Red Storm Rising

Now polling suggests Dems will gain House seats, Reps will gain Senate seats. 

Stark political divide points to a split decision in midterm elections

By Paul Kane The Washington Post   Oct 13, 2018

WASHINGTON — The divide in American politics is so stark that analysts are beginning to predict something that seldom happens: One party could make big gains in the House while the other adds seats in the Senate.

Not since 1970 has a midterm election provided such a split verdict, and only two other presidential elections, in 1996 and 1972, have demonstrated such division in congressional elections.

Now, particularly after the contentious Senate confirmation of Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh, Democratic energy is up in the suburban districts that will determine the House majority — just as Republicans claim conservative voters have been jolted awake in rural states that will determine the Senate majority.

 Democrats could gain more than the 23 seats needed to take the House majority, which would normally be considered a “wave election” for Democrats up and down the ballot.

But Senate Republicans have gone from clinging to the narrowest of margins, a 51-to-49 majority, to believing they will gain seats, possibly three, the sort of result that would normally mean the national GOP had a very good night.

 

If I can spin the dial on election night and see tears in the eyes of both Rachel AND the Foxies it's a good night.

 

Comments

[JimNorCal]

JiB! Be strong. Brother you're being played, they don't really care about you or respect you!

[narciso]

Doesn't the fact that none of his sources said anything make him wonder:

https://sethfrantzman.com/2018/10/14/questions-about-the-latest-khashoggi-affair-twist-the-secret-recording/

[Jack is Back (Again)!]

JimNorCal,

I know but I have to have some facts when in discussion with Frederick who is a rabid football player and fan:)

[JM Hanes]

jimmyk:

I was going to post this Guardian headline, just for the choice wording: "Trump attacks NBC over his remarks on civil war generals Lee and Grant." I do tend to give The Guardian a bit of slack, though, because of all the lefty outlets, at least they actually still do some decent reporting. In this case, although they characterized Trump's complaint as just "another shot in his uncivil war with the American media," they included enough context to make it clear that Trump's displeasure was warranted.

[Jack is Back (Again)!]

Bengals suck.

[Miss Marple]

https://mobile.twitter.com/realDonaldTrump

Here is President Trump's Twitter feed today.

Criticism of NBC, a thank you for the correction, a nice compliment to Princess Eugenie, and a retweet of an average citizen, which no doubt by now the guy has had framed!

[narciso]

Good grief did they even show up?

[Jack is Back (Again)!]

Ewwwww!

https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/conservative-national-security-expert-reveals-gender-transition-in-new-documentary

Lot the pic:)

[narciso]

Not even on a bet, jib

https://mobile.twitter.com/FranTownsend/status/1051553916691931137?p=v

[Pinandpuller]

The Courthouse Tragedy or The Hillsville Massacre of 1912.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lVJCC2CWevQ&index=10&list=LLoKNmO5BAl2Qhq7EZKNpGlA&t=0s

[Clarice Feldman]

Thnx, JiB, never heard of that site.

[JM Hanes]

Speaking of The Guardian, things must be heating up, when they lead off with four separate Khashoggi related stories. Khashoggi’s fiancee says, "I will only visit Trump if he takes action." Here we go again! But never mind, that's excuse enough to post the photo, in which she looks rather like a guy in disguise.

Photograph -- Lefteris Pitarakis/AP

I read somewhere that Khashoggi's family has said they've never heard of her. I could be mistaken, but how do we know she really was his fiancee? Has anyone explained why she was waiting outside, rather than going in with Khashoggi? I was trying to remember why Khashoggi supposedly went into the embassy in the first place, but a first pass mostly turned up variations of his being "lured" back into Saudi clutches.

[Pinandpuller]

PIN,

The homeless have rights just like every other citizen.

Posted by: jim nj | October 14, 2018 at 06:38 AM

True. But aside from radio station contests and Rolling Stone tickets and Occupy Wall Street the homed and unhomed don't have the right to camp on the sidewalk indefinitely. And do all the other things people that go camping do on the sidewalk, the courthouse steps or the green space.

I wasn't ever homeless but I was houseless in the dead of WY winter for about six weeks while working and going to school.

[Texas Liberty Gal]

Go Bears!!

[jimmyk]

I've only recently discovered Rantburg, but it seems pretty good. A huge amount of information, some of which you have to "join" (free) to access.

[Pinandpuller]

5 6 7 8's - I'm Blue

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iBFYUUChIYU&list=LLoKNmO5BAl2Qhq7EZKNpGlA&index=10

[Texas Liberty Gal]

OMG Bears!! You suck! Go Cowboys!!

[Pinandpuller]

She's a Judas Man, Man!

[jimmyk]

I could be mistaken, but how do we know she really was his fiancee?

I didn't know what to make of it, but that Twitter thread with photoshopped pix of Khashoggi had some tweets seeming to suggest that the 'fiancee' looks an awful lot like some dude. Not sure I can locate that thread easily, but it was weird.

[maryrose]

Chargers defeat the Browns today 38 to 14.

[maryrose]

Go Cowboys .

[Jack is Back (Again)!]

Clarice,

It's always been the go-to site for info on Jihadis, and other extraordinary Muzzies, screwing everything up around the world. Run by a guy who served in Libya.

[JM Hanes]

narciso:

Thanks for all the great links on this story! I found the source for the family (including Khashoggi's eldest son) not knowing anything about the fiancee in one of the comments. Al Arabiya: "Khashoggi ex-wife: I do not know Khadijah, why is she handling his social media?"

[Clarice Feldman]

Greenfield reported that and I cited that, JHM. Kashoggi reportedly went into the Consulate to get his divorce papers so he could marry this woman .

[rich]

i'm still wondering why i am supposed to care.

[GUS]

So she waited outside, and none of the HIT SQUAD knew this, saw this or did anything about this.
I guess she was going to be waiting a long long long time, as this INGENIUS WELL THOUGHT OUT PLOT moved along???

Something stinks to high heaven.

[rich]

still wondering?

[JM Hanes]

Clarice:

I sure wish I could remember what I did with my short term memory!

[Jack is Back (Again)!]

rich,

Because for the first time since WW2 we have the Saudis working with us to keep the bad guys at bay. This Kharsoggi thing is all paper-maiche to keep us using the alliance. This is a Turk-Iranian play and I think Trump's message was more 4D than forceful. Setting a trap.

[Extraneus]

I missed the fact that the putative victim was arms dealer Adnan Khashoggi's nephew,

Trump bought Khashoggi's yacht in 1987 for $30M and sold it for a $110M in 1990, cashing in on his brand.

https://www.nytimes.com/1990/05/11/business/trump-is-reportedly-selling-yacht.html

[Clarice Feldman]

If my memory gets any worse, I'm going to have to adopt narciso who forgets NOTHING.

[Porchlight]

i'm still wondering why i am supposed to care.

Likewise, rich.

I see the MSM has seized on Trump's "at some point, everybody leaves" comment re: Mattis. They don't get that he manages as a business executive would, not as a conventional politico who needs the political protection of a phalanx of loyalists. If you're done, you go. There are other talented people out there.

[JimNorCal]

"I'm going to have to adopt narciso who forgets NOTHING"

True, but don't skip over Janet. She may not have it memorized but she has it all stored away and organized for easy retrieval.

[Clarice Feldman]

She does! She's like a national archive.

[JM Hanes]

Well, I'll adopt Janet, if she's available!

[Miss Marple]

These plotters have yet to understand that there are thousands of people on the internet who will look up links and associations.

Most of them are Trump supporters determine to defend and protect him.

I think the whole thing will unravel soon.

Meanwhile, I am watching Miss Fischer's Murder Mysteriies, an old Australian series set in the 1920's.

[narciso]

Now this the first mention I see of a mrs alaa Nassef, there's a male doctor in yambu the tanker port on the red sea.

Miss cenguz seems to have come out of nowhere like Charlie in the drummer girl book and apparent miniseries which Silva repurposed for his Gabriel all on intro.

See if naval Intel or nsa had taken me but you see who they do let in.

[Extraneus]

Trump Assassination Plot Foiled After ISIS Operative Tweets Plan: Secret Service Reveals

The US Secret Service foiled an assassination plot against President Trump last November, after an ISIS operative in the Philippines issued a credible threat amid a series of violent Jihadist videos released prior to the ASEAN 50 summit, according to the Daily Beast.

[Extraneus]

"With social media, there’s software that can scroll through all of [the threats] at a much faster rate than any human can do it, so in some regards it makes it easier. But the bread and butter of what we do is the human element—and the people that work the mission—and that’s never going to change," Special Agent Gibson told the Daily Beast.

The situation grew tense - as the Secret Service still wasn't sure of the operative's pinpoint location 20 minutes prior to Air Force One touching down in Manilla. "What is going on proactively to track this guy down?" Special Agent Ragan shouted into a phone. "I need an update. Now."

The operative was eventually tracked down to Luneta Park - situated around a mile north of Trump's hotel, where the suspect is reportedly with "an associate." After the Secret Service informed the Philippine National Police (PNP), the suspects were apprehended.

[Jack is Back (Again)!]

jimmyk,

Rantburg started out with Fred being the only moderator and poster. Then he attracted a crowd of ex military, ex G2 kind of people. Now numerous moderators who bring news from all over the planet on terror. Specializes in Pakistan, Bangladesh, the ME and other hotspots of Muzzies creating havoc.
I have been a member since day one. Fred Pruitt served at Wheelus AFT in Libya, wher my dad and family were stationed for 6 months (I have a hard time rembering it since I was like 10 at the time).

Probably the best aggregation of topical news and issues on the internet.

The commenters are pro's from the G2 community, and can call BS when they see it.

[Extraneus]

Hillary Clinton: ‘The Way Trump Debated Me, It Was Imbued with Sexism’

[Miss Marple]

Extraneus.
,

That assassination plot is being covered on a Narional Geographic special tonight.

[narciso]

That would have been quite a while since qaddafi kicked the us out shortly after he took power they renamed it something else

[Clarice Feldman]

Hillary is certifiable at this point..A political Miss Havisham.

[Ignatz Ratzkiwatzki]

Earth narrowly misses meteor storm.

[narciso]

Some times I do like with the Hamas operative who checked out at the hotel in Dubai, but I remember where to look for it, heh.

[Extraneus]

She said the same about Rick Lazio. Poor girl, always manhandled by those mean boys in the schoolyard.

[Clarice Feldman]

But, Ext, remember also she's tough , a fighter, she can hold her own.

[GUS]

Which sex does RODHAM "claim" to be??

Asking for a friend.

[GUS]

Good thing Rodham got her ample ass kicked.
She would have had a lot of problems dealing with all the YUCKY men.

Maybe she could have hired BEN RHODES, he's almost a woman.

[GUS]

She tried to join the Marines, but they saw the HOT SAUCE in her purse and sent her to "the dogs".

[Extraneus]

Yeah, Putin, Xi, Kim, Khamenei, Assad, and Erdogan would be nothing compared to the bad treatment she got from those mean debate boys.

[GUS]

She's a drunken hag.

[Pinandpuller]

I started listening to Rush's Thursday show. So Crown Prince Salman is a reformer and Kashoggi is your typical Jim Acosta prototype.

He doesn't deserve to be murdered for being an asshole but as Tom Brokaw and Charlie Rose said,"We don't know."

15 men on a dead man's Apple Watch?

[Extraneus]

"We don't know."

And besides, as rich has so eloquently suggested, why should we care? Because he was a "journalist?"

I'd bet that Trump had already talked to the king before issuing his threat, and was already told that they didn't do it. Then the king issues a threat of retaliation and their stock market crashes. Perfect buying opportunity.

[Pinandpuller]

Adopting mr narciso or miss janet is a safer bet than adopting Aileen Wuornos:

http://articles.latimes.com/1991-12-17/news/vw-496_1_aileen-carol-wuornos

How common is adult adoption?

[Pinandpuller]

GUS

I nominate her for 'incel.'

[Comanche Voter]

And my Chargers kicked the Browns somewhere into Western New York. Hoorah!

[Pinandpuller]

Hitachisexual?

[JM Hanes]

Meanwhile, back at The Guardian:

Ecuador has partly restored Julian Assange’s communications with the outside world from its London embassy where the WikiLeaks founder has been living for over six years, according to reports.

The Ecuadorian government suspended access in March this year because it said Assange had breached “a written commitment made to the government at the end of 2017 not to issue messages that might interfere with other states”.

On Sunday, the Press Association reported that Ecuador had partly restored Assange’s access to the internet, mobile phones and visits at the embassy, which had been restricted to members of his legal team.

What must it be like to be almost literally holed up in the same place for 6 years? I began to wonder what his self-imposed incarceration digs might look like, and it turns out he basically spends his life in a single room:

There's a glimpse of the actual interior in an article about it, written after his first 100 days. I'd have gone out of my mind in days, with a bookcase in front of the only window. I can't imagine what it would be like to go for months without the internet & electronics on top of that. It's pretty incredible that Wikileaks is still in business and that his network has yet to be shut down.

[Pinandpuller]

I hope Kashoggi isn't in the basement watching Pulp Fiction with Marcellus Wallace.

[GUS]

Maybe someone could adopt Chrisssssy Solo Cups.

I hear she puts out.

[JM Hanes]

Extraneus:

If Hillary is still whining, all's right with the world. You wouldn't want her to give up while she could still be suffering would you? She apparently believes she makes a sympathetic victim. LOL.

[Texas Liberty Gal]

Pinandpuller - I was listening to Rush's Thursday show today too on my walk. I think its one of his best podcasts I've listened to. Not only did he do a good job re:Saudia Arabia situation but also did a good job discussing Melania's jabs against WH staff and tying it together with Trump's remarks re:White House Staff. I like that he & Melania are working together on it

[Extraneus]

New Low: Rapper T.I. Releases Video of First Lady Melania Trump Performing Strip Tease for Him in Oval Office (VIDEO) — STILL ON TWITTER!

Dear 45,
I ain’t Kanye. 😳 pic.twitter.com/BCS8nkbn1M

— T.I. (@Tip) October 13, 2018

[Jane]

I've been watching Chappaquidick for 3 nights on Netflicks. I've wanted to watch it for a long time because I've been there. If you have been there it is simple to put it together.

For 3 nights it has put me to sleep.

[Pinandpuller]

Who's to say Kashoggi isn't a paid agent of the Wahabists or the rich dudes who got sequestered in the Ritz? A Virgin Cocktail Party goer.

[maryrose]

Clarice:
Loved the Miss Havisham comparison.
I shudder to think of Hillary in her current mental state as president. I think she became permanently unhinged after the election loss.
She has some physical illness and I believe by her behavior that she has bipolar disorder.
Not a stable person at all.

[Pinandpuller]

Texas Liberty Gal

There's really is no substitute for Rush. This particular upload is on Mark Levin's YouTube channel so there's probably won't be any cease and desist letters sent out.

[Clarice Feldman]

People are begging her not to campaign for them.

[Porchlight]

Michigan Senate debate live streaming now. John James is really impressive.

https://livestream.com/accounts/25977790/events/8406584

[Jack is Back (Again)!]

Jags disapointing, me and RG. What's new. Last year was a mirage.

[Pinandpuller]

You Twitter sleuths should look up @roblee4. He's a pastor and a descendant of Robert E Lee. I don't have the resources here but he posted some information about one of his congregants who disagreed with Blasey Ford. It's back from 9/20 at 10:53 AM.

Also, I'm 98% sure he's gay NTTAWWT.

[JimNorCal]

Thinking about John James. Candace Owens, Kanye West, Ben Carson ... can we call this the year of the black Republican?

[Pinandpuller]

I know George Tiller's pastor never pulled something like that.

[Jack is Back (Again)!]

James is kicking Stebanow's ass. God is she an old shrew.

[Pinandpuller]

Link https://twitter.com/roblee4/status/1042802153251921921?s=21

[maryrose]

JimNorCal
I think you are correct that this is the beginning of a Black Republican movement.

[Extraneus]

Whoa, this dude is good.

[Extraneus]

Never saw Debbie before. What a crone. Big phony smile.

[maryrose]

John James needs a great get out the vote effort by Michigan Republicans.
Don’t they have a Republican Governor?
Let’s get the troops and take Stabenow down.

[jimmyk]

For 3 nights it has put me to sleep.

You're saying it's that boring?

Did anyone see the film about the capture of Eichmann, Operation Finale?

[maryrose]

Wouldn’t it be wonderful if we could get rid of Menendez and Stabenow this November?
How did Stabenow ever get elected in the first place?
Was she part of the Jennifer Granholm era?

[maryrose]

Jimmyk:
No.
Is it a good movie?
I saw previews of it.

[Extraneus]

Well I saw only the closing statements, and I wold have never known who was representing which party because neither said anything to ID their affiliation, but James looked like an honest guy deserving of responsibility, and Debbie looked like a complete phony.

[JM Hanes]

It's hard to worry too much about Election 2020 when the Dems top 2 contenders are Joe Biden, by a mile, and Bernie Sanders, in what's shaping up to be a regular gaggle of opposition hopefuls. Here's everyone who polled support of 1% or more on a CNN list of potential candidates:

33% Joe Biden
13% Bernie Sanders
9% Kamala Harris
8% Elizabeth Warren
5% Cory Booker
5% John Kerry
4% Michael Bloomberg
4% Beto O’Rourke
3% Eric Holder
2% (LA Mayor) Eric Garcetti
1% Attorney Michael Avenatti
1% Kirstin Gillibrand
1% Amy Klobuchar
1% Deval Patrick

Apparently, Bloomberg finally gave up on trying to persuade anyone he was a Republican. The guy has zero charisma, so I doubt his candidacy is going to go much further as a Democrat, but it would be interesting to hear a Bloomberg/Trump debate. All in all, I think that's one pathetic crowd of contenders.

[jimmyk]

I've heard it was good, but not necessarily from reliable sources like JOMers. Reviews are good not great: 6.6/10 on IMDB, 59% on Rotten Tomatoes. But I don't trust ratings on anything political or Israel-related.

[JM Hanes]

maryrose:

"She has some physical illness and I believe by her behavior that she has bipolar disorder."

While I believe Hillary has both physical and mental health problems, what are you seeing that's symptomatic of bipolar disorder?

[narciso]

The screenplay was based on a book coauthored by harry stein, and peter malkin

https://www.israelnationalnews.com

[jimmyk]

Our (i.e. Tonto's) Harry Stein? Didn't know that. Now it's a must-see.

[Pinandpuller]

Avenatti finally made the One Percenters.

[jimmyk]

How did Stabenow ever get elected in the first place?
Was she part of the Jennifer Granholm era?

She was elected in 2001 (previously was in the House), Granholm in 2003. Beats me how she got elected. Granholm is at least attractive.

[Momto2]

Sorry, Pin but I'm not impressed with the Robt. E. Lee "pastor" - not sure if he is still a pastor. There an article that says his N.C. church fired him for comments he made about our President and other things. (it's behind a firewall so I couldn't get the whole story)

Latest tweets are of George Takei praising him. So that says a lot right there!

[narciso]

Think of khashoggi like a rich kid older version of John reed, he saw bin ladens rise he saw morsi performance in Egypt and yet he still believes in political Islam at 25-30 that might be understandable at 60 its criminal stupidity.

In terms of american political circles probably David ignatius whose father was secretary of the navy and later a high profiled post executive.

[maryrose]

Hillary alternates between angry rages and seemingly normal behavior and alway blames others for her defeats or illogical statements.
At times she seems depressed and angry about her situation.
She never accepts responsibility and she appears manic one day and the next consoling herself with wine and holding imaginary grudges.It may not be bipolar, but it is an undiagnosed mental illness. She also displays some paranoia in her statements” I knew they would never let me be president” and her right wing conspiracy theory after impeachment.

[JM Hanes]

Forgot to include a second interesting takeaway from that CNN poll:

The public is split over whether they think the President will win a second term -- 46% say he will and 47% say he won't. But that's a steep improvement for him since March, when 54% of adults said they thought he'd lose his bid for a second term. The share seeing a second Trump win in the offing has risen across party lines. The increase is a bit sharper among men (up 8 points), independents (from 39% in March to 47% now) and those who are enthusiastic about voting in this year's midterms (from 37% in March to 46% now).

It seems pretty obvious why Trump's chances might have improved among men, specifically. I'd be curious to know, though, whether his numbers have been improving over time since March or whether what we're seeing is identifiable as a recent Kavanaugh bump.

[Pinandpuller]

Wait, Kavanaugh is supposed to stay off the court because of unsubstantiated charges from 35 years ago but the ACLU wants him to allow illegal alien criminals to remain here because what they did was so long ago?

[Another Bob]

Is there a reason to believe any poll?

Not seeing one.

[GUS]

AB, I don't. I heard something on the radio today by a local Conservative. Dan Conry. He was trying to dismantle some poll. Why bother. The MFM is/are lying hacks. All of them. We are at war my friend.

[Extraneus]

My eyes glaze over when I see the word, Bob.

I know they're important but just not worth the brain cells imo.