Theresa May, Or She May Not

Brit PM Theresa May bails out on a Parliamentary vote on her Brexit deal. What next? Who knows!

DEAD POOL UPDATE: it seems like only a week ago we were contemplating the G-20 meeting in Paris, but really it was a week and a half. I can't handicap all twenty of these world leaders, but among Merkel, Macron, May and Trump, Merkel was already headed out the door (as of 2021) at the meeting. But she clings to power today, as do the other three leaders in the Dead Pool.

So who will be the first among this group (or the larger G-20) to be shown the door? Theresa May virtually any day? Likely! Macron next spring or sooner? Not so fast - as President of France (NOT Prime Minister) he was elected to serve a five year term in 2017. The Assembly would normally serve until then as well. So barring a complete collapse of the governing structure, Macron should be able to stay until 2022, even if events force him to replace his current PM leading a new coalition.

Trump may be impeached by House Democrats for having a bad comb-over but nothing revealed so far suggests there will be 67 votes in the Senate for removal. OTOH, unless re-elected Jan 20, 2021 is his end date.

So who lasts the longest? It seems weird that Macron, who may be the least popular of the four and with a country beset by riots, is most likely to be in office in 2022. PredictIt bettors say May is the next European leader to go (69% probability) followed by Macron (20%).

OK, my calls: May is the next to go, Trump will outlast the other three.

Comments

[MissMarple2]

https://dailycaller.com/2018/12/10/michael-bloomberg-fraud-new-york/?utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Twitter&utm_campaign=atdailycaller

Well, well, well.

[clarice Feldman]

https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-unbelievable-james-comey-1544478713?mod=djemBestOfTheWeb

[Pinandpuller]

Macron is headed for the wall with Ned Stark and W:

Rush-Bastille Day (Lyrics)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ekoxIb85rww

[Account Deleted]

McCarthy is a relic when it comes to main Justice. Wasn't his heyday during the pre-911 era?

[Account Deleted]

Waking up in hell?

That's what it feels like when Nancy Pelosi says "No we're not going to do that (build a wall); that's immoral."

Well, okay then. perra. It must be "settled dogma."

Commie bastid.

[Pinandpuller]

How long will Mark Levin push CRTV now that Glenn Beck bought it? Did Glenn start drinking again?

[clarice Feldman]

Lurkersusie's link:https://thehill.com/opinion/criminal-justice/420523-cohens-pleas-concocted-by-prosecutors-to-snare-trump

[Extraneus]

Why no protesters calling for the immoral fence at Pelosi's house to be torn down?

[Pinandpuller]

Hiring scabs at her winery is moral?

[Account Deleted]

caught the first hour of Savage in the car while running some errands.

evidently he attended a Jewish themed holiday party at the White House. and i guess he got commitment from Trump to call in to The Savage Nation some time in the near future.

Savage said that the drought is over now that certain somebodies no longer hold sway over Trump's willingness to talk to the Savage Nation, a critical hunk of his base.

Wonder who that might be.

The other important point Savage made was that he is going after the weevils in the media, "i'm going to dig into their pasts and light it up." or something like that.

he's branching into the world of podcasts where he'll have more room to maneuver with his content.

i haven't heard him this riled up since he visited with Trump down in Mar-a-Lago in early 2017 and had a 15 minute sit-down with POTUS.

[pagar]

https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=1962906287092063&set=a.767523563297014&type=3&theater

"A plea for all Christians to leave the Democrat party"

[Account Deleted]

Pelosi owns a vineyard but doesn't process vino there. She sells her grapes to brokers for profit evidently. Beaner city. Grape fields are a death sentence. Nasty, dirty, back breaking work.

[Extraneus]

Is Mark Penn the most honest living Democrat? I can't think of another.

[Pinandpuller]

Occasio is Jew-ISH

[MissMarple2]

https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2018/12/10/exclusive-louie-gohmert-mark-meadows-would-make-an-outstanding-white-house-chief-of-staff/

[Pinandpuller]

Oh I have a question, what the hell is an Eskenazi?

A remnant of Hitler's plan to take over the Arctic Circle?

[President-Elect Jim,SunnyvaleCA]

"That's two cowardly, disappointing, crappy performances by (Kavanaugh) in a week."

Planned Parenthood, what was the other?

[clarice Feldman]

https://www.nationalreview.com/2018/12/robert-muellers-investigations-got-nothing/?utm_source=Sailthru&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=NR%20Daily%20Monday%20through%20Friday%202018-12-10&utm_term=NR5PM%20Actives

Pin--I think you mean Ashkenazi--Eastern European Jews as opposed to those in Arab lands, and the Mediterranean ,(Sephardic) mostly after having been expelled from Spain or escaped from forced conversion in Portugal.

[MissMarple2]

Back in 1947, @USMC started @ToysForTots_USA, collecting and delivering toys to kids in tough circumstances. @StateDept does its part, because we know that Christmas is about giving, not receiving. And when we give, we ignite a small flame of hope. Merry Christmas, everyone. pic.twitter.com/Q17cqPixFU

— Secretary Pompeo (@SecPompeo) December 10, 2018

Photos at link.

[Captain Hate]

The full Patterico:

https://twitchy.com/sarahd-313035/2018/12/10/wtf-bill-kristol-proves-hes-just-another-bs-artist-with-this-awful-take-on-trump-and-us-military-heroes/

[Dave (in MA)]

[Roman Catholic]Nancy Pelosi says "No we're not going to do that (build a wall); that's immoral."

But go ahead and grind up as many inconvenient babies as you want.

[henry]

Globalist complains the US education (as reworked by globalists the past 40 years) sucks... needs to be taken over by globalists.

https://www.cnbc.com/2018/12/10/richard-fisher-horrifically-bad-education-is-major-economic-threat.html

[MissMarple2]

https://www.foxnews.com/opinion/victoria-toensing-why-has-mueller-ignored-obama-administration-crimes

[Marlene]

MM,I brought a large shopping bag full of stuff to the Toys for Tots box in our community center. Something to remember is that older kids should be remembered. One of my items was a soccer ball and I noticed that someone else had placed a soccer ball in the box.

[MissMarple2]

Marlene,

That is a good suggestion! People often want to buy stuffed animals or blocks, but they forget about the older kids.

[Dave (in MA)]

I dunno 'bout anybody else, but I demand better scientific literacy from our ball-bouncing millionaires.

[James D.]

Planned Parenthood, what was the other?
His questions in the double jeopardy/"sovereign states" case.

Which, to be fair, doesn't automatically mean he'll vote for expanded government power that's clearly antithetical to both the intent and the clear language of the Constitution, but it certainly points that way.

[Extraneus]

Dems deny changing tone on voting, election fraud amid North Carolina ballot mess

They even go so far as to try to discriminate between "voter fraud" and "election fraud."

[Pinandpuller]

Eskenazi is a hospital in Indianapolis named after Sidney and Louis Eskenazi.

Hey Kev, you think they would appreciate it if I donated a nice Navajo rug to hang up in the lobby?

[Pinandpuller]

You can't make bricks without dead babies.

[Marlene]

Oh great,the dog just came in with a frog in his mouth. He'll probably puke tonight. :)

[Pinandpuller]

The Periodontist?

[Jim Eagle]

Whoa! What a breeze that was, scrolling through 8 hours of threads.

We, that would be me and the 3 beagles, are back in our Florida domicile. Cold as hell, around 46F, a slight ocean breeze, but the ocean looks very calm, and golf course terrific.

Bill Krystol is a certified jerk, and delusional relative of his great father Irving. Has there been a DNA on him yet? The reason kids in the Academies are Heroes is simple jack ass, no other football player in America, when he graduates, will voluntarily put his life on the line for minimum 5 years. I have no idea where these so called intellects, geniuses, and pundits get their education but it is not from living the life of heroes.

Go Navy, Beat Army (next year, and we will be there).

[GUS]

Capn'!!!!! Sasho Cirovski.

UWM-MILWAUKEE. I've known him since 1980.

[Account Deleted]

O'Cortex and her supposed Sephardic Jewish roots dating back to the Inquisition is taken well by a commenter at a news site, following the "party" she attended in New York.

She's claiming Jewish ancestry but she's all for a 2 state solution (implies Jewish annhilation within Israel's borders, right?)

"
David Oettinger
Concoct some ridiculous story about Jewish roots so you can then use it to hide behind when you publically advocate for the destruction of the one and only Jewish state. Straight out of the Bernie Sanders political playbook folks. Don't buy it..."

https://www.timesofisrael.com/ocasio-cortez-tells-hannukah-celebration-she-is-descended-from-sephardic-jews/

[Account Deleted]

Eskenazi is a toponymic surname found among Sephardic Jews and their descendants. It is the Ladino (Judaeo-Spanish) pronunciation of "Ashkenazi", a Hebrew term which ordinarily denotes one is an Ashkenazi Jew. Eskenazi has various unrelated lineages traced back to several founders.

Eskenazi - Wikipedia
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eskenazi

[Account Deleted]

What brought donating a Navajo rug to mind, Pin?

(or am i too slow to get the implied punchline?)

:D

[Account Deleted]

Donated 7, seven! count em!, of College Man's basketballs he's had since middle school through high school. very grateful at the Salvation Army.

[GUS]

I hear VAL JARRETT is a descendant of Cornelius from Planet of the Apes.

Just sayin'

[Account Deleted]

Drum roll....we finally finished painting our new kitchen over the weekend. Touchups, 8 sq ft of ceiling completed, removing Frog Tape and detailing the leaks off countertops etc.

Butter creme color with window frame layers of papaya and avocado colors.

Makes for a great gathering room for Paw, Maw, the Kitties, and Anya the Eating Machine.

The kitties love the new butcher block counters.

Heaven.

[Captain Hate]

Gus, a Wisconsin/Maryland connection.

[Account Deleted]

Btw, CH... your early morning highlight reel of the two Mav rookies finishing against the Rockets.... very entertaining basketball.

Between the Bucks and the Mavs there may be some excitement in the N.ever B.een A.rrested this year :D

[Captain Hate]

Bill Krystol is a certified jerk, and delusional relative of his great father Irving. Has there been a DNA on him yet?

WFB's kid is the demon seed also.

[Account Deleted]

with all the stuff flyin in the news i find it interesting how ValJarr stays out of the limelight.

how many "Iran Deal" meetings was she in on; how many planks did she lay for it?

dangerous sack of goo, that woman. not right in the head. has the same walk around demeanor as Calypso Louie.

[Captain Hate]

Kev,

Luka Doncic has been on the back burner just waiting to explode. Even that dweeb Bill Simmons got him right.

[Account Deleted]

Kristol comes from a unique vat of childhood repressions.

[Account Deleted]

Caint blame yer pup, Marlene. I'm told froggy tastes like chikken likken. :D

[Captain Hate]

Ferret Jarret is the Rat's organ grinder.

Maybe I should rephrase that...

[Extraneus]

The pivot from Russia back to Stormy indicates that Trump will win this. Just a question of whether he can make them suffer.

Btw, I used to prefer Brennan as the one to bear the most pain and humiliation, but I've switched to Comey.

[Jim Eagle]

I am a realist. Therefore, I cannot believe that in his over 40+ years of being a force in NYC, DJT doesn't have a thick file on Jerry Nadler. In fact, if I serched the FEC database, I could probably find him making contributions to his campaigns. He has also been in many social functions with Nadler present. As a non-drinker he has most likely seen, and heard that asshole say crap that is at least embarrassing if not something ethically questoining.

I am not worried one bit by Nadler, nor Schiff. Both are in charge but out classed when it comes to the Donald. I can't wait for his tweets on both those pompous assholes.

[Captain Hate]

But but but it's *edgy*

http://thefederalist.com/2018/12/05/snl-cant-find-its-footing/

[jimmyk]

Ashkenaz is the Hebrew name for Germany (or thereabouts). Sepharad is the Hebrew name for Spain. There are lots of little variations on those names in surnames based on those.

[Texas Liberty Gal]

This does not sound good but I don’t believe a word of it

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/what-does-mueller-have-memo-hints-at-damaging-russia-info-from-cohen

[Extraneus]

Great comment @ 6:53, Jack. I used to worry about Nadler, but Jimmy had him pegged as a lightweight before I did.

[henry]

TLG, people who sell deals (are agents, get finder’s fees) always inflate deal potential beyond all recognition. Especially after the deal doesn’r hapoen. “The big one that got away!” (A lot like fishermen).

Mueller & friends at SDNY don’t have crap,

[Account Deleted]

That Fox News article is as substantial as a cheese puff.

Mueller is definitely a white hat. :D

[Texas Liberty Gal]

Agree Henry. Just sad to see that FNC is just as bad as the rest of the corrupt media.

[daddy]

This guy at Ace states pretty well how I feel about Andy McCarthy,

Just heard part of Andy M on with Dennis Prager in Hour 1 and I come away flaberghasted. He goes on about how Jim Comey has been his friend for 30 years and he is disturbed about the rift between himself and his good friend but he says not near as much as the rift he feels between himself and his former friends in the Media. Hard to believe but I think Andy McCarthy is even a lousier read of human nature than I used to think Larry Kudlow was.

Newt meanwhile over on Hannity was saying that we have to have the full transcripts released of the specific questions asked ,by which specific agents, so that we can actually see the pressure that was put on these witnesses to make them finger Trump. Sadly I doubt that we will ever see them, but if we do it will be well after the horse has left the barn, so irrelevant to having any real world consequences.

[Account Deleted]

I want POTUS to have the opportunity to taser Robert Mueller's family jewels. Pay per view.

[boatbuilder]

Heh. Nadler a "lightweight."

Moron in over his head who blathers about stuff he doesn't really understand, sure. But, c'mon. His head alone weighs about 40 lbs. And that's after the lap-band surgery.

[Account Deleted]

Dan Bongino fills in for Ol Yeller today. He's en fuego. Even admitted to having an extra cuppa Jose.

Said today was "own the liberals" day.

i guess this Clintoona whistleblower revelation (that he's been singin for a year) is big chips in the world of media. KSFO's Morning Show host even asked their 1-800-TAX-Deal sponsor what the significance of "comingling personal use with foundation" beanos.

"Well, Bryan, those statutes exist so money doesn't get stolen."

Dunt-dunt! Thank you. Next question please.

[Account Deleted]

The Nad-ling. Making his parents proud. Sort of. They probably think he is a puke scoundrel too.

"Hey, Ma! I'm going to be a professional politician!!!"

She probably developed a grumble like the Addam's family butler, Lurch.

[Account Deleted]

The campaign bumpersticker Nadler had to send back:

Go Nadler!

[Account Deleted]

I've made so many slides in the last 16 days there is green fluid leakin out of my helmet.

[Captain Hate]

Just sad to see that FNC is just as bad as the rest of the corrupt media.

No wonder the brats wanted Ailes gone.

[Account Deleted]

Nothing says "i'm a dithering fool" like shaking hands with Micro Macron in 2017 over climate change bull shitake: "French President Emmanuel Macron welcomes Special envoy to the United Nations for climate change Michael Bloomberg as he arrives for a lunch at the Elysee Palace as part of the One Planet Summit in Paris, France, Dec. 12, 2017. "

So special.

And nothing says, "dithering busy body (soda boy!)" more than this:

"The Manhattan district attorney’s office and New York state police are expected to arrest several senior executives in former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg’s finance company on fraud charges Tuesday, The New York Times reported.

The executives are expected to be a part of a larger arrest of roughly a dozen senior executives spanning several companies involved in New York real estate and development. The district attorney’s office launched a new investigation into New York’s $62 billion construction industry, including the construction and facilities department of Bloomberg L.P., in 2017. (RELATED: Michael Bloomberg Uses George H.W. Bush’s Death To Criticize Trump)

Investigators uncovered a pay-to-play scheme in which subcontractors and vendors doing work on Bloomberg company offices would offer bribes and kickbacks to Bloomberg executives. In exchange, the Bloomberg executives would pay more for the work done, defrauding Bloomberg L.P. for millions.

Investigators found no evidence Bloomberg was aware of the alleged fraud."

Wow. New York real estate fraud allegations. "I dint know! I dint know!"

Have a sodie, Putz.

[henry]

Bloomberg didn’t know? Has he ever heard of SarBox? Knowing has nothing to do with it. The top banana goes to jail,

[Narciso79]

Nadler is 'like the wimp rats ...back home, no wider than two meters' yes it's a star wars reference.

[Extraneus]

Google Approves App For Muslims to Report People Who Commit Blasphemy, Insult Islam

[Account Deleted]

What kind of cheddar were the "executives" getting from the contractors?

How did they launder it?

[Extraneus]

IS this news?

New York Yankees president Randy Levine tells Fox News WH hasn't contacted him to be chief of staff

(Click to open pic.)

[Account Deleted]

So blaspheming, even if one isn't a Muslim, is a reportable offense now? to whom? Google, Lord and Master of the Known Universe?

who sets the parameter on "blasphemy" in a secular and free society? Imam Ahmed and his 3 wives?

IHTFP.

[Account Deleted]

Does Randy Levine want the WH COS job so he can learn how to win?

[Jim Eagle]

Randy Levine? Why not Curt Schilling? Better soxs, and he is too outspoken but then he is a Redsox.

[Dave (in MA)]

BREAKING
The White House hasn't contacted me about it, either, for some reason.

[Narciso79]

How about your parrot, he takes messages doesn't he?

[Dave (in MA)]

She's claiming Jewish ancestry but she's all for a 2 state solution (implies Jewish annhilation within Israel's borders, right?)

That differs from most of the Jewish Left exactly how?

[Dave (in MA)]

She does say hello when the phone rings.

[Another Bob]

I’ll bet ONE-MEELION DOLLARS that Bloomberg is not prosecuted.

[Account Deleted]

Harvard's endowment shell companies have big boobies in the legal wringer after some nefarious farmland and natural resources acquisitions.

https://www.thecrimson.com/article/2018/9/11/farmland-investments/

[clarice Feldman]

https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2018/dec/10/judge-laurel-beeler-rules-trump-administration-jus/?fbclid=IwAR1vD86nQV975GH2GSl8HaWSzMEozHlj4lITbpFkWOpJkvBXxlIPGnvLf38
Judge magistrate rules Trump's revocation of an Obama immigration rule perfectly ok.

[Account Deleted]

O'Cortex is in the "Be Like Bernardo Occupado" Club on Israel.

[Captain Hate]

Speaking of Loopy:

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
@Ocasio2018
Double standards are Paul Ryan being elected at 28 and immediately being given the benefit of his ill-considered policies considered genius; and me winning a primary at 28 to immediately be treated with suspicion and scrutinized, down to my clothing, of being a fraud.

[Jim Eagle]

Been up since 0500, so I think I will finish my wine and head to bed as I watch some episode of Justified. Its season one and I think its no. 4 where Rachel takes the lead on the fugitive dentist who did the no-novacaine extraction on some doofus.

Elmore Leonard is a genius in character creation.

[Account Deleted]

The US will furnish Israel with 3.2 Billion in aid next year.

Get this: Remittances sent by Mexicans "living abroad"(CNN's reference)---"Remittances in October 2017 hit $2.6 billion, the highest for any month last year, according to Mexico's central bank."

Mexxykin oil exports account for $18.5 billion in revenue. Remittances account for OVER $26 billion and will likely increase for 2018.

Remittances are Mexxyko's chief source of revenue. WTF?

Tax it. Then turn it off. Mexxyko Commie presidente needs to solve his poverty problem hisself.

[Narciso79]

She resembles the Colombian born again Christian who became a Jewish bds socialist, (she was exposed in the tablet)

Because you haven't held any office not even dog catcher and besides you embarrass me as a a latino.

[Jim Eagle]

CH,

If she wrote that then it proves she is an immature political idiot. But then she will fit in quite comfortably in Congress, and make friends on both sides.

[Dave (in MA)]

Double standards are Paul Ryan being elected at 28 and immediately being given the benefit of his ill-considered policies considered genius; and me winning a primary at 28 to immediately be treated with suspicion and scrutinized, down to my clothing, of being a fraud.

I'm guessing her first draft before her staffers got hold of it didn't look like that.

[Narciso79]

Why did I find justified so interesting

https://www.celebheights.com/s/Natalie-Zea-4978.html

[Gentlejim]

I want POTUS to have the opportunity to taser Robert Mueller's family jewels. Pay per view.

Posted by: Kevlar Kid | December 10, 2018 at 07:20 PM
Too small of a target area unless you use a drive stun. I’d go for forehead and chin.

Does anyone else see any similarity between Muslims ratting out blasphemers to imams and a certain group in Europe during the 30’ and 40’s? Could say the same about similarities to the Soviets.

[Dave (in MA)]

Sean Spicier@sean_spicier
Hard to believe we’re in month 3 of I still 
don’t care what happened to Khashoggi

[Account Deleted]

The Pin~ata is so needy.

[Account Deleted]

"But i was a bartender and i learned directly from the people what they need from Washington."
-O'Cortex the Communiss

[Account Deleted]

I don't GAFF either, Sean.

[Dave (in MA)]

Chief of Staff Christie Kreme?

[Account Deleted]

Gentlejim: it would be staged for TV :D caint miss!

[Manuel Transmission]

Saw a bumper sticker in town:

I’m
gluten intolerant
intolerant

[Account Deleted]

All right. This concludes my broadcasting day. It's yoga time.

See yooz bright and early.

Stay weird.

[Narciso79]

Of course this khadhoggi kerfluffle reminds me of a similar exercise the post did in the 70s with bani sadr, and Edward randall of the post trying topple the shah.

[MissMarple2]

https://mobile.twitter.com/STUinSD/status/1072167595363708931

This is a thread about Benghazi and the illegal sale of stinger missiles by Hillary and Obama.