Bracing For The Evening News

OK, we're settling in for a long march to... well, I guess we'll all find out where when we get there.

I do think that in terms of brand extension and cross-marketing opportunities, Rachel should think about bottling her tears. The 2016 vintage would have been priceless. My goodness, late in the evening of Trump Ascendant she rambled on about uncounted votes here and a recount there and a possible landing by extra-terrestials on the Washington Mall all taking us to a Hillary victory. The look on co-anchor Brian Williams face was priceless - reflective, pentitent, and clearly revisiting the life choices that had led him to this moment.

If we can get another 2012 Megyn Kelly type moment when the Foxies got in Karl Rove's face on behalf of their Decision Desk, I will pay extra.

And remember, we are all Americans: E Deploribus Unum.

Key early results will come from states with early-ish poll closing:

• Indiana and Kentucky, where polls close at 6 p.m. ET, could offer early clues as to whether either party is making strides towards a total sweep of Congress in Tuesday's midterms.
• Early races in Florida and Virginia will also be important in showing whether the consensus view holds and Democrats take the House, while the GOP holds or adds to its Senate majority.
• Stocks could rally if there's a GOP surge— or red wave — and some strategists see a big decline if Democrats over come the odds and take both the House and Senate.

Indiana features a key Senate race: Braun (R) v. Donnelley (D) is rated a toss-up.

HOUR BY HOUR: The NY Post breaks it down. By this time the NY Times needle should be moving. And hiding!

FOX Decision Desk.

The NY Times is hiding their needles here. 

I UNDERSTOOD THERE WOULD BE NO MAPS: Yeah, that would be this Indiana. Or the other one. I guess we know why CNN never found that missing Malaysian airliner.

Comments

[Elliott sans avatar]

TM, you are a prince among minutemen.

[matt - deplore me if you must]

Health care? It had very little publicity in California.

[henry]

here is one results page:

https://results.decisiondeskhq.com

[DrJ]

daddy, thanks for the update on the Telegraph area. It has been a while since I have been there, but it already was turning more into standard mass-market fare. I'l have to visit again to see.

[Extraneus]

https://results.decisiondeskhq.com/

[Extraneus]

Ooops, didn't see you there, On-ree, as they say en français.

[Extraneus]

According to that Decision Desk link, the first battleground House seat has the D leading.

[Extraneus]

Braun up if that link is accurate.

[henry]

And Braun leading... time will tell..

Some idiot from CA is making attempts at a rolling donut. LOL

[henry]

note from the Chitown Lurker:

That last one from TM is hysterical. Ask MM how much it cost to move to Kentucky and when’s her Derby Party start?

[Extraneus]

You should stick to one name tonight, sicko. Maybe some people wouldn't killfile you. You obviously have no friends to watch the election results with.

[Pinandpuller]

Did you guys see Black LA HS Band Teacher vs Punk Ass Cholo?

The teacher got arrested but he's raised $75k. I wonder which ADA draws that case?

https://youtu.be/2cO8wH9N1IQ

[Dorothy Jane]

Drudge already out there with the Siren claiming democrat victory in the multitudes. I hate Drudge anymore.

[Tom Maguire]

The NY Times site was the best in 2016 (IMHO) and it looks pretty useful tonight.

The Fox Derision Desk is utterly cryptic to me right now but maybe it will make more sense as results come in.

[PDinDetroit]

What the heck happened to Fox News? Seems like hedging the bets is the default...

[Extraneus]

That Decision Desk site has 2 battleground IN House seats and one KY all with D leading.

[Dave Seville]

Stupid, crazy, white, prog chick on that Phillip Reines thread MM linked last thread;

Trump is counting on Russia’s help to rig the booths as they did in the 2016 prez election.They flipped just enough votes on a precinct by precinct level to eek out an EC victory as per data provided by Cambridge Analytica.

Funny black dude responds;

Yep, you’re right. They were in my booth when I was voting. My hand went to vote for Hillary then all of a sudden....BAM! I was voting for Trump. Thank heaven the Russians were there to keep me from making a huge mistake!

[--------peter]

Big push on twitter by some of the commie pols I follow for election "reform" in New York, including "automatic registration." No thank you.

[Janet]

repost -
My best MAGA friend voted for the first time today. From Spain & recently got his American citizenship.
Straight R ticket!

[lurkersusie]

https://mobile.twitter.com/trafalgar_group

The only polling firm that had Trump winning Pennsylvania and Michigan in 2016. #ElectionDay

Governor
• Ron DeSantis: 50%
• Andrew Gillum: 46.6%

Senate
• Rick Scott: 49%
• Bill Nelson: 47.3%

[Dave Seville]

Some here are sounding a little cocky...kinda like Dems in 2016.
Bad ju ju.

[Dave (in MA)]

Twas more crowded than I've ever seen before at my polling station.

[henry]

Polls and exit polls only drive ratings. Accuracy is AGW Climate Model level bunk,

[Extraneus]

Decision Desk is showing a bunch more House races, none of the battlegrounds looking D. Just that one IN-2 from before.

[Extraneus]

They have FL Senate with R leading.

[Marlene]

Good evening! We just returned from Jane's election happy hour(s). Thanks Jane! What a great group of people.

[Elliott sans avatar]

It is intriguing that DeSantis is outpacing Scott so far.

[Barbara]

Polls and exit polls only drive ratings.

Henry,

That's reassuring because I believe that the media is going to flood the air with D predictions for at least the next 2-3 hours.

[henry]

Barbara, they already are flooding the airwaves with blue wave. Drudge has joined them. I have no idea, except Dem GOTV was in overdrive. Gotta wait for results.

[Kevlar Kid]

FWIW: BART is pretty clean these days. I rode it to SFO from North Berkeley with a transfer near downtown Oakland... that station was outdoor, litter and vagrant free, and no sign of any loaf pinching inside or outside of any of the cars.

[Extraneus]

I don't understand that Decision Desk thingy either, but NYT has FL Senate neck and neck with 2% reporting.

https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/florida-senate

[Jane#walkaway]

Not on Fox. It's early but we are winning.

[Dave (in MA)]

Not sure if FB pix show up here,

https://scontent.fbos1-2.fna.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-9/45542364_10216827773581648_4423398831173926912_n.jpg?_nc_cat=105&_nc_ht=scontent.fbos1-2.fna&oh=021115913fd1a24a183c4927493ddca1&oe=5C71874D

[JimNorCal]

Another place to watch

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/?utm_campaign=notifications&utm_medium=push-notifications&utm_source=breaking_news

[Jack is Back!]

Since we will have to put up with effluent overflow on this blog for the election results, I am moving to another more protected site. Wish TM could do the same here. It truly ruins the home town friendly experience you have come to expect.

Maybe the results will discourage him/it from posting but I doubt it. He wins. I am leaving for other environs. Enjoy the sewer.

[Sue]

Early votes are entirely counted in Hillsborough County, home to Tampa. (346,000 votes)

Senate
Nelson: 55.09%
Scott: 44.61%

Governor
Gillum: 54.94%
DeSantis: 43.77%

[Pinandpuller]

What are the chances a Russian prince falls to death on his own knife during an epileptic seizure?

The Many Deaths of Tsarevich Dmitry

https://youtu.be/DD_ZaSZ_kao

[Sue]

How does Tampa usually vote?

[Kevlar Kid]

Berkeley used book scene: if i want to tear my hair out over traffic in downtown Berkeley my go to is Pegasus Books on Shattuck.

There are 8 mini-free library installations within a 5 block radius of our home on Euclid Avenue.

Anya walks recently netted "Dog Lover's Guide to the Bay Area". the Complete Works of Samuel Johnson, and Black Rain (post-Hiroshima tale from a Japanese citizen's point of view).

i am dropping books in these mini-libraries each week from my yuge collections in cultural affairs, foreign policy, anthro, native american law and culture, online business, and copywriting. gotta thin the herd. they don't last long in these mini-braries.

[Sue]

McGrath is winning in KY6.

[Pinandpuller]

Johnny Lydon's first job was a Rat Basher in the sewers of London. It could be a ceremonial position.

[Kevlar Kid]

some smart glassed progtardo c*cks*cker on MSNBC is talking like a kentucky burley auctioneer on methedrine. loud. abnoxious. and damned sure of a blue wave building.

made the claim that 8 million votes will be cast in the Cruz vs Peckerhead race in Tejas--- "a rather obvious oversight by the Cruz campaign which predicted it would be a 6 million vote race."

oh. Blue wave fersherr there, Pudmo.

they are just gushing over the blowout that is in the making.

there is nothing newsworthy. not even "there are tons of people voting here in East BumF*ck. and our informal conversations tell us it is a BLUE WAVE."

gag them and hang them all for all i care.

IHTFP.

PS: which way are independents breaking? hopefully breaking the back of the Democrat party.

[Kevlar Kid]

lil help here, JOM.

if you happen to report progress of a race by candidate name, would you help me out by tagging the name D or R?

i don't have a war room board up tracking state by state races.

muchas graws-yahsss. :D

[Extraneus]

Looks like Nelson is leading in FL. 12% reporting.

[Kevlar Kid]

Pin:

put the chalupa down.

[Pinandpuller]

Kev

I heard there was a BART app for reporting crime but the app was racist. It must be like the voting booths that change your D votes to R...

For No Reason Whatsoevah.

[Sue]

Via 538: "Miami-Dade County early votes are in. Nelson won them 60-40, and Gillum won them 59-40. That’s slightly behind Clinton’s 63-34 showing in the county. "

[Kevlar Kid]

i refuse to adopt a mindset with empowering effect for the Oily Discharge.

the OD is a nuisance. he wins there as that is his intent.

but for me to choose to vamoose, am-scray because he is such an impactive force on my sanity whatevs?

no effin way. to each their own. but i refuse to budge.

[MJW]

Please, I beg people, when posting results, add (R) or (D) after the candidates' names. Not everyone knows the name of every candidate in every race. I suppose this "rule" can be relaxed in cases where there's extensive back-and-forth about particular people.

[Sue]

I don’t know why people don’t just scroll past him? I’ve never understood the constant attention he receives.

[Sue]

McGrath is a dem.

[Kevlar Kid]

does this sound cocky?

it will be close but MAGA wins.

the "hate Trump" vote has limited trajectory.
and if there is any clamp down on illegal voting and fraud? Dems are hurting.

the big thing to watch for me: impact of #WalkAway and #Blexit in the mid-terms.

any significant play by either spells Dem-Doom in 2020.

How many house and senate seats are up for grabs in 2020?

yeah.

[Catsmeat]

JMH, I have assumed that 42 is the master number of the universe (to do honor to Lewis Carroll), but I see why 137 is a strong contender! You made me laugh.

Porch, commiserations to another mid-lib-state-university employee--as for the not-picked-up leaflet, none of them are Boy Scouts.

[matt - deplore me if you must]

I will pay attention starting @ 8- 9:00PM California time. Nothing meaningful until then. Hopefully we will be getting slightly tipsy as we did in 2016 waiting for Hillary to come up on stage and concede. Wasn't that just such a precious moment? I still tear up slightly with glee.

It was the Panhandle that tipped Florida as I recall. Overwhelmingly red.

[Miss Marple]

Indiana Senate update: 565 of 5,375 precincts reporting - 11 percent

Braun, 172,413 - 58 percent
Donnelly, 110,970 - 38 percent
Brenton, 11,733 - 4 percent https://t.co/HNN7MYAKST

— CBS4 Indy (@CBS4Indy) November 7, 2018

[Extraneus]

Good point, MJW.

Nelson (D-FL) vs. Scott is supposedly a bellweather.

[Miss Marple]

I didn't notice my post wasn't party labeled.

Braun is the GOP candidate.

[Kevlar Kid]

Pin:

everything in the Bay Area is rayciss. it's the most segregated metro area in America. nothin new.

when Willie Mays came out west with Los Gigantes from New Jork, he was unable to get a mortgage.

here's the crime stats for BART up to June of this year.

https://www.bart.gov/sites/default/files/docs/Performance%20Measurements%20Jun%202018.pdf

[Texas Liberty Gal]

MM Braun R? Again please state R or D. Thx

[mike in houston]

Just for fun while we are waiting. JIB might like this

https://twitter.com/i/status/1059207142165618688

[Pinandpuller]

I did have a novel experience today. I passed a Lexus coupe with Purrto Rico plates.

[Miss Marple]

TLG,

Sorry. As I said above, I didn't notice they weren'r party labeled. Braun is GOP.

[lurkersusie]

Here we go

@henryolsenEPPC
·
3m
First House calls of the night - Shalala picks up FL 27 and Wexton wins VA-10. Neither is a surprise. Curbelo behind by 2,600 votes, less than 2%. Too close to call. Brat ahead slightly, but suburbs where he polls poorly reporting less.

[Porchlight]

Remember FL statewide races will look Dem for awhile until Panhandle comes in.

McGrath is the Dem in KY-06 race against Andy Barr. Supposed to be a close race/bellwether.

[Sue]

Barbara Comstock-R loses in VA 10. She was the incumbent.

[Kevlar Kid]

MSNBC is slammin in the other room down the hall (for the hard of hearin).

i'm puttin my Beats on to drown out the recurring phrase:

"and if these early trends continue we will see that Blue Wave." how many times will we hear that until we dont?

yeah right. bite me.

[Pinandpuller]

Puerto. You got my spelling all chingada Kev.

You gone for a tour of Liberty U yet?

[Tom R]

I voted after work at 6pm local. My precinct is at a church. Most crowded I’ve ever seen it there and I always vote after work.

[Miss Marple]

Mαχιмυs
🔥Ʀιsιηg
‏ @Maximus_4EVR
16m16 minutes ago

Baker County, FL 100% in.

Gov. Scott (R) running +4.1% ahead of Trump's 2016 winning margins.

#ElectionDay #MaxWarriors

[Free James D!]

I’m starting to feel sick about tonight.

It’s mind boggling to imagine the voters are that stupid and throw away all the accomplishments of the last two years in favor of the lies and slanders and madness and hatred of the Dems/ MSM, but they may be.

[Tom Maguire]

OK, that Fox Republican Senate probability moving to 57% chance of control is making me nervous. They should have started the night above 80%.

[caro]

Great, Marlene! I am missing that fun party (and Jane) but in the company of my conservative hubby. Lots of changes since that terrific night two years ago.

[Bernardo de la paZ]

They are calling the 27th with 1% of the vote, there is a maga candidate, who is drawing 2% of the vote from salazar.

[Kevlar Kid]

Pin:

i toured flame town during my last time here in 2015. of course, one need not tour the campus as Liberty infests many a strip mall in town with their store front offerings.

Fallwell Jr. is raking in $900K as Big Dawg. He makes 50% more than Janet "La Bloat" Napolitano over at the CAL system back home. Nice lucre.

Taking bets that Liberty U goes tits up in 10 years. Cash burn rate is unsustainable.

[JimNorCal]

"Health care? It had very little publicity in California."

Single payer with Dem Newsom in favor of covering "residents" aka illegals

[Kevlar Kid]

isn't calling the race early a voter suppression strategy? and who's callin it? Floyd Burfer of the local precinct? wha?

[Bernardo de la paZ]

Correction the hobbit is runmimg away with it.

[Pinandpuller]

Is the Call to Prayer not the most beautiful sound in Lynchburg?

[Jane#walkaway]

Marlene, I'm so glad you guys made it. I'm a little nervous now.

[Kevlar Kid]

i dint turn the Hillary Slaughter Fest of 2016 on until 11pm PST. by then Judy Woodruff's bondo makeup was cratering and Martha Ratt-a-tatt-tatt was dialing her shrink.

it's way to early to be hawking these races with the media's bullshitake spin hammering the frontal lobes. go easy on yourselves. :D

we got this.

[Texas Liberty Gal]

Sorry MM. As soon as I posted my comment I saw you had clarified he was GOP. I’m so nervous I get cranky

[Kevlar Kid]

California under "Any Twosome Newsome" is going to have some major bond rating problems.

Health care for insects and humans is going to create a financial fiasco.

[Porchlight]

Barr R catching up in KY-06. Now tied.

https://mobile.twitter.com/MichaelENewton1/status/1059974810741170176

[Janet]

((I’m starting to feel sick about tonight.

It’s mind boggling to imagine the voters are that stupid and throw away all the accomplishments of the last two years in favor of the lies and slanders and madness and hatred of the Dems/ MSM, but they may be.))

Me too, James.
Virginia is being ground down.
I hate the Washington Post....they are a poison for this state. `

[Bernardo de la paZ]

Its a shame, salazar is a person of integrity,

Waltz is beating the Clinton drone though.

[Kevlar Kid]

Pin:

i'm here at Paw's retirement community in West Lynchburg. it's nice. they have a lovely home here with a pretty nice package for financing independent living, assisted, and end-stage care. they are both well-off and are living well here.

this place was started with initiative by big-box church networks that have been in Lynchburg since Fallwell set up his mecca here. and so there are about 75 retired ministers and church administrators here (most in their 80s and 90s).

religion makes the world go round in Lynchburg VA.

we'll see where it goes should Liberty U have a hiccup and have to reorganize.

[Pinandpuller]

It does amuse me when churches are polling sites. Do mosques participate up in Dearborn? I don't think you can sex segrate voters yet.

[matt - deplore me if you must]

My prediction: nothing will be apparent until it is. We have a lot of unknown unknowns out there tonight.

If Trump is pulling 30-40,000 revved up Republicans 2-3x/day across key constituencies and if Obama, Biden et al are getting Dunkin Donut crowds that is a big tell. Anger sometimes doesn't translate into votes and the Republicans are the happy warriors this year.

And Guam will be turning over, so who cares?

[lurkersusie]

Henry Olsen
@henryolsenEPPC
KY 6 is very close, but much of McGrath's vote is in. Barr could pull this out narrowly

[Kevlar Kid]

daddy--- sorry i missed you. been in Verginny since last tuesday. we coulda met up at the French Hotel for a hot beverage and some "watchin." mebbe next time.

how would Mario Savio feel about the mid-terms? :D

Kev

[Kevlar Kid]

what matt say.

[Kevlar Kid]

how are the lead water pipes affecting the Muslim vote in Dearbornistan?

[Sue]

Local conservative talk show host agrees with me. Pete Sessions R TX 32 is in in trouble.

[Kevlar Kid]

nitey nite

[Sue]

Braun-R senate IN is looking good.

[Texas Liberty Gal]

I agree Sue. I don’t think Sessions is going to make it

[Free James D!]

I think I’m just going to go to bed now and pray that when I wake up in the morning, I’m not reading about how thoroughly fucked our country is, and having to tune out all my friends, most of my family, a majority of my coworkers, and all media for the next several weeks.

But I’m afraid I will be.

Thanks so much, GOPe.

[JimNorCal]

Sad to see decrepit Shalala Dem ahead in FL House race

[Pinandpuller]

Kev

West Lynchburg-They gotta lotta nice girls.

My grandma bought an insurance policy back in the day that's paying most of her $4k a month care. She may get Alex Trebeck fired.

[PDinDetroit]

It does amuse me when churches are polling sites. Do mosques participate up in Dearborn? I don't think you can sex segrate voters yet.

Most are schools in Dearbornistan, except for:

31/32: First Presbyterian Church
45: Dearborn Christian Fellowship

https://cityofdearborn.org/documents/city-departments/city-clerk/elections/2211-precinct-map-1/file