Awkward moment: The cyber-sleuths hired by My Pillow guy Mike Lindell to help Stop The Steal can't back his story.
EXCLUSIVE: Cyber expert says his team can’t prove Mike Lindell’s claims that China hacked election
SIOUX FALLS, S.D. — The cyber expert on the “red team” hired by MyPillow CEO Mike Lindell now says the key data underpinning the theory that China hacked the 2020 election unveiled at the Cyber Symposium is illegitimate.
Mr. Lindell said he had 37 terabytes of “irrefutable” evidence that hackers, who he said were backed by China, broke into election systems and switched votes in favor of President Biden. The proof, he said, is visible in intercepted network data or “packet captures” that were collected by hackers and could be unencrypted to reveal that a cyberattack occurred and that votes were switched.
But cyber expert Josh Merritt, who is on the team hired by Mr. Lindell to interrogate the data for the symposium, told The Washington Times that packet captures are unrecoverable in the data and that the data, as provided, cannot prove a cyber incursion by China.
“So our team said, we’re not going to say that this is legitimate if we don’t have confidence in the information,” Mr. Merritt said on Wednesday, the second day of the symposium.
Mr. Merritt’s break from Mr. Lindell accelerated the unraveling of the MyPillow millionaire’s months of spinning of a conspiracy theory that he said would reverse the outcome of the 2020 election and restore former President Donald Trump to the White House.
Well, the expert is not definitively saying that hacking did NOT occur, which will probably help some people Keep Hope Alive.
And speaking of hope, its's great to see it ran out for Cuomo. We've all been spared a few months coverage of his death throes.
the 25,000 dead will certainly appreciate that, was was $20.00 per his book contract,
Posted by: Narciso | August 12, 2021 at 09:09 AM
the same crazy theory that was acceptable to hbo six months before, and didn't ring false to frontline a month before the election, now it's all kosher,
Posted by: Narciso | August 12, 2021 at 09:14 AM
yet a similar arrangement is fine for company reports on the khashoggi kerfluffle
https://pjmedia.com/news-and-politics/bryan-preston/2021/08/11/beyond-farce-biden-wants-opec-to-pump-more-oil-while-he-strangles-u-s-energy-production-n1468698
Posted by: Narciso | August 12, 2021 at 09:17 AM
Groveling to China, to the Saudis, tut tutting Putin, while pocketing checks from his state sysgy, that's a good look,
Posted by: Narciso | August 12, 2021 at 09:20 AM
Totes fine
https://mobile.twitter.com/D_Moynihan/status/1425803538681192448
Posted by: Narciso | August 12, 2021 at 09:22 AM
ah that grift and wrecking crew bill
https://amgreatness.com/2021/08/11/republican-betrayal-on-fake-infrastructure-bill/
Posted by: Narciso | August 12, 2021 at 09:25 AM
whats in your wallet
https://christopherrufo.com/intersectional-amex/
Posted by: Narciso | August 12, 2021 at 09:28 AM
https://twitter.com/SKMorefield%2Fstatus%2F1425625089534566400
Posted by: Narciso | August 12, 2021 at 09:34 AM
the people that gave sanctuary to bin laden
https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2021/08/jen_psakis_utterly_inane_comment_about_the_taliban_defies_belief.html
Posted by: Narciso | August 12, 2021 at 09:45 AM
where did they find this mook
https://townhall.com/tipsheet/mattvespa/2021/08/11/one-gop-senator-pretty-much-is-supporting-an-effort-to-undo-everything-trump-did-n2593865
Posted by: Narciso | August 12, 2021 at 10:02 AM
Why can't people understand that when you make claims you can't back up you not only undermine your credibility about the claims you make that are true but you hand your enemies a cudgel to delegitimize your legitimate claims?
I applaud those people trying to understand what really occurred. But those good intentions aren't a cover for claiming things are what they aren't or that they can prove something they can't.
Feynman again -
The first principle is you must not fool yourself, and you are the easiest person to fool.
Posted by: Ignatz Ratzkiwatzki | August 12, 2021 at 10:09 AM
like the 50 intelligence experts that deemed hunter a victim of dezinforma, like james comey, john brennan, or any of that crew, even the fabled curveball rafi alwan, who was a bnd asset, sued and continued to be paid for his work,
Posted by: Narciso | August 12, 2021 at 10:21 AM
it's only a matter of which Trust a party represents, we know how Lawfare works, there are certain names you can't mention, certain protocols you can't speak of,
Posted by: Narciso | August 12, 2021 at 10:33 AM
moar global warming please
https://electroverse.net/polar-cold-blasts-australia-nz-and-sa-brazil-corn-output-slashed-portugal-suffered-a-cold-july/
Posted by: Narciso | August 12, 2021 at 10:46 AM
it's totes fine
https://dailycaller.com/2021/08/12/biden-epa-nominee-carlton-waterhouse-china-propaganda-network-cgtn/
Posted by: Narciso | August 12, 2021 at 10:48 AM
justin-trudeau-dresses-up-as-a-saudi-sheik-to-try-and-get-biden-to-approve-his-pipeline
Posted by: clarice | August 12, 2021 at 11:47 AM
better link:https://babylonbee.com/news/justin-trudeau-dresses-up-as-a-saudi-sheik-to-try-and-get-biden-to-approve-his-pipeline
Posted by: clarice | August 12, 2021 at 11:48 AM
as I was saying about mccarry, he had a pitch perfect view of what '70 washington and co, were and would become, the outfit which becomes the fis, is the swamp made real, (he was only off in thinking beirut would stay aligned with the west)
Posted by: Narciso | August 12, 2021 at 11:52 AM
my informed guess is that the alsops who rotated between government and media, were the basis for the christophers with a touch of the bundy clan
Posted by: Narciso | August 12, 2021 at 11:58 AM
down with the old boss...
https://www.frontpagemag.com/point/2021/08/cuomos-lt-gov-vows-change-toxic-culture-she-was-daniel-greenfield/
Posted by: Narciso | August 12, 2021 at 12:04 PM
https://apnews.com/article/joe-biden-texas-voting-voting-rights-filibusters-dd028dc0dcf06e9e38c64dd51109b43f
Let's guess the next futile dem gesture.
Posted by: clarice | August 12, 2021 at 12:28 PM
they lost back in 2003 as well
https://nypost.com/2021/08/11/bidens-infrastructure-bill-is-chock-full-of-anti-white-racism/
Posted by: Narciso | August 12, 2021 at 12:31 PM
Hey Maguire, how's Biden working out for you??
Posted by: GUS | August 12, 2021 at 12:36 PM
it's much stranger then mad max
https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2021/08/totalitarian_madness_comes_to_australias_new_south_wales.html?fbclid=IwAR1M1qJYLo9CdHYPaKqqMOtQmVNRFjUuRauhKLvANnNtJ6I6-e-oJE4iO8U#.YRU7saqgI5k.facebook
Posted by: Narciso | August 12, 2021 at 12:38 PM
From TM's Washington Post link.
Kurt Olsen, a lawyer on Mr. Lindell’s team said there were multiple sources of the data that Mr. Lindell claims to have, and did not confirm that Mr. Mongtomery was the source of the data. He also clarified that the $5 million challenge has not been canceled and that Mr. Merritt would not be privy to that information.
The source for this story, Dennis Montgomery is a conman with a storied past.
The far-left Daily Beast knew a lot about Montgomery already on November 9th and reported on Montgomery to debunk the entire election fraud narrative:
The election fraud claims center on Dennis Montgomery, a former intelligence contractor and self-proclaimed whistleblower who claims to have created the “Hammer” supercomputer and the “Scorecard” software some Trump fans believe was used to change the votes…
…What Trump allies tend to leave out, however, is that Montgomery has a long history of making outlandish claims that fail to come true. As an intelligence contractor at the height of the War on Terror, Montgomery was behind what’s been called “one of the most elaborate and dangerous hoaxes in American history,” churning out allegedly fictitious data that once prompted the Bush administration to consider shooting down airplanes…
…As of 2011, Montgomery was fighting Nevada charges for writing bad checks worth $1.8 million at casinos. The Daily Beast was unable to determine the ultimate disposition of those charges…
…Montgomery resurfaced in 2013, as a “confidential informant” for controversial Arizona Sheriff Joe Arpaio.
Montgomery reportedly swindled good Sheriff Joe Arpaio out of more than $100,000.
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2021/02/uncovered-conman-long-history-deceit-dennis-montgomery-inserted-false-information-election-fraud-investigation-paying/
Posted by: Rocco | August 12, 2021 at 12:41 PM
We're surrounded by official lies, like frisky ferguson, dubious daszak dastardly danchenko, imperial college or the nih or apparently perkins and coie are exempt from accountability.
Posted by: Narciso | August 12, 2021 at 12:53 PM
Wasn't expecting that angle:
Sky News
@SkyNews
A K-pop star has been jailed for three years for crimes including providing prostitutes to foreign businessmen and embezzling funds trib.al/ylHqgBD
https://twitter.com/SkyNews/status/1425863322268807177
Posted by: Melinda | August 12, 2021 at 12:56 PM
Quelle surprise
https://climateaudit.org/2021/08/11/the-ipcc-ar6-hockeystick/amp/?__twitter_impression=true
Posted by: Narciso | August 12, 2021 at 12:57 PM
Yep
https://mobile.twitter.com/MaxAbrahms/status/1425281517224402946
Posted by: Narciso | August 12, 2021 at 12:59 PM
Circling back
https://mobile.twitter.com/redsteeze/status/1425797319929200641
Posted by: Narciso | August 12, 2021 at 01:10 PM
https://www.gjsentinel.com/breaking/breaking_news/griswold-decertifies-mesa-county-election-equipment/article_02490f8e-fb8d-11eb-95d4-ebcb4e0b04ef.html
Posted by: clarice | August 12, 2021 at 01:46 PM
Oh really
https://iotwreport.com/dan-crenshaw-says-election-was-on-the-up-and-up/
Posted by: Narciso | August 12, 2021 at 02:19 PM
I've always taught my kids that voting is a special right that great men and women died defending, so go vote.
And the fraud is considered far too trivial by many and IMO, the penalties should be severe when caught.
Thank you veterans.
Posted by: Rocco | August 12, 2021 at 02:23 PM
James Woods
@RealJamesWoods
CNN reports on newest Hunter Biden laptop fiasco 👇🏼
pic.twitter.com/dJBzNIkYZ1
https://twitter.com/RealJamesWoods/status/1425860743350554629
Posted by: Melinda | August 12, 2021 at 02:26 PM
Boy that Hunter's a real chocolate chip off the old blockhead!
Errands call...
Posted by: Rocco | August 12, 2021 at 02:32 PM
Was NOT expecting Grabien to post it:
Grabien
@GrabienMedia
VIDEO - Hunter Biden Tells Prostitute About How He Lost Another Laptop to Russian Drug Dealers grabien.com/story.php?id=3…
https://twitter.com/GrabienMedia/status/1425886834953949184
Posted by: Melinda | August 12, 2021 at 02:37 PM
Dan Crenshaw — drank the 80 proof Kool-Aid.
Posted by: Barbara | August 12, 2021 at 02:51 PM
"Cyber 'expert' says his team can’t prove Mike Lindell’s claims that China hacked election."
What a convenient albeit inaccurate article. Did you even watch Lindell's Symposium? I watched most of the first two days and do not recall any such claim. There was a great deal of discussion about how the election was conducted, the findings of questionable activity in a number of States, and a deep dive into the Dominion machines that warrants serious follow-up.
Unfortunately, the proceedings for Day 3 were halted by a judge who decided that NOW would be a good time to go forward with Dominion's lawsuit against Mr. Lindell. Funny how that works, but nothing to see here folks. Just move along.
Posted by: Barbara | August 12, 2021 at 03:05 PM
3 hours to go in the slo-cooker for my Osso Bucco!
While doing all that hard work, I had a chance to pay some bills one of which is PayPal that confirmed to me that website was designed by sadists.
The latest from my jet-setting son is that he has left Barcelona for Amsterdam. No wonder he wants to finish his IB at the UN school in NYC.
Posted by: Jack Lillywhite | August 12, 2021 at 03:10 PM
The IB school in NYC is not as good as the one in DC.
Posted by: clarice | August 12, 2021 at 03:15 PM
Update: After completing his IB he has applied to the University of Amsterdam for their Media and Culture program. What a life!
Posted by: Jack Lillywhite | August 12, 2021 at 03:20 PM
Kabul: US moving the embassy to the airport. (Better for helicopters than the Saigon roof was).
Posted by: henry | August 12, 2021 at 03:26 PM
3,000 marines being moved there as well.
Almost like an Anvil....
Posted by: Melinda | August 12, 2021 at 03:32 PM
Anything here, statistically speaking, jump out at you?
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
8m
Large U.S. counties w/ stronger than expected Census counts (vs. estimates):
1. Queens, NY +8%
2. Brooklyn, NY +8%
3. Honolulu, HI +5%
4. Bronx, NY +5%
5. Manhattan, NY +5%
6. Westchester, NY +4%
7. Suffolk, NY +4%
8. Nassau, NY +3%
9. Cook, IL +3%
10. Allegheny, PA +3%
Large U.S. counties w/ weaker than expected Census counts (vs. estimates):
1. Maricopa, AZ -3%
2. Riverside, CA -3%
3. Hillsborough, FL -2%
4. Clark, NV -2%
5. Pima, AZ -2%
6. Mecklenburg, NC -1%
7. Palm Beach, FL -1%
8. San Diego, CA - 1%
9. Fulton, GA -1%
10. Bexar, TX -1%
https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1425906013354569733
Posted by: Melinda | August 12, 2021 at 03:49 PM
Melinda, re Marines… the Dems always wanted to live through Vietnam again. SloJoe is delivering the oil crunch, stagflation, race riots, and now and embassy getting overrun.
Posted by: henry | August 12, 2021 at 04:02 PM
The Carter model works as well… what is Xiden gonna return and to who?
Posted by: henry | August 12, 2021 at 04:04 PM
the earlier link was peter orzag's squeeze, teh girly governor, and col bearclaw, just the thing to summon the hellmouth,
Posted by: Narciso | August 12, 2021 at 04:05 PM
Yep, certainly seems that way.
Posted by: Melinda | August 12, 2021 at 04:10 PM
Melinda, is that “census count” before or after the “statistical modeling” they do instead of the Constitutional enumeration?
Let’s see what other statistical models they use against us:
Globull Warmening hockey sticks
globull shutdown epidemiology
Racial equity (not to be confused with quotas, which they are)
So sure, I trust the same jackholes modeling on political representation about as far as I trust Hunter Biden with some else’s credit card.
Posted by: henry | August 12, 2021 at 04:12 PM
queens ground zero of the epidemic, 'that's what they are going with'
Posted by: Narciso | August 12, 2021 at 04:14 PM
Wisconsin had population growth… except in the 5 blue hells that Zuck’s bucks found record votes in.
Yep, that blatant.
Posted by: henry | August 12, 2021 at 04:15 PM
manhattan, brooklyn, people are doing a land speed exodus from ny, maybe westchester,
Posted by: Narciso | August 12, 2021 at 04:15 PM
Forgot the link…
https://biztimes.com/milwaukees-population-dropped-nearly-3-since-2010/
Posted by: henry | August 12, 2021 at 04:15 PM
Allegheny Co. is Pittsburgh, FTSAH. No way in hell it went up over whatever "estimate" they were using.
Posted by: Melinda | August 12, 2021 at 04:20 PM
they are definitely using fizbin rules,
Posted by: Narciso | August 12, 2021 at 04:21 PM
so sunbelt counties lost population, that's what they are trying to sell us,
Posted by: Narciso | August 12, 2021 at 04:23 PM
Redistricting Stick Save.
Posted by: Melinda | August 12, 2021 at 04:27 PM
Good afternoon! Maine's small population growth came from York and Cumberland counties. So, pretty much Kittery to LL Bean, also known as northern Massachusetts. I noticed more masks at the grocery store this afternoon, maybe because of the out of state license plates in the parking lot. At least the local economy will profit from the late summer vacationers. :)
Posted by: Marlene | August 12, 2021 at 04:31 PM
Multiple fatalities in mass shooting in Plymouth, England.
https://www.reuters.com/world/uk/emergency-services-deployed-at-scene-incident-city-plymouth-england-2021-08-12/
Firearms are banned in the entire county, so I guess they blame Indiana and Wisconsin like all the others. /sarc
Posted by: henry | August 12, 2021 at 04:33 PM
https://www.navytimes.com/news/your-military/2021/08/12/about-8000-us-troops-are-deploying-to-secure-evacuations-from-kabul/
Three infantry battalions are on their way to the Kabul airport, the Defense Department announced Thursday, as the State Department moves to evacuate civilians from its embassy there.
At the same time, Pentagon spokesman John Kirby told reporters, another 1,000 troops are headed to Qatar to help process special immigrant visas for Afghan interpreters, while an entire infantry brigade combat team will set up in Kuwait as an on-call reaction force, as the Taliban advances its campaign to take provincial capitals around the country.
Posted by: Melinda | August 12, 2021 at 04:37 PM
We've been laughing about the 70's when we started our married life. We married in '75, had the daughter in '77 and hubby started his business in '79. Ha. The circle of life or something.
Posted by: Marlene | August 12, 2021 at 04:37 PM
people are fleeing the cities, specially in the north east, ny is facing losing at least one seat based on populations,
Posted by: Narciso | August 12, 2021 at 04:48 PM
narc-
This Census looks to save those seats.
Posted by: Melinda | August 12, 2021 at 05:00 PM
probably
https://www.tabletmag.com/sections/news/articles/vaccines-konstantin-kisin
Posted by: Narciso | August 12, 2021 at 05:10 PM
The point of my @ 4:37 is that we built our character. We both came from solid families and even though we were young, we built a good life. I pray those days aren't gone with the younger generation. Our nieces and nephews are millennials and we're proud about the lives they are building. We need to keep hope in our hearts.
Posted by: Marlene | August 12, 2021 at 05:34 PM
82nd Airborne troops departed yesterday. Not quite a full brigade.
If I was a general I would lure those medieval bastards out into the open and napalm them all. They want to get to paradise? Happy to oblige.
what a complete fiasco.
Posted by: matt - deplore me if you must | August 12, 2021 at 06:01 PM
FB blocked me for trying to post this:https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2021/08/12/texas-lawmakers-thwart-chinese-communists-plan-to-connect-to-states-electricity-grid/
Posted by: clarice | August 12, 2021 at 06:10 PM
does this link work
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9885259/Secretive-Chinese-billionaire-buys-140-000-acres-Texas-wind-farm-blocked-governor.html
Posted by: Narciso | August 12, 2021 at 06:30 PM
Of course he would
https://mobile.twitter.com/ChuckRossDC/status/1425932724204974100
Posted by: Narciso | August 12, 2021 at 06:48 PM
Oh
https://mobile.twitter.com/BrentScher/status/1425920545581936654
Posted by: Narciso | August 12, 2021 at 06:50 PM
I can't post it. If someone here is on FB, pls do it. I think it's blocked because Chinese trolls.
Posted by: clarice | August 12, 2021 at 06:50 PM
5 million is 30 pieces now
https://www.supremecourt.gov/about/circuitassignments.aspx
Posted by: Narciso | August 12, 2021 at 07:08 PM
Oops
https://mobile.twitter.com/AHoweBlogger/status/1425930220448600068
Posted by: Narciso | August 12, 2021 at 07:17 PM
Clarice-
Try this version: https://tinyurl.com/87h3ym3p
Posted by: Melinda | August 12, 2021 at 07:35 PM
I'm blocked, Mel, can't post it in any version.
Posted by: clarice | August 12, 2021 at 08:02 PM
Well, I tried.
Meanwhile, ever hear of the fireman as arsonist stories? Wait til you get a load of #6:
https://meaninginhistory.blogspot.com/2021/08/briefly-noted-totalitarians-crazies.html?m=1
Posted by: Melinda | August 12, 2021 at 08:33 PM
thought crime clarice
https://dossier.substack.com/p/the-monopolist-how-bill-gates-wields
Posted by: Narciso | August 12, 2021 at 08:33 PM
Sorta covered in the DailyMail:
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9885259/Secretive-Chinese-billionaire-buys-140-000-acres-Texas-wind-farm-blocked-governor.html
Also linked, here: https://linkshare.whatfinger.com/texas-thwarts-chinese-communists-plan-to-connect-to-electricity-grid/
Posted by: Melinda | August 12, 2021 at 08:38 PM
I tried posting the Daily Mail's video of Hunter with the latest Russian hooker where he claims the Rooshians stole another laptop and FB blocked it under "false & misleading" information.
It's a freaking video of Hunter Biden buck nekkid yelling that there were really whacked porn videos on it. How can Facebook deny their own eyes?
And if this census info is true we obviously have a system so rigged that we cannot believe the outflow of people from California and New York that is documented in real estate sales and U Haul contracts from the blue hells to the Red States.
And they say there was no election fraud.
Posted by: matt - deplore me if you must | August 12, 2021 at 08:40 PM
Matt-
Keyword algo block multiple ways “Hunter” + “Biden”, also “Hunter” + “hooker”…
Posted by: Melinda | August 12, 2021 at 08:43 PM
I'm sure you're right, mel.
Posted by: matt - deplore me if you must | August 12, 2021 at 08:46 PM
it's not anywhere close to right, matt, take queens or any of the other boroughs, the egress is greater than the ingress, from both natural and manmade reasons,
Posted by: Narciso | August 12, 2021 at 08:52 PM
Between Bannon's show and RSBN's coverage on Rumble, I have watched some of Lindell's symposium. Much of it is hard for me to follow, as I am not a computer or statistics person.
I have found it interesting, and there have been some credible and unusual guests, such as Bolsonaro's son from Brazil.
Posted by: MissMarple2 | August 12, 2021 at 09:37 PM
The Bloom County cartoon about a Fantastic Voyage take on vaccines is funny ...
but to have Facebook attach a COVID19 resource notice to the post is beyond parody.
Posted by: sbwaters | August 12, 2021 at 09:48 PM
Here's Pompeo on Hannity. Nothing new with what he is saying about Biden and energy, but I do find it interesting that he appears to have lost some weight. Two-minute video at the link.
Posted by: MissMarple2 | August 12, 2021 at 09:50 PM
Vacay time...
Monica Crowley@MonicaCrowley·
@JoeBiden is begging OPEC to boost production.
He's also begging the Taliban not to attack us.
This staggering weakness is beyond dangerous.
Posted by: Dave (in MA) | August 12, 2021 at 10:01 PM
We have a freight train which comes through here (tracks are about 2 blocks west of me) around 4. I have also noticed a regular helicopter (sounds military) going overhead around the same time. It's very strange because I am not near any sort of military base, the airport, or state or federal government facility.
Posted by: MissMarple2 | August 12, 2021 at 10:06 PM
https://townhall.com/tipsheet/spencerbrown/2021/08/12/state-department-not-an-evacuation-kabul-embassy-n2594042
'Not an Evacuation,' Insists State Department as Pentagon Sends 3,000 Troops to Evacuate U.S. Personnel
Posted by: MissMarple2 | August 12, 2021 at 10:12 PM
https://althouse.blogspot.com/2021/08/an-earlier-version-of-this-article.html
Posted by: clarice | August 12, 2021 at 10:24 PM
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/courts_law/supreme-court-new-york-eviction-ban/2021/08/12/37f3a654-fbc3-11eb-9c0e-97e29906a970_story.html
Posted by: clarice | August 12, 2021 at 11:07 PM
https://americanmind.org/salvo/the-death-of-the-global-cop/
"Scarcely any foreign policy is possible for a people who hate one another. All but the most basic functions are beyond being supported by a population—of ever lower intellectual and moral capacity—that has lost confidence in its leaders. Today’s U.S. ruling class is thoroughly corrupt and absorbed in domestic revolution. No serious statesmen would display their own country’s internal divisions as does the U.S. by flying the LGBT flag. It is not reasonable to expect foreigners to take seriously American statesmen who do not take seriously their own country’s unity and interests."
Posted by: jim nj | August 12, 2021 at 11:38 PM
Heh, he’s pure Pelosi::
https://www.abc10.com/article/news/local/abc10-originals/pge-gavin-newsom-lobbiest/103-2fc7d4f4-a0e0-492d-ac1d-ec674e58a67b
Posted by: Melinda | August 12, 2021 at 11:39 PM
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2021/08/12/the_biden_inflation_tax_made_clear_in_one_chart__146231.html
The Biden Inflation Tax, Made Clear in One Chart
I've been thinking. Often a dangerous thing. Inflation isn't really a problem. I mean inflation occurs all the time, to one degree or another, except on the very rare occasions where deflation happens.
It's not inflation, per se, that's a problem - it's that we've learned that people come to anticipate inflation and change their behavior because of their outlook.
People grumble, but generally don't do anything about low levels of inflation. Or about transitory levels of higher inflation, but when the anticipation of continued higher, or increasingly higher, levels of inflation pertains people react by spending more now and saving less. That reinforces the inflationary spiral.
I mean if I need something I may as well buy it now since it's going to cost more next week, next month or next year. Geez, come to think of it, I should buy more now than I need since the price is only going to go up, so I'm actually saving money by buying more.
Posted by: jim nj | August 13, 2021 at 12:01 AM
--It's not inflation, per se, that's a problem ---
You don't own a pickup with a 25 gallon tank, correct? :)
Posted by: Ignatz Ratzkiwatzki | August 13, 2021 at 12:05 AM
I'm wondering if that same inflationary type of spiral is contributing to the worldwide supply and shipping snafus we have been reading about.
It probably started with the increased tariffs on imported Chinese goods. These things are going to cost more after a certain date because of the imposition of tariffs so I should order earlier and in larger quantities than I normally would.
It will ultimately be cheaper, in the long run, to have to pay to warehouse them a little longer.
Most of that pressure, I think, dissipated before Covid hit, but suddenly the priority on Chinese exports changed to PPE while the demand for consumer goods lessened as US store closures were demanded.
I'm not at all sure how this affected the JIT supply system that manufacturers use these days, but assume a similar type of supply chain shock.
I'm obviously skipping over a lot of factors here as circumstances continued to change during the pandemic, but I'm positing that thousands of worldwide purchasing managers began to treat this like an inflationary cycle by changing their ordering behavior.
I better buy sooner and bigger because I foresee a looming shortage of shipping. And what did they get - an even bigger shortage of shipping.
Posted by: jim nj | August 13, 2021 at 12:28 AM
--It's not inflation, per se, that's a problem ---
You don't own a pickup with a 25 gallon tank, correct? :)
Posted by: Ignatz Ratzkiwatzki
------
Iggy, tag, I'm it. No, I don't own a pickup, but you help me make my point. If gas had gone up a few cents over the last year you'd shrug. Eh, that's inflation, it happens all the time.
Gas hasn't done that. You don't perceive the recent rise in gas prices as inflation. You perceive it as INFLATION.
As in going up in price and not likely to stop.
Posted by: jim nj | August 13, 2021 at 12:40 AM
So there is a problem in the worldwide supply chain. Most of that cargo transits in containers on cargo ships.
China builds most of the containers. All kinds of containers are getting filled up and sitting at Chinese ports waiting to be loaded on cargo ships.
Stuff that's needed now urgently and stuff that people ordered early and in larger quantities than they need now.
How to solve that problem - raise shipping rates and let the bidders figure it out, unless they have firm long-term shipping contracts, which said shippers might wish to break.
And the shipping rates are such that it's more profitable to unload containers at US ports and dead-head back to China without first loading them with now empty containers already in the US.
Remember China builds most of the world's containers and US importers don't have the warehouse capacity they used to have and are willing to hold on to the containers.
And US truckers get paid more for hauling full trailers than empty ones. So we can have them short-haul the containers to the nearest rail depot, rather than to the ports, but the truckers don't have enough trailers to bring empty containers to rail depots because the trailers are still sitting under the containers they just delivered.
And the rail depots don't have the room to store empty containers because there aren't enough trailers available to pick up the loaded containers already at the depots.
And the railroads say they'd like to help but customers are using their depots as warehouses because they don't need the stuff just yet and won't pick up the containers on a timely basis.
Posted by: jim nj | August 13, 2021 at 01:11 AM
https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20210810-the-ancient-persian-way-to-keep-cool
Interesting if you ignore the green propaganda.
Posted by: jim nj | August 13, 2021 at 01:39 AM
https://www.spiked-online.com/2021/08/11/the-ipcc-is-not-infallible/
Its history of errors and recycling unfounded claims reminds us to treat its climate reports with skepticism.
Posted by: jim nj | August 13, 2021 at 01:41 AM
That census stuff posted yesterday makes no sense.
Meck county, NC did NOT lose population--I can't link, but it grew by 200,000 people
Mecklenburg County's population swelled by 21.3% over the past decade, from 919,664 residents in 2010 to 1,115,482 in 2020, new census data released Thursday shows.
Yes, but: But Mecklenburg fell behind Wake County (1.13 million residents) as the largest county in the state, Axios' Katie Peralta Soloff and Danielle Chemtob write.
The big picture: Charlotte, now with 874,579 residents, was one of several cities with a population increase of 100,000 or more during the last decade, alongside cities like Austin, Denver, Phoenix and Seattle.
Among the counties surrounding Charlotte: Cabarrus grew 26.8%, Union grew 18.4%, and Gaston grew 10.6%.
Posted by: anonamom | August 13, 2021 at 06:53 AM