to tell someone who had to rely on 401K's in the private sector. Grrr.

[Ignatz Ratzkiwatzki]

Given the Carter Page angle, the way they're stonewalling congress and the fact that if they had something else it would have already leaked, it's pretty tough to imagine something besides the dossier as the FISA "evidence".

[Extraneus]

Agreed, Ig. I just don't like when it's stated as a fact. It's hard enough keeping track of this stuff.

[narcisoyea]

They did a reasonable guess, what other source would there be in light of the failure of the first attempt.

[Miss Marple the Deplorable]

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-5217983/Hitlers-1939-armor-plated-super-Mercedes-auction.html?ito=social-twitter_mailonline

Midday reading for car buffs.

[Extraneus]

http://dailycaller.com/2017/12/28/poll-half-of-minnesota-voters-think-franken-should-not-resign/

[Miss Marple the Deplorable]

http://www.breitbart.com/london/2017/12/28/theresa-may-calls-woman-play-james-bond/

I think there is something in the water in the UK. I used to be such an Anglophile, but it seems that I am less and less interested in what they say or do.

[Miss Marple the Deplorable]

Mαχιмυs
🔥Ʀιsιηg
‏ @Maximus_4EVR
19m19 minutes ago

#Breaking per @Rasmussen_Poll: #PresidentTrump's approval rating rebounds to Obama's first year level of 46%. Note: Adjusted for D oversampling and Trump's real approval is 55% http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/trump_administration/prez_track_dec28 …

[Extraneus]

This must be what Trump was tweeting about.

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-12-27/vanity-fair-editors-relentlessly-attacked-over-dont-run-again-hillary-satirical-vide

[Extraneus]

http://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2017/12/liberals-triggered-sarah-huckabee-sanders-posts-trapshooting-photo-holding-rifle/

Actually a shotgun.

[narcisoyea]

Yes their version of mitt romney who was the bane of the iron lady is welcoming a corbyn victory, summon the daleks

[Ignatz Ratzkiwatzki]

Did someone say shotgun?
Another Bertuzzi, this time a hammer gun;

[Captain Hate on the iPhone]

Actually a shotgun.

Even "our side" sound like blithering idiots about firearms.

[Miss Marple the Deplorable]

http://www.foxnews.com/opinion/2017/12/28/newt-gingrich-get-ready-for-great-political-surprise-2018.html

[Miss Marple the Deplorable]

Donald J. Trump
‏Verified account @realDonaldTrump
24m24 minutes ago

Retail sales are at record numbers. We’ve got the economy going better than anyone ever dreamt - and you haven’t seen anything yet!

[Miss Marple the Deplorable]

Donald J. Trump
‏Verified account @realDonaldTrump
19m19 minutes ago

Caught RED HANDED - very disappointed that China is allowing oil to go into North Korea. There will never be a friendly solution to the North Korea problem if this continues to happen!

[Miss Marple the Deplorable]

The Tweet I posted at 11:43 refers to information contained in this story:

http://english.chosun.com/m/svc/article.amp.html?contid=2017122601156&__twitter_impression=true

(Includes aerial or satellite photos.)

[Threadkiller]

Should I post more drummer videos?

[henry]

TK, yes.

[Threadkiller]

:-)

Just checking JOM for a pulse.

https://youtu.be/CrZMnVWFXLw

[Jim Eagle]

MM,

In re: Your 11:14 link to the Daily Mail article on Hitler's 770K Grosser Mercedes Benz, my FIL knows the Belgian tobacco family who bought it then sold it, quiete well. They were competitors but friends with my MIL's family which was also a tobacco company, mainly premium cigars.

I have sent that article on to him. He'll get a kick out of it.

Off to lunch and Frederick's session with our teaching pro at The Links.

[GUS]

She's got some nice TOM TOM'S.
My best friend says, Once you've gone Asian, you'll never go Caucasian.

[Extraneus]

Kinda mesmerizing.

She knows how to mic drums, too. SM58s for ambient, not sure what's on the toms and snare, but they don't look like SM57s. Probably something close but better.

[Miss Marple the Deplorable]

Jack,

Glad he will enjoy it!

I try to post things that interest people besides the Clinton-Obama stuff, which is not all that is going on in the world. Sometimes it's good to just read fun stuff!

Enjoy the warm weather, which we are surely not having here!

[GUS]

Extraneus, I noticed the mic's too. 57's are uni,
58's are omni, she also records with some reverb.

[GUS]

Read this TWADDLE, then look at other stories about this pile of crap "Bishop".

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/dec/28/evangelical-christians-uncritical-in-support-for-donald-trump-says-paul-bayes-bishop-liverpool

[Extraneus]

A pro-abortion bishop.

[GUS]

Typical libtard.

"I've learned to respect the experiences of people who want to celebrate and express their sexuality, and be within the church".

Is sheep shagging ok??

[Extraneus]

http://www.wtsp.com/life/holidays/90-year-old-womans-dance-off-with-santa-wins-the-internet/502595251

[Miss Marple the Deplorable]

Since Typepad seems to dislike Scott Adams as much as Sharyl Atkisson, I went to get a new link in order to post his column, "The Demolition President."

https://tinyurl.com/y9kwkve9

[Captain Hate]

Drum solos?

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=mvSDlTNw6Ug

[Appalled]

Drum solo (very old school)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qugvBloQ8pw

[Captain Hate]

I've learned to respect the experiences of people who want to celebrate and express their sexuality, and be within the church stand for nothing.

[narciso]

there was a late night link re a probe to alpha centauri in 2069, of course they haven't come up with a propulsion system yet, that's why they give themselves a 50 year cushion

[Ralph L]

Should I post more drummer videos?
Posted by: Threadkiller
Boy, they're supposed to be heard before Christmas and should be small or at least short.

[Rocco]

This DailyMail article states that McCain gave Comey the dossier on Dec. 9th but the last section of the dossier is dated Dec. 13th? Why did the FBI add the last section after McCain turned it over? FISA related?

[DebinGA]

I'm sure when DossierGate broke last year I read this BBC piece but certain things didn't stand out then that stand out now:

"Last April [2016], the CIA director was shown intelligence that worried him. It was - allegedly - a tape recording of a conversation about money from the Kremlin going into the US presidential campaign. ... It was passed to the US by an intelligence agency of one of the Baltic States. The CIA cannot act domestically against American citizens so a joint counter-intelligence taskforce was created. The taskforce included six agencies or departments of government. Dealing with the domestic, US, side of the inquiry, were the FBI, Department of the Treasury, and the Department of Justice. For the foreign and intelligence aspects of the investigation, there were another three agencies: the CIA, the Office of the Director of National Intelligence and the National Security Agency, responsible for electronic spying. ... Lawyers from the National Security Division in the Department of Justice then drew up an application [FISA]. They took it to the secret US court that deals with intelligence, the Fisa court, named after the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act. They wanted permission to intercept the electronic records from two Russian banks. ...Their first application, in June, was rejected outright by the judge. They returned with a more narrowly drawn order in July and were rejected again. Finally, before a new judge, the order was granted, on 15 October, three weeks before election day."

It wasn't just a rogue FBI - 6 agencies were involved. Iirc it's illegal to go to a different judge if the initial judge turns down a FISA application. I wonder if the winning 3rd try was before the 3-judge FISA appeal panel - all Clinton appointees?

[Miss Marple the Deplorable]

https://www.collectorsweekly.com/articles/the-1950s-most-nauseating-jell-o-soaked-recipes/

This is a fascinating interview by the woman who runs this blog site:

http://www.midcenturymenu.com/

This caught my eye because for every single family dinner my grandmother would bring shredded carrots in lemon jello and shredded cabbage and celery in lime jello. I assumed it was because Jello was invented when she was a young married woman, but I think those recipes sprang up right after the war, now that I read this article.

The web site is a hoot! I am going to make sure my sister sees it. I think we should have a party where all of the dishes come from that site (the edible ones). HA!

[Extraneus]

Didn't we just read yesterday that the FBI already had the dossier before McCain gave it to Comey?

[GUS]

The FISA applications will tell the tale.
That is why McCabe will not judge the DOSSIER as the fraudulent piece of shit it is.

It's all coming out. Buy ammo.

[maryrose]

DebinNC:
This is a bombshell.
Post of the day.
It all makes sense and Dems ignoring and rejecting it just makes them look stupid.
Is there no honest Dem who will speak out and call on the members of the O Team to come clean?

[maryrose]

Should be Debin GA.

[GUS]

McCain was used for the fool that he is.
Get McCain involved have a wee patina of GOP support for the SLIME-O-RAMA.
This is the biggest political scandal in U.S. HISTORY.

[Captain Hate]

The Billy Boy elevator is still going down:

https://pjmedia.com/instapundit/284350/

[DebinGA]

I have no doubt BOzo was having any real or imagined opponent surveilled from the moment he was first sworn in. He's a mega control freak, whose sense of entitlement knows no bounds, legal or otherwise.

[GUS]

http://abcnews.go.com/US/young-children-sex-couple-killed-act-savagery-upstate/story?id=52025212

Read the story, and then re-read the headline.

Something is quite odd.

[narciso]

hey kim, have you been following mcintyres dismantling of the grishenko hoax?

[narciso]

sailor's piece, does delve a little into x files territory, but this is part of the deal, one should note, that david Ignatius, is the son of a fmr secretary of the navy and post executive, despite that, agents of innocence was quite readable, it's only in the last decade that he became a deep state poodle

[Captain Hate]

Wasn't Sailor a fave of anduril?

[Extraneus]

Democratic Appointees Reluctant To Give Trump More Judgeships To Fill

One circuit judge claimed Trump’s nominees lack the qualifications necessary for judicial service.

“Given the caliber of nominees I’m seeing, I’m not comfortable creating a spot that might be filled by someone consistent with the qualifications, or lack of qualifications, of some of the folks I’ve seen nominated,” the judge said. The judge is eligible to assume senior status, a quasi-retirement under which aging judges may leave active service but still participate in a handful of cases.

Seems like he should be required to take a remedial English course before they let him do that.

Another circuit judge accused the president of “blatantly politicizing” the courts, as they expressed anxiety about Trump’s agenda.

“This president is someone who I am just so anxious about what he might do and also the quality of some of the nominees, some of whom have now withdrawn,” the judge said. “That makes it a greater concern for me than if it were a different president who happened to be Republican but was making wise decisions with respect to the judiciary and wasn’t so blatantly politicizing it.”

Both judges were appointed by Democratic presidents, according to BuzzFeed News.

[Buckeye]

Interesting microphone coincidence, Buckeyette got approached by a headhunter today about working for Shure.

Looking for a distribution/logistics type for an Ahia facility.

[narciso]

the source code, found in the exfil, is not particularly Russia, it was originally traced to Algerian and Iraqi source, in the case of bundestag and tv 5, only subsequently did fireeye create this fancy bear umbrella

[henry]

Judge shitcans Moore. Jones certification this afternoon.

https://www.cnbc.com/2017/12/28/alabama-judge-rejects-roy-moores-attempt-to-delay-vote-certification.html?__source=twitter%7Cmain

[henry]

Note to self, don't trust TV doctors.

https://www.statnews.com/2017/12/28/dr-phil-addiction/

[jimmyk]

Another circuit judge accused the president of “blatantly politicizing” the courts

Yes, because the courts have been till now so entirely apolitical.

[Bruce]

Lead

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29176826

"With the exception of rape, aggregate blood-lead levels were statistically significant predictors of violent crime at the census tract level. The risk ratios for each of the outcome measures were as follows:
firearm crimes 1.03 (1.03-1.04),
assault crimes 1.03 (1.02-1.03),
robbery crimes 1.03 (1.02-1.04),
homicide 1.03 (1.01, 1.04),
and rape 1.01 (0.99-1.03)."

[DebinGA]

According to the BBS link above, it was the National Security Div. of the DOJ, not the FBI, behind the FISA shenans.
NSD head John P. Carlin, a Muellar protege, left the agency in Oct. 2016 as soon as the ink was dry on the final FISA attempt.

[Bruce]

Lead exposure

https://www.brookings.edu/blog/up-front/2017/06/01/new-evidence-that-lead-exposure-increases-crime/

[Appalled]

Bruce:

Causation or correlation?

[narciso]

is there anything experts don't know:

https://legalinsurrection.com/2017/12/report-predictions-of-post-brexit-economic-doom-vastly-overstated/

[Miss Marple the Deplorable]

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/946460939578167296

President Trump has posted a video pointing out that he has been warning about North Korea for a long time.

Video at link.

[boatbuilder]

Next they'll be telling us that the murder rate has no correlation to the number of legally owned firearms in the community. How could that be possible? ;-l

[Jim Eagle]

Meet Walter Barnes

All golfers should live so long as to become this kind of old man!

Toward the end of the Sunday service, the Minister asked, "How many of you have forgiven your enemies?"

80% held up their hands. The Minister then repeated his question. All responded this time, except one man, Walter Barnes.

"Mr. Barnes, are you not willing to forgive your enemies?"

"I don't have any," he replied gruffly.

"Mr. Barnes, that is very unusual. How old are you?"

"Ninety-eight," he replied The congregation stood up and clapped their hands.

"Oh, Mr. Barnes, would you please come down in front and tell us all how a person can live ninety-eight years and not have an enemy in the world?"

The old golfer tottered down the aisle, stopped in front of the pulpit, turned around, faced the congregation, and said simply,

"I outlived all them assholes."

Then he calmly returned to his seat.

[RattlerGator]

Test

[narciso]

some interesting details south of the equator

https://twitter.com/AlmagroSchool?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Ffaustasblog.com%2F