Ebb And Flow

Nate Silver's 538 has polling indicating post-debate changes in polling position. Unsurprisingly, Biden lost support and Harris gained it. However, more Biden supporters moved to other candidates than to Harris.

Personally, I was delighted to see Kristen Gillibrand's net favorable rating decline, although probably not by a statistically significant margin. Boo 'er off!

Comments

[GUS]

Clarice, the KOSHER MEAT KLUB 47th and Burleigh is going out of bidness.

[D]

TLG:
I also saw her in concert back in 1983.
She is a really good performer but her politics are awful.
I think Has been celebs call out our president to revive interest in themselves and their careers.

[lyle]

We have two extremely tired pups.

[MissMarple2]

lyle,

Rick Wilson is a political consultant who has worked for several GOP candidates. He went nuts when Trump ran and got the nomination. I mean REALLY nuts.

I think he appears on CNN from timei to time, although I wouldn't know for sure since I never see that channel.

[Jack is Back (Again)!]

GUS,

It may not be an exact science but it dictates and controls what and how you can build in California and lots of states. So, pray that it is as exact as it needs to be:)

Well, Bette, he is actually doing what your friends the rapist and phony American refused to do.

[caro]

I found a show of the pics I took at the great DC Tea Party. Poor resolution photos but it captured the spirit of the day.

https://youtu.be/yOE9rNXlRQA

Janet makes a nice appearance.

Happy Independence Day to you all. Can’t imagine how we would be feeling if Crooked would have won.

[GUS]

Speaking of the RICHTER SCALE. I'll Bette that Midlers' crack is bigger than the Liberty Bells.

[Marlene]

Ha! Gus must be on the good meds!

[lyle]

So he’s just another annoying jackass, then, MM.

[Extraneus]

Good one, Caro.

"ANGRY MOB ON BOARD"

[caro]

A couple more oldies. Jane, you should show these to your Dem buddy. Yea, just like Antifa.

https://youtu.be/S0c1v3fjhFI

And Jane’s Tea Party.

https://youtu.be/sTXQ5M1XKSU

[Thomas Collins]

Happy Fourth to JOM land!

And to Colin Kaepernik and the Nike CEO, may your twitter accounts be filled with images of Betsy Ross flags!

[GUS]

I'm going to find a bunch of BETSY ROSS style flags on a stick.
And I'm sending them to Colleen Kaeperick and NIKE.

[MissMarple2]

lyle,

I believe he was affiliated with the Bush and McCain people. Someone can correct me if I am wrong.

He's a really nasty guy. I mean REALLY nasty.

When he started spouting off I was horrified he had been working for the GOP.

[MissMarple2]

Nate Madden
‏Verified account @NateOnTheHill
48m48 minutes ago

Rocky IV is on Hulu if anyone else wants to watch Stallone beat a commie before firing up the grill and blowing stuff up. 🇺🇸
==================
This tweet is offered as a public service.

[clarice]

GUS, WHEN I COME WE'LL JUST HAVE TO FOREGO CORNED BEEF THEN AND WANDER THRU USINGERS SAMPLING SAUSAGE.

[Jack is Back (Again)!]

Caro,

Do you wear contacts?

[GUS]

Clarice, Usingers is my favorite. I have brats waiting for me at home.

[clarice]

GOOD TASTE, GUS.

[lyle]

That explains a lot, MM. I don’t despise W like I did Sidney but it’s getting closer all the time.

[Jack is Back (Again)!]

Clarice,

Talking Deli’s, is Loeb’s still there off McPherson Square. Had the most addictive chicken liver and onion on dark rye I have ever had. Wash it Dow now with Cream soda:)

[Extraneus]

Baby Trump Balloon can’t use helium during #SalutetoAmerica celebrations

The left spent July 3rd promoting the #BoycottTrump4thofJuly and peddling stories about military dictatorships.

Meanwhile, the Trump supporters are proceeding with the arrangements to ensure a spectacular celebration of our nation and its military.

For example, the Baby Trump balloon that I mentioned has received a permit. Interestingly, it turns out there are certain restrictions that will prevent it from flying terribly high.

According to a Tuesday press release from Code Pink, the National Park Service has granted the left-wing gadflies a demonstration permit.

But it “does not allow the balloon to be filled with any helium, only air, and the permit is not in the location we requested — within line of sight of the Lincoln Memorial where President Trump will be speaking,” the group said.

Without helium, the small blimp of Mr. Trump’s head on a diapered baby’s body cannot rise off the ground.

(Click to open.)

[MissMarple2]

Kurt Schlichter
‏Verified account @KurtSchlichter
4h4 hours ago

The Fourth of July celebrates armed citizens using their own guns to shoot people who would try to make them serfs.

It’s my favorite holiday.

[Extraneus]

Giant robot Trump tweeting on toilet coming to DC to protest Fourth celebration https://t.co/8a8jgY65JU pic.twitter.com/3fKsovyF6l

— The Hill (@thehill) July 3, 2019

(Click to open.)

[Pinandpuller]

Immigration, World Poverty and Gumballs-NumbersUSA https://youtu.be/LPjzfGChGlE

[clarice]

APPARENTLY IT IS, JIB, BUT I CAN'T REMEMBER EVER EATING THERE. It's now so difficult to drive and park downtoen we hardly ever go there and when we do we take Uber to meet friends. Funny, for years and years I worked in that area and simply don't recall it at all.

[Porchlight]

Happy Independence Day JOM!

[Pinandpuller]

What’s an Angus Young balloon got to do with The 4th of July?

[Porchlight]

Rick Wilson allegedly worked on getting the dossier to McCain and is rumored to be the source of some of the oppo research. He actively supported the McMuffin campaign.

Worse than your average NeverTrumper IMO.

[Jack is Back (Again)!]

Clarice,

My bad. 17th and Eye. Farragut Sq. Not McPherson. I think it moved. I was a member of Army-Navy Club and don’t remember it in that vicinity.

[D]

Porch:
If Rick Wilson is connectedin any manner to the dossier he could be in some serious legal trouble.
His plan to get rid of President Trump failed.
How was the camp experience for your son?

[Texas Liberty Gal]

LS - Thx for encouraging mention about your friend using the BS - I start using it tomorrow.

Rocco thx for good wishes. I feel like I've made it around the mend with promotion to soft brace. 90 days in casts tends to send one into depression. Fortunately my hubby took great care of me and kept me from slipping into it.

[caro]

No, Jack. The photos are mostly in focus but it looks to me like YouTube made everything very low res. And the sound is gone on my iPad.

LASIK mono-vision.

[Another Bob]

What was the item someone posted about the cost of ‘x’ being more than the cost of the “Trump parade”?

I want to throw it in someone’s face.

[caro]

I am making Buffalo Wings and Buffalo Burgers. All American. Also rhubarb crumble.

This message is for Lyle.😚

[Pinandpuller]

What is the origin of calling a judicial pronouncement a "ruling"? Has it ever been so apt a description?

[Jack is Back (Again)!]

AB,

The congressional sexual harassment slush fund.

[Threadkiller]

The cost of the government payoffs to congressional sexual misconduct victims vs the celebration, AB.

I don't remember the figures.

[lyle]

😚 caro!

Tell E that I’m getting closer to settling and things have progressed almost exactly as I predicted. And thank him again for his input.

[Threadkiller]

Yes, CH, don't get me started on magpies.

:-)

[Old Lurker]

Are we talkin Native Magpies, or the ones from other countries?

[Pinandpuller]

A study of American Colonial history will reveal that Benjamin Franklin went to England as a representative of the Colonies.

The English officials asked how it was the Colonies managed to collect enough taxes to build poor houses, and how they were able to handle the great burden of caring for the poor. Franklin's reply was most revealing: "We have no poor houses in the Colonies, and if we had, we would have no one to put in them, as in the Colonies there is not a single unemployed man, no poor, and no vagabonds."

Think long and hard about this. In the American colonies before the American Revolution, there was "not a single unemployed man, no poor, and no vagabonds." -- no one on Welfare, no one on Social Security, no homeless, no income tax, no alphabet agencies, No IRS, BATF, FBI, DEA, CIA, HEW, OSHA, SBA, and on and on and on to provide for the "general welfare" of our villages, towns, cities, and states. How did Benjamin Franklin explain this to the British officials of his day?

How would he explain it to today's lawyers, judges, politicians and other government officials? "It is because, in the Colonies, we issue our own paper money. We call it Colonial Script, and we issue only enough to move all goods freely from the producers to the Consumers; and as we create our money, we control the purchasing power of money, and have no interest to pay." Benjamin Franklin

This system guarantees HONEST MONEY. It was not controlled by a private corporation with a monopoly on the credit of the nation as it is today.

There was no inflation or deflation, as long as the MONEY SUPPLY WAS KEPT EQUAL TO THE VALUE OF GOODS AND SERVICES TO BE PRODUCED AND MOVED (distributed).

http://www.truedemocracy.net/hj31/01d.html

[Jack is Back (Again)!]

I want someone like Dan Crenshaw, not a VDH or Sowell, write an OpEd about how the left, the Dems, the Progs have become the anti-American exceptionalism protest party. Actually, where overt patriotism is a sign of intellectual weakness, and deplorable fascism.

I am a Vietnam Vet and remember the excoriations by the Left then but nothing like now. Maybe not large protests like back then but the vitriol is now over the top. I give you a nothing of a restaurant like the Red Hen in Lexington, VA has taken on the same aura of Lexington in MA back in the 1700s.

Tell me I am wrong so I can sleep better at night. Now where is my gun oil?

[Captain Hate]

At the pool this morning with my dem friend from Nebraska, who gets all his news from ABC. I said something about the ANTIFA incident with the reporter.

His reply: "What is Antifa?"

This is the problem in a nutshell. ABC news is pure propaganda. My wife watches it and I just shake my head. I've given up telling her she's being lied to. At some point people have to think for themselves.

Oh well, she can always ridicule me for voting for McCain and R$.

[Jack is Back (Again)!]

AB & TK,

I think it is something like $18 Million for the 4th and $17 Million spent already for the sexual harassment. YMMV.

BTW, Central division leading Pittsburgh playing rivals Cubs and there are mucho seats empty. Tell me baseball is growing instead of shrinking. No wonder the MLB is scoping out international locations. There are only 4 1/2 games separating the leaders ( Pirates) and last place (Reds). I can't remember
such a close race at the division level.

[MissMarple2]

Jack,

I agree about Crenshaw.

I am convinced that the numbers of nasty leftists, while full of vitriol, are not as numerous as in the 70's. They are just more visible due to social media.

Keep your eyes on how President Trump acts and behaves, and don't forget your gun oil!

[Jack is Back (Again)!]

Off to the club for dinner. I am thinking of an All-American Burger.

[Captain Hate]

I wish I could find a picture someone linked here a while back of Rick Wilson and Adam Schiff looking like they were going to a NAMBLA meet and eat gathering.

[sbwaters]

hospitals

A friend, Joseph A. Ryan, Jr., 74, passed away last week of a rapid acting version of Leukemia. Took less than a month. One of his sons relayed this yesterday at the funeral.

He was in the hospital, doing poorly, watched by one of his sons. One of his grandsons, a 20-something, came in to the room. Joe, who had been sleeping, heard his grandson come in, looked at him, and started pressing his emergency call button urgently and repeatedly.

His son rushed to the bed, “What’s wrong Dad, are you in pain?”

“No. There are a lot of nice nurses in this wing and I thought they’d like to get to know my grandson.”

A thousand people attended his funeral. I counted them.

[Another Bob]

JIB, Pittsburgh is fourth in the division.

[clarice]

sbw, what a guy!!

[Pinandpuller]

I'm in a hospital bed.

Posted by: GUS | July 04, 2019 at 02:07 PM

You know one reason I Every Day Carry is I'm getting too old to run for my life.

[Another Bob]

And the Pirates have been long time losers because ownership won’t spend money, which has created bad blood among the fanbase.

[sbwaters]

Correction. Joe was turning 72 next month.

[caro]

Jack, I shoot ok though. E and I are signed up for handgun in the Huntsman World Senior Games in October.

[Extraneus]

I want someone like Dan Crenshaw, not a VDH or Sowell, write an OpEd about how the left, the Dems, the Progs have become the anti-American exceptionalism protest party. Actually, where overt patriotism is a sign of intellectual weakness, and deplorable fascism.

I've mentioned it before but I had a large 4th of July party around 20 years ago. Kareoke, people swimming in the pool, lots of families with kids of all ages. I had a big flag up, and at one point I asked for everyone's attention and led the group in the Pledge of Allegiance.

All of the adults, half of the older teenagers, and almost none of the younger teenagers put hand to heart and recited the Pledge. I knew right then and there that the younger generation was lost to patriotism.

[Pinandpuller]

Has Rick Wilson had more losses than Mike Murphy or any given Detroit team?

[mike in houston]

From 1776 the musical, "the Egg" I saw the original on Broadway way back in the late '60's. A lot of fun.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WJJhKEzgEGQ

[Pinandpuller]

What are the environmentalist whackos going to do to the Blue Bell ice cream girl? Everything gets plastic wrap now.

[Captain Hate]

I am convinced that the numbers of nasty leftists, while full of vitriol, are not as numerous as in the 70's. They are just more visible due to social media.

The left has been better at using the media than our side for at least two hundred years. During the Russian civil war the White army probably could have prevailed if they hadn't stressed going back to the old ways which ordinary people, although hating the Reds, wanted no part of. So they took their chances with the Reds which was a disaster.

Trump is a media creation and and understands it better than they do and makes all of them look like Meathead

[Extraneus]

I took Italian in grade school and middle school (and high school), and at the beginning of class in grade and middle school we used to say the Pledge of Allegiance in Italian. I still remember it.

Prometo fideltà alla bandiera deglie Stati Uniti d'America, e alla republica che rappresenta, una nazione sotto Dio, indivisibile, con libertà e giustizia per tutti.

[GUS]

Pin, ..........dirty deeds, done dirt cheap.

[clarice]

Sweet, extraneus.

[Pinandpuller]

Take heart GUS. Neither you nor the girl Disney hired to play The Little Mermaid can swim.

[GUS]

Pin........BIG BALLS

[henry]

DC weather:

Very bad weather over Andrews right now. Heavier storms edging toward the Mall. Unclear if it will hold off

https://twitter.com/jamiedupree/status/1146892945968324616?s=21

[MissMarple2]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=03K5VZj0NNk

RSBN coverage at the Lincoln Memorial. Live now. Rain is letting up.

[henry]

Yikes, unexpected storm here as well... a few minutes out.

[Extraneus]

We used to say the Our Father in Italian class in Catholic high school, too, and that was also imprinted in my brain.

Padre nostro, che sei nei cieli, sia santificato il tuo nome, venga il tuo regno, sia fatta a'la tua volontà cose in cielo come in terra. Dacci oggi il nostro pane quotidiano, e rimetti noi i nostri debiti come noi rimettiamo ai nostri debitori, e non ci indurre in tentazione, ma liberaci dal male. Cosi sia.

That's almost all I remember from Italian class. :-)

[Extraneus]

Nine years of it.

[Jane]

Caro,
Great pix of you and Janet!

[MissMarple2]

White House live stream to the speech, which hasn't started yet:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oldjwMYOZ1w

[Jane]

Caro,

That made my heart sing. Your role in the whole thing was huge! Thanks you so much!

[MissMarple2]

RSBN is showing what I think are pretty large crowds at the Lincoln Memorial.

[MissMarple2]

Donald J. Trump
‏Verified account @realDonaldTrump
2m2 minutes ago

Weather looking good, clearing rapidly and temperatures going down fast. See you in 45 minutes, 6:30 to 7:00 P.M. at Lincoln Memorial!

[henry]

Trump tweeted a 6:37 time for his speech... via the RSBN feed

[henry]

Note to self... replace batteries in hearing aids before6:30. :/

[MissMarple2]

https://dailycaller.com/2019/07/04/hillary-clinton-cybersecurity-conference/

Hillary withdras from keynote speaker at cyber security conference, citing "unforeseen circumstance."

[Porchlight]

How was the camp experience for your son?

He is having a blast as far as we can tell, and only has a week left of his four week stint. Hard to believe. I think it's going to have a big positive impact on him. Thanks for asking!

mike in houston, we love 1776. Watch it every 4th. In fact I was about to put it on!

[Extraneus]

France moves to make companies block hate speech online

PARIS (AP) — French lawmakers have approved a measure that is intended to force search engines and social networks to take hate speech off the internet.

The measure adopted Thursday by the lower house of the French parliament would require social networks to remove hate speech within 24 hours of a confirmed violation. Search engines would have to stop referencing the content as well.

The provision, part of a bill on internet regulation, targets videos or messages inciting or glorifying terrorism, hate, violence, or racist or religious abuse. Violators could face hefty fines.

It prompted heated discussion in the National Assembly over how to define hate speech.

No doubt.

And Gab.com is down, upgrading to their new de-centralized attempt at a solution to censorship.

[MissMarple2]

Daughter and I had hot dogs and baked beans for supper, along with Miller High Life beer.

Beer aficionados would probably be aghast, but we like it.

It was my mom's drink of choice, so daughter and I call it "Nanny Beer." HA!

Tastes good to me.

[MissMarple2]

VP Pence and Karen on podium now.

[Extraneus]

Obama DHS Chief Says 2020 Democrats Have "Unworkable" And "Unwise" Immigration Positions

Democratic presidential candidates have "unworkable" and "unwise" immigration policies, according to Obama administration Homeland Security chief Jeh Johnson.

"That is tantamount to declaring publicly that we have open borders," Johnson told the Washington Post on Tuesday, referring to a push to decriminalize illegal immigration. "That is unworkable, unwise and does not have the support of a majority of American people or the Congress, and if we had such a policy, instead of 100,000 apprehensions a month, it will be multiples of that."

An adult in the romper room?

[MissMarple2]

Jack Posobiec
🇺🇸
‏Verified account @JackPosobiec
4h4 hours ago

Betsy Ross House just sold out of flags today.

[MissMarple2]

BREAKING: Massive crowd waiting for President Trump to speak at the #SaluteToAmerica in Washington D.C.#4thOfJuly pic.twitter.com/VFCSYcQxvd

— BNL NEWS🇺🇸 (@BreakingNLive) July 4, 2019

Photo at link. You really need to look at it.

[lyle]

Watching those Tea Party vids makes the bile rise up in my throat recalling the Rs like Sidney [spit] and others denigrate those patriots.

[Jack is Back (Again)!]

Back from the club. They had a ribeye steak hand-held sandwich with onion rings which was outstanding.

AB,

Sure they are in 3rd place but they are what, only 3 out before the All-Star break? That's nothing in baseball. You have close to 3 months more of BBall. Hell, I am a Reds fan and they are only 4 1/2 games out. Go Reds!

Although the Cubbies are putting a real hurt on them tonight. No brooms needed.

[MissMarple2]

President's motorcade has arrived at the Lincoln Memorial.

[lyle]

Meh Jeh Johnson calling out the commies on the border disaster? Will wonders never cease!

[Art in Newport]

Audio problems on the speaker's platform. Crowd of people working at the podium.

[clarice]

Ols note--the author is John Dingell's son:https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2019/07/hysterical_lies_about_trumps_salute_to_america.html

[Narciso79]

Hey porch, how have you been.

[Jack is Back (Again)!]

Hey! Tom Fitton is there in his muscle shirt:)

[Extraneus]

Polo-shirted muscleman Tom Fitton is with the people being honored.

[Extraneus]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oldjwMYOZ1w

[Narciso79]

Rick Wilson along John avlom were the ones who deepsixed guilianis campaign in 08, I think they blew the charges from the inside.

[Porchlight]

Hi narciso!

[Jack is Back (Again)!]

Ext,

GMTA:)

[MissMarple2]

So far, this has been a super speech!

[matt - deplore me if you must]

Happy 4th to all! Spent the better part of the day down at our 1873 schoolyard cooking weenies after our very down home parade down the canyon.

It was interesting that we had a Fire Authority Wildfire truck and a Forest Service truck drive to the end of the parade route and then take off immediately to do building checks after the earthquake. They were back pretty quick, though. We're 150-200 miles from the epicenter.