Brit PM Theresa May bails out on a Parliamentary vote on her Brexit deal. What next? Who knows!
DEAD POOL UPDATE: it seems like only a week ago we were contemplating the G-20 meeting in Paris, but really it was a week and a half. I can't handicap all twenty of these world leaders, but among Merkel, Macron, May and Trump, Merkel was already headed out the door (as of 2021) at the meeting. But she clings to power today, as do the other three leaders in the Dead Pool.
So who will be the first among this group (or the larger G-20) to be shown the door? Theresa May virtually any day? Likely! Macron next spring or sooner? Not so fast - as President of France (NOT Prime Minister) he was elected to serve a five year term in 2017. The Assembly would normally serve until then as well. So barring a complete collapse of the governing structure, Macron should be able to stay until 2022, even if events force him to replace his current PM leading a new coalition.
Trump may be impeached by House Democrats for having a bad comb-over but nothing revealed so far suggests there will be 67 votes in the Senate for removal. OTOH, unless re-elected Jan 20, 2021 is his end date.
So who lasts the longest? It seems weird that Macron, who may be the least popular of the four and with a country beset by riots, is most likely to be in office in 2022. PredictIt bettors say May is the next European leader to go (69% probability) followed by Macron (20%).
OK, my calls: May is the next to go, Trump will outlast the other three.
OCONOMOWOC -- cow O'Monoco spelled backwards.
Posted by: cathyf | December 11, 2018 at 02:56 PM
Google CEO Sundar Pichai Can’t Explain Why Trump Tops Image Search for ‘Idiot’
He's there in Bing and DuckDuckGo, too, but not exclusively. Only Google.
Posted by: Extraneus | December 11, 2018 at 02:56 PM
I just posted on this thread, so of course there's a new thread!
Posted by: cathyf | December 11, 2018 at 02:58 PM
Democrats claiming Trump "wants a shutdown," period. As opposed to being willing to consider a shutdown if the Democrats don't budge in their position.
Has Trump indicated a pronoun preference for "they"?
Posted by: jimmyk | December 11, 2018 at 03:01 PM
Bret Baier and Dana Perino don't know how to react to the Oval Office kerfuffle. Tellingly, Perino brings up an NPR poll to show support for keeping the government open. (You may assume I am rolling my eyes.) Video is at link.
Posted by: MissMarple2 | December 11, 2018 at 03:04 PM
NEW THREAD!!!
Posted by: daddy | December 11, 2018 at 03:15 PM