Climate Change Solutions: Easiest Prediction Ever

Take these three stories together and the next few decades of climate change science and policy become obvious.

A. The big cities most threatened by rising sea levels are in Asia, with emphasis on China and India. The US will be spending $6 billioin a year defending New Orleans, New York and Miami. China will be spending $18 billion defending Guangzhou, Tianjin and Shenzhen. India will be spending $10 billion on Mumbai and Kolkata.

B. The fastest growth in carbon emissions in 2018 is coming from India (+6%) and China +(+5%). The US is up 2% and the EU is probably down. The biggest emitters are China (27% of global emissions), the US (15%), the EU (10%) and India (7%). Unsympathetic math says that IF China and India each grow by 5% per year for five more years their new emissions will roughly equal all of the current EU emissions. If the EU huffs and puffs and goes to zero emissions in the next five years (Bon chance, Macron!)  then net global emissions will still be higher. Not encouraging!

C. Geoengineering is likely to take to the skies over the US next year, despite grave concerns from Greens worried that this will be a distraction from the real fight to push us all back into caves.

The blindingly obvious upshot - China is the biggest emitter by far and has the most to lose from climate change. Also, as Tom Friedman has noted with approval, pesky Greens don't hold much sway there. Expect China, probably with the direct or tacit cooperation of India, to embark on some major geoengineering projects whether the rest of the world is on board or not. If a Pacific volcano can spread dust around the world, surely a motivated Chinese effort can do the same.

The ensuing diplo-scuffles will be fraught. Does the rest of the world impose trade sanctions on China? Does China hold the world hostage, arguing that developed nations owe the third world billions in compensation for our decades of polluting with carbon? And what, pray tell, happens of the apparent short-term consequences are benign to positive - does the rest of the world remain freaked out, or shrug and move on to the next problem?

I am confident that if Barbra Streisand is still alive, this Chinese venture will kill her. As to other consequences, well, I expect to live long enough to find out.

Comments

[henry]

Great. Geo-engineer against warming as we head into a global minimum and ice age. Genius.

[henry]

The Hill on the Clintoooon Foundation hearing in the House:

https://thehill.com/opinion/white-house/420131-feds-received-whistleblower-evidence-in-2017-alleging-clinton-foundation

[Account Deleted]

tres

[Stephanie Nene Not Your Normal Granma]

Wooly Bully...

[Stephanie Nene Not Your Normal Granma]

Anchorage just hit again. 5.1

[Old Lurker]

Fox Headline:

"EPA announces rollback of Obama-era coal emissions rule"

Federal Judge reverses in 3, 2, ...

[Account Deleted]

Well. Well well.

https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/420021-gop-senators-introduce-bill-to-give-trump-25-billion-for-border-wall

[Account Deleted]

Will the hypothetical judge ORDER the executive branch to enforce the EPA rule?

[Tom R]

For anyone who has Amazon Prime, I highly recommend watching The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel. It's a comedy about a Jewish housewife in the late 1950s who becomes a standup comic. My wife and I binged watched Season 1 last week and Season 2 was released yesterday.

[Old Lurker]

WSJ: "Democratic leaders set to take the majority in the U.S. House next month said they may refuse to seat North Carolina Republican Mark Harris until an investigation into alleged voting fraud in the election is resolved."

That is how the game is played.

[Account Deleted]

Sam the Sham and the Pharoes:

Wooly Bully

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KZJiGu6Gz8E

a simpler time

[henry]

On that wall bill:

Remember when Kevin McCarthy went all over fox talking about his standalone bill to fund the wall and he got all the pom poms to support his leadership bid? Well, he just shepherded through the House the final cave on that as majority leader.

https://twitter.com/rmconservative/status/1070769189655375872?s=21

[daddy]

I am confident that if Barbra Streisand is still alive, this Chinese venture will kill her.

Well since there are no such things as "Clear Days" in China, Bab's won't be able to see forever anymore.

[Marlene]

Good afternoon! Well,GHWB is finally being laid to rest. The family looks exhausted. I notice Laura Bush is wearing flats,she probably ditched the heels.
Looks like a lovely resting place.

[Old Lurker]

In your 5:21 story, Kev:

"The legislation, which is unlikely to go anywhere, comes amid a stalled out fight over the border."

Never get distracted by shiny objects during silly season.

[Account Deleted]

Tom R: that show's earned much popular acclaim.
Mrs K is Yooish but refuses to bite, in favor of "The Black List." She's action/adventure oriented. "Fight Back", "Banshee", and Burn Notice are her other ranking favorites....although Dembe Zuma is her now all-time action hero favorito.

[Account Deleted]

I merely posted it, OL.

Shoulda put /sarc after my "Well. Well,well."

Thanks for the head pat though. At least i can tell yer payin attention to what i'm posting. :D

[daddy]

Anchorage just hit again. 5.1

momma texts she is walking the dogs in the hills and is fine, but quips "never a dull moment." Neice Amanda in Eagle River texts that her nerves are shot to hell as she was inside and the kids are petrified. me, Im getting a suntan in WAikiki😎

[Robin, eff 'em all]

Loved Season 1 of Marvelous Mrs. Maisel. Is the second season as good?

[Account Deleted]

I remember the aftershocks the East Bay felt after the Alaska Quake of '64.

One rumbled through on a Sunday afternoon while Paw was in his chair, and got moved 12 feet across the living room floor. I was 9 and very freaked. Our beagle, Denny was barkin like a fiend outside.

[Manuel Transmission]

I sent a pix of the UP 4141 loco to one of my buds from there. This was his response:

Yeah, that’s a classy tribute to Geo HW Bush. UP did the paint-up back in 2005, for the unveiling of a display at the Bush library called Trains: Tracks of the Iron Horse .. and prolly also in anticipation of his eventual funeral. So they had it in storage, ready for the event.

[Robin, eff 'em all]

Sounds like that senate loophole legislation to fund the wall is designed to go no where.

I’m tired of politicians. Shut down the government - shut it all down and send Paul Ryan home early.

[Tom R]

We only had time to watch the first episode of Season 2. Its on par quality wise with Season 1.

[Account Deleted]

daddy, couldn't help but to ask, after seeing your non-vaginal timeline, were you born in 55 too? that makes us the same age. i thought you were much younger! ;)

[Robin, eff 'em all]

I don’t know who mentioned wearing yellow vests in sympathy with the French, but 10 packs of them can be purchased for a mere $26. I’m starting to like that idea.

https://www.amazon.com/d/Safety-Vests/PeerBasics-Yellow-Reflective-Safety-Breathable/B0761YKMTV/ref=sr_1_9?ie=UTF8&qid=1544136010&sr=8-9&keywords=yellow+traffic+vest

[Dave (in MA)]

Robin, add this to your order and you'll end up with people who can pretty much get access to anywhere, according to an old article that I can no longer find.

[Stephanie Nene Not Your Normal Granma]

LB had on flats in the visit to see the WH Christmas decorations, too. Sensible older lady FTW!

[henry]

Dave, you need the steel clipboards with the bin for blank forms integrated. (I have some from my company ‘s old office products warehouse).

[daddy]

I'm an Old Fart, Kev. Mandatory retirement in 14 months. Its gonna' blow chunks when I have to pay for my own Hawaiian vacations:(

[Extraneus]

Video Appears to Show Marc Lamont Hill Accusing Israel of Poisoning Palestinian Water

Say it ain't so!

[Extraneus]

Corker calls Trump’s loyalty to Saudi Arabia ‘un-American’

[JimNorCal]

Macron! Macron! He makes it. To the Trumpenfreunde list.
(See Don Surber's blog).

"Save the link. When you are feeling blue, read it."

[MissMarple2]

Seems like there is a lot of news today, doesn't it?

I am glad that the President is trying to save the coal industry. We may need it.

Indiana has had the coldest November in decades. We are getting light snow and possibly ice tonight.

[henry]

Down to school nuke digits tonight here. About two months early for that cold.

[JimNorCal]

"The blindingly obvious upshot - China is the biggest emitter by far and has the most to lose from climate change."

Serious question, cos I don't know.
Has official China shown a scintilla of belief in AGW? Have they made policy decisions that we'd call green?
Stuff like that.

Other than govt officials in the AngloSphere and EU, has anyone paid more than lip service to AGW?

[henry]

School nuke? Whoever is coding auto cucumber needs to cut back on weed.

single digits

[Captain Hate]

I hope Trump has a national televised event where he vetoes that dogshit spending bill and orders those lazy loads to work around the clock to fund the wall. Don't go home for Christmas? Too fucking bad. Also whatever RINO outfit Ryan is going to should be targeted by Whitaker to have every stiff dick in the DOJ ready to ram it to the hilt. Scrutinize every SarBox test from every year along with all tax schedules. Every journal entry should go under the microscope until they send Paulie back to the Weinermobile.

This is war. And McCarthy: you're next.

[henry]

Jim, they all realize the potential to raid uncle sugar’s wallet.

[Dave (in MA)]

Nice cobvolutex, henry.

[Extraneus]

Man ruins Christmas festival by screaming ‘there's no Santa’ at kids

A Florida man stood in the middle of the annual Cape Coral Festival of Lights over the weekend and yelled “There’s no Santa Clause,” while holding up a sign.

The unidentified man seen in cell phone video captured on Saturday continues his tirade telling kids their parents are lying to them about Kris Kringle while the children are waiting in line to visit Santa and waving his sign -- which cannot be read in the footage.

According to WFLA, the man stood in the area for hours yelling and making children cry.

Nobody at the festival beat his ass? [smh]

[Account Deleted]

CH: (sarc) you seem quite "vested" in your argument against Paul Ryan. (/sarc)

[Extraneus]

Julian Assange Rejects Ecuador’s Claim That He Can Leave the Embassy With ‘Near Liberty’

WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange is rejecting Ecuadorian President Lenin Moreno’s claim that he can leave the embassy with “near-liberty” after the UK agreed not to extradite him to any nation seeking to give him the death penalty.

The death penalty?

[henry]

Botany Bay.... launched 2018. Hehehe. Star Trek is great. (The last episode was the Landrew one).

[henry]

Oops, never resuscitate a Corinthian Leather salesman.

[Account Deleted]

Is there ANYTHING the new Dem majority in Congress might do that could backfire with regard to the 2020 election?

[Captain Hate]

Near Liberty sounds like Just The Tip to me.

[Account Deleted]

The No Santa guy... time for a psych eval and overnight observation, Big Fella.

[Account Deleted]

Assange is toast.

[Account Deleted]

I can hear it now: "You're not under investigation. We just want to talk to you."

huhboy.

[Captain Hate]

Comment du jour:

> ace, could you shift to more actual news, and less bitchy gossip column stuff? We get it. Kristol & Co. suck, and their cruise ship is going down. Great. Can we move on now, instead of letting those idiots dominate AoS? I don't know about the rest of the Horde, but I feel like I've wasted enough time reading about people I've mostly never heard of saying shit I don't care about. Just my $0.02. Thanks!

No.

Posted by: ace at December 06, 2018 01:56 PM (PbpT7)

[Marlene]

Ext @6:13...we saw a version of Florida man earlier today in Lowe's parking lot. Hubby had just parked and all of sudden we heard someone yell. He screamed "don't block the lane dumbass!" He jumped out of his truck and berated the woman driving (Minnesota tags). Poor woman. It scared the carp out of me because the guy was so mean. Geez. Merry Christmas. :)

[Pinandpuller]

I found out two things of interest for my JOM friends:

1. A childhood friend runs the Figure Eight brewery in Valparaiso, IN.

2. Her son is the left handed pitcher for the Mariners.

[henry]

Pin, i’ll Have to taste some Figure 8 brews. :)

[Extraneus]

No.

Posted by: ace at December 06, 2018 01:56 PM (PbpT7)

lol

[MissMarple2]

https://twitter.com/drawandstrike/status/1070820408675438592

drawandstrike assembles some evidence that things may be happening. We will still have to wait and see, of course.

[henry]

Sessions gone. Things happening. How about that,

[pagar]

From the last thread: https://www.dailywire.com/news/39056/transgender-miss-universe-contestant-now-odds-james-barrett

I believe everyone connected with this is 100% crazy.

[MissMarple2]

henry,

Things started happening over a year ago. Read the thread.

Like I said, a lot of these are clues but there are some facts, and it certainly makes sense in one way.

[MissMarple2]

pagar,

Me, too! When I saw that pop up a couple of days ago, I thought it was a spoof!

[henry]

Trannie Miss Universe and Macron can go do whatever. I’m sure Trump is as unimpressed as the rest of us.

[Captain Hate]

Yep, henry; this Whitaker fellow seems to be shaking some action.

[henry]

Miss M. Note Huber just asked for the evidence. Last week. Not a year ago. (I do read that stuff, it is the Life of Brian “the shoe!” scene on a n infinite variations repeat).

[MissMarple2]

This seems to be a good local program in the Columbus, Indiana county.

https://cbs4indy.com/2018/12/06/veterans-court-program-helping-former-service-members-stay-out-of-jail/

[Extraneus]

"If they give me the crown, it would show trans women are just as much women as cis women."

Er... No, it doesn't.

[Extraneus]

Wasn't Trump once involved in the Miss Hawaiian Tropic pageant? The one true beauty pageant. No whirled peas required.

[MissMarple2]

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-12-06/historic-storm-bury-southern-appalachians-snow-expect-massive-travel-disruptions

[henry]

NRO, but good news. Biggest oil & gas find in history, Texas and NewMexico.

https://www.nationalreview.com/news/feds-discover-largest-oil-natural-gas-reserve-in-history/

[MissMarple2]

Just in case you have forgotten, this little clip turned up with the Obamas unveiling their horrible portraits.

2018 in review: Obama portraits unveiled at the National Portrait Gallery via @ReutersTV pic.twitter.com/EQNBuuri7D

— Reuters Top News (@Reuters) December 6, 2018

[MissMarple2]

Students blockade more than 200 schools in anti-govt protests in #Nantes#France pic.twitter.com/snptHXYoiI

— Ruptly (@Ruptly) December 6, 2018

Video at link.

[henry]

Clarice, Xhitown round the link you seek:

It is a banger of an opinion from Judge Royce Lamberth, of the federal district court in DC: "At best, State's attempt to pass-off its deficient search as legally adequate during settlement negotiations was negligence born out of incompetence."

https://twitter.com/zoetillman/status/1070767980341014530?s=21

[henry]

I knew NY was weird, but this?

Half the DNA on the Subway Matches no known Organism

https://gizmodo.com/half-the-dna-on-the-nyc-subway-matches-no-known-organis-1684045880

[MissMarple2]

https://www.livescience.com/64246-ancient-plague-swedish-tomb.html?ftag=CNM-00-10aac3a

You know, opening an ancient tomb and finding an ancient, unknown plague strain in the bodies is sort of how science-fiction and disaster movies start.

[Pinandpuller]

henry

Too bad I'm not driving backwards.

So I'm going to a place called The Keg and Cork with my teetotaling parents. Supposed to be an Irish style pub. I'm so used to drinking behind my parents back I don't know how fun it's gonna be.

[Narciso79]

Can things get crazier:

http://jcpa.org/article/american-non-government-organizations-are-intertwined-with-pflp-terror-group/

[Account Deleted]

Tom R: this Twitter link should give you cause to smile.

https://twitter.com/drawandstrike/status/1070820408675438592

[Extraneus]

Mission creep?

Fed chairman says central bank concerned about rural poverty

[Account Deleted]

Should Code Stink and their pet NGO's be investigated for giving aid and comfort to enemies of the state? Or is the Fakestinian Whatever It Is NOT and enemy of the state.

HAMAS is cool now? We were giving them dough up until what, last week?

[Narciso79]

It's almost as if men in black were real,

[Extraneus]

Pelosi Rejects All Funding For Border Wall

House Speaker-Designate Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) said on Thursday that any and all funding for Trump’s border wall will be rejected.

Fox News Congress reporter Chad Pergram asked Pelosi, “Would you be willing support some degree of wall funding if you got a permanent bona fide solution on DACA?”

“No,” Pelosi quickly shot back without skipping a beat.

Time for the pen and phone.

[Account Deleted]

POTUS should veto all the Democrats' sh*t. Bye. Starve them out. Start by nuking their policy proposals at the State of the Union. Bury them before they can zombie walk.

[Ignatz Ratzkiwatzki]

--I've still seen no 4-D explanation as to why Mueller handed off the Podesta case to SDNY but kept the equally unrelated Manafort tax/financial shenanigans from 2012 for himself.--

The point of an SC is that an administration can't investigate itself.
Since Manafort was Trump's campaign chairman while Podesta was not, presumably the reasoning is the objection to Trump's DOJ investigating Manafort does not apply to Podesta.

[MissMarple2]

Donald J. Trump
‏Verified account @realDonaldTrump
25m25 minutes ago

Does the Fake News Media ever mention the fact that Republicans, with the very important help of my campaign Rallies, WON THE UNITED STATES SENATE, 53 to 47? All I hear is that the Open Border Dems won the House. Senate alone approves judges & others. Big Republican Win!

[Account Deleted]

You should see the three post offices in Berkeley, narciso. Sh*t is real all right. :D

[James D.]

That is how the game is played.

[Ryan]That’s not who we are.[/Ryan]

[D]

The Dem candidate in 2020 will be Beto.
Kamala will give him a run for his money but Obama and Holder will groom him and get him across the finish line.
It will not be another woman candidate.
I agree with Robin.
I am tired of politics.Dont want to hear any trashing of individuals or a party just because they failed to do something.
The ZHouse did vote to eliminate Obamacare.
The Senate thanks to McCain and the other Repubs didn’t have a viable bill to vote on.
Immigration should have decided years ago when 43 was President.
The wall can be funded in spite of Congress.
Use some military funds to secure it and let the Dem House stew in their own pot of ineptness.

[MissMarple2]

This is a surprise:

John Roberts
‏Verified account @johnrobertsFox
5m5 minutes ago

.@realDonaldTrump to nominate Heather Nauert to be UN Ambassador tomorrow

[Account Deleted]

How did Acosta end up as Trump's Labor Secretary?

https://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2018/12/alex-acosta-update.php

[Jim Eagle]

The next two years will be better than any tv series we are currently watching.

Off to slumberland. Need to pack the SUV up for my departure to Philly on to Raleigh and home to Florida.

Slaap lekker, tot morgen

[D]

Ext:
Totally agree.
Of course then the Dems will go to the courts.
But I remember Obama ignoring the court orders and doing whatever he damn well pleased.
I suggest President Trump do the same.
Make the Dems look inept.
That is not a reach for them.
They don’t care about DACA.
They will not willingly give Trump a victory so screw them.

[Pinandpuller]

Trying Breckinridge Vanilla Porter.

[Account Deleted]

i hope it is O'Rourke. There is a similar failing premise for him as there is or nominating another female: the Dems will be nominating another "no experience give him a chance he's better than what we've had" candidate like Obinkee was in 2008.

Been there. Done that.

With the world sitch looking a lot more desperate (financially, militarily with Putin and Crimea, etc etc), even with credible foreign policy gains made, the public won't "buy Beto."

he's a giggolo frat boy. he may get the nomination, but there may be power brokers who aren't buying the Holder-Obama Axis. Add in the possibility of indictments and investigations of Clinton and Obama circles--- Dem power brokers will want somebody in there with the stones to pardon their friends.

Beto is not an insider. the wagons are circling. no time to bring in a "breath of fresh air."

my two cents.

PS: Paul Ryan is still a failure as a constitutional conservative, and failed at his job which was to consolidate power in the form of a House coalition of interests to advance a broad agenda that candidates could run on. Meat Flap. i'll never tire of saying it.

[Account Deleted]

https://www.dailywire.com/news/39123/embarrassing-europeans-realizing-trump-was-right-hank-berrien

[Ignatz Ratzkiwatzki]

So in picking Betomax the argument is they needed the one guy on earth with less experience at anything meaningful or useful than Barry?

[Narciso79]

The aliens or the terrorists.

[Account Deleted]

Will he be allowed to see his girl friend?

https://theconservativetreehouse.com/2018/12/06/court-filing-james-wolfe-sentencing-memo-due-tuesday-december-11th-500pm/#more-157451

[Narciso79]

Robertico is like skippy the kid mowing the lawn the Kennedys adopted.

[Captain Hate]

The ZHouse did vote to eliminate Obamacare.

They sat on their dead asses until nearly the end of the session instead of voting immediately for the same bill they'd previously voted on when they knew the JEF would veto it. Instead they came up with a terrible replacement bill at the last minute with no wiggle room for when McCain acted like McCain.

It was poor leadership on the part of Ryan and his do nothing Congress.

[Narciso79]

So meng whenzou is the daughter of ren Zhenfei a 'mere' fmr major in the pla, who is the counterpart to the oligarch at huawei.

[henry]

Infant ibuprofen recall:

https://twitter.com/breaking9111/status/1070829932912238592?s=12

[Pinandpuller]

My dad was telling me about something called Lucky Lager that came in what they called 'Glass Cans.'