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November 02, 2018


daddy on iPad

in a taxicab in Shanghai and having no problem accessong JOM on my iPad. Good evening.


Good morning!

Polls are garbage. Look at this:

•GA-6 OCT 28-NOV 1 Siena College/New York Times 261RV

McBath DEM 46%
Handel GOP 41%


261 registered voters the week before the election, are you kidding me?

NYT/Siena again. 75% of House prognostication is based on the work of a single polling firm. Meanwhile prognosticators ignore hard early voting data.

Hell of a slender limb, folks.

Expect a lot of "what if the Reps hold the House?" stories in the next couple of days.


Porch-that's my district and we have turned the ringer off the land line to avoid the polling. I don't think that's unusual.

McBath doesn't even live in the district and has been voting and has her vehicles registered in Tennessee. Oprah's visit to cobb yesterday though to help stacey abrams and get suburban women out for her affects this race because part of the district is in cobb.

With cobb's taxes, homesteading a house you weren't living in will not play well.





Cellular connection, or was there a WIFI hotspot in the cab??

Another Bob

JMHanes | November 01, 2018 at 11:46 PM

That’s a great point Kinball makes. Trump should roll that into his rallies and his own campaign. Can you imagine Trump hollering “Let ‘em know you really meant it!”?

Another Bob

Porch light, do you know if they count the early votes early?

I hope they don’t.

Jack is Back!


Did you take the maglev into Shanghai?

Avoid Drudge. He is into his +NeverTrump-on-Steroids mode.

daddy on iPad


Cellular in the taxicab, but now in the super ritzty hotel and Wifi working fine. We have moved to a new hotel, The Pudong Shangri-La, down on the waterfront, and it is as gaudy as the lightshows on the buildings in Times Square on New Years Eve.


AB-they count early voting on election night. The campaigns though can match who has voted early against which primary they voted in previously and thus have some idea of the likely vote prior to its actually being counted.

Old Lurker

DC is going to let 16 year old kids vote in 2020.


I think Drudge might be helping. Going to his site makes me want to vote twice.


henry-remember that privacy, data, and the law link I put up involving nyu?

Yesterday they launched this https://blockchan.ge/ and it shows up as having Rockefeller F funding. That suggests this all ties to the fulfillment of the SDGs. All of their philanthropy aligns in a common direction per their own statements in reports.


rse, Let it be as big a farce and scam as bitcoin. No greater fools than themselves.

daddy on iPad


It appears the bridge from Hong Kong to Macau is complete and in operation, and the cab driver today in Hong Kong on the drive to the airport said they are now building a high speed train from Hong Kong to Beijing which is probably based on the Shanghai Maglev technology.. But at the same time I also saw that story posted today that the authorities just closed down the last independent Book Store in Hong Kong that was selling books critical of the Communist Party, so "sameold, sameold," among all the new stuff.

BTW, this just popped up and has us all excited, since Sydney and Sinagapore are both great layover cities and this will allow us to finally overfly Australia and see what it looks like in daylight, then get 2 days hanging out at the Beach in Manley: FedEx Express Launches Sydney-Singapore Flight to Support Business Growth

Captain Hate

That Boom! you hear is the Economy. +250,000 jobs in October vs +188,000 expected.
Posted by: Bilwis, Devourer of Low Glycemic Souls at November 02, 2018 08:29 AM (jp0Bv)


worth a repeat:

Charlie Spiering @charliespiering

TRUMP: "We don't run around like Antifa with their little arms and then go home back home into Mommy's basement and put on the black uniform and the black helmet. Oh, it's so disappointing when those helmets fall off and you look at this weak little face, isn't it?"


Donald Trump: The Word ‘Racist’ is Used to Describe ‘Every Republican That’s Winning’

President Donald Trump defied charges Thursday from Democrats and the establishment media that he was a racist for supporting tough measures on immigration enforcement. “Well you know the word ‘racist’ is used about every Republican that’s winning,” Trump said in an interview with Christian Broadcast Network. “Any time a Republican is leading they take out the ‘R’ word, the ‘racist’ word.”

Trump denied that he was anti-immigrant, asserting that the country needed them but that all immigrants had to come into the country legally.

“I’m not anti-immigrant at all. I’m all for people coming into the country legally and people based on merit,” he said.

The president also announced that he would no longer continue the practice of “catch and release” for migrants claiming asylum at the southern border.

“We’re going to catch; we’re not going to release. They’re going to stay with us until the deportation hearing or the asylum hearing takes place,” Trump said during a speech at the White House.


James Clapper: Trump ‘Seemingly Condones’ Radical Anti-Semitism

GOLDBERG: Do we think this is the end of it or do you think we’re in the middle of a long process in which people are being radicalized and are going to try to carry out their anger in violent ways?

CLAPPER: Regrettably, yes. I think we’re probably in for more of this sort of thing. … This is how people get energized, radicalized. It’s not unlike what I experienced with the life of ISIS [Islamic State] who was very successful using social media only to recruit and radicalize people, and it’s almost a very similar psychology at work, here.

As long as our “stable genius” creates an environment that seemingly condones this sort of behavior, we’re going to have more of it. I’m convinced.


[Former CIA Director Michael] Hayden said, “For political dissidents … they now have a set of grievances to which they can attach themselves which have been essentially articulated by the President of the United States of America.”

Hayden then said the Trump administration traffics in neo-Nazi narratives regarding “international Jewry”:

"If you look at the incident in Squirrel Hill in Pittsburgh, there is a latent anti-Semitism, but the proximate cause was his belief that international Jewry was sponsoring the invasion of America from that caravan still a thousand miles from the Rio Grande which has been a constant theme coming out of the White House."

Goldberg offered no challenge to either Clapper’s or Hayden shared analysis. He markets himself as a politically objective and non-partisan news media figure.

They have nothing. They know they're bleeding blacks and Jews.

Miss Marple


This contradicts the story I posted from Zerohedge at the end of the last thread.


Ext, twitter is full of attacks on Candace Owens and Brexit. (They used stock images in their marketing materials, Oh My!!!)




lightin' up the barbie and getting struck by the impulse to dance

Saaaay! Next time the JOM gang gets together ...!


Actually I haven't seen polling on American Jews lately.

Poll: Israeli Jews love Trump.


Plus the traditional assassination pron:

"Assassination to remove tyrants is just, not murder." -- some Dem from WA



daddy: finally overfly Australia

Wave at Darwin, the track (straightline road to Alice Springs), Tennant Creek, Alice, and Coober Pedy on the way by for me.

Used to be able to rent 38-foot Chris Crafts on the Hawkesbury River north of Sydney near Ku-ring-gai National Park. No skills required. If you are there. See if you still can. Most beautiful, restful river.

Miss Marple


This details President Trump's dealings with the black community over the years, countering the charges that he is a bigot.


James Clapper: Trump ‘Seemingly Condones’ Radical Anti-Semitism

Louis Farrakhan


If Gop narrowly loses the House but picks up four or five Senate seats, what prevents them from trying to appoint a second special counsel during the lame duck section to review FISA and other abuses by FBI, DOJ and the IC especially if Trump releases the 20 pages that were redacted from the FISA warrant.

Let Dems try phony charges of obstruction on the FISA warrant and explain the need for redaction in the first place.That is why I think Trump is holding off on the release. If he retains house no need for release until summer 2020 , if not we will seee release a week after the election and Trump telling them bring it on.

Miss Marple



Oh well. the world is ending anyway.



The Word ‘Racist’ is Used to Describe ‘Every Republican That’s Winning’

Trump is dead wrong there. Sometimes they use "Anti-Semitic," "anti-woman," "anti-gay," "kkk sympathizer," etc., etc. They're like 12-year-olds.

Captain Hate

Hayden then said the Trump administration traffics in neo-Nazi narratives regarding “international Jewry”

A term he hasn't come within a time zone of using. Hayden must be implicated in some of these deep state operations for him to be spewing this garbage.


CH, just assume if they were in the Acela corridor pre-Trump... they are deep state and guilty. The one or two exceptions can be sorted out later.


Atheist American Soros = International Jewry


About that lawsuit...

Illegal Immigrant Caravan Members File Class Action Lawsuit Against President Trump for Securing US Border

The lawsuit was filed Thursday in the U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia on behalf of the migrants by Nexus Services whose Libre by Nexus company charges migrants a reported $420 a month to wear the company’s ankle bracelet while out on immigration bond. Libre by Nexus is reported to be under investigation by state and federal authorities and is “accused of preying on detained undocumented immigrants”.

Tragic Halloween incident narrowly averted:


Safe space violation warning.


Hayden is the junior man to chertoff who represe ted firtash, at this point I don't know if the bureau sets triggers them:


Beasts of England

'Illegal Immigrant Caravan Members File Class Action Lawsuit Against President Trump for Securing US Border'

Normal Americans can't even process that string of bullshit. On the bright side - thanks for making the case against the damned invaders even clearer...

Bernardi Dr la paz

That just goes to show you, how bad that DHS memo was, and how on point Kellyanne was.

As for nauert I remember when the nazgul Neil Roger's did a whole rant about her on the station that used to carry rush.


For those who hate polls, more polls:

PollingReport.com @pollreport

Ned Lamont (D) 38%
Bob Stefanowski (R) 40%
Oz Griebel (I) 9%
(Sacred Heart U./Hearst Connecticut Media Group, LV, 10/29-31/18)


also from that thread:

Voting blocs will behave generally the same across state lines. If you do well with say rural whites in PA, you’ll do well with them in MI or OH. To me, this CT race indicates a slight shift toward Republicans by college educated women.

Bernardi Dr la paz

Um Matthew 24, it will come upon as in the time of Noah, it doesn't make for a good sales pitch though.


at least she didn't try to cop a feel:


Justice Sonia Sotomayor says she thought about hitting Antonin Scalia with baseball bat



"Assassination to remove tyrants is just, not murder."

That's exactly what John Wilkes Booth said.


Vegan woman fined $1,170 for threatening to kill her Italian mother for making meat sauce

Italian newspaper Gazzetta di Modena reported this week that the 48-year-old woman has been ordered by local courts to pay a $520 court fine and $650 to her mother for physically threatening her with a kitchen knife, after the sexagenarian whipped up Bolognese sauce in their newly shared home.


The vegan daughter told court officials that, prior to moving to live with her mother, she had long been avoiding "sensory" and "olfactory contact” with animal products.

Lawyers further told the Gazzetta di Modena that there had been “an escalation of aggressive episodes, always over food,” before things nearly took a turn for the fatal.

Furious with the smell of meat sauce simmering on the stove one day in March 2016, the daughter reportedly grabbed a knife and made a grave threat.

“If you won’t stop on your own then I’ll make you stop. Quit making ragú, or I’ll stab you in the stomach,” the angry daughter said, as per The Telegraph, inciting her mother to press charges.

Huh. I usually wait for winter to make Bolognese.

Beasts of England

An Italian vegan - that's just wrong. 😳


I heard SOROS is studying to be a RABBI.

Or was that rabbit??


Heitkamp Appears to Discourage Voting by Hunters: ‘It’s Really Important That People Understand the Consequences of Voting’

North Dakota's branch of the Democratic Party released a pair of ads, first flagged by North Dakota columnist Rob Port, warning hunters that voting in the state could result in the loss of any hunting licenses they hold in other states.

"ATTENTION HUNTERS: If you vote in North Dakota, you may forfeit hunting licenses you have in other states. If you want to keep your out-of-state hunting licenses, you may not want to vote in North Dakota," the ads said.

A reporter asked Heitkamp if she knew anything about the party's ads.

"A lot of the kind of transition that people have on voting it means you're a resident. It means you pay taxes here. It means that if you want a residential hunting license in Minnesota you aren't going to get that if you vote here. And so I think it's really important that people understand the consequences of voting, and that goes to taxes and things like your hunting," Heitkamp responded.

The reporter then asked if one could lose a hunting license by voting in North Dakota.

"If your hunting license is a residential hunting license in another state," Heitkamp said.

A spokesman for North Dakota Gaming and Fish said he had never heard of hunters losing their licenses after voting in North Dakota.

Heitkamp is trailing against her opponent, Rep. Kevin Cramer (R., N.D.), by as many as 16 points in recent polls.

Miss Marple

Donald J. Trump
‏Verified account @realDonaldTrump
3m3 minutes ago

Will be going to West Virginia and Indiana today, TWO RALLIES! Don’t tell anyone (big secret), but I will be bringing Coach Bobby Knight to Indiana. He’s been a supporter right from the beginning of the Greatest Political Movement in American History!


Guys, this just increased the turnout at the rally by 100%.


What does "but they were overcome" mean in the context of that story on Lion Air? Overruled? By whom?


are you in line yet Miss M?

Miss Marple

Donald J. Trump
‏Verified account @realDonaldTrump
12m12 minutes ago

Wow! The U.S. added 250,000 Jobs in October - and this was despite the hurricanes. Unemployment at 3.7%. Wages UP! These are incredible numbers. Keep it going, Vote Republican!


Google: Biased YouTube ‘Can’t Be Forced to Change’

According to an October 31 Bloomberg article, Google filed a statement with the Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals in response to a lawsuit challenge by conservative outlet PragerU. In the filing, Google argued that government regulation would have “disastrous practical consequences.”

Google further argued that enforcing the First Amendment to an online platform “would undermine important content regulation.” In the filing, the company said, “If they are bound by the same First Amendment rules that apply to the government, YouTube and other service providers would lose much of their ability to protect their users against offensive or objectionable content -- including pornography, hate speech, personal attacks, and terrorist propaganda.”

Bloomberg’s Peter Blumberg wrote that Google “made clear that even if it does discriminate on the basis of political viewpoints -- which it denies -- it can’t be forced to change.” While the First Amendment doesn’t apply necessarily to private companies, YouTube, Google’s sister company, tries to make the case that it is a neutral platform with no political bias.

However, this seems to hurt the social media platform more than help it. PragerU founder Dennis Prager said, “If Google, the owner of YouTube, would announce it is a left-wing advocacy group, that would make a lawsuit harder to defend.”

Miss Marple


No. My jeans and sweatshirt are in the dryer.

The school doeson't close until 12:30 and they will have to get all of the kids out of the parking lot. We lpan on getting there at 1.

Three hours is about all my knees and hops will take. If we don't get in, we don't get in.

Dave Seville

--Why was the murder of the head of Interpol a one-day story while the WaPo columnist's death was covered for weeks?--

I don't think there was any indication he was murdered.
He disappeared and the scuttlebutt was he's part of Emperor Xi's "anti-corruption" purges.
No doubt he'll reemerge like that actress Chitty Chitty Bang Bang and denounce himself.

Meanwhile an entire ethnicity, the Uighars, is being "reeducated" out of existence in a vast gulag with barely a peep from the rest of the planet.

Can we start calling him Uncle Xi yet?


Miss M, i was kidding. I do hope you get in (and have a place to sit for the rally).

Bernardi Dr la paz

Basically, Jimmy, they ignored the flashing red light, then the engines burned out or something

Paul theroux tries to send a flare down to the woke in the Washington post, fwiw.



Great band, saw them in Houston.

Dave Seville

If Prager is arguing Google can't be allowed to violate the first amendment hard to see how he wins.
If he's arguing they harmed him contractually by capricious application of their terms of use then I'd say he has a pretty good case, but even then it seems a pretty subjective matter.

Miss Marple

Two things I picked up from the local TV station this morning.

1. President Trump is staying overnight in Indy, so some downtown streets will be closed.

I believe he's staying at the Mariott.

2. Obama will campaign for Donnelly in GARY, which has a huge black population. (Up across the state line from Chicago.) They must be worried about black turnout.


Actually I think the "they" in "they were overcome" is the "technical problems" not the pilots. Just a badly written sentence.

I just wonder how common that sort of fleeting technical problem (i.e. false alarm) is.


I see that FB is deleting anti-Tester pro-life ads.

Eye Doctor .


After decades of telling us Mueller is a boy scout. The media can't let the truth be known.

Jack is Back!

A cold front has moved in bringing rain, wind, and peak color. At Cooper's Beach today, where the surf was roiling, I watched a kite-surfer out there being swallowed up. Brrrrr!

Your Latin Phrase of the Day:

Si tu et Octavianus valetis, ego et Cicero valemus.

Pretty pedestrian.

Eye Doctor .

Where is Tommy boy?

Dave Seville


Old Lurker

Jimmy since I see you here, a few more answers to your "why so many vacant stores" question.

It used to be that the retail industry could calculate how many stores a given population in a given radius could support. So just so many drug stores and pizza parlors in a "neighborhood" center; just so many supermarkets and big boxes in "community" centers, and just so many stores of various types in big malls. It was quite scientific.

Amazon changes every single one of those ratios until you get down to the convenience needs in a neighborhood center. But even there only X number of nail salon can be supported, etc.

In spite of that generational tectonic shift that next day - same day deliveries from Amazon created, the "city fathers" still want the street levels of all office buildings to be "retail" not office, whether the developer wants it or not. So the government in effect forces an over supply (even by pre-Amazon ratios) of retail in exchange for each office building approved. Ouch.

Two things make it "look" OK as that happens. First, the developer can usually insert major cash into his construction loan so that when the building is built, he can "buy" a tenant with free cash for build-outs, and much reduced rent for the first year or two. That lure will often attract a tenant because his capital needs are so low for the first few years...but eventually the freebies run out and the tenant has to make it in the real world. Which they can't because there are too many stores per the above. Getting rid of a non payment tenant can take several years during which time the store sits empty and neighbors don't understand why.

The second thing that happens is all that cash can lure a viable business away from a viable location, and the new landlord benefits but the old landlord is stuck with a new vacancy which is hard to fill because there are too many stores. Etc etc.

Finally, to your question "why not just reduce the rent", two reasons: first, the rent is not that big a factor in the budgets of many businesses so the demand does not respond very quickly to marginal reductions in asking rents. The second reason is that the value of the entire property is determined by the face amount of the rents, and believe it or not appraisers might place a higher total value on a development that has a token amount of retail getting say $75 per foot and they will impute that to the vacant space or two in that building or next door. If the Landlord gets tired of it and signs a lease for say $40 just to have a tenant, that new rent of $40 becomes the comp used to evaluate the entire project. See how that works?



No other evidence was given, aside from a print-out Wohl had distributed.

Are they talking abou at 9 layer purported image of a purported identification document?

Because that is usually enough evidence for the MFM

Jack is Back!


My spouse sent me this photo. Truer sentiments from a beagle have never been said.

Dave Seville

NYCity pensions barely funded. $150b in the hole.
Free medical for life after 10 years on the job.

Dave Seville

JiB, you turned it back on. :)


these posts are more tilted than the media.

Beasts of England

It's been a while since I've been involved with a business that leases a large chunk of office space, but those $40 and $75 per foot figures are Greek to me. Are those realistic figures in your area, OL?


Thanks, OL.

Getting rid of a non payment tenant can take several years

That ought to be a solvable problem. But lawyers.

Some of what you write reminds me of the stories about my grandmother in NYC during the Depression. Landlords would offer new tenants the first two months free. Grandma and son (my father) would move every six months. At least that's how the story comes down.

Dave Seville

Pretty pedestrian;

Beasts of England

And I really enjoyed your 10:28, OL. That's not my industry, but it's always of interest to get the scoop from an expert in their field...


Public schools need to be burned to the ground, with all admins inside:

But the demonstration of democracy seemingly turns into politicking for progressives when the young voters “head over to UWM (University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee) to do some phone-banking…” There will be pizza, and engagement on the “current political climate surrounding voting,” too.


Old Lurker

Jimmy, re your grandparents, there truly is nothing new under the sun. We laugh in our business that the only thing that "looks" new is the next wave of bankers who did not live through the last dip. "It is different this time" is our favorite laugh line...even when we are saying it ourselves to those bankers!

Beasts, yes. In our area plain vanilla strip centers but in stable hoods get $40-50 PSF pretty routinely with older leases dragging them down into the mid $30s (we get even with them when their leases come to the end of the term then we bump them to the current levels). Really nice strips in really nice hoods get $75 without much trouble.


Probably NSFW, but also NSFHYB (Not Safe for Holding Down Your Breakfast):

BREAKING NEWS: Democrat-supporting women strip off for photo shoot called 'Grab Them By The Ballot' in an attempt to persuade people to vote against Republicans.


Dave Seville

Microsoft upgraded Outlook yesterday so now I can barely comprehend my email pages anymore.

Assuming they do product testing before a rollour they have to only use fellow geeks to appraise their efforts.
Windows 10 took the perfectly simple act of going to "computer" or "control panel" with one click and instead buried the features everyone accesses behind a multi paneled opaque wall of junk.

Frau  Steingehirn

Good luck, Miss M. I am rooting for you and sending strong, supportive thoughts to your knees and hops.

Beasts of England

The last space I leased in town for a start-up was $15/sf, OL. And it was nice - Class A, I think it was called - but that was ten years ago...

Beasts of England

The last space I leased in town for a start-up was $15/sf, OL. And it was nice - Class A, I think it was called - but that was ten years ago...

Beasts of England


Old Lurker

"Assuming they do product testing before a rollout".

Talk about "laugh lines".

Yesterday I needed to tweak a driver on a printer. Took me FOREVER to find the damn control panel.


If I'm reading these ads correctly, Greenwich Village retail space seems to be getting asking $100-$200/sf.


I guess you can ask for anything, which calls to mind that old Hotspur-Glendower exchange.


A friend from Va. posted these examples. And people wonder why we don't trust the press (except sbw, of course!)

Under the sticker is the incumbent Republican candidate.

Captain Hate

After decades of telling us Mueller is a boy scout. The media can't let the truth be known.

The last straw for me on the Weakly Substandard was when they fluffed Mueller as "a man of integrity". Richard Jewell wasn't available for comment.


Dave, I'm sure the layout is gender fluid and woke.

Tom r

My prediction for the nationwide generic vote breakdown next Tuesday:

Take the total number of points Bama beats LSU by this weekend, divide that number by 10, and that will be how much the GOP beats the Democrats by. For example, if Bama beats LSU by 33 points, then the overall generic vote breakdown will be R +3.3% points.

There is going to be a MAGA wave next week and its color is crimson.



Has there ever been a Microsoft new software version that wasn't on balance worse than the previous one?


cut off the access to cash (and banking), you want a 7th century world? Trump is here to help.

Heshmat Alavi
‏ @HeshmatAlavi

Heshmat Alavi Retweeted i24NEWS English

If you thought Trump was caving in to pressures on imposing crippling sanctions against #Iran's regime, here's your answer.

700 individuals added to sanctions blacklist aiming to cut Tehran from the SWIFT international financial network.


Captain Hate

Take the total number of points Bama beats LSU by this weekend

I'm counting on Serpenthead having a very miserable week starting Saturday night.

Bernardi Dr la paz

It's very dark magic, conjured up on mount doom.

Miss Marple

If you thought Trump was caving in to pressures on imposing crippling sanctions against #Iran's regime, here's your answer.

700 individuals added to sanctions blacklist aiming to cut Tehran from the SWIFT international financial network. https://t.co/fW4fg0lWg7

— Heshmat Alavi (@HeshmatAlavi) November 2, 2018

Link goes to story.

Tom R

Who is Serpenthead?

Old Lurker

Beasts, ten years ago our "passthrough expenses" which retail tenants had to pay (taxes, insurance, outside lights, trash, snow removal) were around $5 PSF. This year our number is $12 PSF. (That is on top of the Base Rents we were talking about above.) The government sets the taxes, the government taxes the electric company for certain users, the government imposed surcharges on dumping fees for commercial trash and demand recycling. My snow guy just went up by inflation, but every line item that Arlington County has a hand in thinks all money from rich landlords is "free". When my tenants complain about their rent, I tell them to call the County Board.

Eye Doctor .

Tommy boy

Is Mueller a 4d rapist?

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