Back To Brexit

As we approach the final countdown on Brexit, here is flow chart of possible scenarios. It's the sort of thing we normally enjoy in December as the NFL PLayoffs come into focus and forty-seven teams jockey for eleventy spots.

 

Comments

[henry]

We'll know if the great pumpkin brexit shows up on Halloween.

[Another Bob]

Being a part of “Europe” must pay really well for British politicians.

[Melinda]

Svetlana points out that most "secret" spies that need to be protected from evil DJT officials outing them usually don't live under their own names, if they're really important: https://twitter.com/RealSLokhova/status/1171278235537031168

The replies to that are even more entertaining.

[Melinda]

ABob-

Especially it's criminal elements: https://twitter.com/AudreyAurus1/status/1171389363437129729

[anonamom]

rse, fascinating article you shared. Thank you.

repost

https://behavioralscientist.org/the-mythology-of-microdosing-continues-to-grow-can-science-catch-up/

[anonamom]

And not sure who posted this lengthy but excellent article from Claremont on Brexit--?Ig??-- but if you have time, worth a read:

https://www.claremont.org/crb/article/why-hasnt-brexit-happened-yet/?fbclid=IwAR3UvqHsnaM_jHEJglrZiRdwd2umiUK632HAv71qrKuwfm

[Melinda]

And NOW the Podesta Operations are anti-union when cash is tight?

https://twitter.com/Greene_DM/status/1171390588253548545

[jim nj]

willowed;

Anon,

You misunderstand, Cincinnati wasn't mentioned in the underlying link, only in the full link. For those of us in northern NJ there is only one Coney Island and it's located in NYC.

As I posted earlier the clickable link was,

Link headline was "Coney Island to Shut Down All Amusement Park Rides"

I had absolutely no idea that there was a Coney Island Amusement Park in Ohio.

Can you grok the difference between some pissant amusement park and a national icon.

Nathan's hot dog eating contest, a boardwalk, a large beach, amusement rides and all of it accessible by the subway.

Posted by: jim nj | September 10, 2019 at 07:53 AM

[Jim Eagle]

The Hop in Milwaukee is peanuts compared to the Honolulu system. Now costing $9.2 billion for 20 miles of rail. Exactly, what I would want to do if I am in Hawai'i, ride a streetcar.

https://www.enr.com/external_headlines/story?region=enr&story_id=Tiup4XSThKH9770gycsErZc9-pPdV1bdBcIfxgfKcRyiGWf0GYOTiC1OqBn6uJhvMhDBFZTw2-ivV7ifzSJNLbjY8YQGDzAivZpn9EmOwf3DD8fTZ6_xLlF4mIa3Ide1&images_premium=1&define_caption=1&oly_enc_id=7999F9421378J3B

[MissMarple2]

THANK YOU @USCG! GREAT JOB!! https://t.co/eEDn760Ogh

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) September 10, 2019

Link goes to statement by Coast Guard and short video about the rescus of the 4 Korean sailors from the overturned tanker. (This tweet is from last night)

[anonamom]

Oh, the link you posted for us clearly has a very visible in Cincinnati ---there must have been OUTRAGE that led to that correction.

However-- I will note that there is a world beyond the east coast and the people who live there.

JIB --and likely millions in Indiana, Ohio, Kentucky, probably Illinois and southern Michigan too--know there is a Coney Island in Ohio!
You easterners' lack of awareness of it should not serve as some kind of standard, should it?? ;-)

That's why we have an Electoral College! Because our Founders knew you'd think like that famous New Yorker cover!!! They knew there'd be the people of the Acela Corridor who would try to act like all that matters is what they know about before there were even steam engines.

( I TOTALLY get your point---and this Michigander had no idea there was a Coney Island in Cincinnati either. )

[anonamom]

sweet dreams jim nj.
I get to go vote for Dan Bishop!
MAGA!

[jim nj]

JIB,

Streetcars were very popular in NJ a long time ago, most tracks still exist and are buried under concrete and macadam.

The ones I'm aware of went to Edgewater on the Hudson River and connected with ferry lines to NYC.

[jim nj]

Anonamom,

I don't know what to say to you at this point. I honestly don't understand your point. Was that meant as sarcasm?

[Rocco]

Good morning and a belated Happy Birthday to MissM. I have no idea what's going on in the world lately but I'd like to thank you for your early morning tweets. They keep me updated, thanks MissM!

Regarding the Electoral College, Donald Trump is taller than all of his Democrat opponents. Now you might be thinking what the hell does Donald Trumps height have to do with the Electoral College. Like the popular vote, not a damn thing!

[Old Lurker]

A-mom...that was an SBW post and is superb.

They are so screwed. Like us with Trump, the question for the Brits will be if they fell too close to the ground before pulling their reserve parachute.

Nobody seemed interested in my link yesterday about our all-in government debt (including "promises" that could be reduced if we had the political will) reaching nearly 2,000% of our GDP.

[clarice]

I can't open any twitter links today.

[MissMarple2]

Speaking as a denizen of the Midwest, I can remember hearing about Coney Island in New York, and then getting confused that there was one n Cincinnati. (I was in grade school.)

ALSO, the King's Island amusement park at one time had some of the old Coney Island rides, or replicas thereof. I don't know if that park is still open.

[MissMarple2]

https://dailycaller.com/2019/09/09/sarah-palin-critics-celebrate-crumbling-marriage/

This is another example of the leftist mind set.

[MissMarple2]

Rocco,

You are welcome for my early morning links. Alas, I fell down on the job today and slept late.

Must have been that third glass of wine while watching the rally!

[Another Bob]

Jim, I’m no east-coaster. When someone says Coney Island, I think Brooklyn and not some podunk amusement park in Ohio. 99% of the country does the same.

(shrugs)

[MissMarple2]

Retweeted by the President:

Ivanka Trump
@IvankaTrump
·
12h
The Alabama Success story:

Since the Trump election..

👍🏻
The unemployment rate has fallen 2.5% and reached an all time low of 3.3%

👍🏻
Monthly initial unemployment insurance claims have tumbled over 26%

👍🏻
Wages are up!

We’re just getting started.

[MissMarple2]

Retweeted by the President. Photos at the link.

Great to be w/ +175 leaders from gov, industry & academia for the @WhiteHouse #AIinGovSummit to highlight innovative efforts underway across Fed agencies to use #AI to improve gov services on behalf of the American people + look forward to future transformative applications! pic.twitter.com/Wtg1XwFYzl

— Ivanka Trump (@IvankaTrump) September 9, 2019

[Melinda]

Alabama again?

Hmmmm

[MissMarple2]

Melinda,

I am waiting for "Sweet Home Alabama" to play when the President appears.

[MissMarple2]

Retweeted by the President. Photos at the link.

Here in North Carolina, we believed you could be strong again and we believed you could be prosperous again. You said yes to President @realDonaldTrump in 2016 and tomorrow we need you to say YES to @jdanbishop for #NC09! pic.twitter.com/fYuSdGqnuQ

— Mike Pence (@mike_pence) September 9, 2019

[MissMarple2]

Retweeted by the President:

Mike Pence
@mike_pence
·
13h
It has been two and a half years of promises made and promises kept which is why we need FOUR MORE YEARS of President @realDonaldTrump
in the White House!

[MissMarple2]

Retweeted by the President. Pictures at the link.

Thrilled to be here in the great state of North Carolina with a man who has been fighting every day to keep the promises he made to you, President @realDonaldTrump! 🇺🇸 pic.twitter.com/kkJrcDU5yS

— Mike Pence (@mike_pence) September 9, 2019

[Buckeye]

Gee, I had no idea there was a Coney Island in Cincy either.

Not sure if it is because Cincy also has King's Island which dwarfs the east coast Coney Island, or whether it is because Ohio has Cedar Point, the finest amusement park with the best roller coasters in the world:)

[MissMarple2]

Received an update on Air Force One at MCAS Cherry Point in North Carolina, regarding damage caused by Hurricane Dorian. pic.twitter.com/ogQRJ3iLmr

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) September 9, 2019

Pictures at the link.

[Jim Eagle]

JimNJ,

You still have "streetcars" in New Jersey. The Hudson-Bergen Light Rail, the Trenton-Camden Diesel Light Rail, and the Newark Light Rail. And, of course, Hudson-Bergen connects to the various ferry systems.

[MissMarple2]

Retweeted by the President. Link goes to chart of African-American employment rates since 1979.

In August, the African American unemployment rate fell to a historic low of 5.5 %.
African American women are benefiting most with the adult (20+) female African American unemployment rate falling to a new series low of 4.4 %. pic.twitter.com/wau63GZ4Fz

— Ivanka Trump (@IvankaTrump) September 9, 2019

[jim nj]

OL,

I was interested in that, but it wasn't just government debt.

Yes, it included Federal, State and Municipal debt, but it also included personal and corporate debt. Government and corporate pension shortfalls. Entitlement benefits in perpetuity, etc.

It was a very wide estimate of overall debt in the US.

In my mind, state pensions are the worst. People work serious overtime in their last three years and collect a pension higher than their base salary. That has to stop.

[Narciso79]

Twenty times sounds about where the unfunded liabilities lie, yikes.

[MissMarple2]

Retweeted by the President. I am curious why he retweeted this post of Scavino's, although it has a very nice picture of the White House at the link. Scavino tweeted this 17 hours ago.

🚨Happening Now—@POTUS @realDonaldTrump departing the @WhiteHouse for North Carolina.... pic.twitter.com/HtreybGIAc

— Dan Scavino Jr.🇺🇸 (@Scavino45) September 9, 2019

[James D.]

OL @ 8:35

I was horrified by that link. But not surprised, sadly.

[jim nj]

AB and Buckeye,

Thank you.

[clarice]

Brexit will go thru--Boris has a Bannon type fellow as his point man. It will happen.

[MissMarple2]

https://www.newsbusters.org/blogs/nb/tim-graham/2019/09/10/politifact-rains-trumps-latest-rally

Even the fact-checkers are fake.

[caro]

I surely hope you are right about Brexit, C.

[Old Lurker]

True, Jim. But to put it in context, the personal and company component of that Bernstein total was only 150% out of the almost 2,000%. So "government" has bought our votes by promising groups of voters a claim on, OK, round down, 15 years of ALL of the future as yet unearned productivity of the entire nation.

Marx gotta be laughing.

[MissMarple2]

clarice,

Bannon has been over in the UK, too. He made 2 separate appearances at the Oxford Union which I listened to on YouTube. Completely straightforward and unapologetic about President Trump's trade policies, talking about how he came from a blue collar family and he was concerned about working class Americans being deprived of their means of good employment.

One of the appearances was a debate with the odious Lanny Davis. I had forgotten how much I despised him.

[Buckeye]

jim nj

Hope you know I'm just teasing. Come to Ahia and will go to an amusement park.

Despite what henry says, the bears won't get you out her in Ahia.

That is because my ancestors did a pretty good job of eradicating them when they settled these parts:)

[Old Lurker]

Me too, Caro.

How do you say "#2weeks" in English?

[Narciso79]

Yes dominic cummongs the bbc had cumberbatch play him so he has to be evil mastermind.

[Jim Eagle]

Clarice,

You mean Dominic Cummings? He is even more disheveled than Bannon plus Steve has much more hair:)

The Pantomine Parliament:

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/09/10/pantomime-parliament-watch-happened-night-commons-went-crazy/

[jim nj]

imNJ,

You still have "streetcars" in New Jersey. The Hudson-Bergen Light Rail, the Trenton-Camden Diesel Light Rail, and the Newark Light Rail. And, of course, Hudson-Bergen connects to the various ferry systems.

Posted by: Jack is Back! | September 10, 2019 at 08:53 AM
-----
JIB, true, but the Hudson-Bergen line has never reached Bergen County. They know the route they want, the old Erie Lackawanna line, but they have been arguing about it for twenty years.

Do you know about this?

https://www.onlyinyourstate.com/new-jersey/nj-hidden-underground/

At one time the thought was to extend the NYC MTA 7 line under the Hudson to this tunnel and on to Secacus, which is a rail junction. Never happened.

[MissMarple2]

Donald J. Trump
@realDonaldTrump
·
6m
NORTH CAROLINA, VOTE FOR DAN BISHOP TODAY. WE NEED HIM BADLY IN WASHINGTON!

[MissMarple2]

https://bearingarms.com/camedwards/2019/09/09/this-companys-bucking-the-trend-and-supporting-the-2nd-amendment/

Rural King. If you have these stores in your area, they sell a lot of things similar to Walmart.

[henry]

Burglary ring from Indiana and Illinois... caught.

https://fox6now.com/2019/09/09/4-arrested-after-burglary-police-pursuit-in-greenfield-could-be-involved-in-over-25-burglaries/

[MissMarple2]

Jennifer Franco
@jennfranconews
·
27m
#NEW: House Oversight CMTE Chairman Elijah Cummings calls on Labor Sec. Wilbur Ross to comply with the panel’s probe of Ross’s potential conflicts of interest, and is threatening to take “alternative steps” to secure compliance. #OANN
https://oversight.house.gov/sites/democrat
===============================
I look forward to Secretary Ross telling Cummings to go pound sand.

[MissMarple2]

henry,

That's really something. They must have been hitting smaller towns because they thought the police weren't as big a threat there.

HA!

[MissMarple2]

It's now day 9 of the "Brian Stelter Alabama Spiral" with no end in sight. https://t.co/8H6V0V9umr

— Shem Horne (@Shem_Infinite) September 10, 2019

Link goes to a Stelter tweet with a link to a ridiculous CNN article.

[jim nj]

OL,

I think 450% was private individual debt, but most of the debt doesn't consist of rated securities, but of unfunded, or underfunded, pension liabilities and entitlements. The pension liabilities in the individual states are enormous.

It's little wonder that people retire to states that have the situation under control.

[Buckeye]

MM

I have never been in a Rural King, but there are 6 within 50 miles of me.

Might have to become an alternative for shotgun shells.

[henry]

That will drive growth... in Waukesha County.

Vicki McKenna @VickiMcKenna
7m

Milwaukee leaders seek authority for binding referendum to TRIPLE the county sales tax

[Old Lurker]

Jim, I thought the 450% was financial debt like derivatives and my 150% was the personal and corporate.

But who cares, I rounded down to 1500% anyway so the ballpark rule applies.

My point in chief is that we are electing leaders because they are promising groups of us the moon, and that moon can only be delivered by our children and grandchildren and then only if they are willing to live on crackers and water. Thanks kids...

How one unravels all that and restores a sensible, moral, balance between the generations is beyond me.

[MissMarple2]

Breaking ! The latest polls ! 👇This is the overflow crowd in Fayetteville, North Carolina tonight. An incredible sight 🇺🇸 pic.twitter.com/dMrVig2PXu

— VeBee🇺🇸✝️ (@VeBo1991) September 10, 2019

Photo at the link.

[Old Lurker]

Answering my own question, of course the Founders foresaw the risk when they observed that their scheme would only work if the WeThePeople were good and moral stewards of it.

[Buckeye]

How one unravels all that and restores a sensible, moral, balance between the generations is beyond me.

I don't think it is doable.

Buckeyette is actually quite indignant about how the "greatest generation" and our generation has stuck it to them.

[MissMarple2]

This is California. Apparently (reading through the comments) there are at least 4 of these facilities in Los Angeles. Photo at the link.

This is Podshare. It costs $900 a month. You pay almost a grand to live in a place that looks like another place from the 20th century that’s been consigned to history as one of the worst places for anyone to ever live and die in.

“Community based living.” Great new euphemism. pic.twitter.com/EsCE5tuGcI

— Ian Miles Cheong (@stillgray) September 10, 2019

[henry]

$900 per month to live in a FEMA camp?

[Old Lurker]

Buckeye "Buckeyette is actually quite indignant about how the "greatest generation" and our generation has stuck it to them."

One of the biggest arguments I had with my Dad circa 1969 was about exactly that. Fifty years on, we have driven a truck through the hole they opened.

Last year's deficit was $1 trillion. I remember like it was yesterday reading about the anger when JFK proposed spending a TOTAL of $100 Billion for one year of running the Fed Budget.

Crickets.

[MissMarple2]

Question about the debt.

What if there is a LOT of money floating around that could be used to pay down the debt? I am talking about useless government programs, skimming and payoffs, unnecessary employees, etc.

Last night President Trump mentioned the debt and how he would get to it, but the military and some other things had to be built up first.

I can't help but think of all of those people in Congress who get wealthy (like Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren) and others like the Obamas and Clintons.

[henry]

Vicki McKenna @VickiMcKenna
2m

WOW--MASSIVE property tax hikes ahead for Milwaukee homeowners thanks to sewer district spending increases.

https://twitter.com/VickiMcKenna/status/1171423479847170048

note: I didn't see anything that would stop the dumping of raw sewage into Lake Michigan.

[MissMarple2]

The Washington Post
@washingtonpost

Trump’s approval rating slips as six in 10 Americans expect a recession in next year, Post-ABC News poll finds

===================

Byron York comments:

Byron York
@ByronYork
·
4h
1) Speculate non-stop about a coming recession.
2) Take a poll.
3) Discover that poll respondents expect a recession.
4) Speculate more about a coming recession.

[Jim Eagle]

OL,

If they didn't pass a Federal income tax in 1913, you wouldn't have trillions in debt. But because you can collect billions and trillions of dollars from the public, you figure what the hell, a little debt won't hurt.

Way politicians think.

[Melinda]

Maryland audit under way?

https://grabien.com/story.php?id=250907

[MissMarple2]

It seems that the NRCC has some people who know what they are doing (for a change). Video of the TV ad at the link.

Brilliant ad campaign by Dan Bishop and Republicans to recast Dan McCready, who tries to downplay his affiliation with radical Dems with slogan "Country over Party," as Dan McGreedy with a "G" …https://t.co/o1Fu5vdLKU

— Paul Sperry (@paulsperry_) August 29, 2019

[MissMarple2]

Paul Sperry
@paulsperry_
·
21h
BREAKING: Elizabeth Warren, D-Beijing, is raising money for Dan McCready in NC District 9 special congressional election, yet McGreedy says he's a non-partisan moderate

[anonamom]

jim nj, I am teasing too, because in the link you posted that I saw IN CINCINNATTI simply couldn't be missed. I thought you must ahve been very tired to do so.

I am guessing I saw a different (?corrected?) headline than you did.

Your reaction though was pure stereotypical "easterner" to my (former) midwesterner eyes---"I don't know about it, therefore everyone will misunderstand it too" ....so I was teasing you about that as well (even though I share your concept of the the location of Coney Island. )

[Old Lurker]

Jack, and a little debt from time to time does not hurt. Unbridled spending on the no-limit credit card of "the (unborn) fellow behind the tree" is the moral hazard writ large.

There is no defense.

[anonamom]

Buckeye "Buckeyette is actually quite indignant about how the "greatest generation" and our generation has stuck it to them."

Spend more than a day with my oldest, and you will hear "Boomers to Gitmo."
(Same reason--and he sees lots more coming.)

[Ignatz Ratzkiwatzki]

--Some more more war movies:--

Bomber Command; way better than 12 O'Clock High.

They Were Expendable; John Ford, The Duke, Robert Montgomery, non stop action.

Battleground; realistic, gritty and great.

One I want to see is Go For Broke! about a regiment of Japanese Americans fighting in Italy.

[henry]

Time for Chuckie to throw a tantrum.

Senate Democrats will force another vote to block President Donald Trump’s national emergency declaration as the White House faces backlash for funneling military money toward the president’s border wall.

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/09/10/chuck-schumer-hopes-to-block-trump-border-wall-national-emergency.html?

[henry]

Donald J. Trump @realDonaldTrump
7m

One of the greatest and most powerful weapons used by the Fake and Corrupt News Media is the phony Polling Information they put out. Many of these polls are fixed, or worked in such a way that a certain candidate will look good or bad. Internal polling looks great, the best ever!

[Old Lurker]

A-mom & Buckeye...what will have to happen is for a critical mass of our kids to state "Sorry. I am simply not going to pay for that. Let them eat crickets."

There is no clean painless exit from the sankepit.

[henry]

the other answer...

Vicki McKenna @VickiMcKenna
1m

Rats off the sinking ship: Illinois lost $310 billion in income to outmigration since 2000

https://www.thecentersquare.com/illinois/report-illinois-lost-billion-in-income-to-outmigration-since/article_6bdf1cee-cf3a-11e9-b078-670d3ff7d9cc.html?

[Ignatz Ratzkiwatzki]

According to MMT, debt to GDP of 2000% is of no consequence. It's a beautiful thing.

OTOH and more seriously unfunded liabilities and actual existing debt are fundamentally different in a couple of ways. That actual existing debt has a short half life. It can definitely be rolled over or even repudiated but it is an existing hard debt that has no theory connected to its value, but has a face value and a defined duration.
An unfunded liability is a less concrete and more vague promise of future return over a much extended and elastic time frame. Many of the projections about it aren't a lot more valuable than those about the climate, both on the high side and the low. Moreover because the time frames are so long minor adjustments can have a lot more effect, as Rick Ballard often pointed out about SS [Medicare, not so much].
And since they are largely self funded and since the benefits are more subject to adjustment there is a lot more leeway in biting the bullet when crunch time comes. Many defined benefit plans are already being converted to defined contribution. Even CalPers has adjusted things. Not enough yet, but math will force it to.
I have a friend who was a fire captain in Stockton CA, who took a significant pension haircut when Stockton went bankrupt. He adjusted in various ways and didn't like it but recognized things that can't go on don't. That recognition will grow as the promises made expire.

[Jane]

Just came back from the pool. A friend from MA who is a part timer and a died-in-the-wool democrat has changed his tune, and not in a good way.

He asked me if I knew who we gave the most money to in the middle east. I said yes - we give the most to the only democracy - Israel. He asked me if I thought that was okay? I said yes. He demanded to know why we were so mean to Palestine, and I said because they are terrorists. He thinks that's our fault. He loves the squad. Finally he can't imagine opposing single mothers with their babies coming over the wall.

First person I've encountered who has completely changed with the democrat part. And this is a smart guy. Blew my mind.

[Jane]

There are a few boomer parents I'd like to see in gITMO, the ones who didn't figure out the value of work, and didn't teach their kids to embrace the American Dream. I'm ok with the rest.

[Old Lurker]

Iggy, your points are all fair and we have been saying that here since Rick Ballard was a pup..

But in the end the qualification is useless since the problem is not the numbers, it is the rot at the core of WeThePeople which allowed the situation to get to this point.

If you have a way to fix THAT, then I can create the spreadsheet for bringing the debt under control myself.

[Narciso79]

He bought the line hook line and sinker from cair which previously had saudi and enirate atrings but now answer to qatar.

[Buckeye]

A-mom & Buckeye...what will have to happen is for a critical mass of our kids to state "Sorry. I am simply not going to pay for that. Let them eat crickets."

There is no clean painless exit from the snakepit.

I don't see it happening anytime soon.

Most are infatuated with AOC and Bernie.

Of course most don't know their financial a$$ from a hole in the ground.

[jim nj]

Anonamom,

Ok, we're cool, it's just that they left Cincinnati out of the original link. If they had included that "fact" I would have had a different reaction.

I'm perfectly happy to make a fool of myself. I do it here often, but I do "bridle" when I think someone else is doing it incorrectly.

Water under the bridge.

OL,

I'm just going off my memory of that article, but you are correct. Unfunded and underfunded state pension plans are a huge liability. Fix them now. A near impossibility. And they would be in good shape. Altogether too many state employees game the system and retire with HUGE pensions.

Save up sick days and deferred vacation days and cash in at your final salary.

In private industry your sick days expire each year. If you don't take vacation days you lose them. Most companies require you take a vacation because it also serves as an audit check. If you are engaged in fraud your absence will reveal it.

State-wide unions with local units often have more bargaining expertise than an individual city.

[Old Lurker]

Buckeye, a cleansing Dark Ages...

[henry]

jim_nj, then you have judges like in IL that do not allow adjustments to pensions (except when more is paid out). Springfield needs to be nuked from orbit.

[jim nj]

Henry,

Yes, like they turn it into a state constitutional thing. Yet the judges have a similar pension plan.

They should recuse themselves.

[henry]

i assume this is blue on blue.

CNBC @CNBC
1m

Cramer: Wall Street executives are saying Elizabeth Warren's 2020 bid has 'got to be stopped'

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/09/10/jim-cramer-wall-street-saying-elizabeth-warren-must-be-stopped.html?

[jim nj]

I don't know why, but I'm in battle mode.

Climate change. I think I've been looking at Anthony Watts "Wattsupwiththat" site for more than 15 years. Similar sites also during that time. Climate change as currently proposed is a scam.

CO2 is not the problem. The complexity of climate models relying on the CO2 phenomenon are wrong.

It is overwhelmed by other factors.

[Narciso79]

Time to feed the crocodile, jaime, you firsr.

[Melinda]

But that’s who Cramer backs?

I so confused.

[henry]

Dems, always gotta hide what they are up to:

https://www.jsonline.com/story/news/politics/2019/09/09/evers-administration-takes-down-website-tracking-records-requests/2265609001/

[Narciso79]

I think the better part if valour is to ignore tasmanian jim cramer.

[Ignatz Ratzkiwatzki]

Probably already linked but one of the most cringeworthy and dishonest political ads I've ever seen;
Valerie Plame Drives a Fast Car, So New Mexico Should Elect Her to Congress.
Bad enough she lied about Libby outing her but she says "we" moved to New Mexico to raise their kids, except there is no "we" since she divorced the only man who is worthy of her narcissistic arse, that bloated bloviator Fat Joey Wilson.
Be sure to watch her ad. As I note in the comments there seems to be a real but unintentional Thelma and Louise vibe to the thing.

[Melinda]

henry-

The last IL Supremes ruling, including Mrs Ald. Ed Burke (Ann), was that IL Constitution as written in 1970 by Da Mayor, pensions could not be impaired.

No one’s tested, as yet, whether Some can be instead.

[jim nj]

The underlying climate data is suspect. I understand the need to "homogenize" data so that a study is using "comparable" data. But early records are pushed down and later data are pushed up. When you compare the raw data against the "adjusted" data there is an upward slope line to the adjustments.

[Melinda]

And you’re not allowed to see “Dr.” Mike Mann’s “data”, at all.

[Jim Eagle]

This day in history:

In the first unqualified defeat of a British naval squadron in history, U.S. Captain Oliver Hazard Perry lead a fleet of nine American ships to victory over a squadron of six British warships at the Battle of Lake Erie during the War of 1812.

The battle was closely contested for hours, and Perry's flagship Lawrence was reduced to a defenseless wreck. He then transferred to the Niagara and sailed directly into the British line, firing broadsides and forcing the British to surrender. Perry had won a complete victory at the cost of 27 Americans killed and 96 wounded; British casualties were 40 dead and 94 wounded. After the battle, Perry sent a famous dispatch to U.S. General William Henry Harrison that read, "We have met the enemy, and they are ours." The Battle of Lake Erie forced the British to abandon Detroit, ensuring U.S. control over Lake Erie and the territorial northwest.

[henry]

live thread on Flynn hearings:

emptywheel @emptywheel
1m

Powell: THere's one thing after another that exonerates him. I don't think is a motion to withdraw the plea.

Sullivan: Exonerate, to show he's innocent.

Powell: Entire prosecution should be dismissed for egregious misconduct.

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